Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · NFL

HOU @ JAX

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars · 9:30 AM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 12, 2026 · 4–5 games per defense

JAX defense allowsWhat Houston sees

5 games

JAX funnels toward QB passing yards: 3rd-most allowed (277.2). Offenses pass 0.6 pp less often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rec yards / game · WR	203.8	+36.0%
Supports OVER Nico Collinso71.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 5/10 Kayshon Boutteo24.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o21.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
T2	Receptions / game · RB	6.0	+34.9%
Supports OVER Woody Markso2.5 Receptions−109 betPARXL10 2/10
3	QB pass yards / game	277.2	+18.3%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo256.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
6	Target share · WR	62.6%	+4.7 pp
Supports OVER Nico Collinso5.5 Receptions−130 theScore BetL10 2/10 Kayshon Boutteo2.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 5/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o1.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 5/10 Nico Collinso71.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 5/10 Kayshon Boutteo24.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o21.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
6	QB completions / game	23.2	+8.9%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo22.5 Completions+101 DraftKingsL10 4/10
7	Target share · RB	21.1%	+2.9 pp
Supports OVER Woody Markso2.5 Receptions−109 betPARXL10 2/10 Woody Markso14.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
T7	QB pass attempts / game	35.6	+7.4%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo35.5 Passing Attempts−110 betPARXL10 3/10
7	Receptions / game · WR	13.6	+19.3%
Supports OVER Nico Collinso5.5 Receptions−130 theScore BetL10 2/10 Kayshon Boutteo2.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 5/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o1.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 5/10
T7	RZ targets / game · WR	2.80	+12.4%
Supports OVER Jaylin Noelo0.5 Anytime TD+750 CourtsideL10 2/10 Kayshon Boutteo0.5 Anytime TD+575 bet365L10 1/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 FanDuelL10 3/10 Nico Collinso0.5 Anytime TD+180 Bally BetL10 4/10 Xavier Hutchinsono0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 0/10
7	Dropbacks / game	39.6	+5.9%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo35.5 Passing Attempts−110 betPARXL10 3/10
8	Rec yards / game · RB	39.6	+28.5%
Supports OVER Woody Markso14.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
8	QB pass yards / attempt	7.79	+9.7%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo256.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
T12	QB completion rate	65.2%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo22.5 Completions+101 DraftKingsL10 4/10
14	Dropback success rate	46.0%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 C.J. Stroud256.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −114L10 4/10 over
15	Dropback explosive rate	8.6%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 C.J. Stroud38.5 Longest Completiono −109 · u −115L10 4/10 over
T16	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.40	−22.0%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brevin Jordan0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L4 0/4 over Cade Stover0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L10 0/10 over Dalton Schultz0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 1/10 over Foster Moreau0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L10 1/10 over Marlin Klein0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L3 0/3 over
T19	Red-zone trips / game	3.00	−7.2%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Brevin Jordan0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L4 0/4 over C.J. Stroud0.5 Anytime TDo +850L10 2/10 over Cade Stover0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L10 0/10 over Dalton Schultz0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 1/10 over Dare Ogunbowale0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 1/10 over David Montgomery0.5 Anytime TDo +170L10 3/10 over Foster Moreau0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L10 1/10 over Jawhar Jordan0.5 Anytime TDo +750L4 0/4 over Jaylin Noel0.5 Anytime TDo +750L10 2/10 over Kayshon Boutte0.5 Anytime TDo +575L10 1/10 over Marlin Klein0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L3 0/3 over Marvin Harrison Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +500L10 3/10 over Nico Collins0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 4/10 over Woody Marks0.5 Anytime TDo +125L10 3/10 over Xavier Hutchinson0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 0/10 over
T23	RZ targets / game · RB	0.40	−45.3%
T24	Offensive plays faced / game	59.0	−3.9%
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu35.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 7/10
27	Dropback EPA / play	−0.024	−0.09
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu256.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
T27	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.40	−54.6%
T27	RZ targets / game · TE	0.60	−50.8%
28	Rec yards / game · TE	33.8	−36.8%
Supports UNDER Dalton Schultzu30.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 5/10
T28	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.40	−56.8%
T29	Receptions / game · TE	3.6	−33.8%
Supports UNDER Dalton Schultzu3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 6/10
31	Rush success rate	33.0%	−7.0 pp
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10 C.J. Stroudu9.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10
31	Rush explosive rate	5.2%	−4.3 pp
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu10.5 Longest Rush−110 FliffL10 5/10 C.J. Stroudu7.5 Longest Rush−105 DraftKingsL10 5/10
32	Target share · TE	16.4%	−7.5 pp
Supports UNDER Dalton Schultzu3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 6/10 Dalton Schultzu30.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 5/10
32	RB carries / game	16.6	−24.8%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu14.5 Rushing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10
32	RB yards / carry	2.53	−38.5%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
32	RB rush yards / game	42.0	−54.0%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
32	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.263	−0.17
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10

