Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · NFL

BUF @ LV

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders · 4:25 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 12, 2026 · 4–5 games per defense

LV defense allowsWhat Buffalo sees

5 games

LV funnels toward RB rushing yards: 4th-most allowed (116.0). Offenses pass 3.7 pp less often than expected against LV.

LV allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	RB yards / carry	5.18	+26.0%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo91.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
2	Rush explosive rate	14.2%	+4.7 pp
3	Touchdowns / game · TE	1.20	+134.1%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido0.5 Anytime TD+195 Bally BetL10 3/10 Dawson Knoxo0.5 Anytime TD+600 BovadaL10 2/10 Jackson Haweso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL10 0/10 Keleki Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+1800 bet365L5 0/5
4	RB rush yards / game	116.0	+27.1%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo91.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
5	QB pass yards / attempt	7.91	+11.5%
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T5	RZ targets / game · TE	2.00	+63.9%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido0.5 Anytime TD+195 Bally BetL10 3/10 Dawson Knoxo0.5 Anytime TD+600 BovadaL10 2/10 Jackson Haweso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL10 0/10 Keleki Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+1800 bet365L5 0/5
T7	Receptions / game · TE	6.4	+17.8%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido4.5 Receptions+115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
T7	RZ targets / game · RB	0.80	+9.4%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo0.5 Anytime TD−155 BetMGML10 5/10 Ray Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+950 CourtsideL10 1/10 Ty Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 2/10
8	Dropback success rate	48.1%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
8	QB pass yards / game	253.2	+8.0%
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
9	Rec yards / game · WR	169.6	+13.1%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T9	Red-zone trips / game	3.60	+11.4%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido0.5 Anytime TD+195 Bally BetL10 3/10 Dawson Knoxo0.5 Anytime TD+600 BovadaL10 2/10 DJ Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+205 BovadaL10 5/10 Greg Dortcho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BovadaL10 4/10 Jackson Haweso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL10 0/10 James Cook IIIo0.5 Anytime TD−155 BetMGML10 5/10 Josh Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−145 BetMGML10 7/10 Joshua Palmero0.5 Anytime TD+475 BetMGML10 2/10 Keleki Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+1800 bet365L5 0/5 Keon Colemano0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 3/10 Khalil Shakiro0.5 Anytime TD+240 BetMGML10 0/10 Ray Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+950 CourtsideL10 1/10 Skyler Bello0.5 Anytime TD+650 Bally BetL1 0/1 Trent Sherfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 0/10 Ty Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 2/10
11	Rec yards / game · TE	57.0	+6.6%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido47.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
11	Dropback EPA / play	+0.099	+0.03
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+7.9%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+205 BovadaL10 5/10 Greg Dortcho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BovadaL10 4/10 Joshua Palmero0.5 Anytime TD+475 BetMGML10 2/10 Keon Colemano0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 3/10 Khalil Shakiro0.5 Anytime TD+240 BetMGML10 0/10 Skyler Bello0.5 Anytime TD+650 Bally BetL1 0/1 Trent Sherfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 0/10
T12	Target share · TE	25.7%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido4.5 Receptions+115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Dalton Kincaido47.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
12	Target share · WR	59.9%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo3.5 Receptions−132 betPARXL10 6/10 DJ Mooreo49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.80	−9.2%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo0.5 Anytime TD−155 BetMGML10 5/10 Ray Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+950 CourtsideL10 1/10 Ty Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 2/10
T13	Dropback explosive rate	8.6%	+0.4 pp
T14	RB carries / game	22.4	+1.5%
No lean at 14 (tied) of 32 James Cook III18.5 Rushing Attemptso −105 · u −110L10 5/10 over
T16	Rush success rate	40.0%	0.0 pp
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 James Cook III91.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over Josh Allen33.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over
T17	Dropbacks / game	37.0	−1.1%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Josh Allen30.5 Passing Attemptso −115 · u −108L10 5/10 over
17	Offensive plays faced / game	61.0	−0.6%
No lean at 17 of 32 Josh Allen30.5 Passing Attemptso −115 · u −108L10 5/10 over
T19	QB pass attempts / game	32.0	−3.5%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Josh Allen30.5 Passing Attemptso −115 · u −108L10 5/10 over
T21	Rec yards / game · RB	26.6	−13.7%
Supports UNDER Ty Johnsonu15.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 4/10 James Cook IIIu7.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T22	QB completion rate	62.5%	−1.8 pp
Supports UNDER Josh Allenu20.5 Completions+100 BetMGML10 6/10
T22	Receptions / game · RB	3.8	−14.5%
Supports UNDER James Cook IIIu1.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 6/10 Ty Johnsonu1.5 Receptions+145 BetMGML10 1/10
24	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.136	−0.04
Supports UNDER James Cook IIIu91.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T24	QB completions / game	20.0	−6.1%
Supports UNDER Josh Allenu20.5 Completions+100 BetMGML10 6/10
T25	Receptions / game · WR	9.8	−14.1%
Supports UNDER DJ Mooreu3.5 Receptions+115 BovadaL10 4/10
T26	RZ targets / game · WR	1.60	−35.8%
29	Target share · RB	14.5%	−3.7 pp
Supports UNDER James Cook IIIu1.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 6/10 Ty Johnsonu1.5 Receptions+145 BetMGML10 1/10 Ty Johnsonu15.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 4/10 James Cook IIIu7.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 6/10

