Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

PIT @ NO

Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints · 9:30 AM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 22, 2026 · 5–7 games per defense

NO defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

6 games

NO funnels toward RB rushing yards: 1st-most allowed (116.8). Offenses pass as often as expected against NO.

NO allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rush success rate	48.3%	+8.4 pp
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno63.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Aaron Rodgerso1.5 Rush Yards−112 CourtsideL10 6/10
1	RB rush yards / game	116.8	+30.4%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno63.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
1	Touchdowns / game · RB	2.00	+126.2%
Supports OVER Eli Heidenreicho0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Courtside Jaylen Warreno0.5 Anytime TD−120 FanDuelL10 2/10 Lew Nicholso0.5 Anytime TD+5000 FanaticsL2 0/2 Rico Dowdleo0.5 Anytime TD+270 FanaticsL10 1/10 Riley Nowakowskio0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Travis Homero0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL10 0/10
2	RB rushing EPA / play	+0.017	+0.11
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno63.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
T2	Red-zone trips / game	4.33	+31.8%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso0.5 Anytime TD+1200 Bally BetL10 0/10 Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 1/10 Brandon Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGM Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BovadaL10 2/10 DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+180 BovadaL10 2/10 Eli Heidenreicho0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Courtside Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+240 FanaticsL6 1/6 Jaylen Warreno0.5 Anytime TD−120 FanDuelL10 2/10 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+1400 FanDuel Lew Nicholso0.5 Anytime TD+5000 FanaticsL2 0/2 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+295 Bally BetL10 3/10 Rico Dowdleo0.5 Anytime TD+270 FanaticsL10 1/10 Riley Nowakowskio0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanaticsL10 0/10 Travis Homero0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL10 0/10
3	RB yards / carry	4.83	+18.7%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno63.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
4	Target share · TE	30.1%	+6.0 pp
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+140 betPARXL10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+101 CourtsideL10 5/10 Pat Freiermutho30.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono24.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 5/10
5	Dropback success rate	49.8%	+4.5 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso230.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
5	Rec yards / game · TE	75.8	+39.5%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho30.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono24.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 5/10
5	Receptions / game · TE	7.0	+26.3%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+140 betPARXL10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+101 CourtsideL10 5/10
T6	QB completion rate	66.5%	+2.5 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso22.5 Completions+100 BovadaL10 5/10
7	QB pass yards / game	256.0	+8.3%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso230.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
7	QB pass yards / attempt	7.68	+9.3%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso230.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
8	Dropback explosive rate	9.3%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso35.5 Longest Completion−115 bet365L10 4/10
8	RZ targets / game · TE	1.67	+28.3%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BovadaL10 2/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+295 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanaticsL10 0/10
T9	RB carries / game	24.2	+10.1%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno13.5 Rushing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo7.5 Rushing Attempts+102 betPARXL10 5/10
9	Rush explosive rate	10.6%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno15.5 Longest Rush+100 Bally BetL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo9.5 Longest Rush−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Aaron Rodgerso0.5 Longest Rush+105 bet365L10 6/10
9	RZ targets / game · WR	3.17	+26.0%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 1/10 Brandon Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGM DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+180 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+240 FanaticsL6 1/6 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+1400 FanDuel
10	Dropback EPA / play	+0.101	+0.04
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso230.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+13.3%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 1/10 Brandon Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGM DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+180 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+240 FanaticsL6 1/6 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+1400 FanDuel
T11	Offensive plays faced / game	63.0	+2.0%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso34.5 Passing Attempts−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10
T12	RZ targets / game · RB	0.67	−10.7%
Supports OVER Eli Heidenreicho0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Courtside Jaylen Warreno0.5 Anytime TD−120 FanDuelL10 2/10 Lew Nicholso0.5 Anytime TD+5000 FanaticsL2 0/2 Rico Dowdleo0.5 Anytime TD+270 FanaticsL10 1/10 Riley Nowakowskio0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Travis Homero0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL10 0/10
13	QB completions / game	22.2	+2.8%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso22.5 Completions+100 BovadaL10 5/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.50	−4.5%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BovadaL10 2/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+295 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanaticsL10 0/10
15	Rec yards / game · WR	149.7	−0.8%
No lean at 15 of 32 DK Metcalf58.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard53.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L6 2/6 over
T16	Receptions / game · WR	11.2	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 DK Metcalf4.5 Receptionso −128 · u +105L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard4.5 Receptionso −148 · u +122L6 2/6 over
17	QB pass attempts / game	33.3	−1.2%
No lean at 17 of 32 Aaron Rodgers34.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −108L10 7/10 over
T17	Dropbacks / game	37.8	−0.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Aaron Rodgers34.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −108L10 7/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.0	−9.6%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Jaylen Warren3.5 Receptionso +140 · u −148L10 3/10 over Rico Dowdle1.5 Receptionso −110 · u +108L10 8/10 over
20	Rec yards / game · RB	30.5	−1.7%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu25.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rec Yards−107 DraftKingsL10 4/10
24	Target share · WR	56.0%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu4.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 7/10 Germie Bernardu4.5 Receptions+122 DraftKingsL6 4/6 DK Metcalfu58.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L10 7/10 Germie Bernardu53.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL6 4/6
29	Target share · RB	14.0%	−3.7 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu3.5 Receptions−148 betPARXL10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu1.5 Receptions+108 betPARXL10 2/10 Jaylen Warrenu25.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rec Yards−107 DraftKingsL10 4/10

