Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

MIA @ NYJ

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 22, 2026 · 5–7 games per defense

NYJ defense allowsWhat Miami sees

6 games

NYJ funnels toward RB rushing yards: 6th-most allowed (105.8). Offenses pass 2.3 pp less often than expected against NYJ.

NYJ allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T3	RB carries / game	25.3	+15.4%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo13.5 Rushing Attempts−125 BovadaL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto3.5 Rushing Attempts−160 bet365L10 6/10
T5	RZ targets / game · RB	1.00	+33.3%
Supports OVER DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10
6	RB rush yards / game	105.8	+18.1%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo50.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
7	Rush success rate	43.3%	+3.3 pp
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo50.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 2/10 Malik Williso29.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
T9	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.00	+13.1%
Supports OVER DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10
T9	Offensive plays faced / game	63.2	+2.2%
Supports OVER Malik Williso27.5 Passing Attempts+100 theScore BetL10 1/10
10	Target share · WR	61.3%	+3.1 pp
Supports OVER Malik Washingtono3.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 4/10 Caleb Douglaso2.5 Receptions−122 FanDuelL2 1/2 Chris Bello1.5 Receptions−110 BetOnline.agL5 1/5 Malik Washingtono39.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 5/10 Caleb Douglaso35.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL2 1/2 Chris Bello20.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL5 2/5
T10	Red-zone trips / game	3.67	+11.7%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL2 0/2 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+600 FanaticsL5 0/5 DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Greg Dulcicho0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Justin Jolyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanaticsL5 1/5 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10 Malik Williso0.5 Anytime TD+400 BovadaL10 3/10 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10 Seydou Traoreo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Will Kacmareko0.5 Anytime TD+1100 bet365L5 0/5
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+13.3%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL2 0/2 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+600 FanaticsL5 0/5 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 CourtsideL10 0/10 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanaticsL5 1/5 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10
T12	Rush explosive rate	9.6%	+0.3 pp
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo16.5 Longest Rush−118 Bally BetL10 2/10 Malik Williso12.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 5/10 Jaylen Wrighto7.5 Longest Rush−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T12	RZ targets / game · TE	1.17	−10.1%
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Justin Jolyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Seydou Traoreo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Will Kacmareko0.5 Anytime TD+1100 bet365L5 0/5
14	RB yards / carry	4.18	+2.7%
No lean at 14 of 32 Ollie Gordon II50.5 Rush Yardso −112 · u −114L10 2/10 over Jaylen Wright15.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −111L10 5/10 over
T15	RZ targets / game · WR	2.50	−0.7%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Caleb Douglas0.5 Anytime TDo +475L2 0/2 over Chris Bell0.5 Anytime TDo +600L5 0/5 over Jalen Tolbert0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 1/10 over Jared Wayne0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L10 0/10 over Kevin Coleman Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L5 1/5 over Malik Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +370L10 2/10 over
16	Dropback EPA / play	+0.037	−0.02
No lean at 16 of 32 Malik Willis182.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 4/10 over
T16	Receptions / game · WR	11.2	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Malik Washington3.5 Receptionso −120 · u +125L10 4/10 over Caleb Douglas2.5 Receptionso −122 · u +105L2 1/2 over Chris Bell1.5 Receptionso −110 · u +100L5 1/5 over
18	Dropback success rate	44.6%	−0.7 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Malik Willis182.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 4/10 over
19	Target share · RB	16.6%	−1.2 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Ollie Gordon II1.5 Receptionso −102 · u +105L10 2/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Receptionso −115 · u −115L10 3/10 over Ollie Gordon II6.5 Rec Yardso −118 · u −105L10 1/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Rec Yardso +115 · u −145L10 3/10 over
19	Dropbacks / game	37.0	−2.6%
No lean at 19 of 32 Malik Willis27.5 Passing Attemptso +100 · u −105L10 1/10 over
21	QB pass attempts / game	32.0	−5.1%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−105 bet365L10 9/10
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.7%	−0.3 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu33.5 Longest Completion−115 bet365L10 6/10
T21	Receptions / game · RB	3.8	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu1.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 8/10 Jaylen Wrightu0.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 7/10
22	Target share · TE	22.1%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Greg Dulcichu2.5 Receptions−147 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Greg Dulcichu21.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 3/10
T23	Rec yards / game · RB	25.2	−18.8%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu6.5 Rec Yards−105 BetMGML10 9/10 Jaylen Wrightu0.5 Rec Yards−145 bet365L10 7/10
T23	Receptions / game · TE	4.7	−15.7%
Supports UNDER Greg Dulcichu2.5 Receptions−147 DraftKingsL10 4/10
24	Rec yards / game · WR	135.2	−10.4%
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu39.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10 Caleb Douglasu35.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML2 1/2 Chris Bellu20.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL5 3/5
24	QB completion rate	61.5%	−2.5 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu16.5 Completions−108 DraftKingsL10 8/10
25	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.140	−0.05
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu50.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10 Jaylen Wrightu15.5 Rush Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10
25	QB completions / game	19.7	−8.8%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu16.5 Completions−108 DraftKingsL10 8/10
25	QB pass yards / attempt	6.31	−10.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu182.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T25	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.17	−67.5%
26	Rec yards / game · TE	41.7	−23.3%
Supports UNDER Greg Dulcichu21.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 3/10
28	QB pass yards / game	202.0	−14.5%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu182.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10

