← Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

Patrick Bailey

CLEbats L8th in the order · projectedDetroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians2:11 PMProgressive Field

facingAndrew Sears6.75 ERA · 5.40 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 6.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 3.6% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.7% (league avg 7.4%)
Bailey at the plateHR/PA 2.7%barrel rate 7.2%hard-hit% 42.5%

Home Runs

88 games logged
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Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin3.6%
no split for this stat
league avg 2.9%+0.7% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.7%
no split for this stat
league avg 7.4%+1.3% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
hard-hit% allowedthin30.4%
no split for this stat
league avg 38.2%-7.8% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
fly-ball% allowedthin34.8%
no split for this stat
league avg 26.7%+8.1% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin2.7%2.1%
47th percentileleague avg 3.0%292 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason 2.7% (47th)thin sample: 48 PAneutralsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin7.2%7.4%
50th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 7.2% (50th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit%thin42.5%40.7%
68th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 42.5% (68th)thin sample: 27 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball%thin25.6%33.3%
42nd percentileleague avg 26.7%292 PAvs LHP · 89th pctseason 25.6% (42nd)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLGthin.405.316
65th percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 12th pctseason .405 (65th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.161.134
64th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason .161 (64th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERneutral
avg exit velothin89.6 mph91.1 mph
71st percentileleague avg 88.0 mph292 PAvs LHP · 87th pctseason 89.6 mph (71st)thin sample: 27 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Home Runs by split
GPAHRHR/PASLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●184400.0%.2820% (0/18)
vs RHP6924483.3%.34712% (8/69)
at home ●4715553.2%.37111% (5/47)
on the road4113732.2%.2867% (3/41)
season8829282.7%.3329% (8/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAHR/PABBEbarrelxSLGxISOEV
vs LHP ●482.1%277.4%.316.13491.1
vs RHP2442.9%1667.2%.412.16289.4
at home ●1553.2%1128.9%.452.17789.9
on the road1372.2%814.9%.332.13589.4
season2922.7%1937.3%.398.15889.7
0.5line
OVER+800betPARXfair +799 · +0.1% vs fair

30% boost+1040+26.5% vs market · +3.6% vs season50% boost+1200+44.3% vs market · +18.2% vs season

UNDER-1150NoVigfair -803 · -3.3% vs fair

30% boost-885-1.1% vs market · +1.2% vs season50% boost-767+0.5% vs market · +2.8% vs season

Total Bases

88 games logged
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Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
AVG against.296
no split for this stat
league avg .244+.052 vs league2 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
hard-hit% allowedthin30.4%
no split for this stat
league avg 38.2%-7.8% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.7%
no split for this stat
league avg 7.4%+1.3% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.405.316
65th percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 12th pctseason .405 (65th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.332.270
9th percentileleague avg .400292 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .332 (9th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.244.182
52nd percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .244 (52nd)thin sample: 40 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVGthin.206.162
6th percentileleague avg .244292 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .206 (6th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.161.134
64th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason .161 (64th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%thin42.5%40.7%
68th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 42.5% (68th)thin sample: 27 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel ratethin7.2%7.4%
50th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 7.2% (50th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralneutral
line-drive%thin24.1%14.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 24.1% (56th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Total Bases by split
GPATBTB/GSLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●1844110.61.28250% (9/18)
vs RHP69244761.10.34746% (32/69)
at home ●47155531.13.37149% (23/47)
on the road41137340.83.28644% (18/41)
season88292870.99.33247% (41/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PATB/PABBExSLGxISObarrelEV
vs LHP ●4820.8%27.316.1347.4%91.1
vs RHP24431.6%166.412.1627.2%89.4
at home ●15534.2%112.452.1778.9%89.9
on the road13724.8%81.332.1354.9%89.4
season29229.8%193.398.1587.3%89.7
0.5line
OVER-130Fanaticspooled fair -129

30% boost+100pooled fair50% boost+115pooled fair

UNDER+120theScore Betfair +131 · -4.6% vs fair

30% boost+156+11.1% vs market · +36.7% vs season50% boost+180+21.5% vs market · +49.5% vs season

Hits

88 games logged
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Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
AVG against.296
no split for this stat
league avg .244+.052 vs league2 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.244.182
52nd percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .244 (52nd)thin sample: 40 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVGthin.206.162
6th percentileleague avg .244292 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .206 (6th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin83.5%79.3%
45th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%292 PAvs LHP · 18th pctseason 83.5% (45th)thin sample: 58 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%thin26.3%35.2%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%292 PAvs LHP · 94th pctseason 26.3% (57th)thin sample: 88 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
K%thin24.7%27.1%
65th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%292 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason 24.7% (65th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin24.1%14.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 24.1% (56th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Hits by split
GABHAVGover 0.5
vs LHP ●18399.23150% (9/18)
vs RHP6921945.20546% (32/69)
at home ●4714333.23149% (23/47)
on the road4111921.17644% (18/41)
season8826254.20647% (41/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs LHP ●4812.5%27.18214.8%37.0%
vs RHP24419.7%166.25025.9%35.5%
at home ●15521.3%112.27527.7%41.1%
on the road13715.3%81.19719.8%28.4%
season29218.5%19324.4%35.8%
0.5line
OVER-136Bovadapooled fair -123

