Thu, Nov 5, 2026 · NFL

JAX @ BAL

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens · 8:15 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Nov 2, 2026 · 7–8 games per defense

BAL defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

8 games

BAL funnels toward WR targets: 5th-most allowed (61.8%). Offenses pass 0.7 pp less often than expected against BAL.

BAL allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
5	Target share · WR	61.8%	+4.1 pp
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions+175 CourtsideL10 6/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−123 BetOnline.agL7 3/7 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions+200 bet365L10 5/10 Parker Washingtono63.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso40.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Josh Camerono14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL7 3/7 Brian Thomas Jr.o10.5 Rec Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Travis Huntero8.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
5	Rec yards / game · WR	177.6	+20.9%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono63.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso40.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Josh Camerono14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL7 3/7 Brian Thomas Jr.o10.5 Rec Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Travis Huntero8.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
T5	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.75	+48.7%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML7 2/7 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL5 0/5
7	Receptions / game · WR	12.8	+12.3%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions+175 CourtsideL10 6/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−123 BetOnline.agL7 3/7 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions+200 bet365L10 5/10
12	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.081	+0.01
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 7/10
12	QB completion rate	65.5%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo19.5 Completions−106 betPARXL10 4/10
T12	RZ targets / game · TE	1.38	+7.8%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML7 2/7 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL5 0/5
T12	Red-zone trips / game	3.50	+6.5%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD+110 BovadaL10 6/10 Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+600 BetMGML10 3/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+150 BetMGML10 5/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL7 2/7 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 Bally BetL10 0/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML7 2/7 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+135 BetMGML10 5/10 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL5 0/5 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+650 BetMGML10 2/10 Trevor Lawrenceo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML10 1/10
13	Target share · RB	18.3%	+0.3 pp
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno2.5 Receptions+145 FanaticsL10 1/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 4/10 Bhayshul Tuteno12.5 Rec Yards−120 BetMGML10 7/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
13	QB pass yards / attempt	7.41	+4.7%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo237.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
14	Rush success rate	42.1%	+1.6 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten67.5 Rush Yardso −115 · u −115L10 4/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.28.5 Rush Yardso −115 · u −110L10 7/10 over Trevor Lawrence12.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
14	QB pass yards / game	241.9	+3.3%
No lean at 14 of 32 Trevor Lawrence237.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
T14	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−4.0%
No lean at 14 (tied) of 32 Ameer Abdullah0.5 Anytime TDo +1350L10 0/10 over Bhayshul Tuten0.5 Anytime TDo +110L10 6/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +150L10 5/10 over LeQuint Allen Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L10 0/10 over
15	Dropback success rate	45.9%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Trevor Lawrence237.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
15	Dropbacks / game	37.9	+1.6%
No lean at 15 of 32 Trevor Lawrence32.5 Passing Attemptso +100 · u −127L10 3/10 over
16	Dropback EPA / play	+0.057	0.00
No lean at 16 of 32 Trevor Lawrence237.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
16	Offensive plays faced / game	62.3	+1.0%
No lean at 16 of 32 Trevor Lawrence32.5 Passing Attemptso +100 · u −127L10 3/10 over
T17	Receptions / game · RB	4.3	−4.5%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Bhayshul Tuten2.5 Receptionso +145 · u −150L10 1/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Receptionso −145 · u +115L10 4/10 over
T17	RZ targets / game · WR	2.50	−1.8%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Brian Thomas Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +600L10 3/10 over CJ Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +2250 Jakobi Meyers0.5 Anytime TDo +300L10 2/10 over Josh Cameron0.5 Anytime TDo +600L7 2/7 over Parker Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 5/10 over Travis Hunter0.5 Anytime TDo +650L10 2/10 over
18	QB completions / game	21.4	+0.4%
No lean at 18 of 32 Trevor Lawrence19.5 Completionso −106 · u −113L10 4/10 over
18	Dropback explosive rate	8.3%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Trevor Lawrence38.5 Longest Completiono −109 · u −119L10 2/10 over
20	QB pass attempts / game	32.6	−1.6%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu32.5 Passing Attempts−127 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T20	RB carries / game	22.0	−2.0%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rushing Attempts+100 bet365L10 8/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u7.5 Rushing Attempts−135 FliffL10 5/10
T20	RB rush yards / game	82.3	−11.9%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u28.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.75	−15.9%
22	Rec yards / game · TE	46.5	−15.8%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu34.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Nate Boerkircheru7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7
23	RB yards / carry	3.74	−9.5%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u28.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
28	Target share · TE	19.9%	−4.4 pp
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+172 FanDuelL7 2/7 Brenton Strangeu34.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Nate Boerkircheru7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7
28	Receptions / game · TE	4.4	−19.9%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+172 FanDuelL7 2/7
T28	RZ targets / game · RB	0.38	−48.6%
29	Rush explosive rate	7.2%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu14.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u10.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 4/10 Trevor Lawrenceu7.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 4/10
31	Rec yards / game · RB	17.8	−44.6%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu12.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 3/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10