MIA defense allowsWhat New York sees

5 games

MIA funnels toward RB targets: 2nd-most allowed (21.9%). Offenses pass 0.7 pp more often than expected against MIA.

MIA allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB completion rate	76.6%	+12.6 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho21.5 Completions+100 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
1	RZ targets / game · RB	3.00	+299.9%
Supports OVER Andrew Becko0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Braelon Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−105 BetMGML10 3/10 Breece Hallo0.5 Anytime TD−110 FliffL10 3/10 Isaiah Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Kene Nwangwuo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGML3 0/3
1	Red-zone trips / game	4.40	+33.9%
Supports OVER Adonai Mitchello0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10 Andrew Becko0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Braelon Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−105 BetMGML10 3/10 Breece Hallo0.5 Anytime TD−110 FliffL10 3/10 Garrett Wilsono0.5 Anytime TD+165 bet365L10 5/10 Geno Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+850 CourtsideL10 0/10 Isaiah Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Isaiah Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BovadaL10 1/10 Jelani Woodso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jeremy Ruckerto0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 1/10 Kene Nwangwuo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGML3 0/3 Kenyon Sadiqo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML6 2/6 Malik McClaino0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM Mason Tayloro0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 1/10 Omar Cooper Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+390 BovadaL2 1/2 Tim Patricko0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10
2	Target share · RB	21.9%	+4.2 pp
2	Dropback success rate	54.1%	+8.8 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
2	Dropback EPA / play	+0.304	+0.25
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
3	Receptions / game · TE	7.4	+33.5%
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo2.5 Receptions+125 Bally BetL6 2/6 Mason Tayloro2.5 Receptions−145 theScore BetL10 6/10
3	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.60	+81.0%
Supports OVER Andrew Becko0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Braelon Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−105 BetMGML10 3/10 Breece Hallo0.5 Anytime TD−110 FliffL10 3/10 Isaiah Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Kene Nwangwuo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGML3 0/3
4	Rec yards / game · TE	76.2	+40.2%
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo21.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL6 1/6 Mason Tayloro20.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 7/10
5	Target share · TE	29.2%	+5.2 pp
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo2.5 Receptions+125 Bally BetL6 2/6 Mason Tayloro2.5 Receptions−145 theScore BetL10 6/10 Kenyon Sadiqo21.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL6 1/6 Mason Tayloro20.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 7/10
5	RB carries / game	25.2	+14.8%
5	Rec yards / game · RB	39.4	+27.0%
T5	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.80	+52.8%
Supports OVER Jelani Woodso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jeremy Ruckerto0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 1/10 Kenyon Sadiqo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML6 2/6 Mason Tayloro0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 1/10
5	RZ targets / game · TE	2.20	+69.0%
Supports OVER Jelani Woodso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jeremy Ruckerto0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 1/10 Kenyon Sadiqo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML6 2/6 Mason Tayloro0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 1/10
6	QB pass yards / attempt	7.79	+10.9%
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
T8	Receptions / game · RB	5.0	+13.0%
11	Rush success rate	42.1%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho6.5 Rush Yards−107 CourtsideL10 4/10
11	RB rush yards / game	101.4	+13.2%
12	QB completions / game	22.2	+2.9%
Supports OVER Geno Smitho21.5 Completions+100 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
16	RB yards / carry	4.02	−1.2%
16	Dropback explosive rate	8.3%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Geno Smith33.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −115L10 6/10 over
17	Rush explosive rate	9.0%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Braelon Allen12.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u −110L10 3/10 over Geno Smith6.5 Longest Rusho −115 · u −115L10 3/10 over
18	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.099	−0.01
21	QB pass yards / game	226.0	−4.4%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu220.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T25	Receptions / game · WR	9.8	−15.3%
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu5.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Adonai Mitchellu2.5 Receptions−165 bet365L10 4/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u2.5 Receptions−120 bet365L2 1/2
27	RZ targets / game · WR	1.60	−36.4%
29	QB pass attempts / game	29.0	−14.0%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
29	Offensive plays faced / game	58.0	−6.1%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
30	Rec yards / game · WR	110.4	−26.8%
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu62.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u25.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 0/2
T30	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.40	−54.7%
32	Target share · WR	48.9%	−9.3 pp
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu5.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Adonai Mitchellu2.5 Receptions−165 bet365L10 4/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u2.5 Receptions−120 bet365L2 1/2 Garrett Wilsonu62.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u25.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 0/2
32	Dropbacks / game	31.4	−17.3%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