30% boost-105pooled fair50% boost+110pooled fair

UNDER+120theScore Betfair +123 · -1.1% vs fair

30% boost+156+14.9% vs market · +36.7% vs season50% boost+180+25.7% vs market · +49.5% vs season

H+R+RBI

88 games logged
line1.5

the arm: what drives h+r+rbi

No market-specific profile for Andrew Sears in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.

Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per gamethin1.260.83
11th percentileleague avg 1.7588 gamesvs LHP · 0th pctseason 1.26 (11th)thin sample: 18 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.312
no split for this stat
54th percentileleague avg .310292 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBAthin.244.182
52nd percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .244 (52nd)thin sample: 40 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
SLGthin.332.270
9th percentileleague avg .400292 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .332 (9th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: H+R+RBI by split
GPAHRRBIH+R+RBI/Gover 1.5
vs LHP ●18449150.8317% (3/18)
vs RHP692444524261.3835% (24/69)
at home ●471553314191.4036% (17/47)
on the road411372111131.1024% (10/41)
season882925425321.2631% (27/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBAxSLGbarrelEV
vs LHP ●4812.5%27.182.3167.4%91.1
vs RHP24419.7%166.250.4127.2%89.4
at home ●15521.3%112.275.4528.9%89.9
on the road13715.3%81.197.3324.9%89.4
season29218.5%193.3987.3%89.7
1.5line
OVER+134ProphetXfair +142 · -3.5% vs fair

30% boost+174+13.2% vs market · -15.9% vs season50% boost+201+24.3% vs market · -7.6% vs season

UNDER-160theScore Betfair -144 · -4% vs fair

30% boost-123+7.1% vs market · +25.6% vs season50% boost-107+14.5% vs market · +34.3% vs season

RBIs

88 games logged
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Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
barrel% allowedthin8.7%
no split for this stat
league avg 7.4%+1.3% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
RBI per gamethin0.360.28
23rd percentileleague avg 0.4588 gamesvs LHP · 9th pctseason 0.36 (23rd)thin sample: 18 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.405.316
65th percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 12th pctseason .405 (65th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin42.5%40.7%
68th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 42.5% (68th)thin sample: 27 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel ratethin7.2%7.4%
50th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 7.2% (50th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: RBIs by split
GPARBIRBI/GSLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●184450.28.28228% (5/18)
vs RHP69244260.38.34728% (19/69)
at home ●47155190.40.37132% (15/47)
on the road41137130.32.28624% (10/41)
season88292320.36.33228% (25/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PARBI/PABBExSLGbarrelhard hitEV
vs LHP ●4818.8%27.3167.4%40.7%91.1
vs RHP2449.4%166.4127.2%42.8%89.4
at home ●15512.3%112.4528.9%45.5%89.9
on the road1379.5%81.3324.9%38.3%89.4
season292193.3987.3%42.5%89.7
0.5line
OVER+245NoVigfair +245 · -0.1% vs fair

30% boost+319+20.9% vs market · +18.9% vs season50% boost+368+35.1% vs market · +32.8% vs season

UNDER-295BetMGMfair -257 · -3.6% vs fair

30% boost-227+3.7% vs market · +3.1% vs season50% boost-197+8.6% vs market · +8% vs season

Runs

88 games logged
line0.5

the arm: what drives runs

No market-specific profile for Andrew Sears in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.

Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
runs per gamethin0.280.06
6th percentileleague avg 0.4688 gamesvs LHP · 0th pctseason 0.28 (6th)thin sample: 18 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.312
no split for this stat
54th percentileleague avg .310292 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed25.3
no split for this stat
7th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthin.244.182
52nd percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .244 (52nd)thin sample: 40 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%thin8.6%16.7%
50th percentileleague avg 8.7%292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason 8.6% (50th)thin sample: 48 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Runs by split
GPARR/GOBPover 0.5
vs LHP ●184410.06.2736% (1/18)
vs RHP69244240.35.27729% (20/69)
at home ●47155140.30.27328% (13/47)
on the road41137110.27.27220% (8/41)
season88292250.28.27224% (21/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAR/PABBExBALD%SS%EV
vs LHP ●4827.18214.8%37.0%91.1
vs RHP244166.25025.9%35.5%89.4
at home ●1559.0%112.27527.7%41.1%89.9
on the road1378.0%81.19719.8%28.4%89.4
season29219324.4%35.8%89.7
0.5line
OVER+170theScore Betfair +183 · -4.7% vs fair