JAX defense allowsWhat Baltimore sees

7 games

JAX funnels toward QB passing yards: 4th-most allowed (264.3). Offenses pass 0.6 pp less often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Rec yards / game · WR	195.7	+33.2%
Supports OVER Zay Flowerso44.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 8/10 Ja'Kobi Laneo16.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL4 2/4 Rashod Batemano16.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
4	QB pass yards / game	264.3	+12.8%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo167.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L1 0/1
5	QB completion rate	66.5%	+2.3 pp
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo14.5 Completions−125 bet365L1 0/1
5	Receptions / game · WR	13.6	+19.6%
Supports OVER Zay Flowerso3.5 Receptions−142 CourtsideL10 9/10 Ja'Kobi Laneo1.5 Receptions−115 CourtsideL4 2/4 Rashod Batemano1.5 Receptions−106 betPARXL10 5/10
T6	Receptions / game · RB	5.3	+18.9%
Supports OVER Justice Hillo2.5 Receptions+115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 3/10
T6	RZ targets / game · WR	3.00	+17.8%
Supports OVER Devontez Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BetMGML10 2/10 Elijah Sarratto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BovadaL1 0/1 Ja'Kobi Laneo0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML4 0/4 LaJohntay Westero0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7 Rashod Batemano0.5 Anytime TD+850 FanDuelL10 1/10 Zay Flowerso0.5 Anytime TD+330 FanaticsL10 6/10
7	Target share · WR	60.5%	+2.8 pp
Supports OVER Zay Flowerso3.5 Receptions−142 CourtsideL10 9/10 Ja'Kobi Laneo1.5 Receptions−115 CourtsideL4 2/4 Rashod Batemano1.5 Receptions−106 betPARXL10 5/10 Zay Flowerso44.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 8/10 Ja'Kobi Laneo16.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL4 2/4 Rashod Batemano16.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
7	QB pass yards / attempt	7.64	+7.9%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo167.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L1 0/1
8	QB completions / game	23.0	+8.1%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo14.5 Completions−125 bet365L1 0/1
10	Target share · RB	19.3%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Justice Hillo2.5 Receptions+115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 3/10 Justice Hillo12.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo7.5 Rec Yards−102 FanDuelL10 3/10
10	Rec yards / game · RB	36.3	+13.2%
Supports OVER Justice Hillo12.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo7.5 Rec Yards−102 FanDuelL10 3/10
10	Dropbacks / game	38.6	+3.5%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL1 0/1
T11	QB pass attempts / game	34.6	+4.3%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL1 0/1
T14	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.57	+13.0%
No lean at 14 (tied) of 32 Josh Cuevas0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L8 1/8 over Mark Andrews0.5 Anytime TDo +500L10 1/10 over Nick Vannett0.5 Anytime TDo +4500L10 2/10 over
17	Dropback success rate	45.2%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Joe Fagnano167.5 Passing Yardso −115 · u −111L1 0/1 over