BUF defense allowsWhat Las Vegas sees

5 games

BUF funnels toward QB passing yards: 2nd-most allowed (295.8). Offenses pass 0.3 pp less often than expected against BUF.

BUF allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Receptions / game · WR	15.2	+33.3%
Supports OVER Tre Tuckero3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 6/10
T2	Rec yards / game · RB	48.4	+57.1%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo24.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
2	QB completions / game	26.8	+25.8%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso22.5 Completions+104 betPARXL10 2/10
2	QB pass yards / game	295.8	+26.2%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso243.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T2	Receptions / game · RB	6.0	+34.9%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo3.5 Receptions−104 betPARXL10 4/10
2	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.80	+94.3%
Supports OVER Cody Whiteo0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL10 2/10 Dareke Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Deven Thompkinso0.5 Anytime TD+2000 bet365L10 0/10 Dont'e Thornton Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+850 BetMGML10 0/10 Jalen Nailoro0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Malik Bensono0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Tre Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+285 BovadaL10 1/10
2	RZ targets / game · RB	1.80	+146.1%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo0.5 Anytime TD−129 Bally BetL10 2/10 Connor Heywardo0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 2/10 Dylan Laubeo0.5 Anytime TD+525 Bally BetL10 1/10 Mike Washington Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL5 1/5
2	Offensive plays faced / game	70.0	+14.0%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso36.5 Passing Attempts−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
3	QB pass attempts / game	40.2	+21.3%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso36.5 Passing Attempts−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
T3	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.60	+81.5%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo0.5 Anytime TD−129 Bally BetL10 2/10 Connor Heywardo0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 2/10 Dylan Laubeo0.5 Anytime TD+525 Bally BetL10 1/10 Mike Washington Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL5 1/5
T3	RZ targets / game · WR	3.80	+52.6%
Supports OVER Cody Whiteo0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL10 2/10 Dareke Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Deven Thompkinso0.5 Anytime TD+2000 bet365L10 0/10 Dont'e Thornton Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+850 BetMGML10 0/10 Jalen Nailoro0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Malik Bensono0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Tre Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+285 BovadaL10 1/10
T3	Red-zone trips / game	4.20	+30.0%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo0.5 Anytime TD−129 Bally BetL10 2/10 Brock Bowerso0.5 Anytime TD+100 BetMGML10 6/10 Cody Whiteo0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL10 2/10 Connor Heywardo0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 2/10 Dareke Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Deven Thompkinso0.5 Anytime TD+2000 bet365L10 0/10 Dont'e Thornton Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+850 BetMGML10 0/10 Dylan Laubeo0.5 Anytime TD+525 Bally BetL10 1/10 Ian Thomaso0.5 Anytime TD+1800 BovadaL10 1/10 Jalen Nailoro0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Kirk Cousinso0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Malik Bensono0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Michael Mayero0.5 Anytime TD+320 BetMGML10 1/10 Mike Washington Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL5 1/5 Tre Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+285 BovadaL10 1/10