30% boost+221+13.3% vs market · -23.4% vs season50% boost+255+25.3% vs market · -15.3% vs season

UNDER-220BetMGMfair -185 · -5.5% vs fair

30% boost-169+3.4% vs market · +21.1% vs season50% boost-147+9.3% vs market · +28% vs season

Doubles

88 games logged
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Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
hard-hit% allowedthin30.4%
no split for this stat
league avg 38.2%-7.8% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.7%
no split for this stat
league avg 7.4%+1.3% vs leaguethin sample: 28 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin2.4%2.1%
9th percentileleague avg 4.1%292 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 2.4% (9th)thin sample: 48 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.405.316
65th percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 12th pctseason .405 (65th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.161.134
64th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason .161 (64th)thin sample: 40 at-batssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%thin24.1%14.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 24.1% (56th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thin35.8%37.0%
55th percentileleague avg 35.3%292 PAvs LHP · 68th pctseason 35.8% (55th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed25.3
no split for this stat
7th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Doubles by split
GPA2B2B/PASLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●184424.5%.28211% (2/18)
vs RHP6924452.0%.3477% (5/69)
at home ●4715553.2%.37111% (5/47)
on the road4113721.5%.2865% (2/41)
season8829272.4%.3328% (7/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA2B/PABBExSLGLD%SS%
vs LHP ●482.1%27.31614.8%37.0%
vs RHP2442.5%166.41225.9%35.5%
at home ●1553.2%112.45227.7%41.1%
on the road1371.5%81.33219.8%28.4%
season2922.4%193.39824.4%35.8%
0.5line
OVER+507DraftKingsfair +514 · -1.1% vs fair

30% boost+659+23.7% vs market · -39.6% vs season50% boost+760+40.3% vs market · -31.6% vs season

UNDER-750BetMGMfair -539 · -4.4% vs fair

30% boost-577-1.1% vs market · +8% vs season50% boost-500+1.2% vs market · +10.5% vs season

Singles

88 games logged
line0.5

the arm: what drives singles

No market-specific profile for Andrew Sears in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.

Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.244.182
52nd percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .244 (52nd)thin sample: 40 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin83.5%79.3%
45th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%292 PAvs LHP · 18th pctseason 83.5% (45th)thin sample: 58 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%thin26.3%35.2%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%292 PAvs LHP · 94th pctseason 26.3% (57th)thin sample: 88 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin24.1%14.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 24.1% (56th)thin sample: 27 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.3
no split for this stat
7th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Singles by split
GAB1BAVGover 0.5
vs LHP ●18397.23139% (7/18)
vs RHP6921931.20532% (22/69)
at home ●4714323.23134% (16/47)
on the road4111915.17632% (13/41)
season8826238.20633% (29/88)

● tonight's split

The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA1B/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs LHP ●488.3%27.18214.8%37.0%
vs RHP24413.9%166.25025.9%35.5%
at home ●15514.8%112.27527.7%41.1%
on the road13710.9%81.19719.8%28.4%
season29213.4%19324.4%35.8%
0.5line
OVER+125theScore Betfair +147 · -8.9% vs fair

30% boost+162+6.3% vs market · -13.5% vs season50% boost+188+16.4% vs market · -5.3% vs season

UNDER-150BetMGMfair -151 · +0.1% vs fair

30% boost-115+12.2% vs market · +25.2% vs season50% boost-100+20.2% vs market · +34.1% vs season

Walks

88 games logged
line0.5

Andrew Sears Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB/91.4
no split for this stat
league avg 3.4-2.1 vs league2 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Andrew Searsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin8.6%16.7%
50th percentileleague avg 8.7%292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason 8.6% (50th)thin sample: 48 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase ratethin30.9%24.2%
55th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%292 PAvs LHP · 14th pctseason 30.9% (55th)thin sample: 124 pitches outside the zoneneutralsupports OVER
zone swing%thin70.5%69.9%
league avg 66.8%+3.7% vs league292 PAvs LHPseason 70.5%thin sample: 83 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Walks by split
GPABBBB%OBPover 0.5
vs LHP ●184436.8%.27317% (3/18)
vs RHP69244229.0%.27726% (18/69)
at home ●4715595.8%.27319% (9/47)
on the road411371611.7%.27229% (12/41)
season88292258.6%.27224% (21/88)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+260Fanaticsfair +272 · -3.2% vs fair

30% boost+338+17.8% vs market · +4.5% vs season50% boost+390+31.8% vs market · +16.9% vs season

UNDER-355DraftKingsfair -277 · -5.8% vs fair

30% boost-273+0.4% vs market · +4% vs season50% boost-237+4.6% vs market · +8.3% vs season

Hitters on the prop boardDetroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardianssorted by the focused market, not batting order

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