HOU defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

5 games

HOU funnels toward WR targets: 1st-most allowed (65.3%). Offenses pass 1.5 pp more often than expected against HOU.

HOU allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Target share · WR	65.3%	+7.4 pp
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions−117 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+136 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 8/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L5 3/5 Parker Washingtono61.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso34.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 7/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o18.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Josh Camerono15.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL5 3/5
3	Rec yards / game · WR	193.4	+29.0%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono61.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso34.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 7/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o18.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Josh Camerono15.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL5 3/5
T3	Receptions / game · WR	14.6	+28.0%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions−117 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+136 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 8/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L5 3/5
5	QB completions / game	23.8	+11.7%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo19.5 Completions−108 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
6	QB completion rate	67.2%	+2.9 pp
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo19.5 Completions−108 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
6	Dropback explosive rate	9.5%	+1.2 pp
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo37.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
6	Dropbacks / game	40.2	+7.5%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo31.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L10 4/10
7	QB pass yards / game	256.2	+9.3%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T7	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.20	+29.5%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+550 Bally BetL10 3/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Bally Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+350 bet365L10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL5 2/5 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+185 BovadaL10 6/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BetMGML10 1/10
T7	RZ targets / game · WR	2.80	+12.4%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+550 Bally BetL10 3/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Bally Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+350 bet365L10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL5 2/5 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+185 BovadaL10 6/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+2000 BetMGML10 1/10
9	QB pass attempts / game	35.4	+6.8%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo31.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L10 4/10
T11	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+7.9%
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno1.5 Receptions−112 betPARXL10 4/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 4/10
T12	Offensive plays faced / game	62.4	+1.6%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo31.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L10 4/10
15	QB pass yards / attempt	7.24	+2.0%
No lean at 15 of 32 Trevor Lawrence227.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 6/10 over
18	Target share · RB	17.3%	−0.8 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten1.5 Receptionso −112 · u +108L10 4/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Receptionso +125 · u −160L10 4/10 over Bhayshul Tuten8.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −106L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Rec Yardso +155 · u −200L10 4/10 over
18	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.108	−0.02
No lean at 18 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten63.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.16.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −108L10 8/10 over
19	Dropback EPA / play	+0.011	−0.06
No lean at 19 of 32 Trevor Lawrence227.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 6/10 over
20	Rush success rate	38.7%	−1.3 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Trevor Lawrenceu13.5 Rush Yards−114 betPARXL10 4/10
21	Rec yards / game · TE	45.8	−14.4%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu37.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Nate Boerkircheru5.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L5 2/5
22	RB carries / game	20.6	−6.7%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rushing Attempts+110 bet365L10 8/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u4.5 Rushing Attempts−110 bet365L10 1/10
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.60	−31.9%
T23	RZ targets / game · RB	0.40	−45.3%
25	Receptions / game · TE	4.4	−19.0%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+120 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+155 bet365L5 2/5
T26	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.00	−100.0%
T27	Red-zone trips / game	2.40	−25.7%
29	RB yards / carry	3.50	−14.9%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10
29	RB rush yards / game	72.0	−21.1%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10
29	Rush explosive rate	7.2%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu13.5 Longest Rush−105 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Trevor Lawrenceu9.5 Longest Rush−113 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u8.5 Longest Rush−130 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
30	Rec yards / game · RB	17.0	−44.8%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu8.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Rec Yards−200 bet365L10 6/10
31	Target share · TE	17.3%	−6.6 pp
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+120 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+155 bet365L5 2/5 Brenton Strangeu37.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Nate Boerkircheru5.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L5 2/5
31	Dropback success rate	39.3%	−6.4 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
32	RZ targets / game · TE	0.20	−83.6%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

