NBA RESEARCH
Aaron Nesmith projected minutes tonight
Aaron Nesmith is projected for 27 minutes tonight at the Heat, 8:00 PM ET, as an expected starter for the Pacers; his likely range is 19 to 32. He is probable on the injury report.
Likely 19 to 32
Expected starterProbable on the injury report
Pacers at Heat · 8:00 PM ET · Friday, October 30
Updated Fri, Oct 30, 5:30 PM ET, after the 5:30 PM ET official injury report.
His game log at about 27 minutes →Every lineup in this game →
Recent minutes
Averaging 26.4 minutes over his last 10 games played, both seasons.
| Date | Opponent | Minutes |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | vs PHI | 27 |
| Oct 26 | at MIL | 21 |
| Oct 25 | at BKN | 19 |
| Oct 23 | vs DAL | 20 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | vs LAC | 35 |
How are these minutes projected?
Each player starts from his recent minutes, with recent games counting most. The estimate then adjusts for his role tonight, teammates ruled out on the official injury report, back-to-backs and returns from absence. The likely range holds about 4 in 5 of his games. Starters are NBA.com's posted lineup where a club has one, otherwise our projection, and the page says which.
Projections post after the 11:00 AM ET injury report and update after the 5:00 PM ET report. Tested on every game of the 2025-26 season, the average miss is 4.6 minutes a player.
Tonight's projected minutes, every game → · Research player props in the Lab →