Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

SF @ ATL

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 22, 2026 · 5–7 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat San Francisco sees

6 games

ATL funnels toward QB passing yards: 4th-most allowed (268.7). Offenses pass 4.9 pp more often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Receptions / game · WR	14.8	+28.1%
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso2.5 Receptions+160 bet365L10 2/10 Jordan Watkinso1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L8 1/8
2	QB pass attempts / game	41.0	+21.5%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 2/10
2	QB completions / game	26.5	+22.8%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo20.5 Completions+100 betPARXL10 3/10
T2	RZ targets / game · TE	2.50	+92.0%
Supports OVER Brayden Williso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 George Kittleo0.5 Anytime TD+140 Bally BetL10 6/10 Luke Farrello0.5 Anytime TD+1300 Bally BetL10 0/10
2	Dropbacks / game	44.5	+17.2%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 2/10
4	QB pass yards / game	268.7	+13.7%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo238.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 5/10
T4	Receptions / game · RB	5.3	+20.4%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo5.5 Receptions+107 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Kyle Juszczyko1.5 Receptions+115 bet365L10 4/10 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Receptions+120 bet365L6 2/6
4	RZ targets / game · RB	1.17	+56.0%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo0.5 Anytime TD−225 BetMGML10 7/10 Jordan Jameso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L3 0/3 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Anytime TD+410 Bally BetL6 0/6 Kyle Juszczyko0.5 Anytime TD+525 BetMGML10 2/10
4	RZ targets / game · WR	3.67	+45.8%
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Kirko0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 3/10 Jacob Cowingo0.5 Anytime TD+850 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jordan Watkinso0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL8 0/8 Malik Turnero0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL4 0/4 Mike Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+145 Bally BetL10 5/10
5	Rec yards / game · WR	182.3	+20.9%
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso25.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 2/10 Jordan Watkinso24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L8 1/8
T5	Red-zone trips / game	4.17	+26.9%
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Brayden Williso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Brock Purdyo0.5 Anytime TD+360 BetMGML10 2/10 Christian Kirko0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 3/10 Christian McCaffreyo0.5 Anytime TD−225 BetMGML10 7/10 George Kittleo0.5 Anytime TD+140 Bally BetL10 6/10 Jacob Cowingo0.5 Anytime TD+850 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jordan Jameso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L3 0/3 Jordan Watkinso0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL8 0/8 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Anytime TD+410 Bally BetL6 0/6 Kyle Juszczyko0.5 Anytime TD+525 BetMGML10 2/10 Luke Farrello0.5 Anytime TD+1300 Bally BetL10 0/10 Malik Turnero0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL4 0/4 Mike Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+145 Bally BetL10 5/10
5	Offensive plays faced / game	66.0	+6.8%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 2/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.17	+32.3%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo0.5 Anytime TD−225 BetMGML10 7/10 Jordan Jameso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L3 0/3 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Anytime TD+410 Bally BetL6 0/6 Kyle Juszczyko0.5 Anytime TD+525 BetMGML10 2/10