17	RZ targets / game · TE	1.14	−10.9%
No lean at 17 of 32 Josh Cuevas0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L8 1/8 over Mark Andrews0.5 Anytime TDo +500L10 1/10 over Nick Vannett0.5 Anytime TDo +4500L10 2/10 over
19	Red-zone trips / game	3.14	−4.5%
No lean at 19 of 32 Derrick Henry0.5 Anytime TDo −105L10 7/10 over Devontez Walker0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L10 2/10 over Elijah Sarratt0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L1 0/1 over Ja'Kobi Lane0.5 Anytime TDo +700L4 0/4 over Joe Fagnano0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L1 0/1 over Josh Cuevas0.5 Anytime TDo +2330L8 1/8 over Justice Hill0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 1/10 over LaJohntay Wester0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L7 0/7 over Mark Andrews0.5 Anytime TDo +500L10 1/10 over Nick Vannett0.5 Anytime TDo +4500L10 2/10 over Rasheen Ali0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 1/10 over Rashod Bateman0.5 Anytime TDo +850L10 1/10 over Tyler Huntley0.5 Anytime TDo +525L10 1/10 over Zay Flowers0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 6/10 over
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.8%	−0.3 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou29.5 Longest Completion−115 bet365L1 1/1
24	Offensive plays faced / game	58.9	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou29.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L1 1/1
25	Rush success rate	36.6%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10 Joe Fagnanou13.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L1 1/1
25	Rush explosive rate	7.7%	−1.6 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu14.5 Longest Rush−120 FliffL10 5/10 Joe Fagnanou7.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L1 1/1 Justice Hillu7.5 Longest Rush−120 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.57	−36.1%
27	Target share · TE	20.2%	−4.1 pp
Supports UNDER Mark Andrewsu2.5 Receptions+105 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10 Mark Andrewsu18.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10
27	Dropback EPA / play	−0.050	−0.10
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou167.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL1 1/1
29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−24.3%
Supports UNDER Mark Andrewsu2.5 Receptions+105 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
30	RB yards / carry	3.28	−20.6%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10
30	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.43	−53.1%
30	RZ targets / game · RB	0.29	−60.8%
31	RB carries / game	17.6	−21.8%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu17.5 Rushing Attempts+105 FanaticsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu5.5 Rushing Attempts−120 bet365L10 9/10
32	RB rush yards / game	57.7	−38.2%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10
32	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.223	−0.13
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10
32	Rec yards / game · TE	32.3	−41.5%
Supports UNDER Mark Andrewsu18.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

BAL defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

17 games

BAL funnels toward QB passing yards: 4th-most allowed (259.0). Offenses pass 1.1 pp more often than expected against BAL.

BAL allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB completions / game	23.5	+13.8%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo19.5 Completions−106 betPARXL10 4/10
1	RZ targets / game · RB	1.35	+79.3%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD+110 BovadaL10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+150 BetMGML10 5/10 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 Bally BetL10 0/10
T2	Rec yards / game · RB	43.2	+36.7%
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno12.5 Rec Yards−120 BetMGML10 7/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T2	Receptions / game · RB	5.5	+29.2%
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno2.5 Receptions+145 FanaticsL10 1/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 4/10
2	Receptions / game · WR	12.9	+17.3%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions+175 CourtsideL10 6/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−123 BetOnline.agL7 3/7 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions+200 bet365L10 5/10
2	RZ targets / game · WR	3.41	+43.6%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+600 BetMGML10 3/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL7 2/7 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+135 BetMGML10 5/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+650 BetMGML10 2/10
2	Dropbacks / game	41.0	+12.5%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo32.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 3/10
3	QB pass attempts / game	36.8	+14.7%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo32.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 3/10
3	Rec yards / game · WR	167.6	+20.1%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono63.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso40.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Josh Camerono14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL7 3/7 Brian Thomas Jr.o10.5 Rec Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Travis Huntero8.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
3	Offensive plays faced / game	63.4	+4.6%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo32.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 3/10
4	QB pass yards / game	259.0	+15.1%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo237.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
5	Dropback explosive rate	9.8%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo38.5 Longest Completion−109 DraftKingsL10 2/10
6	Target share · RB	19.7%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno2.5 Receptions+145 FanaticsL10 1/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 4/10 Bhayshul Tuteno12.5 Rec Yards−120 BetMGML10 7/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T6	Red-zone trips / game	3.71	+15.8%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD+110 BovadaL10 6/10 Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+600 BetMGML10 3/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+150 BetMGML10 5/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL7 2/7 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 Bally BetL10 0/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML7 2/7 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+135 BetMGML10 5/10 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL5 0/5 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+650 BetMGML10 2/10 Trevor Lawrenceo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML10 1/10
7	Target share · WR	61.2%	+3.2 pp
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions+175 CourtsideL10 6/10 Josh Camerono1.5 Receptions−123 BetOnline.agL7 3/7 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions+200 bet365L10 5/10 Parker Washingtono63.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso40.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Josh Camerono14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL7 3/7 Brian Thomas Jr.o10.5 Rec Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Travis Huntero8.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML7 2/7 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL5 0/5
12	Rush explosive rate	10.5%	+0.6 pp
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno14.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 4/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o10.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 6/10 Trevor Lawrenceo7.5 Longest Rush−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10
12	Dropback EPA / play	+0.087	+0.04
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo237.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−1.7%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD+110 BovadaL10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+150 BetMGML10 5/10 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 Bally BetL10 0/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+600 BetMGML10 3/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL7 2/7 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+135 BetMGML10 5/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+650 BetMGML10 2/10
16	Dropback success rate	45.9%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Trevor Lawrence237.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
16	QB pass yards / attempt	7.04	+0.3%
No lean at 16 of 32 Trevor Lawrence237.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
18	Rush success rate	41.1%	−0.4 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten67.5 Rush Yardso −115 · u −115L10 4/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.28.5 Rush Yardso −115 · u −110L10 7/10 over Trevor Lawrence12.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
19	QB completion rate	63.8%	−0.5 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Trevor Lawrence19.5 Completionso −106 · u −113L10 4/10 over
20	RB yards / carry	4.18	−3.6%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u28.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
20	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.079	−0.03
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u28.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
23	Rec yards / game · TE	46.7	−12.4%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu34.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Nate Boerkircheru7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7
24	Receptions / game · TE	4.9	−7.1%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+172 FanDuelL7 2/7
26	RB rush yards / game	82.1	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu67.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u28.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.29	−33.6%
T28	RB carries / game	19.6	−10.1%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rushing Attempts+100 bet365L10 8/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u7.5 Rushing Attempts−135 FliffL10 5/10
31	Target share · TE	19.0%	−4.9 pp
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu3.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 6/10 Nate Boerkircheru0.5 Receptions+172 FanDuelL7 2/7 Brenton Strangeu34.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Nate Boerkircheru7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7