JAX defense allowsWhat Houston sees

17 games

JAX leans toward QB passing yards: 14th-most allowed (231.3). Offenses pass 1.7 pp more often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB pass attempts / game	37.4	+16.5%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo35.5 Passing Attempts−110 betPARXL10 3/10
1	Dropbacks / game	41.5	+13.9%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo35.5 Passing Attempts−110 betPARXL10 3/10
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER C.J. Stroudo22.5 Completions+101 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T4	Receptions / game · WR	12.3	+12.0%
Supports OVER Nico Collinso5.5 Receptions−130 theScore BetL10 2/10 Kayshon Boutteo2.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 5/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o1.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 5/10
T4	RZ targets / game · WR	3.06	+28.9%
Supports OVER Jaylin Noelo0.5 Anytime TD+750 CourtsideL10 2/10 Kayshon Boutteo0.5 Anytime TD+575 bet365L10 1/10 Marvin Harrison Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+500 FanDuelL10 3/10 Nico Collinso0.5 Anytime TD+180 Bally BetL10 4/10 Xavier Hutchinsono0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 0/10
6	Receptions / game · TE	6.1	+16.5%
Supports OVER Dalton Schultzo3.5 Receptions+107 DraftKingsL10 4/10
8	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+12.6%
Supports OVER Woody Markso2.5 Receptions−109 betPARXL10 2/10
10	Rec yards / game · TE	59.1	+10.8%
Supports OVER Dalton Schultzo30.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.47	+7.7%
Supports OVER Brevin Jordano0.5 Anytime TD+2200 BovadaL4 0/4 Cade Stovero0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL10 0/10 Dalton Schultzo0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10 Foster Moreauo0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanDuelL10 1/10 Marlin Kleino0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL3 0/3
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Brevin Jordano0.5 Anytime TD+2200 BovadaL4 0/4 Cade Stovero0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL10 0/10 Dalton Schultzo0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10 Foster Moreauo0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanDuelL10 1/10 Marlin Kleino0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL3 0/3
12	Rec yards / game · RB	33.3	+5.2%
Supports OVER Woody Markso14.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
14	QB pass yards / game	231.3	+2.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 C.J. Stroud256.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −114L10 4/10 over
15	Target share · WR	58.5%	+0.5 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Nico Collins5.5 Receptionso −130 · u +115L10 2/10 over Kayshon Boutte2.5 Receptionso +125 · u −152L10 5/10 over Marvin Harrison Jr.1.5 Receptionso −140 · u +148L10 5/10 over Nico Collins71.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −115L10 5/10 over Kayshon Boutte24.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −105L10 5/10 over Marvin Harrison Jr.21.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −117L10 6/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · WR	139.0	−0.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Nico Collins71.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −115L10 5/10 over Kayshon Boutte24.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −105L10 5/10 over Marvin Harrison Jr.21.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −117L10 6/10 over
17	Target share · TE	24.2%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Dalton Schultz3.5 Receptionso +107 · u −115L10 4/10 over Dalton Schultz30.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 5/10 over
17	Offensive plays faced / game	60.6	+0.1%
No lean at 17 of 32 C.J. Stroud35.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −105L10 3/10 over
21	Target share · RB	17.2%	−0.7 pp
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu2.5 Receptions−105 BovadaL10 8/10 Woody Marksu14.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 7/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.82	−7.8%
22	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.086	−0.03
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
23	Dropback success rate	43.2%	−2.4 pp
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu256.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
T25	QB completion rate	62.4%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu22.5 Completions−125 BetMGML10 6/10
T25	RZ targets / game · RB	0.53	−29.6%
T26	Red-zone trips / game	2.76	−13.8%
27	Dropback explosive rate	6.7%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu38.5 Longest Completion−115 bet365L10 6/10
28	Rush explosive rate	7.7%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu10.5 Longest Rush−110 FliffL10 5/10 C.J. Stroudu7.5 Longest Rush−105 DraftKingsL10 5/10
28	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.65	−27.4%
29	Rush success rate	37.0%	−4.4 pp
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10 C.J. Stroudu9.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10
29	RB yards / carry	3.87	−10.7%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10
30	QB pass yards / attempt	6.19	−11.8%
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu256.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
30	Dropback EPA / play	−0.113	−0.16
Supports UNDER C.J. Stroudu256.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
32	RB carries / game	17.6	−19.5%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu14.5 Rushing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10
32	RB rush yards / game	68.0	−28.3%
Supports UNDER Woody Marksu47.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 6/10

HOU defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

17 games

HOU leans toward RB targets: 16th-most allowed (18.0%). Offenses pass 2.6 pp less often than expected against HOU.

HOU allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.47	+7.7%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+350 BovadaL10 3/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BovadaL5 0/5 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+350 BovadaL10 3/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BovadaL5 0/5 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
14	Rec yards / game · RB	31.8	+0.6%
No lean at 14 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten8.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −106L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Rec Yardso +155 · u −200L10 4/10 over
15	Dropbacks / game	36.6	+0.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Trevor Lawrence31.5 Passing Attemptso −115 · u +100L10 4/10 over
16	Target share · RB	18.0%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten1.5 Receptionso −112 · u +108L10 4/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Receptionso +125 · u −160L10 4/10 over Bhayshul Tuten8.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −106L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Rec Yardso +155 · u −200L10 4/10 over
16	Dropback explosive rate	8.2%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Trevor Lawrence37.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −110L10 3/10 over
17	QB pass attempts / game	31.6	−1.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Trevor Lawrence31.5 Passing Attemptso −115 · u +100L10 4/10 over
17	Receptions / game · RB	4.2	−0.9%
No lean at 17 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten1.5 Receptionso −112 · u +108L10 4/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Receptionso +125 · u −160L10 4/10 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.82	−8.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Ameer Abdullah0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 0/10 over Bhayshul Tuten0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +460L10 5/10 over LeQuint Allen Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1400L10 0/10 over
18	Target share · TE	24.0%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Brenton Strange3.5 Receptionso −137 · u +120L10 4/10 over Nate Boerkircher0.5 Receptionso −174 · u +155L5 3/5 over Brenton Strange37.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −114L10 5/10 over Nate Boerkircher5.5 Rec Yardso +100 · u −110L5 3/5 over
T19	Target share · WR	57.8%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Parker Washington4.5 Receptionso −117 · u +100L10 7/10 over Jakobi Meyers3.5 Receptionso +136 · u −152L10 5/10 over Brian Thomas Jr.1.5 Receptionso −115 · u +105L10 8/10 over Josh Cameron1.5 Receptionso −105 · u +100L5 3/5 over Parker Washington61.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −113L10 7/10 over Jakobi Meyers34.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −113L10 7/10 over Brian Thomas Jr.18.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −111L10 6/10 over Josh Cameron15.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L5 3/5 over
T20	Receptions / game · TE	5.1	−2.5%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+120 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+155 bet365L5 2/5
22	Rec yards / game · WR	128.2	−8.1%
Supports UNDER Parker Washingtonu61.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 3/10 Jakobi Meyersu34.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 3/10 Brian Thomas Jr.u18.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Josh Cameronu15.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL5 2/5
T25	Rec yards / game · TE	45.6	−14.5%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu37.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Nate Boerkircheru5.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L5 2/5
26	QB completions / game	18.8	−9.0%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu19.5 Completions+102 betPARXL10 5/10
26	QB pass yards / game	205.1	−8.9%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
26	QB pass yards / attempt	6.48	−7.7%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
27	RB carries / game	19.7	−9.8%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rushing Attempts+110 bet365L10 8/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u4.5 Rushing Attempts−110 bet365L10 1/10
T27	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.59	−33.7%
28	Rush success rate	37.3%	−4.1 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Trevor Lawrenceu13.5 Rush Yards−114 betPARXL10 4/10
T28	RZ targets / game · WR	1.76	−25.9%
28	Offensive plays faced / game	57.8	−4.6%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 6/10
29	RB rush yards / game	73.5	−22.5%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10
29	Receptions / game · WR	9.3	−15.2%
Supports UNDER Parker Washingtonu4.5 Receptions+100 BetMGML10 3/10 Jakobi Meyersu3.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 5/10 Brian Thomas Jr.u1.5 Receptions+105 BovadaL10 2/10 Josh Cameronu1.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL5 2/5
30	QB completion rate	59.3%	−5.0 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu19.5 Completions+102 betPARXL10 5/10
30	Red-zone trips / game	2.59	−19.1%
31	RB yards / carry	3.73	−14.0%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10
31	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.115	−0.06
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu63.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u16.5 Rush Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 2/10
31	Rush explosive rate	5.6%	−4.3 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu13.5 Longest Rush−105 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Trevor Lawrenceu9.5 Longest Rush−113 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u8.5 Longest Rush−130 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
31	Dropback success rate	38.8%	−6.8 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T31	RZ targets / game · RB	0.35	−53.5%
32	Dropback EPA / play	−0.131	−0.17
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10