NYJ defense allowsWhat Miami sees

17 games

NYJ funnels toward RB rushing yards: 5th-most allowed (110.2). Offenses pass 2.9 pp less often than expected against NYJ.

NYJ allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Dropback EPA / play	+0.287	+0.24
Supports OVER Malik Williso182.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10
1	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.65	+84.4%
Supports OVER DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10
T1	Red-zone trips / game	4.00	+24.9%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL2 0/2 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+600 FanaticsL5 0/5 DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Greg Dulcicho0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Justin Jolyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanaticsL5 1/5 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10 Malik Williso0.5 Anytime TD+400 BovadaL10 3/10 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10 Seydou Traoreo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Will Kacmareko0.5 Anytime TD+1100 bet365L5 0/5
2	Dropback explosive rate	10.4%	+2.3 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso33.5 Longest Completion−110 BovadaL10 4/10
T2	RZ targets / game · RB	1.12	+48.7%
Supports OVER DJ Hermano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Anytime TD+575 FanaticsL10 2/10 Kaytron Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML3 0/3 Ollie Gordon IIo0.5 Anytime TD+200 FanaticsL10 4/10
3	RB carries / game	25.3	+15.7%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo13.5 Rushing Attempts−125 BovadaL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto3.5 Rushing Attempts−160 bet365L10 6/10
5	RB rush yards / game	110.2	+16.1%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo50.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.59	+35.1%
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Justin Jolyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Seydou Traoreo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Will Kacmareko0.5 Anytime TD+1100 bet365L5 0/5
8	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.015	+0.04
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo50.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
8	QB pass yards / attempt	7.47	+6.4%
Supports OVER Malik Williso182.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10
T8	RZ targets / game · TE	1.29	+5.4%
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Justin Jolyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Seydou Traoreo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Will Kacmareko0.5 Anytime TD+1100 bet365L5 0/5
9	Rush explosive rate	11.4%	+1.5 pp
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo16.5 Longest Rush−118 Bally BetL10 2/10 Malik Williso12.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 5/10 Jaylen Wrighto7.5 Longest Rush−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
9	Dropback success rate	48.7%	+3.1 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso182.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10
11	Rec yards / game · RB	34.5	+9.1%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo6.5 Rec Yards−118 BetOnline.agL10 1/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Rec Yards+115 bet365L10 3/10
T11	Offensive plays faced / game	61.9	+2.3%
Supports OVER Malik Williso27.5 Passing Attempts+100 theScore BetL10 1/10
12	Target share · TE	24.9%	+1.0 pp
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho2.5 Receptions+128 Bally BetL10 6/10 Greg Dulcicho21.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 7/10