8	Target share · RB	19.8%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo5.5 Receptions+107 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Kyle Juszczyko1.5 Receptions+115 bet365L10 4/10 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Receptions+120 bet365L6 2/6 Christian McCaffreyo44.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 2/10 Kyle Juszczyko11.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 4/10 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Rec Yards+140 bet365L6 2/6
T8	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.67	+28.0%
Supports OVER Brayden Williso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 George Kittleo0.5 Anytime TD+140 Bally BetL10 6/10 Luke Farrello0.5 Anytime TD+1300 Bally BetL10 0/10
9	Receptions / game · TE	6.3	+14.2%
Supports OVER George Kittleo5.5 Receptions−110 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
T11	Rec yards / game · TE	56.2	+3.4%
Supports OVER George Kittleo69.5 Rec Yards−104 Bally BetL10 5/10
15	Target share · WR	58.2%	0.0 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Brandin Cooks2.5 Receptionso +160 · u −188L10 2/10 over Jordan Watkins1.5 Receptionso −135 · u +105L8 1/8 over Brandin Cooks25.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 2/10 over Jordan Watkins24.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L8 1/8 over
17	QB completion rate	64.6%	+0.6 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Brock Purdy20.5 Completionso +100 · u −110L10 3/10 over
18	Dropback EPA / play	+0.025	−0.03
No lean at 18 of 32 Brock Purdy238.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
20	RB yards / carry	3.88	−4.7%
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu60.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacku29.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6
21	Rush success rate	38.8%	−1.2 pp
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu60.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacku29.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6 Brock Purdyu19.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 1/10
21	Rec yards / game · RB	30.2	−2.7%
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu44.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 8/10 Kyle Juszczyku11.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Kaelon Blacku0.5 Rec Yards−180 bet365L6 4/6
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.67	−24.1%
22	Dropback success rate	43.4%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu238.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10
22	Dropback explosive rate	7.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu36.5 Longest Completion−110 BovadaL10 3/10
22	QB pass yards / attempt	6.55	−6.7%
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu238.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10
23	Target share · TE	22.0%	−2.0 pp
Supports UNDER George Kittleu5.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 7/10 George Kittleu69.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
23	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.132	−0.04
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu60.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacku29.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6
T24	RB rush yards / game	77.7	−13.3%
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu60.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacku29.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6
25	RB carries / game	20.0	−8.9%
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu15.5 Rushing Attempts−120 bet365L10 8/10 Kaelon Blacku7.5 Rushing Attempts−145 bet365L6 4/6
27	Rush explosive rate	7.8%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu13.5 Longest Rush−114 betPARXL10 6/10 Brock Purdyu11.5 Longest Rush−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Kaelon Blacku10.5 Longest Rush−112 DraftKingsL6 4/6

