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Nathan Church
STLbats L8th in the order · projectedSt. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies8:41 PMCoors Field
facingRyan Feltner5.84 ERA · 6.73 K/9 · 1.55 WHIP · 101.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 10.5% (league avg 7.4%)
Church at the plateHR/PA 2.5%barrel rate 6.0%hard-hit% 30.0%
Home Runs
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%3.7%
84th percentileleague avg 2.9%456 batters facedvs LHB · 76th pctseason 4.2% (84th)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.5%10.0%
90th percentileleague avg 7.4%456 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 10.5% (90th)170 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.2%36.5%
43rd percentileleague avg 38.2%456 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 37.2% (43rd)170 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed28.8%28.8%
69th percentileleague avg 26.7%456 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason 28.8% (69th)170 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.480.454
94th percentileleague avg .386455 batters facedvs LHB · 87th pctseason .480 (94th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Feltner: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 9 | 3.7% |
| vs RHB | 213 | 10 | 4.7% |
| at home ● | 237 | 11 | 4.6% |
| on the road | 218 | 8 | 3.7% |
| season | 455 | 19 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 home runs in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.5%2.6%
41st percentileleague avg 3.0%396 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 2.5% (41st)309 PAneutralneutral
barrel rate6.0%5.6%
35th percentileleague avg 7.8%396 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 6.0% (35th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%30.0%32.0%
14th percentileleague avg 39.0%396 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 30.0% (14th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%22.7%23.5%
25th percentileleague avg 26.7%396 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason 22.7% (25th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.359.360
33rd percentileleague avg .386395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .359 (33rd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.118.121
32nd percentileleague avg .146395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .118 (32nd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo84.3 mph85.7 mph
10th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph396 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason 84.3 mph (10th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 8 | 2.6% | .390 | 8% (7/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 2 | 2.4% | .273 | 8% (2/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 6 | 2.9% | .392 | 11% (6/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 4 | 2.2% | .335 | 6% (3/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 10 | 2.5% | .365 | 8% (9/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 2.6% | 234 | 5.6% | .360 | .121 | 85.7 |
| vs LHP | 86 | 2.3% | 66 | 7.6% | .322 | .099 | 79.3 |
| on the road ● | 208 | 2.9% | 154 | 4.5% | .345 | .111 | 84.9 |
| at home | 187 | 2.1% | 146 | 7.5% | .359 | .121 | 83.6 |
| season | 395 | 2.5% | 300 | 6.0% | .352 | .116 | 84.3 |
0.5line
OVER+1011Polymarketpooled fair +798
30% boost+1314pooled fair50% boost+1516pooled fair
UNDER-900NoVigfair -827 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost-692+2.1% vs market · +5% vs season50% boost-600+4.1% vs market · +7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+13000BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+16900no market fair50% boost+19500no market fair
Total Bases
109 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.480.454
94th percentileleague avg .386455 batters facedvs LHB · 87th pctseason .480 (94th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.265.265
80th percentileleague avg .239455 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason .265 (80th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.281.288
league avg .244+.037 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason .281242 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.2%36.5%
43rd percentileleague avg 38.2%456 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 37.2% (43rd)170 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed10.5%10.0%
90th percentileleague avg 7.4%456 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 10.5% (90th)170 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Feltner: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 103 | 0.43 | .502 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 104 | 0.49 | .528 |
| at home ● | 237 | 112 | 0.47 | .528 |
| on the road | 218 | 95 | 0.44 | .500 |
| season | 455 | 207 | 0.45 | .515 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 total bases in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.359.360
33rd percentileleague avg .386395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .359 (33rd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.365.381
24th percentileleague avg .400395 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .365 (24th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.242.248
44th percentileleague avg .244395 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .242 (44th)309 PAneutralneutral
xISO.118.121
32nd percentileleague avg .146395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .118 (32nd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%30.0%32.0%
14th percentileleague avg 39.0%396 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 30.0% (14th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate6.0%5.6%