3	Dropbacks / game	44.6	+19.3%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso36.5 Passing Attempts−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
4	Target share · RB	22.1%	+4.0 pp
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo3.5 Receptions−104 betPARXL10 4/10 Ashton Jeantyo24.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
4	Rec yards / game · WR	187.4	+25.0%
Supports OVER Tre Tuckero39.5 Rec Yards−105 bet365L10 6/10
4	Dropback success rate	50.7%	+4.9 pp
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso243.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
5	Dropback explosive rate	10.3%	+2.1 pp
5	Dropback EPA / play	+0.226	+0.16
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso243.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
6	Rush success rate	44.1%	+4.1 pp
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5 Kirk Cousinso1.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 1/10
7	QB completion rate	66.7%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso22.5 Completions+104 betPARXL10 2/10
8	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.024	+0.07
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5
10	Rec yards / game · TE	60.0	+12.2%
Supports OVER Brock Bowerso79.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Michael Mayero27.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
12	RB carries / game	23.6	+6.9%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo14.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 7/10 Mike Washington Jr.o4.5 Rushing Attempts+115 bet365L5 3/5
12	QB pass yards / attempt	7.36	+3.7%
Supports OVER Kirk Cousinso243.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 4/10
14	Receptions / game · TE	5.6	+3.0%
No lean at 14 of 32 Brock Bowers6.5 Receptionso −115 · u +105L10 3/10 over Michael Mayer2.5 Receptionso −162 · u +135L10 6/10 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.4%	0.0 pp
16	Target share · WR	58.3%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Tre Tucker3.5 Receptionso −110 · u −105L10 6/10 over Tre Tucker39.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −115L10 6/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · TE	1.00	−18.1%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brock Bowers0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 6/10 over Ian Thomas0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L10 1/10 over Michael Mayer0.5 Anytime TDo +320L10 1/10 over
19	RB rush yards / game	86.4	−5.3%
No lean at 19 of 32 Ashton Jeanty54.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 6/10 over Mike Washington Jr.16.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L5 3/5 over
T22	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.20	−61.0%
26	RB yards / carry	3.66	−11.0%
Supports UNDER Ashton Jeantyu54.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Mike Washington Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL5 2/5
29	Target share · TE	19.6%	−4.3 pp
Supports UNDER Brock Bowersu6.5 Receptions+105 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru2.5 Receptions+135 bet365L10 4/10 Brock Bowersu79.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru27.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

LV defense allowsWhat Buffalo sees

17 games

LV funnels toward WR targets: tied for 4th-most allowed (61.5%). Offenses pass 1.6 pp less often than expected against LV.