SF defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

6 games

SF funnels toward RB targets: 1st-most allowed (24.5%). Offenses pass 6.1 pp less often than expected against SF.

SF allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Target share · RB	24.5%	+6.8 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 5/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 5/10 Bijan Robinsono27.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
1	Receptions / game · RB	7.2	+62.0%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 5/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 5/10
2	Rec yards / game · RB	46.0	+48.3%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono27.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
4	Rush success rate	45.4%	+5.4 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono86.5 Rush Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Michael Penix Jr.o1.5 Rush Yards−104 CourtsideL10 6/10
7	QB completions / game	23.5	+8.9%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−112 betPARXL10 4/10
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.83	+10.7%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−235 BetMGML10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+270 BetMGML10 2/10
11	QB pass attempts / game	35.7	+5.7%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 5/10
11	QB completion rate	65.9%	+1.9 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−112 betPARXL10 4/10
T11	Dropbacks / game	39.0	+2.7%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 5/10
T15	RB carries / game	22.0	+0.2%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Bijan Robinson18.5 Rushing Attemptso −109 · u −117L10 5/10 over
15	Offensive plays faced / game	62.5	+1.2%
No lean at 15 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −104 · u −110L10 5/10 over
16	Receptions / game · TE	5.3	−3.8%
No lean at 16 of 32 Kyle Pitts Sr.3.5 Receptionso +110 · u −120L10 5/10 over Austin Hooper0.5 Receptionso −125 · u +115L10 6/10 over
T17	RZ targets / game · WR	2.33	−7.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L9 0/9 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 1/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 2/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 1/10 over Zachariah Branch0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L6 0/6 over
18	Receptions / game · WR	11.0	−5.0%
No lean at 18 of 32 Drake London5.5 Receptionso −130 · u +112L10 3/10 over Jahan Dotson2.5 Receptionso +152 · u −165L10 3/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus1.5 Receptionso +185 · u −200L10 2/10 over Zachariah Branch1.5 Receptionso +180 · u −210L6 4/6 over
T18	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.83	−6.0%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L9 0/9 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 1/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 2/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 1/10 over Zachariah Branch0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L6 0/6 over
19	Target share · TE	22.5%	−1.5 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Kyle Pitts Sr.3.5 Receptionso +110 · u −120L10 5/10 over Austin Hooper0.5 Receptionso −125 · u +115L10 6/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.34.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −114L10 6/10 over Austin Hooper4.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −114L10 6/10 over
T20	Red-zone trips / game	3.00	−8.7%
21	Dropback EPA / play	+0.007	−0.05
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u228.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.67	−24.2%
T22	QB pass yards / game	225.7	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u228.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
23	RB rush yards / game	80.0	−10.7%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu86.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
23	Rec yards / game · WR	137.8	−8.6%
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu81.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 6/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 6/10 Olamide Zaccheausu7.5 Rec Yards−120 FanDuelL10 6/10 Zachariah Branchu5.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL6 1/6
24	QB pass yards / attempt	6.33	−9.9%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u228.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
25	Rec yards / game · TE	41.8	−23.0%
Supports UNDER Kyle Pitts Sr.u34.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Austin Hooperu4.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
26	RB yards / carry	3.64	−10.6%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu86.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
T26	Dropback success rate	42.3%	−3.0 pp
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u228.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
29	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.157	−0.06
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu86.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
29	Target share · WR	53.0%	−5.2 pp
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu5.5 Receptions+112 FanDuelL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu2.5 Receptions−165 BetMGML10 7/10 Olamide Zaccheausu1.5 Receptions−200 bet365L10 8/10 Zachariah Branchu1.5 Receptions−210 bet365L6 2/6 Drake Londonu81.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 6/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 6/10 Olamide Zaccheausu7.5 Rec Yards−120 FanDuelL10 6/10 Zachariah Branchu5.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL6 1/6
29	Dropback explosive rate	5.6%	−2.4 pp
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u34.5 Longest Completion−115 betPARXL10 1/10
29	RZ targets / game · TE	0.67	−48.5%
T30	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.00	−100.0%
32	Rush explosive rate	2.8%	−6.4 pp
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu17.5 Longest Rush−115 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u10.5 Longest Rush−120 betPARXL10 6/10 Michael Penix Jr.u2.5 Longest Rush−105 bet365L10 4/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat San Francisco sees

17 games

ATL leans toward WR targets: 9th-most allowed (60.7%). Offenses pass 2.7 pp less often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.18	+32.7%
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Kirko0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 3/10 Jacob Cowingo0.5 Anytime TD+850 CourtsideL10 0/10 Jordan Watkinso0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL8 0/8 Malik Turnero0.5 Anytime TD+3000 CourtsideL4 0/4 Mike Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+145 Bally BetL10 5/10
6	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.004	+0.05
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo60.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacko29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL6 2/6
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo0.5 Anytime TD−225 BetMGML10 7/10 Jordan Jameso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L3 0/3 Kaelon Blacko0.5 Anytime TD+410 Bally BetL6 0/6 Kyle Juszczyko0.5 Anytime TD+525 BetMGML10 2/10
9	Target share · WR	60.7%	+2.7 pp
Supports OVER Brandin Cookso2.5 Receptions+160 bet365L10 2/10 Jordan Watkinso1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L8 1/8 Brandin Cookso25.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 2/10 Jordan Watkinso24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L8 1/8
10	Rush success rate	43.4%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo60.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacko29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL6 2/6 Brock Purdyo19.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 9/10
10	RB yards / carry	4.53	+4.5%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo60.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacko29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL6 2/6
12	RB rush yards / game	101.6	+7.1%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo60.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 5/10 Kaelon Blacko29.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL6 2/6
12	Dropback explosive rate	8.4%	+0.3 pp
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo36.5 Longest Completion−115 FliffL10 7/10
12	Dropbacks / game	37.1	+1.7%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 2/10
13	RB carries / game	22.4	+2.5%
Supports OVER Christian McCaffreyo15.5 Rushing Attempts−104 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Kaelon Blacko7.5 Rushing Attempts+115 bet365L6 2/6
13	QB pass yards / attempt	7.13	+1.5%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo238.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 5/10
13	Offensive plays faced / game	61.6	+1.7%
Supports OVER Brock Purdyo31.5 Passing Attempts+100 BovadaL10 2/10
14	Target share · RB	18.6%	+0.7 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Christian McCaffrey5.5 Receptionso +107 · u −118L10 3/10 over Kyle Juszczyk1.5 Receptionso +115 · u −140L10 4/10 over Kaelon Black0.5 Receptionso +120 · u −150L6 2/6 over Christian McCaffrey44.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over Kyle Juszczyk11.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over Kaelon Black0.5 Rec Yardso +140 · u −180L6 2/6 over
14	Rec yards / game · WR	144.1	+3.2%
No lean at 14 of 32 Brandin Cooks25.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 2/10 over Jordan Watkins24.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L8 1/8 over
T16	Receptions / game · WR	11.1	+0.8%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brandin Cooks2.5 Receptionso +160 · u −188L10 2/10 over Jordan Watkins1.5 Receptionso −135 · u +105L8 1/8 over
T16	RZ targets / game · WR	2.35	−1.0%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brandin Cooks0.5 Anytime TDo +460L10 1/10 over Christian Kirk0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 3/10 over Jacob Cowing0.5 Anytime TDo +850L10 0/10 over Jordan Watkins0.5 Anytime TDo +600L8 0/8 over Malik Turner0.5 Anytime TDo +3000L4 0/4 over Mike Evans0.5 Anytime TDo +145L10 5/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · RB	29.9	−5.4%
No lean at 17 of 32 Christian McCaffrey44.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over Kyle Juszczyk11.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over Kaelon Black0.5 Rec Yardso +140 · u −180L6 2/6 over
17	Dropback success rate	45.4%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Brock Purdy238.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
18	QB pass yards / game	221.9	−1.4%
No lean at 18 of 32 Brock Purdy238.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.1	−5.1%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Christian McCaffrey5.5 Receptionso +107 · u −118L10 3/10 over Kyle Juszczyk1.5 Receptionso +115 · u −140L10 4/10 over Kaelon Black0.5 Receptionso +120 · u −150L6 2/6 over
20	QB pass attempts / game	31.1	−2.9%
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu31.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 8/10
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.004	−0.04
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu238.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.06	−13.4%
T20	Red-zone trips / game	3.00	−6.3%
21	Rush explosive rate	9.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Christian McCaffreyu13.5 Longest Rush−114 betPARXL10 6/10 Brock Purdyu11.5 Longest Rush−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Kaelon Blacku10.5 Longest Rush−112 DraftKingsL6 4/6
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.76	−15.1%
23	QB completion rate	62.6%	−1.7 pp
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu20.5 Completions−110 bet365L10 7/10
24	Rec yards / game · TE	46.1	−13.5%
Supports UNDER George Kittleu69.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
25	QB completions / game	19.5	−5.6%
Supports UNDER Brock Purdyu20.5 Completions−110 bet365L10 7/10
28	Target share · TE	20.1%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER George Kittleu5.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 7/10 George Kittleu69.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
T29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−22.7%
Supports UNDER George Kittleu5.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 7/10
32	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.18	−58.8%

SF defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

17 games

SF funnels toward RB targets: tied for 4th-most allowed (20.0%). Offenses pass 0.7 pp less often than expected against SF.

SF allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Rush success rate	47.4%	+6.0 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono86.5 Rush Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Michael Penix Jr.o1.5 Rush Yards−104 CourtsideL10 6/10
2	QB completions / game	23.4	+13.5%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−112 betPARXL10 4/10
T2	Receptions / game · RB	5.5	+29.2%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 5/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 5/10
T2	RZ targets / game · RB	1.12	+48.7%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−235 BetMGML10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+270 BetMGML10 2/10
T4	Target share · RB	20.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 5/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Receptions−145 bet365L10 5/10 Bijan Robinsono27.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
5	QB completion rate	68.2%	+3.9 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−112 betPARXL10 4/10
T6	Target share · TE	26.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions+110 bet365L10 5/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−125 bet365L10 6/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o34.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 6/10 Austin Hoopero4.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 6/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.59	+35.1%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+1200 BovadaL10 1/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BetMGML10 0/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 4/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+5000 Bovada
T6	RZ targets / game · TE	1.41	+15.3%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+1200 BovadaL10 1/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BetMGML10 0/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 4/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+5000 Bovada
7	Dropback success rate	49.1%	+3.5 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o228.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
8	QB pass attempts / game	34.4	+7.2%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 5/10
8	Dropback EPA / play	+0.138	+0.09
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o228.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T8	Receptions / game · TE	5.8	+10.8%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions+110 bet365L10 5/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−125 bet365L10 6/10
9	Receptions / game · WR	12.0	+8.8%
Supports OVER Drake Londono5.5 Receptions−130 BovadaL10 3/10 Jahan Dotsono2.5 Receptions+152 FanDuelL10 3/10 Olamide Zaccheauso1.5 Receptions+185 CaesarsL10 2/10 Zachariah Brancho1.5 Receptions+180 theScore BetL6 4/6
10	Rec yards / game · RB	35.2	+11.2%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono27.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
10	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.026	+0.03
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono86.5 Rush Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
10	QB pass yards / game	241.8	+7.4%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o228.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
11	RB yards / carry	4.46	+2.9%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono86.5 Rush Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o24.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
11	Rec yards / game · WR	149.1	+6.8%
Supports OVER Drake Londono81.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Jahan Dotsono28.5 Rec Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL10 4/10 Olamide Zaccheauso7.5 Rec Yards−104 CourtsideL10 4/10 Zachariah Brancho5.5 Rec Yards−102 FanDuelL6 5/6
11	Rec yards / game · TE	57.5	+7.8%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o34.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 6/10 Austin Hoopero4.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 6/10
11	Dropbacks / game	37.2	+2.2%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 5/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−1.7%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−235 BetMGML10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+270 BetMGML10 2/10
T15	Red-zone trips / game	3.06	−4.5%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Austin Hooper0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 1/10 over Bijan Robinson0.5 Anytime TDo −235L10 6/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +270L10 2/10 over Charlie Woerner0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L10 0/10 over Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L9 0/9 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 1/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 2/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.0.5 Anytime TDo +290L10 4/10 over Michael Penix Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1150L10 0/10 over Nick Muse0.5 Anytime TDo +5000 Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 1/10 over Zachariah Branch0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L6 0/6 over
17	QB pass yards / attempt	7.04	+0.2%
No lean at 17 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.228.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
19	RB rush yards / game	93.2	−1.8%
No lean at 19 of 32 Bijan Robinson86.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −115L10 4/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.24.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −114L10 4/10 over
T19	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.88	−1.1%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L9 0/9 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +135L10 1/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 2/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 1/10 over Zachariah Branch0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L6 0/6 over
21	RB carries / game	20.9	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu18.5 Rushing Attempts−117 DraftKingsL10 5/10
21	Offensive plays faced / game	59.9	−1.0%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
24	Dropback explosive rate	7.1%	−1.0 pp
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u34.5 Longest Completion−115 betPARXL10 1/10
25	Rush explosive rate	8.5%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu17.5 Longest Rush−115 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u10.5 Longest Rush−120 betPARXL10 6/10 Michael Penix Jr.u2.5 Longest Rush−105 bet365L10 4/10
28	Target share · WR	54.0%	−4.0 pp
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu5.5 Receptions+112 FanDuelL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu2.5 Receptions−165 BetMGML10 7/10 Olamide Zaccheausu1.5 Receptions−200 bet365L10 8/10 Zachariah Branchu1.5 Receptions−210 bet365L6 2/6 Drake Londonu81.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 6/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 6/10 Olamide Zaccheausu7.5 Rec Yards−120 FanDuelL10 6/10 Zachariah Branchu5.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL6 1/6
30	RZ targets / game · WR	1.71	−28.0%