Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · NFL

PIT @ TB

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 12, 2026 · 4–5 games per defense

TB defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

5 games

TB leans toward TE targets: 11th-most allowed (25.9%). Offenses pass 2.9 pp more often than expected against TB.

TB allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Receptions / game · RB	5.4	+21.4%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno3.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 3/10 Rico Dowdleo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 8/10
8	QB completion rate	66.3%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso21.5 Completions−105 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
9	Rec yards / game · TE	60.2	+12.5%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho36.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono20.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T9	Receptions / game · TE	6.0	+10.4%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 4/10
T9	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.60	+17.1%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML10 1/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
10	RZ targets / game · TE	1.40	+14.7%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML10 1/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
11	Target share · TE	25.9%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 4/10 Pat Freiermutho36.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono20.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10
11	Rec yards / game · RB	35.6	+15.5%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno21.5 Rec Yards−135 bet365L10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo9.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T12	QB completions / game	22.0	+3.2%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso21.5 Completions−105 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
13	Target share · RB	19.1%	+1.0 pp
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno3.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 3/10 Rico Dowdleo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 8/10 Jaylen Warreno21.5 Rec Yards−135 bet365L10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo9.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
15	QB pass attempts / game	33.2	+0.2%
No lean at 15 of 32 Aaron Rodgers33.5 Passing Attemptso −107 · u −118L10 7/10 over
15	QB pass yards / game	234.6	+0.1%
No lean at 15 of 32 Aaron Rodgers231.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
T15	RZ targets / game · WR	2.40	−3.6%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Ben Skowronek0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 1/10 over Brandon Smith0.5 Anytime TDo +1500 DK Metcalf0.5 Anytime TDo +210L10 2/10 over Germie Bernard0.5 Anytime TDo +330L5 0/5 over Kaden Wetjen0.5 Anytime TDo +2265
16	Dropback success rate	45.8%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Aaron Rodgers231.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
17	QB pass yards / attempt	7.07	−0.4%
No lean at 17 of 32 Aaron Rodgers231.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
17	Dropback EPA / play	+0.015	−0.05
No lean at 17 of 32 Aaron Rodgers231.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.80	−13.7%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Ben Skowronek0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 1/10 over Brandon Smith0.5 Anytime TDo +1500 DK Metcalf0.5 Anytime TDo +210L10 2/10 over Germie Bernard0.5 Anytime TDo +330L5 0/5 over Kaden Wetjen0.5 Anytime TDo +2265
T18	Receptions / game · WR	10.6	−7.0%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 DK Metcalf3.5 Receptionso −160 · u +130L10 5/10 over Germie Bernard3.5 Receptionso −141 · u +125L5 2/5 over
19	Rec yards / game · WR	138.8	−7.4%
No lean at 19 of 32 DK Metcalf51.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard40.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L5 1/5 over
19	Dropback explosive rate	7.8%	−0.4 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Aaron Rodgers36.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over
T22	Dropbacks / game	35.8	−4.3%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu33.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
23	Target share · WR	54.9%	−3.0 pp
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu3.5 Receptions+130 theScore BetL10 5/10 Germie Bernardu3.5 Receptions+125 theScore BetL5 3/5 DK Metcalfu51.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 7/10 Germie Bernardu40.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL5 4/5
T23	RZ targets / game · RB	0.40	−45.3%
T25	Red-zone trips / game	2.60	−19.5%
26	Rush explosive rate	8.1%	−1.3 pp
T27	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.40	−54.6%
29	Rush success rate	34.3%	−5.6 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Aaron Rodgersu0.5 Rush Yards−125 bet365L10 4/10
30	RB yards / carry	3.37	−18.1%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
31	RB carries / game	17.8	−19.4%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu14.5 Rushing Attempts−125 bet365L10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rushing Attempts−140 bet365L10 5/10
31	RB rush yards / game	60.0	−34.2%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
31	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.254	−0.16
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
31	Offensive plays faced / game	55.6	−9.4%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu33.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 3/10