35th percentileleague avg 7.8%396 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 6.0% (35th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.7%22.7%
19th percentileleague avg 23.6%396 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 20.7% (19th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 112 | 1.35 | .390 | 35% (29/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 21 | 0.81 | .273 | 15% (4/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 76 | 1.36 | .392 | 36% (20/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 57 | 1.08 | .335 | 25% (13/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 133 | 1.22 | .365 | 30% (33/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 35.3% | 234 | .360 | .121 | 5.6% | 85.7 |
| vs LHP | 86 | 27.9% | 66 | .322 | .099 | 7.6% | 79.3 |
| on the road ● | 208 | 36.5% | 154 | .345 | .111 | 4.5% | 84.9 |
| at home | 187 | 30.5% | 146 | .359 | .121 | 7.5% | 83.6 |
| season | 395 | 33.7% | 300 | .352 | .116 | 6.0% | 84.3 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 80%L20 75%SZN 58%over rate
OVER-240theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-185no market fair50% boost-160no market fair
UNDER+180theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
1.5line
OVER+135betPARXfair +134 · +0.4% vs fair
30% boost+176+17.6% vs market · -16.6% vs season50% boost+203+29.2% vs market · -8.4% vs season
UNDER-145Bovadafair -132 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-112+8.1% vs market · +32.2% vs season50% boost+103+16% vs market · +41.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+325Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+423no market fair50% boost+488no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+575BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+748no market fair50% boost+862no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1200BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
109 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.265.265
80th percentileleague avg .239455 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason .265 (80th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.281.288
league avg .244+.037 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason .281242 batters facedneutralneutral
K%16.7%17.3%
12th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%455 batters facedvs LHB · 13th pctseason 16.7% (12th)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%23.9%25.7%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%455 batters facedvs LHB · 57th pctseason 23.9% (44th)424 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmRyan Feltner: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 59 | 24.4% | .288 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 54 | 25.4% | .274 |
| at home ● | 237 | 56 | 23.6% | .264 |
| on the road | 218 | 57 | 26.1% | .300 |
| season | 455 | 113 | 24.8% | .281 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 hits in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.242.248
44th percentileleague avg .244395 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .242 (44th)309 PAneutralneutral
zone contact%84.9%83.3%
53rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%395 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 84.9% (53rd)395 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%20.7%21.6%
24th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%395 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 20.7% (24th)672 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%18.0%18.4%
25th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%395 PAvs RHP · 27th pctseason 18.0% (25th)309 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.7%22.7%
19th percentileleague avg 23.6%396 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 20.7% (19th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 287 | 74 | .258 | 23% (19/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 77 | 14 | .182 | 12% (3/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 194 | 49 | .253 | 23% (13/56) |
| at home | 53 | 170 | 39 | .229 | 17% (9/53) |
| season | 109 | 364 | 88 | .242 | 20% (22/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 23.0% | 234 | .239 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 86 | 19.8% | 66 | .224 | 13.6% | 27.3% |
| on the road ● | 208 | 23.6% | 154 | .235 | 22.1% | 34.4% |
| at home | 187 | 20.9% | 146 | .237 | 19.2% | 32.9% |
| season | 395 | 22.3% | 300 | — | 20.7% | 33.7% |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 80%L20 75%SZN 58%over rate
OVER-230ProphetXfair -204 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-177+5% vs market · -9.5% vs season50% boost-153+10.9% vs market · -4.5% vs season
UNDER+194ProphetXfair +204 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+252+15.9% vs market · +48.6% vs season50% boost+291+28.6% vs market · +65% vs season
1.5line
OVER+240Bally Betpooled fair +209
30% boost+312pooled fair50% boost+360pooled fair
UNDER-244BetOnlinefair -212 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-188+4.1% vs market · +22.3% vs season50% boost-163+9.6% vs market · +28.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1100Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1430no market fair50% boost+1650no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
109 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.265.265
80th percentileleague avg .239455 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason .265 (80th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA5.40—
no split for this stat89th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16455 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.480.454