PIT defense allowsWhat New Orleans sees

6 games

PIT funnels toward WR targets: 7th-most allowed (62.9%). Offenses pass 0.1 pp more often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
6	Dropback explosive rate	9.7%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho33.5 Longest Completion−109 Bally BetL10 3/10
7	Target share · WR	62.9%	+4.7 pp
Supports OVER Chris Olaveo5.5 Receptions−135 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Devaughn Veleo3.5 Receptions−148 CourtsideL10 6/10 Bryce Lanceo1.5 Receptions+125 BetOnline.agL6 2/6 Chris Olaveo74.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Devaughn Veleo41.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 6/10 Bryce Lanceo13.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL6 1/6
11	Target share · RB	19.1%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Alvin Kamarao2.5 Receptions−118 BetMGML10 4/10 CJ Donaldsono0.5 Receptions−235 bet365L6 3/6 Kendre Millero0.5 Receptions−158 FanDuelL10 6/10 Alvin Kamarao12.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10 CJ Donaldsono3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L6 2/6 Kendre Millero3.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T11	Receptions / game · RB	4.7	+5.5%
Supports OVER Alvin Kamarao2.5 Receptions−118 BetMGML10 4/10 CJ Donaldsono0.5 Receptions−235 bet365L6 3/6 Kendre Millero0.5 Receptions−158 FanDuelL10 6/10
13	Rec yards / game · RB	35.0	+12.9%
Supports OVER Alvin Kamarao12.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10 CJ Donaldsono3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L6 2/6 Kendre Millero3.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
13	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.081	+0.01
Supports OVER Kendre Millero39.5 Rush Yards+114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Alvin Kamarao16.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 6/10 CJ Donaldsono10.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL6 3/6
T13	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.50	−4.5%
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BetMGML10 2/10 Noah Fanto0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 2/10 Oscar Delpo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL5 0/5 Treyton Welcho0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4
14	Receptions / game · WR	11.7	+0.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Chris Olave5.5 Receptionso −135 · u +116L10 7/10 over Devaughn Vele3.5 Receptionso −148 · u +133L10 6/10 over Bryce Lance1.5 Receptionso +125 · u −135L6 2/6 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.4%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Kendre Miller10.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u +100L10 3/10 over Tyler Shough9.5 Longest Rusho +110 · u −121L10 5/10 over Alvin Kamara7.5 Longest Rusho −104 · u −118L10 3/10 over CJ Donaldson6.5 Longest Rusho −115 · u −115L6 3/6 over
16	QB pass attempts / game	33.5	−0.7%
No lean at 16 of 32 Tyler Shough36.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
17	RB carries / game	21.8	−0.5%
No lean at 17 of 32 Kendre Miller12.5 Rushing Attemptso −107 · u −119L10 1/10 over Alvin Kamara5.5 Rushing Attemptso −135 · u +105L10 8/10 over CJ Donaldson3.5 Rushing Attemptso +120 · u −150L6 2/6 over
17	RB rush yards / game	86.2	−3.8%
No lean at 17 of 32 Kendre Miller39.5 Rush Yardso +114 · u −114L10 3/10 over Alvin Kamara16.5 Rush Yardso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over CJ Donaldson10.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L6 3/6 over
T17	Dropbacks / game	37.8	−0.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Tyler Shough36.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
19	RB yards / carry	3.95	−3.0%
No lean at 19 of 32 Kendre Miller39.5 Rush Yardso +114 · u −114L10 3/10 over Alvin Kamara16.5 Rush Yardso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over CJ Donaldson10.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L6 3/6 over
T19	QB completions / game	20.7	−4.2%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Tyler Shough23.5 Completionso +104 · u −129L10 6/10 over
T19	RZ targets / game · RB	0.50	−33.3%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Alvin Kamara0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 2/10 over CJ Donaldson0.5 Anytime TDo +550L6 0/6 over Kendre Miller0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 3/10 over
T19	Offensive plays faced / game	61.0	−1.3%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Tyler Shough36.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
T20	Rec yards / game · WR	142.0	−5.9%
Supports UNDER Chris Olaveu74.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Devaughn Veleu41.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Bryce Lanceu13.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL6 5/6
20	QB pass yards / attempt	6.63	−5.7%
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu226.5 Passing Yards−115 betPARXL10 2/10
21	Dropback success rate	43.6%	−1.7 pp
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu226.5 Passing Yards−115 betPARXL10 2/10
21	Rec yards / game · TE	45.5	−16.3%
Supports UNDER Juwan Johnsonu30.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 3/10 Noah Fantu11.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.67	−24.2%
23	QB completion rate	61.7%	−2.3 pp
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu23.5 Completions−129 DraftKingsL10 4/10
24	Rush success rate	38.1%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Kendre Milleru39.5 Rush Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Alvin Kamarau16.5 Rush Yards−110 BetMGML10 4/10 Tyler Shoughu14.5 Rush Yards−118 betPARXL10 5/10 CJ Donaldsonu10.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL6 3/6
25	QB pass yards / game	222.0	−6.1%
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu226.5 Passing Yards−115 betPARXL10 2/10
26	Dropback EPA / play	−0.045	−0.10
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu226.5 Passing Yards−115 betPARXL10 2/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.50	−43.4%
T28	Receptions / game · TE	4.2	−24.7%
Supports UNDER Juwan Johnsonu3.5 Receptions+100 BetMGML10 3/10 Noah Fantu1.5 Receptions−102 FanDuelL10 8/10
30	RZ targets / game · TE	0.50	−61.6%
31	Target share · TE	17.5%	−6.5 pp
Supports UNDER Juwan Johnsonu3.5 Receptions+100 BetMGML10 3/10 Noah Fantu1.5 Receptions−102 FanDuelL10 8/10 Juwan Johnsonu30.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 3/10 Noah Fantu11.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
31	RZ targets / game · WR	1.33	−47.2%
32	Red-zone trips / game	1.67	−49.2%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