LV allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T3	QB completion rate	68.5%	+4.2 pp
Supports OVER Josh Alleno20.5 Completions−119 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
3	RZ targets / game · WR	3.18	+33.9%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+205 BovadaL10 5/10 Greg Dortcho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BovadaL10 4/10 Joshua Palmero0.5 Anytime TD+475 BetMGML10 2/10 Keon Colemano0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 3/10 Khalil Shakiro0.5 Anytime TD+240 BetMGML10 0/10 Skyler Bello0.5 Anytime TD+650 Bally BetL1 0/1 Trent Sherfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 0/10
T4	Target share · WR	61.5%	+3.5 pp
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo3.5 Receptions−132 betPARXL10 6/10 DJ Mooreo49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T4	Receptions / game · WR	12.3	+12.0%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo3.5 Receptions−132 betPARXL10 6/10
5	RB carries / game	24.4	+11.7%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo18.5 Rushing Attempts−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
5	Red-zone trips / game	3.76	+17.4%
Supports OVER Dalton Kincaido0.5 Anytime TD+195 Bally BetL10 3/10 Dawson Knoxo0.5 Anytime TD+600 BovadaL10 2/10 DJ Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+205 BovadaL10 5/10 Greg Dortcho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BovadaL10 4/10 Jackson Haweso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL10 0/10 James Cook IIIo0.5 Anytime TD−155 BetMGML10 5/10 Josh Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−145 BetMGML10 7/10 Joshua Palmero0.5 Anytime TD+475 BetMGML10 2/10 Keleki Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+1800 bet365L5 0/5 Keon Colemano0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 3/10 Khalil Shakiro0.5 Anytime TD+240 BetMGML10 0/10 Ray Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+950 CourtsideL10 1/10 Skyler Bello0.5 Anytime TD+650 Bally BetL1 0/1 Trent Sherfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 0/10 Ty Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 2/10
10	Dropback EPA / play	+0.099	+0.06
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.00	+11.7%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo0.5 Anytime TD−155 BetMGML10 5/10 Ray Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+950 CourtsideL10 1/10 Ty Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 2/10
10	Offensive plays faced / game	62.0	+2.4%
Supports OVER Josh Alleno30.5 Passing Attempts−115 BetMGML10 5/10
11	Dropback success rate	47.8%	+2.2 pp
Supports OVER Josh Alleno239.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T11	Receptions / game · RB	4.6	+7.3%
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo1.5 Receptions+120 betPARXL10 4/10 Ty Johnsono1.5 Receptions−155 Hard Rock BetL10 9/10
T12	Target share · RB	18.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo1.5 Receptions+120 betPARXL10 4/10 Ty Johnsono1.5 Receptions−155 Hard Rock BetL10 9/10 Ty Johnsono15.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 James Cook IIIo7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
13	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.040	+0.01
Supports OVER James Cook IIIo91.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
13	Rec yards / game · WR	147.2	+5.5%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
13	QB completions / game	21.1	+2.4%
Supports OVER Josh Alleno20.5 Completions−119 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER DJ Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+205 BovadaL10 5/10 Greg Dortcho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BovadaL10 4/10 Joshua Palmero0.5 Anytime TD+475 BetMGML10 2/10 Keon Colemano0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 3/10 Khalil Shakiro0.5 Anytime TD+240 BetMGML10 0/10 Skyler Bello0.5 Anytime TD+650 Bally BetL1 0/1 Trent Sherfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 0/10
14	RB rush yards / game	99.1	+4.4%
No lean at 14 of 32 James Cook III91.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over
14	Rush explosive rate	10.0%	+0.1 pp
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Dalton Kincaid0.5 Anytime TDo +195L10 3/10 over Dawson Knox0.5 Anytime TDo +600L10 2/10 over Jackson Hawes0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L10 0/10 over Keleki Latu0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L5 0/5 over
17	Rush success rate	41.3%	−0.1 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 James Cook III91.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over Josh Allen33.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over
18	QB pass yards / attempt	6.95	−1.0%
No lean at 18 of 32 Josh Allen239.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −114L10 6/10 over
20	QB pass yards / game	214.3	−4.7%
Supports UNDER Josh Allenu239.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 4/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.06	−13.4%
21	Rec yards / game · RB	27.9	−11.9%
Supports UNDER Ty Johnsonu15.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 4/10 James Cook IIIu7.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T21	RZ targets / game · RB	0.59	−21.7%
22	QB pass attempts / game	30.8	−3.9%
Supports UNDER Josh Allenu30.5 Passing Attempts−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
22	Dropbacks / game	34.9	−4.1%
Supports UNDER Josh Allenu30.5 Passing Attempts−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
23	RB yards / carry	4.06	−6.3%
Supports UNDER James Cook IIIu91.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−22.7%
Supports UNDER Dalton Kincaidu4.5 Receptions−125 FanDuelL10 7/10
30	Target share · TE	19.4%	−4.5 pp
Supports UNDER Dalton Kincaidu4.5 Receptions−125 FanDuelL10 7/10 Dalton Kincaidu47.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10
30	Dropback explosive rate	6.2%	−1.9 pp
30	Rec yards / game · TE	38.6	−27.6%
Supports UNDER Dalton Kincaidu47.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10

BUF defense allowsWhat Las Vegas sees

17 games

BUF funnels toward RB targets: 2nd-most allowed (20.7%). Offenses pass 7.3 pp less often than expected against BUF.