PIT defense allowsWhat Tampa Bay sees

5 games

PIT funnels toward RB targets: 6th-most allowed (21.6%). Offenses pass 0.1 pp less often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Dropback explosive rate	11.4%	+3.2 pp
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso30.5 Longest Completion−110 DraftKingsL3 1/3
T5	Rec yards / game · RB	40.0	+29.8%
Supports OVER Kenny Gainwello13.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 6/10 Bucky Irvingo11.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 5/10
6	Target share · RB	21.6%	+3.4 pp
Supports OVER Kenny Gainwello2.5 Receptions+107 betPARXL10 7/10 Bucky Irvingo1.5 Receptions−167 betPARXL10 6/10 Kenny Gainwello13.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 6/10 Bucky Irvingo11.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T8	Receptions / game · RB	5.0	+12.4%
Supports OVER Kenny Gainwello2.5 Receptions+107 betPARXL10 7/10 Bucky Irvingo1.5 Receptions−167 betPARXL10 6/10
9	Dropback success rate	47.4%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso176.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL3 1/3
T9	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.60	+17.1%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+500 FanDuelL10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 FanDuel Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
11	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.051	+0.04
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo64.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello9.5 Rush Yards−118 betPARXL10 8/10
11	QB pass yards / attempt	7.39	+4.2%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso176.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL3 1/3
T11	RZ targets / game · RB	0.60	−18.0%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo0.5 Anytime TD+190 FanDuelL10 3/10 Kenny Gainwello0.5 Anytime TD+375 bet365L10 3/10 Sean Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 4/10
T12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.80	−9.2%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo0.5 Anytime TD+190 FanDuelL10 3/10 Kenny Gainwello0.5 Anytime TD+375 bet365L10 3/10 Sean Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL10 4/10
15	RB yards / carry	4.13	+0.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Bucky Irving64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Kenny Gainwell9.5 Rush Yardso −118 · u −110L10 8/10 over
15	QB completion rate	64.6%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Jalon Daniels17.5 Completionso −112 · u −105L3 2/3 over
15	Dropback EPA / play	+0.040	−0.03
No lean at 15 of 32 Jalon Daniels176.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L3 1/3 over
16	RB rush yards / game	90.8	−0.5%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bucky Irving64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Kenny Gainwell9.5 Rush Yardso −118 · u −110L10 8/10 over
16	QB pass yards / game	233.6	−0.3%
No lean at 16 of 32 Jalon Daniels176.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L3 1/3 over
17	RB carries / game	22.0	−0.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Bucky Irving15.5 Rushing Attemptso +100 · u −105L10 6/10 over Kenny Gainwell3.5 Rushing Attemptso +125 · u −160L10 7/10 over
17	Target share · WR	58.2%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Chris Godwin Jr.3.5 Receptionso +140 · u −150L10 6/10 over Emeka Egbuka3.5 Receptionso −122 · u +110L10 4/10 over Emeka Egbuka35.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −110L10 5/10 over Chris Godwin Jr.29.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −112L10 7/10 over
17	Rush explosive rate	9.3%	−0.1 pp
17	Rec yards / game · WR	144.0	−3.9%
No lean at 17 of 32 Emeka Egbuka35.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −110L10 5/10 over Chris Godwin Jr.29.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −112L10 7/10 over
17	Receptions / game · WR	10.8	−5.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Chris Godwin Jr.3.5 Receptionso +140 · u −150L10 6/10 over Emeka Egbuka3.5 Receptionso −122 · u +110L10 4/10 over
18	Rush success rate	39.8%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Bucky Irving64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Jalon Daniels37.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −110L3 1/3 over Kenny Gainwell9.5 Rush Yardso −118 · u −110L10 8/10 over
18	Rec yards / game · TE	49.6	−7.3%
No lean at 18 of 32 Cade Otton31.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −112L10 5/10 over
21	QB pass attempts / game	31.6	−4.7%
Supports UNDER Jalon Danielsu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 BetMGML3 3/3
T21	QB completions / game	20.4	−4.3%
Supports UNDER Jalon Danielsu17.5 Completions−105 BetOnline.agL3 1/3
T21	Receptions / game · TE	4.6	−15.4%
Supports UNDER Cade Ottonu3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 6/10
25	Dropbacks / game	35.0	−6.4%
Supports UNDER Jalon Danielsu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 BetMGML3 3/3
26	Target share · TE	20.3%	−3.6 pp
Supports UNDER Cade Ottonu3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 6/10 Cade Ottonu31.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10
26	Offensive plays faced / game	58.6	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Jalon Danielsu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 BetMGML3 3/3
T27	RZ targets / game · TE	0.60	−50.8%
T28	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.40	−56.8%
T31	RZ targets / game · WR	1.20	−51.8%
32	Red-zone trips / game	1.60	−50.5%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

TB defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

17 games

TB funnels toward QB passing yards: 6th-most allowed (254.8). Offenses pass 1.3 pp more often than expected against TB.