NO defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

17 games

NO funnels toward TE targets: 3rd-most allowed (27.1%). Offenses pass 5.4 pp less often than expected against NO.

NO allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	RB carries / game	25.6	+17.3%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno13.5 Rushing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo7.5 Rushing Attempts+102 betPARXL10 5/10
3	Target share · TE	27.1%	+3.2 pp
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+140 betPARXL10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+101 CourtsideL10 5/10 Pat Freiermutho30.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono24.5 Rec Yards−110 BetMGML10 5/10
11	RB rush yards / game	102.8	+8.3%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno63.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BovadaL10 2/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+295 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanaticsL10 0/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 1/10 Brandon Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGM DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+180 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+240 FanaticsL6 1/6 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+1400 FanDuel
14	Dropback explosive rate	8.3%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Aaron Rodgers35.5 Longest Completiono −115 · u −108L10 4/10 over
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Darnell Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +310L10 2/10 over Pat Freiermuth0.5 Anytime TDo +295L10 3/10 over Robert Tonyan0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 0/10 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.82	−8.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Eli Heidenreich0.5 Anytime TDo +3000 Jaylen Warren0.5 Anytime TDo −120L10 2/10 over Lew Nichols0.5 Anytime TDo +5000L2 0/2 over Rico Dowdle0.5 Anytime TDo +270L10 1/10 over Riley Nowakowski0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Travis Homer0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L10 0/10 over
18	Receptions / game · TE	5.2	−0.3%
No lean at 18 of 32 Pat Freiermuth3.5 Receptionso +140 · u −150L10 4/10 over Darnell Washington2.5 Receptionso +101 · u +100L10 5/10 over
18	Offensive plays faced / game	60.5	0.0%
No lean at 18 of 32 Aaron Rodgers34.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −108L10 7/10 over
T19	Target share · WR	57.8%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 DK Metcalf4.5 Receptionso −128 · u +105L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard4.5 Receptionso −148 · u +122L6 2/6 over DK Metcalf58.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard53.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L6 2/6 over
19	Rec yards / game · TE	51.1	−4.1%
No lean at 19 of 32 Pat Freiermuth30.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −112L10 5/10 over Darnell Washington24.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −109L10 5/10 over
20	QB completion rate	63.5%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu22.5 Completions−125 bet365L10 5/10
20	QB pass yards / attempt	6.79	−3.3%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu230.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
21	Dropback EPA / play	−0.015	−0.06
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu230.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
22	Rush success rate	39.9%	−1.6 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu63.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu29.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10 Aaron Rodgersu1.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 4/10
22	Dropback success rate	43.4%	−2.3 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu230.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
24	Rush explosive rate	8.6%	−1.3 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu15.5 Longest Rush−115 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu9.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 5/10 Aaron Rodgersu0.5 Longest Rush−110 DraftKingsL10 4/10
25	RB yards / carry	4.01	−7.5%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu63.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu29.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10
26	Rec yards / game · WR	121.5	−12.9%
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu58.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L10 7/10 Germie Bernardu53.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL6 4/6
T26	Red-zone trips / game	2.76	−13.8%
27	QB completions / game	18.4	−11.0%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu22.5 Completions−125 bet365L10 5/10
27	Receptions / game · WR	9.8	−11.5%
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu4.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 7/10 Germie Bernardu4.5 Receptions+122 DraftKingsL6 4/6
T27	RZ targets / game · RB	0.47	−37.6%
28	QB pass yards / game	196.2	−12.8%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu230.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
28	Dropbacks / game	33.2	−8.8%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu34.5 Passing Attempts−108 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
29	Target share · RB	15.2%	−2.7 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu3.5 Receptions−148 betPARXL10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu1.5 Receptions+108 betPARXL10 2/10 Jaylen Warrenu25.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rec Yards−107 DraftKingsL10 4/10
29	QB pass attempts / game	28.9	−9.9%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu34.5 Passing Attempts−108 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
T29	Receptions / game · RB	3.4	−21.7%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu3.5 Receptions−148 betPARXL10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu1.5 Receptions+108 betPARXL10 2/10
30	Rec yards / game · RB	23.6	−25.4%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu25.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rec Yards−107 DraftKingsL10 4/10
30	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.113	−0.06
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu63.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu29.5 Rush Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10
T31	RZ targets / game · WR	1.59	−33.0%