94th percentileleague avg .386455 batters facedvs LHB · 87th pctseason .480 (94th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.9%11.9%
73rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%455 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason 9.9% (73rd)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.7%17.3%
12th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%455 batters facedvs LHB · 13th pctseason 16.7% (12th)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Feltner: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 59 | 103 | .369 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 54 | 104 | .329 |
| at home ● | 237 | 56 | 112 | .329 |
| on the road | 218 | 57 | 95 | .373 |
| season | 455 | 113 | 207 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career1 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.651.81
37th percentileleague avg 1.75109 gamesvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 1.65 (37th)83 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xwOBA.283—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg .310395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.365.381
24th percentileleague avg .400395 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .365 (24th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 74 | 39 | 37 | 1.81 | 45% (37/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 1.15 | 27% (7/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 49 | 28 | 24 | 1.80 | 43% (24/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 39 | 18 | 22 | 1.49 | 38% (20/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 88 | 46 | 46 | 1.65 | 40% (44/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 23.0% | 234 | .239 | .360 | 5.6% | 85.7 |
| vs LHP | 86 | 19.8% | 66 | .224 | .322 | 7.6% | 79.3 |
| on the road ● | 208 | 23.6% | 154 | .235 | .345 | 4.5% | 84.9 |
| at home | 187 | 20.9% | 146 | .237 | .359 | 7.5% | 83.6 |
| season | 395 | 22.3% | 300 | — | .352 | 6.0% | 84.3 |
1.5line
OVER-146ProphetXfair -129 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-112+6.4% vs market · -23.7% vs season50% boost+103+14.1% vs market · -18.2% vs season
UNDER+120bet365fair +129 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost+156+11.9% vs market · +52.7% vs season50% boost+180+22.4% vs market · +67% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 50%L20 45%SZN 28%over rate
OVER+122ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+159no market fair50% boost+183no market fair
UNDER-280ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-215no market fair50% boost-187no market fair
RBIs
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.40—
no split for this stat89th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16455 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.480.454
94th percentileleague avg .386455 batters facedvs LHB · 87th pctseason .480 (94th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.5%10.0%
90th percentileleague avg 7.4%456 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 10.5% (90th)170 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.9%11.9%
73rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%455 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason 9.9% (73rd)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Feltner: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 59 | 9 | .502 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 54 | 10 | .528 |
| at home ● | 237 | 56 | 11 | .528 |
| on the road | 218 | 57 | 8 | .500 |
| season | 455 | 113 | 19 | .515 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career1 RBI in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.420.45
42nd percentileleague avg 0.45109 gamesvs RHP · 52nd pctseason 0.42 (42nd)83 gamesneutralneutral
xSLG.359.360
33rd percentileleague avg .386395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .359 (33rd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%30.0%32.0%
14th percentileleague avg 39.0%396 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 30.0% (14th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate6.0%5.6%
35th percentileleague avg 7.8%396 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 6.0% (35th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 37 | 0.45 | .390 | 29% (24/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 9 | 0.35 | .273 | 19% (5/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 24 | 0.43 | .392 | 23% (13/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 22 | 0.42 | .335 | 30% (16/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 46 | 0.42 | .365 | 27% (29/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 11.7% | 234 | .360 | 5.6% | 32.0% | 85.7 |
| vs LHP | 86 | 12.8% | 66 | .322 | 7.6% | 22.7% | 79.3 |
| on the road ● | 208 | 11.5% | 154 | .345 | 4.5% | 29.9% | 84.9 |
| at home | 187 | 12.3% | 146 | .359 | 7.5% | 30.1% | 83.6 |
| season | 395 | — | 300 | .352 | 6.0% | 30.0% | 84.3 |
0.5line
OVER+164ProphetXfair +169 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost+213+16.5% vs market · -16.7% vs season50% boost+246+28.7% vs market · -7.9% vs season
UNDER-190bet365fair -173 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-146+6.6% vs market · +23.6% vs season50% boost-127+13.3% vs market · +31.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1600Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.40—
no split for this stat89th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16455 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.265.265
80th percentileleague avg .239455 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason .265 (80th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.9%11.9%
73rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%455 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason 9.9% (73rd)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Feltner: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 59 | 29 | .369 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 54 | 16 | .329 |
| at home ● | 237 | 56 | 21 | .329 |
| on the road | 218 | 57 | 24 | .373 |
| season | 455 | 113 | 45 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career2 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.420.47
38th percentileleague avg 0.46109 gamesvs RHP · 55th pctseason 0.42 (38th)83 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xwOBA.283—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg .310395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%5.3%5.2%
13th percentileleague avg 8.7%395 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 5.3% (13th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 39 | 0.47 | .294 | 41% (34/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 7 | 0.27 | .241 | 23% (6/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 28 | 0.50 | .303 | 43% (24/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 18 | 0.34 | .261 | 30% (16/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 46 | 0.42 | .283 | 37% (40/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | — | 234 | .239 | 22.7% | 35.5% | 85.7 |
| vs LHP | 86 | — | 66 | .224 | 13.6% | 27.3% | 79.3 |
| on the road ● | 208 | 13.5% | 154 | .235 | 22.1% | 34.4% | 84.9 |
| at home | 187 | 9.6% | 146 | .237 | 19.2% | 32.9% | 83.6 |
| season | 395 | — | 300 | — | 20.7% | 33.7% | 84.3 |
0.5line
OVER+113ProphetXfair +119 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+147+12.6% vs market · -9.4% vs season50% boost+169+22.9% vs market · -1.1% vs season
UNDER-135bet365fair -122 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-104+8% vs market · +24.3% vs season50% boost+111+16.1% vs market · +33.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Doubles
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.480.454
94th percentileleague avg .386455 batters facedvs LHB · 87th pctseason .480 (94th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.2%36.5%
43rd percentileleague avg 38.2%456 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 37.2% (43rd)170 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed10.5%10.0%
90th percentileleague avg 7.4%456 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 10.5% (90th)170 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed21.9%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat455 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmRyan Feltner: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 11 | 4.5% | .502 |
| vs RHB | 213 | 18 | 8.5% | .528 |
| at home ● | 237 | 17 | 7.2% | .528 |
| on the road | 218 | 12 | 5.5% | .500 |
| season | 455 | 29 | 6.4% | .515 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 doubles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.8%3.2%
15th percentileleague avg 4.1%396 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 2.8% (15th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.359.360
33rd percentileleague avg .386395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .359 (33rd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.118.121
32nd percentileleague avg .146395 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason .118 (32nd)291 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.7%22.7%
19th percentileleague avg 23.6%396 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 20.7% (19th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%33.7%35.5%
33rd percentileleague avg 35.3%396 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason 33.7% (33rd)234 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupNathan Church: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 10 | 3.2% | .390 | 12% (10/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 1 | 1.2% | .273 | 4% (1/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 5 | 2.4% | .392 | 9% (5/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 6 | 3.2% | .335 | 11% (6/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 11 | 2.8% | .365 | 10% (11/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 3.2% | 234 | .360 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 86 | 1.2% | 66 | .322 | 13.6% | 27.3% |
| on the road ● | 208 | 2.4% | 154 | .345 | 22.1% | 34.4% |
| at home | 187 | 3.2% | 146 | .359 | 19.2% | 32.9% |
| season | 395 | 2.8% | 300 | .352 | 20.7% | 33.7% |
0.5line
OVER+375BetMGMfair +356 · +4.3% vs fair
30% boost+488+28.7% vs market · -40.7% vs season50% boost+562+45.1% vs market · -33.1% vs season
UNDER-475Hard Rockfair -372 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-365+0.4% vs market · +14.5% vs season50% boost-317+3.7% vs market · +18.3% vs season
Singles
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.265.265
80th percentileleague avg .239455 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason .265 (80th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.7%17.3%
12th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%455 batters facedvs LHB · 13th pctseason 16.7% (12th)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%23.9%25.7%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%455 batters facedvs LHB · 57th pctseason 23.9% (44th)424 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmRyan Feltner: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 36 | 14.9% |
| vs RHB | 213 | 25 | 11.7% |
| at home ● | 237 | 25 | 10.5% |
| on the road | 218 | 36 | 16.5% |
| season | 455 | 61 | 13.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 singles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