BUF allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Target share · RB	20.7%	+2.8 pp
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo3.5 Receptions−104 betPARXL10 4/10 Ashton Jeantyo24.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
2	RB rushing EPA / play	+0.042	+0.09
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5
3	RB yards / carry	4.99	+15.1%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5
3	Rush explosive rate	13.3%	+3.3 pp
3	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.24	+38.5%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo0.5 Anytime TD−129 Bally BetL10 2/10 Connor Heywardo0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 2/10 Dylan Laubeo0.5 Anytime TD+525 Bally BetL10 1/10 Mike Washington Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL5 1/5
T4	Target share · WR	61.5%	+3.5 pp
Supports OVER Tre Tuckero3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 6/10 Tre Tuckero39.5 Rec Yards−105 bet365L10 6/10
6	RB rush yards / game	107.7	+13.4%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5
12	Rush success rate	43.1%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo54.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Mike Washington Jr.o16.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL5 3/5 Kirk Cousinso1.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 1/10
T12	RZ targets / game · RB	0.82	+8.9%
Supports OVER Ashton Jeantyo0.5 Anytime TD−129 Bally BetL10 2/10 Connor Heywardo0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 2/10 Dylan Laubeo0.5 Anytime TD+525 Bally BetL10 1/10 Mike Washington Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL5 1/5
16	RB carries / game	21.6	−1.2%
No lean at 16 of 32 Ashton Jeanty14.5 Rushing Attemptso −105 · u −107L10 7/10 over Mike Washington Jr.4.5 Rushing Attemptso +115 · u −145L5 3/5 over
T16	RZ targets / game · TE	1.18	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brock Bowers0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 6/10 over Ian Thomas0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L10 1/10 over Michael Mayer0.5 Anytime TDo +320L10 1/10 over
T22	Receptions / game · RB	3.9	−7.9%
Supports UNDER Ashton Jeantyu3.5 Receptions−119 DraftKingsL10 6/10
23	Dropback explosive rate	7.3%	−0.8 pp
T23	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.76	−14.5%
25	Dropback EPA / play	−0.068	−0.11
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu243.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.29	−33.6%
T26	Red-zone trips / game	2.76	−13.8%
T27	Rec yards / game · RB	24.6	−22.3%
Supports UNDER Ashton Jeantyu24.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 5/10
27	Dropback success rate	41.9%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu243.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10
28	Receptions / game · WR	9.7	−12.5%
Supports UNDER Tre Tuckeru3.5 Receptions−105 betPARXL10 4/10
29	Rec yards / game · WR	116.0	−16.9%
Supports UNDER Tre Tuckeru39.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 4/10
29	QB completion rate	59.7%	−4.6 pp
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu22.5 Completions−105 BovadaL10 8/10
29	QB pass yards / attempt	6.24	−11.2%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu243.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10
31	QB pass attempts / game	27.3	−14.9%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu36.5 Passing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 8/10
T31	RZ targets / game · WR	1.59	−33.0%
31	Dropbacks / game	31.5	−13.7%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu36.5 Passing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 8/10
32	Target share · TE	17.5%	−6.4 pp
Supports UNDER Brock Bowersu6.5 Receptions+105 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru2.5 Receptions+135 bet365L10 4/10 Brock Bowersu79.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru27.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
32	QB completions / game	16.3	−21.0%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu22.5 Completions−105 BovadaL10 8/10
32	Rec yards / game · TE	29.6	−44.4%
Supports UNDER Brock Bowersu79.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru27.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
32	QB pass yards / game	170.2	−24.3%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu243.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10
32	Receptions / game · TE	2.7	−48.4%
Supports UNDER Brock Bowersu6.5 Receptions+105 theScore BetL10 7/10 Michael Mayeru2.5 Receptions+135 bet365L10 4/10
32	Offensive plays faced / game	55.9	−7.7%
Supports UNDER Kirk Cousinsu36.5 Passing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 8/10