PIT defense allowsWhat New Orleans sees

17 games

PIT funnels toward QB passing yards: 3rd-most allowed (261.0). Offenses pass 2.3 pp less often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Offensive plays faced / game	64.9	+7.2%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho36.5 Passing Attempts−110 theScore BetL10 4/10
T2	RZ targets / game · TE	2.12	+73.3%
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BetMGML10 2/10 Noah Fanto0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 2/10 Oscar Delpo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL5 0/5 Treyton Welcho0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4
3	QB pass yards / game	261.0	+16.0%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho226.5 Passing Yards−113 Bally BetL10 8/10
3	Receptions / game · WR	12.5	+13.6%
Supports OVER Chris Olaveo5.5 Receptions−135 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Devaughn Veleo3.5 Receptions−148 CourtsideL10 6/10 Bryce Lanceo1.5 Receptions+125 BetOnline.agL6 2/6
4	QB pass attempts / game	36.1	+12.5%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho36.5 Passing Attempts−110 theScore BetL10 4/10
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho23.5 Completions+104 betPARXL10 6/10
4	Rec yards / game · TE	65.9	+23.7%
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono30.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Noah Fanto11.5 Rec Yards−109 betPARXL10 3/10
4	Receptions / game · TE	6.2	+18.8%
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono3.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 7/10 Noah Fanto1.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 2/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.65	+48.9%
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+310 BetMGML10 2/10 Noah Fanto0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 2/10 Oscar Delpo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL5 0/5 Treyton Welcho0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4
5	Rec yards / game · WR	163.7	+17.3%
Supports OVER Chris Olaveo74.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Devaughn Veleo41.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 6/10 Bryce Lanceo13.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL6 1/6
6	Dropbacks / game	40.5	+11.0%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho36.5 Passing Attempts−110 theScore BetL10 4/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER Barion Browno0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL4 0/4 Bryce Lanceo0.5 Anytime TD+750 CourtsideL6 1/6 Cedric Tillmano0.5 Anytime TD+3500 BetMGML10 0/10 Chris Olaveo0.5 Anytime TD+190 FanDuelL10 5/10 Devaughn Veleo0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 3/10
T9	RZ targets / game · WR	2.71	+14.1%
Supports OVER Barion Browno0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL4 0/4 Bryce Lanceo0.5 Anytime TD+750 CourtsideL6 1/6 Cedric Tillmano0.5 Anytime TD+3500 BetMGML10 0/10 Chris Olaveo0.5 Anytime TD+190 FanDuelL10 5/10 Devaughn Veleo0.5 Anytime TD+300 BovadaL10 3/10
10	QB pass yards / attempt	7.24	+3.1%
Supports OVER Tyler Shougho226.5 Passing Yards−113 Bally BetL10 8/10
12	RB carries / game	22.5	+3.1%
Supports OVER Kendre Millero12.5 Rushing Attempts−107 DraftKingsL10 1/10 Alvin Kamarao5.5 Rushing Attempts−135 bet365L10 8/10 CJ Donaldsono3.5 Rushing Attempts+120 bet365L6 2/6
T13	Target share · TE	24.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Juwan Johnsono3.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 7/10 Noah Fanto1.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 2/10 Juwan Johnsono30.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Noah Fanto11.5 Rec Yards−109 betPARXL10 3/10
14	Receptions / game · RB	4.5	+5.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Alvin Kamara2.5 Receptionso −118 · u +105L10 4/10 over CJ Donaldson0.5 Receptionso −235 · u +180L6 3/6 over Kendre Miller0.5 Receptionso −158 · u +118L10 6/10 over
14	Red-zone trips / game	3.24	+1.1%