TB allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rec yards / game · RB	50.6	+59.9%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno21.5 Rec Yards−135 bet365L10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo9.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
3	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.71	+62.6%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+425 BetMGML10 1/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
6	Dropback success rate	49.4%	+3.7 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso231.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
6	QB pass yards / game	254.8	+13.2%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso231.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
6	QB pass yards / attempt	7.63	+8.6%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso231.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
7	QB completions / game	22.3	+8.1%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso21.5 Completions−105 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
7	QB completion rate	66.7%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso21.5 Completions−105 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
T8	Receptions / game · TE	5.8	+10.8%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho3.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 4/10 Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 4/10
8	Dropbacks / game	37.9	+3.9%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso33.5 Passing Attempts−107 DraftKingsL10 7/10
10	QB pass attempts / game	33.4	+4.2%
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso33.5 Passing Attempts−107 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T10	Dropback explosive rate	8.7%	+0.6 pp
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso36.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 4/10
10	Receptions / game · RB	4.7	+8.7%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno3.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 3/10 Rico Dowdleo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 8/10
T11	Receptions / game · WR	11.7	+6.2%
Supports OVER DK Metcalfo3.5 Receptions−160 bet365L10 5/10 Germie Bernardo3.5 Receptions−141 betPARXL5 2/5
12	Rec yards / game · WR	147.6	+5.8%
Supports OVER DK Metcalfo51.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Germie Bernardo40.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL5 1/5
T13	RB yards / carry	4.31	−0.6%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
13	Rec yards / game · TE	56.6	+6.3%
Supports OVER Pat Freiermutho36.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Darnell Washingtono20.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10
13	Dropback EPA / play	+0.080	+0.04
Supports OVER Aaron Rodgerso231.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
14	Target share · WR	58.7%	+0.7 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 DK Metcalf3.5 Receptionso −160 · u +130L10 5/10 over Germie Bernard3.5 Receptionso −141 · u +125L5 2/5 over DK Metcalf51.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L10 3/10 over Germie Bernard40.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L5 1/5 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.82	−8.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Eli Heidenreich0.5 Anytime TDo +1900 Jaylen Warren0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 2/10 over Lew Nichols0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L2 0/2 over Rico Dowdle0.5 Anytime TDo +195L10 1/10 over Riley Nowakowski0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Travis Homer0.5 Anytime TDo +2000L10 0/10 over
19	RZ targets / game · TE	1.12	−8.5%
No lean at 19 of 32 Darnell Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +425L10 1/10 over Pat Freiermuth0.5 Anytime TDo +350L10 3/10 over Robert Tonyan0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over
20	Rush explosive rate	9.2%	−0.7 pp
21	Target share · TE	23.5%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Pat Freiermuthu3.5 Receptions−130 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Darnell Washingtonu2.5 Receptions−121 betPARXL10 6/10 Pat Freiermuthu36.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Darnell Washingtonu20.5 Rec Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.82	−7.8%
T21	RZ targets / game · RB	0.59	−21.7%
22	Target share · RB	17.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu3.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu1.5 Receptions+105 bet365L10 2/10 Jaylen Warrenu21.5 Rec Yards+105 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu9.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	1.88	−20.8%
26	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.092	−0.04
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
27	RB rush yards / game	78.8	−16.9%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
27	Offensive plays faced / game	58.2	−3.8%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu33.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
30	Rush success rate	36.4%	−5.0 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu62.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu28.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Aaron Rodgersu0.5 Rush Yards−125 bet365L10 4/10
31	RB carries / game	18.3	−16.3%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu14.5 Rushing Attempts−125 bet365L10 7/10 Rico Dowdleu8.5 Rushing Attempts−140 bet365L10 5/10
31	Red-zone trips / game	2.53	−21.0%

PIT defense allowsWhat Tampa Bay sees

17 games

PIT funnels toward QB passing yards: 3rd-most allowed (261.0). Offenses pass 2.3 pp less often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Offensive plays faced / game	64.9	+7.2%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso27.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L3 0/3
T2	RZ targets / game · TE	2.12	+73.3%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+500 FanDuelL10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 FanDuel Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
3	QB pass yards / game	261.0	+16.0%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso176.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL3 1/3
3	Receptions / game · WR	12.5	+13.6%
Supports OVER Chris Godwin Jr.o3.5 Receptions+140 bet365L10 6/10 Emeka Egbukao3.5 Receptions−122 betPARXL10 4/10
4	QB pass attempts / game	36.1	+12.5%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso27.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L3 0/3
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso17.5 Completions−112 betPARXL3 2/3
4	Rec yards / game · TE	65.9	+23.7%
Supports OVER Cade Ottono31.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10
4	Receptions / game · TE	6.2	+18.8%
Supports OVER Cade Ottono3.5 Receptions+120 FanaticsL10 4/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.65	+48.9%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+500 FanDuelL10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 FanDuel Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
5	Rec yards / game · WR	163.7	+17.3%
Supports OVER Emeka Egbukao35.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Chris Godwin Jr.o29.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10
6	Dropbacks / game	40.5	+11.0%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso27.5 Passing Attempts−115 bet365L3 0/3
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER Chris Godwin Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+450 CourtsideL10 2/10 Emeka Egbukao0.5 Anytime TD+310 BetMGML10 2/10 Kameron Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Ted Hurst IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL5 1/5 Tez Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 0/10
T9	RZ targets / game · WR	2.71	+14.1%
Supports OVER Chris Godwin Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+450 CourtsideL10 2/10 Emeka Egbukao0.5 Anytime TD+310 BetMGML10 2/10 Kameron Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Ted Hurst IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+550 CourtsideL5 1/5 Tez Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 0/10
10	QB pass yards / attempt	7.24	+3.1%
Supports OVER Jalon Danielso176.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL3 1/3
12	RB carries / game	22.5	+3.1%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo15.5 Rushing Attempts+100 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Kenny Gainwello3.5 Rushing Attempts+125 bet365L10 7/10
T13	Target share · TE	24.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Cade Ottono3.5 Receptions+120 FanaticsL10 4/10 Cade Ottono31.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10
14	Receptions / game · RB	4.5	+5.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Kenny Gainwell2.5 Receptionso +107 · u −125L10 7/10 over Bucky Irving1.5 Receptionso −167 · u +142L10 6/10 over
14	Red-zone trips / game	3.24	+1.1%
No lean at 14 of 32 Baker Mayfield0.5 Anytime TDo +700L10 1/10 over Bauer Sharp0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Bucky Irving0.5 Anytime TDo +190L10 3/10 over Cade Otton0.5 Anytime TDo +500L10 1/10 over Chris Godwin Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 2/10 over Emeka Egbuka0.5 Anytime TDo +310L10 2/10 over Jalon Daniels0.5 Anytime TDo +420L3 0/3 over Kameron Johnson0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Kenny Gainwell0.5 Anytime TDo +375L10 3/10 over Ko Kieft0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Payne Durham0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Sean Tucker0.5 Anytime TDo +550L10 4/10 over Ted Hurst III0.5 Anytime TDo +550L5 1/5 over Tez Johnson0.5 Anytime TDo +700L10 0/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · RB	31.4	−0.7%
No lean at 15 of 32 Kenny Gainwell13.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −115L10 6/10 over Bucky Irving11.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 5/10 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.9%	0.0 pp
16	RB rush yards / game	96.4	+1.6%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bucky Irving64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Kenny Gainwell9.5 Rush Yardso −118 · u −110L10 8/10 over
16	Target share · WR	58.4%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Chris Godwin Jr.3.5 Receptionso +140 · u −150L10 6/10 over Emeka Egbuka3.5 Receptionso −122 · u +110L10 4/10 over Emeka Egbuka35.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −110L10 5/10 over Chris Godwin Jr.29.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −112L10 7/10 over
17	RB yards / carry	4.28	−1.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Bucky Irving64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Kenny Gainwell9.5 Rush Yardso −118 · u −110L10 8/10 over
17	QB completion rate	64.6%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Jalon Daniels17.5 Completionso −112 · u −105L3 2/3 over
17	Dropback EPA / play	+0.045	0.00
No lean at 17 of 32 Jalon Daniels176.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L3 1/3 over
18	Dropback success rate	45.3%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Jalon Daniels176.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L3 1/3 over
T18	RZ targets / game · RB	0.71	−5.7%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Bucky Irving0.5 Anytime TDo +190L10 3/10 over Kenny Gainwell0.5 Anytime TDo +375L10 3/10 over Sean Tucker0.5 Anytime TDo +550L10 4/10 over
21	Rush success rate	39.9%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu64.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Jalon Danielsu37.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL3 2/3 Kenny Gainwellu9.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 2/10
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.7%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Jalon Danielsu30.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL3 2/3
23	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.087	−0.03
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu64.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Kenny Gainwellu9.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 2/10
24	Target share · RB	16.8%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Kenny Gainwellu2.5 Receptions−125 bet365L10 3/10 Bucky Irvingu1.5 Receptions+142 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwellu13.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 4/10 Bucky Irvingu11.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
T31	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.41	−54.2%