JAX defense allowsWhat Baltimore sees

17 games

JAX leans toward QB passing yards: 14th-most allowed (231.3). Offenses pass 1.7 pp more often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB pass attempts / game	37.4	+16.5%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL1 0/1
1	Dropbacks / game	41.5	+13.9%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL1 0/1
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER Joe Fagnanoo14.5 Completions−125 bet365L1 0/1
T4	Receptions / game · WR	12.3	+12.0%
Supports OVER Zay Flowerso3.5 Receptions−142 CourtsideL10 9/10 Ja'Kobi Laneo1.5 Receptions−115 CourtsideL4 2/4 Rashod Batemano1.5 Receptions−106 betPARXL10 5/10
T4	RZ targets / game · WR	3.06	+28.9%
Supports OVER Devontez Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BetMGML10 2/10 Elijah Sarratto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BovadaL1 0/1 Ja'Kobi Laneo0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML4 0/4 LaJohntay Westero0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7 Rashod Batemano0.5 Anytime TD+850 FanDuelL10 1/10 Zay Flowerso0.5 Anytime TD+330 FanaticsL10 6/10
6	Receptions / game · TE	6.1	+16.5%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso2.5 Receptions−110 CourtsideL10 8/10
8	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+12.6%
Supports OVER Justice Hillo2.5 Receptions+115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 3/10
10	Rec yards / game · TE	59.1	+10.8%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso18.5 Rec Yards−110 BovadaL10 7/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.47	+7.7%
Supports OVER Josh Cuevaso0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL8 1/8 Mark Andrewso0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL10 1/10 Nick Vannetto0.5 Anytime TD+4500 FanaticsL10 2/10
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Josh Cuevaso0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL8 1/8 Mark Andrewso0.5 Anytime TD+500 BovadaL10 1/10 Nick Vannetto0.5 Anytime TD+4500 FanaticsL10 2/10
12	Rec yards / game · RB	33.3	+5.2%
Supports OVER Justice Hillo12.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 3/10 Derrick Henryo7.5 Rec Yards−102 FanDuelL10 3/10
14	QB pass yards / game	231.3	+2.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Joe Fagnano167.5 Passing Yardso −115 · u −111L1 0/1 over
15	Target share · WR	58.5%	+0.5 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Zay Flowers3.5 Receptionso −142 · u +125L10 9/10 over Ja'Kobi Lane1.5 Receptionso −115 · u −105L4 2/4 over Rashod Bateman1.5 Receptionso −106 · u +105L10 5/10 over Zay Flowers44.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −113L10 8/10 over Ja'Kobi Lane16.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L4 2/4 over Rashod Bateman16.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 6/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · WR	139.0	−0.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Zay Flowers44.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −113L10 8/10 over Ja'Kobi Lane16.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L4 2/4 over Rashod Bateman16.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 6/10 over
17	Target share · TE	24.2%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Mark Andrews2.5 Receptionso −110 · u +105L10 8/10 over Mark Andrews18.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 7/10 over
17	Offensive plays faced / game	60.6	+0.1%
No lean at 17 of 32 Joe Fagnano29.5 Passing Attemptso −106 · u −115L1 0/1 over
21	Target share · RB	17.2%	−0.7 pp
Supports UNDER Justice Hillu2.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 7/10 Derrick Henryu1.5 Receptions−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Justice Hillu12.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 7/10 Derrick Henryu7.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.82	−7.8%
22	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.086	−0.03
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10
23	Dropback success rate	43.2%	−2.4 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou167.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL1 1/1
T25	QB completion rate	62.4%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou14.5 Completions+110 BetOnline.agL1 1/1
T25	RZ targets / game · RB	0.53	−29.6%
T26	Red-zone trips / game	2.76	−13.8%
27	Dropback explosive rate	6.7%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou29.5 Longest Completion−115 bet365L1 1/1
28	Rush explosive rate	7.7%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu14.5 Longest Rush−120 FliffL10 5/10 Joe Fagnanou7.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L1 1/1 Justice Hillu7.5 Longest Rush−120 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
28	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.65	−27.4%
29	Rush success rate	37.0%	−4.4 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10 Joe Fagnanou13.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L1 1/1
29	RB yards / carry	3.87	−10.7%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10
30	QB pass yards / attempt	6.19	−11.8%
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou167.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL1 1/1
30	Dropback EPA / play	−0.113	−0.16
Supports UNDER Joe Fagnanou167.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL1 1/1
32	RB carries / game	17.6	−19.5%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu17.5 Rushing Attempts+105 FanaticsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu5.5 Rushing Attempts−120 bet365L10 9/10
32	RB rush yards / game	68.0	−28.3%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu70.5 Rush Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Justice Hillu17.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10