No lean at 14 of 32 Alvin Kamara0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 2/10 over Barion Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L4 0/4 over Bryce Lance0.5 Anytime TDo +750L6 1/6 over Cedric Tillman0.5 Anytime TDo +3500L10 0/10 over Chris Olave0.5 Anytime TDo +190L10 5/10 over CJ Donaldson0.5 Anytime TDo +550L6 0/6 over Devaughn Vele0.5 Anytime TDo +300L10 3/10 over Juwan Johnson0.5 Anytime TDo +310L10 2/10 over Kendre Miller0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 3/10 over Noah Fant0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 2/10 over Oscar Delp0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L5 0/5 over Treyton Welch0.5 Anytime TDo +7500L4 0/4 over Tyler Shough0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 3/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · RB	31.4	−0.7%
No lean at 15 of 32 Alvin Kamara12.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −111L10 4/10 over CJ Donaldson3.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L6 2/6 over Kendre Miller3.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.9%	0.0 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Kendre Miller10.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u +100L10 3/10 over Tyler Shough9.5 Longest Rusho +110 · u −121L10 5/10 over Alvin Kamara7.5 Longest Rusho −104 · u −118L10 3/10 over CJ Donaldson6.5 Longest Rusho −115 · u −115L6 3/6 over
16	RB rush yards / game	96.4	+1.6%
No lean at 16 of 32 Kendre Miller39.5 Rush Yardso +114 · u −114L10 3/10 over Alvin Kamara16.5 Rush Yardso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over CJ Donaldson10.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L6 3/6 over
16	Target share · WR	58.4%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Chris Olave5.5 Receptionso −135 · u +116L10 7/10 over Devaughn Vele3.5 Receptionso −148 · u +133L10 6/10 over Bryce Lance1.5 Receptionso +125 · u −135L6 2/6 over Chris Olave74.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 7/10 over Devaughn Vele41.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −112L10 6/10 over Bryce Lance13.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L6 1/6 over
17	RB yards / carry	4.28	−1.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Kendre Miller39.5 Rush Yardso +114 · u −114L10 3/10 over Alvin Kamara16.5 Rush Yardso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over CJ Donaldson10.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L6 3/6 over
17	QB completion rate	64.6%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Tyler Shough23.5 Completionso +104 · u −129L10 6/10 over
17	Dropback EPA / play	+0.045	0.00
No lean at 17 of 32 Tyler Shough226.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −115L10 8/10 over
18	Dropback success rate	45.3%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Tyler Shough226.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −115L10 8/10 over
T18	RZ targets / game · RB	0.71	−5.7%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Alvin Kamara0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 2/10 over CJ Donaldson0.5 Anytime TDo +550L6 0/6 over Kendre Miller0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 3/10 over
21	Rush success rate	39.9%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Kendre Milleru39.5 Rush Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Alvin Kamarau16.5 Rush Yards−110 BetMGML10 4/10 Tyler Shoughu14.5 Rush Yards−118 betPARXL10 5/10 CJ Donaldsonu10.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL6 3/6
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.7%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Tyler Shoughu33.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10
23	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.087	−0.03
Supports UNDER Kendre Milleru39.5 Rush Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Alvin Kamarau16.5 Rush Yards−110 BetMGML10 4/10 CJ Donaldsonu10.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL6 3/6
24	Target share · RB	16.8%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Alvin Kamarau2.5 Receptions+105 betPARXL10 6/10 CJ Donaldsonu0.5 Receptions+180 bet365L6 3/6 Kendre Milleru0.5 Receptions+118 FanDuelL10 4/10 Alvin Kamarau12.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 6/10 CJ Donaldsonu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L6 4/6 Kendre Milleru3.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T31	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.41	−54.2%