12	RB yards / carry	4.36	+0.6%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo50.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
T13	QB completion rate	65.2%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso16.5 Completions+105 bet365L10 2/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL2 0/2 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+600 FanaticsL5 0/5 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 CourtsideL10 0/10 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 FanaticsL5 1/5 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10
16	Rush success rate	41.8%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Ollie Gordon II50.5 Rush Yardso −112 · u −114L10 2/10 over Malik Willis29.5 Rush Yardso −115 · u −109L10 5/10 over Jaylen Wright15.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −111L10 5/10 over
16	Rec yards / game · TE	53.7	+0.7%
No lean at 16 of 32 Greg Dulcich21.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −110L10 7/10 over
16	Receptions / game · TE	5.3	+1.8%
No lean at 16 of 32 Greg Dulcich2.5 Receptionso +128 · u −147L10 6/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · WR	2.35	−1.0%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Caleb Douglas0.5 Anytime TDo +475L2 0/2 over Chris Bell0.5 Anytime TDo +600L5 0/5 over Jalen Tolbert0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 1/10 over Jared Wayne0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L10 0/10 over Kevin Coleman Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L5 1/5 over Malik Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +370L10 2/10 over
17	QB pass yards / game	226.4	+0.6%
No lean at 17 of 32 Malik Willis182.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 4/10 over
18	Rec yards / game · WR	136.1	−2.5%
No lean at 18 of 32 Malik Washington39.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 5/10 over Caleb Douglas35.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −111L2 1/2 over Chris Bell20.5 Rec Yardso −108 · u −112L5 2/5 over
T20	Receptions / game · WR	10.5	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu3.5 Receptions+125 BetMGML10 6/10 Caleb Douglasu2.5 Receptions+105 bet365L2 1/2 Chris Bellu1.5 Receptions+100 bet365L5 4/5
T22	Target share · WR	57.4%	−0.6 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu3.5 Receptions+125 BetMGML10 6/10 Caleb Douglasu2.5 Receptions+105 bet365L2 1/2 Chris Bellu1.5 Receptions+100 bet365L5 4/5 Malik Washingtonu39.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10 Caleb Douglasu35.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML2 1/2 Chris Bellu20.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL5 3/5
T23	QB pass attempts / game	30.3	−5.5%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−105 bet365L10 9/10
T23	QB completions / game	19.8	−4.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu16.5 Completions−108 DraftKingsL10 8/10
25	Receptions / game · RB	3.6	−14.7%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu1.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 8/10 Jaylen Wrightu0.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 7/10
26	Target share · RB	16.4%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu1.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 8/10 Jaylen Wrightu0.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 7/10 Ollie Gordon IIu6.5 Rec Yards−105 BetMGML10 9/10 Jaylen Wrightu0.5 Rec Yards−145 bet365L10 7/10
27	Dropbacks / game	34.1	−6.6%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−105 bet365L10 9/10

MIA defense allowsWhat New York sees

17 games

MIA funnels toward TE targets: 2nd-most allowed (27.8%). Offenses pass 2.9 pp less often than expected against MIA.

MIA allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Dropback success rate	52.3%	+6.6 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
1	QB completion rate	72.0%	+7.7 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho21.5 Completions+100 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
2	Target share · TE	27.8%	+3.9 pp
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo2.5 Receptions+125 Bally BetL6 2/6 Mason Tayloro2.5 Receptions−145 theScore BetL10 6/10 Kenyon Sadiqo21.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL6 1/6 Mason Tayloro20.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 7/10
T2	Receptions / game · TE	6.3	+19.7%
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo2.5 Receptions+125 Bally BetL6 2/6 Mason Tayloro2.5 Receptions−145 theScore BetL10 6/10
5	RB yards / carry	4.80	+10.7%
5	Rush explosive rate	12.1%	+2.2 pp
Supports OVER Braelon Alleno12.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L10 3/10 Geno Smitho6.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 3/10
5	Rec yards / game · TE	65.8	+23.4%
Supports OVER Kenyon Sadiqo21.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL6 1/6 Mason Tayloro20.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 7/10
T5	Receptions / game · RB	4.9	+15.4%
6	Dropback EPA / play	+0.166	+0.12
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.59	+35.1%
Supports OVER Jelani Woodso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jeremy Ruckerto0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 1/10 Kenyon Sadiqo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML6 2/6 Mason Tayloro0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 1/10
7	RB rush yards / game	107.3	+13.1%
7	Rec yards / game · RB	36.5	+15.5%
7	QB pass yards / attempt	7.61	+8.4%
Supports OVER Geno Smitho220.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 3/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER Adonai Mitchello0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10 Garrett Wilsono0.5 Anytime TD+165 bet365L10 5/10 Isaiah Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BovadaL10 1/10 Malik McClaino0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM Omar Cooper Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+390 BovadaL2 1/2 Tim Patricko0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10
T8	Red-zone trips / game	3.65	+13.9%
Supports OVER Adonai Mitchello0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 2/10 Andrew Becko0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Braelon Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−105 BetMGML10 3/10 Breece Hallo0.5 Anytime TD−110 FliffL10 3/10 Garrett Wilsono0.5 Anytime TD+165 bet365L10 5/10 Geno Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+850 CourtsideL10 0/10 Isaiah Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Isaiah Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BovadaL10 1/10 Jelani Woodso0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jeremy Ruckerto0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 1/10 Kene Nwangwuo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGML3 0/3 Kenyon Sadiqo0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML6 2/6 Malik McClaino0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM Mason Tayloro0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 1/10 Omar Cooper Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+390 BovadaL2 1/2 Tim Patricko0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10
9	Dropback explosive rate	8.8%	+0.7 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho33.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10
11	Rush success rate	43.3%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Geno Smitho6.5 Rush Yards−107 CourtsideL10 4/10
11	QB completions / game	21.8	+5.8%
Supports OVER Geno Smitho21.5 Completions+100 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
T12	Target share · RB	18.8%	+0.9 pp
12	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.038	+0.01
12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.94	+5.0%
Supports OVER Andrew Becko0.5 Anytime TD+3000 BetMGML10 1/10 Braelon Alleno0.5 Anytime TD−105 BetMGML10 3/10 Breece Hallo0.5 Anytime TD−110 FliffL10 3/10 Isaiah Daviso0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Kene Nwangwuo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGML3 0/3
14	RB carries / game	22.4	+2.2%
15	QB pass yards / game	230.6	+2.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Geno Smith220.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 3/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · RB	0.76	+0.9%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Andrew Beck0.5 Anytime TDo +3000L10 1/10 over Braelon Allen0.5 Anytime TDo −105L10 3/10 over Breece Hall0.5 Anytime TDo −110L10 3/10 over Isaiah Davis0.5 Anytime TDo +700L10 1/10 over Kene Nwangwu0.5 Anytime TDo +2800L3 0/3 over
T16	RZ targets / game · TE	1.18	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Jelani Woods0.5 Anytime TDo +3000L10 0/10 over Jeremy Ruckert0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 1/10 over Kenyon Sadiq0.5 Anytime TDo +425L6 2/6 over Mason Taylor0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 1/10 over
T20	Receptions / game · WR	10.5	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu5.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Adonai Mitchellu2.5 Receptions−165 bet365L10 4/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u2.5 Receptions−120 bet365L2 1/2
T20	RZ targets / game · WR	2.12	−10.7%
T23	QB pass attempts / game	30.3	−5.5%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
23	Dropbacks / game	34.9	−4.3%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
23	Offensive plays faced / game	59.8	−1.3%
Supports UNDER Geno Smithu29.5 Passing Attempts−106 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
24	Rec yards / game · WR	127.0	−9.0%
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu62.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u25.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 0/2
29	Target share · WR	53.2%	−4.8 pp
Supports UNDER Garrett Wilsonu5.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Adonai Mitchellu2.5 Receptions−165 bet365L10 4/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u2.5 Receptions−120 bet365L2 1/2 Garrett Wilsonu62.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Omar Cooper Jr.u25.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 0/2