zone contact%84.9%83.3%
53rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%395 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 84.9% (53rd)395 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%20.7%21.6%
24th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%395 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 20.7% (24th)672 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.7%22.7%
19th percentileleague avg 23.6%396 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 20.7% (19th)234 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupNathan Church: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 287 | 54 | .258 | 49% (41/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 77 | 11 | .182 | 38% (10/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 194 | 36 | .253 | 50% (28/56) |
| at home | 53 | 170 | 29 | .229 | 43% (23/53) |
| season | 109 | 364 | 65 | .242 | 47% (51/109) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Church: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 309 | 16.5% | 234 | .239 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 86 | 16.3% | 66 | .224 | 13.6% | 27.3% |
| on the road ● | 208 | 17.3% | 154 | .235 | 22.1% | 34.4% |
| at home | 187 | 15.5% | 146 | .237 | 19.2% | 32.9% |
| season | 395 | 17.0% | 300 | — | 20.7% | 33.7% |
0.5line
OVER-134ProphetXfair -123 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost-103+8.8% vs market · -7.8% vs season50% boost+112+17% vs market · -0.8% vs season
UNDER+110bet365fair +121 · -5% vs fair
30% boost+143+10.1% vs market · +29.3% vs season50% boost+165+20% vs market · +41% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
Walks
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%9.9%11.9%
73rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%455 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason 9.9% (73rd)243 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%64.6%64.6%
75th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%455 batters facedvs LHB · 75th pctseason 64.6% (75th)243 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/94.05.0
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason 4.0242 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmRyan Feltner: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 242 | 29 | 12.0% |
| vs RHB | 213 | 16 | 7.5% |
| at home ● | 237 | 21 | 8.9% |
| on the road | 218 | 24 | 11.0% |
| season | 455 | 45 | 9.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Church vs Ryan Feltner, career0 walks in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
BB%5.3%5.2%
13th percentileleague avg 8.7%395 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 5.3% (13th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate43.1%43.4%
97th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%395 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 43.1% (97th)638 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%72.3%73.0%
league avg 66.8%+5.5% vs league395 PAvs RHPseason 72.3%541 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupNathan Church: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 17 | 5.5% | .294 | 19% (16/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 4 | 4.8% | .241 | 12% (3/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 14 | 6.7% | .303 | 21% (12/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 7 | 3.8% | .261 | 13% (7/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 21 | 5.3% | .283 | 17% (19/109) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+330bet365fair +324 · +1.5% vs fair
30% boost+429+24.8% vs market · -7.8% vs season50% boost+495+40.4% vs market · +3.7% vs season
UNDER-439DraftKingsfair -324 · -6.2% vs fair
30% boost-338-1% vs market · +7% vs season50% boost-293+2.5% vs market · +10.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
109 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Feltner Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.3%—
no split for this stat94th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 556 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him2.7%—
no split for this stat92nd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%15 of 556 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Nathan Church Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4395 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.070.10
59th percentileleague avg 0.07109 gamesvs RHP · 75th pctseason 0.07 (59th)83 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xBA.240.239
45th percentileleague avg .240395 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .240 (45th)291 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%5.3%5.2%
13th percentileleague avg 8.7%395 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 5.3% (13th)309 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Church: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 310 | 8 | 0.10 | 10% (8/83) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 83 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/26) |
| on the road ● | 56 | 208 | 3 | 0.05 | 5% (3/56) |
| at home | 53 | 185 | 5 | 0.09 | 9% (5/53) |
| season | 109 | 393 | 8 | 0.07 | 7% (8/109) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+490ProphetXfair +460 · +5.4% vs fair
30% boost+637+31.9% vs market · -45.9% vs season50% boost+735+49.5% vs market · -38.7% vs season
UNDER-650bet365fair -493 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-500-0.3% vs market · +11.2% vs season50% boost-433+2.3% vs market · +14% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSt. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockiessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing