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Jackson Merrill
SDbats L5th in the order · projectedNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padres9:41 PMPetco Park
facingMax Fried2.80 ERA · 8.30 K/9 · 1.00 WHIP · 90.0 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 0.9% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 1.7% (league avg 7.4%)
Merrill at the plateHR/PA 3.8%barrel rate 11.7%hard-hit% 47.2%
Home Runs
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin0.9%0.0%
4th percentileleague avg 2.9%347 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 0.9% (4th)thin sample: 84 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthin1.7%3.4%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthin30.9%32.2%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs LHB · 12th pctseason 30.9% (8th)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowedthin23.5%23.7%
25th percentileleague avg 26.7%347 batters facedvs LHB · 27th pctseason 23.5% (25th)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.262.265
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason .262 (2nd)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 0 | 0.0% |
| vs RHB | 263 | 3 | 1.1% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 0 | 0.0% |
| at home | 146 | 3 | 2.1% |
| season | 347 | 3 | 0.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career1 home runs in 5 AB (.600), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.8%2.5%
72nd percentileleague avg 3.0%578 PAvs LHP · 40th pctseason 3.8% (72nd)162 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel rate11.7%8.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%578 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 11.7% (82nd)111 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%47.2%48.6%
85th percentileleague avg 39.0%578 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 47.2% (85th)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%30.1%27.0%
73rd percentileleague avg 26.7%578 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 30.1% (73rd)111 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
xSLG.472.417
91st percentileleague avg .386576 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .472 (91st)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.212.153
88th percentileleague avg .146576 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason .212 (88th)155 at-batssupports OVERneutral
avg exit velo90.1 mph91.0 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph578 PAvs LHP · 86th pctseason 90.1 mph (76th)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 6 | 4.3% | .447 | 15% (5/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 16 | 3.7% | .409 | 16% (16/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 8 | 2.9% | .414 | 12% (8/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 14 | 4.7% | .422 | 19% (13/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 22 | 3.8% | .418 | 15% (21/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 2.5% | 111 | 8.1% | .417 | .153 | 91.0 |
| vs RHP | 414 | 4.3% | 283 | 13.1% | .488 | .233 | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 280 | 2.9% | 195 | 9.7% | .459 | .196 | 89.3 |
| on the road | 296 | 4.7% | 199 | 13.6% | .475 | .222 | 90.8 |
| season | 576 | 3.8% | 394 | 11.7% | .467 | .209 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+650Fanaticspooled fair +610
30% boost+845pooled fair50% boost+975pooled fair
UNDER-700NoVigfair -604 · -2% vs fair
30% boost-538+1.7% vs market · +0.3% vs season50% boost-467+4.2% vs market · +2.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
136 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.262.265
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason .262 (2nd)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.198.156
league avg .244-0.046 vs league16 startsvs LHBseason .198thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthin30.9%32.2%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs LHB · 12th pctseason 30.9% (8th)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthin1.7%3.4%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 14 | 0.17 | .182 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 69 | 0.26 | .292 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 45 | 0.22 | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 38 | 0.26 | .290 |
| season | 347 | 83 | 0.24 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career6 total bases in 5 AB (.600), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.472.417
91st percentileleague avg .386576 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .472 (91st)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.418.413
59th percentileleague avg .400576 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason .418 (59th)162 PAneutralneutral
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.241.284
41st percentileleague avg .244576 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason .241 (41st)162 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISO.212.153
88th percentileleague avg .146576 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason .212 (88th)155 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%47.2%48.6%
85th percentileleague avg 39.0%578 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 47.2% (85th)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.7%8.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%578 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 11.7% (82nd)111 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%27.1%28.8%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%578 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 59 | 1.79 | .447 | 39% (13/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 163 | 1.58 | .409 | 43% (44/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 106 | 1.58 | .414 | 43% (29/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 116 | 1.68 | .422 | 41% (28/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 222 | 1.63 | .418 | 42% (57/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 39.5% | 111 | .417 | .153 | 8.1% | 91.0 |
| vs RHP | 414 | 38.2% | 283 | .488 | .233 | 13.1% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 280 | 37.9% | 195 | .459 | .196 | 9.7% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 296 | 39.2% | 199 | .475 | .222 | 13.6% | 90.8 |
| season | 576 | 38.5% | 394 | .467 | .209 | 11.7% | 90.1 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 60%L20 55%SZN 59%over rate
OVER-180theScore Betpooled fair -122
30% boost-138pooled fair50% boost-120pooled fair
UNDER+145BetMGMpooled fair +122
30% boost+189pooled fair50% boost+218pooled fair
1.5line
OVER+164ProphetXfair +166 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+213+17.8% vs market · +31.3% vs season50% boost+246+30.1% vs market · +45% vs season
UNDER-187DraftKingsfair -166 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-144+5.8% vs market · -1.5% vs season50% boost-125+12.5% vs market · +4.7% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 30%SZN 27%over rate
OVER+320theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+416no market fair50% boost+480no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+460Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+598no market fair50% boost+690no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+1000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.198.156
league avg .244-0.046 vs league16 startsvs LHBseason .198thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thin23.9%22.6%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason 23.9% (61st)thin sample: 84 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%24.6%21.9%
49th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%347 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 24.6% (49th)151 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmMax Fried: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 12 | 14.3% | .156 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 50 | 19.0% | .212 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 17.9% | .198 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 17.8% | .198 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 17.9% | .198 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career3 hits in 5 AB (.600), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.241.284
41st percentileleague avg .244576 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason .241 (41st)162 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%82.0%84.8%
32nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%576 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 82.0% (32nd)230 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.5%
62nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%576 PAvs LHP · 58th pctseason 27.1% (62nd)343 swingssupports UNDERneutral
K%24.5%27.2%
64th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%576 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason 24.5% (64th)162 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%27.1%28.8%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%578 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 132 | 37 | .280 | 58% (19/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 399 | 91 | .228 | 59% (61/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 256 | 63 | .246 | 64% (43/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 275 | 65 | .236 | 54% (37/69) |
| season | 136 | 531 | 128 | .241 | 59% (80/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 27.2% | 111 | .264 | 28.8% | 40.5% |
| vs RHP | 414 | 20.3% | 283 | .255 | 26.5% | 38.9% |
| at home ● | 280 | 22.5% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| on the road | 296 | 22.0% | 199 | .252 | 26.6% | 41.2% |
| season | 576 | 22.2% | 394 | — | 27.2% | 39.3% |
0.5line
OVER-176ProphetXfair -164 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost-135+8.1% vs market · +2.3% vs season50% boost-117+15.2% vs market · +9% vs season
UNDER+156DraftKingsfair +163 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost+203+15.1% vs market · +24.7% vs season50% boost+234+26.9% vs market · +37.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 30%SZN 27%over rate
OVER+310FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
UNDER-450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-346no market fair50% boost-300no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1700BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
136 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.262.265
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason .262 (2nd)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin8.1%7.1%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs LHB · 30th pctseason 8.1% (50th)thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
K%thin23.9%22.6%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason 23.9% (61st)thin sample: 84 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
The ArmMax Fried: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 12 | 14 | .214 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 50 | 69 | .282 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 45 | .255 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 38 | .281 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 83 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career4 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.992.18
73rd percentileleague avg 1.75136 gamesvs LHP · 89th pctseason 1.99 (73rd)33 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.336—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.418.413
59th percentileleague avg .400576 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason .418 (59th)162 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupJackson Merrill: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 37 | 18 | 17 | 2.18 | 45% (15/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 91 | 54 | 53 | 1.92 | 52% (54/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 63 | 35 | 34 | 1.97 | 54% (36/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 65 | 37 | 36 | 2.00 | 48% (33/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 128 | 72 | 70 | 1.99 | 51% (69/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 27.2% | 111 | .264 | .417 | 8.1% | 91.0 |
| vs RHP | 414 | 20.3% | 283 | .255 | .488 | 13.1% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 280 | 22.5% | 195 | .263 | .459 | 9.7% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 296 | 22.0% | 199 | .252 | .475 | 13.6% | 90.8 |
| season | 576 | 22.2% | 394 | — | .467 | 11.7% | 90.1 |
1.5line
OVER+113ProphetXfair +114 · -0.5% vs fair
30% boost+147+15.3% vs market · +25.3% vs season50% boost+169+25.9% vs market · +36.7% vs season
UNDER-127DraftKingsfair -117 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+102+9.1% vs market · -0.3% vs season50% boost+118+17.6% vs market · +7.5% vs season
RBIs
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.262.265
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason .262 (2nd)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthin1.7%3.4%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin8.1%7.1%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs LHB · 30th pctseason 8.1% (50th)thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 12 | 0 | .182 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 50 | 3 | .292 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 0 | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 3 | .290 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 3 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career1 RBI in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.510.52
71st percentileleague avg 0.45136 gamesvs LHP · 74th pctseason 0.51 (71st)33 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.472.417
91st percentileleague avg .386576 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .472 (91st)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%47.2%48.6%
85th percentileleague avg 39.0%578 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 47.2% (85th)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.7%8.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%578 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 11.7% (82nd)111 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupJackson Merrill: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 17 | 0.52 | .447 | 33% (11/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 53 | 0.51 | .409 | 37% (38/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 34 | 0.51 | .414 | 36% (24/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 36 | 0.52 | .422 | 36% (25/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 70 | 0.51 | .418 | 36% (49/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 14.2% | 111 | .417 | 8.1% | 48.6% | 91.0 |
| vs RHP | 414 | 11.4% | 283 | .488 | 13.1% | 46.6% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 280 | 12.1% | 195 | .459 | 9.7% | 45.6% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 296 | 12.2% | 199 | .475 | 13.6% | 48.7% | 90.8 |
| season | 576 | — | 394 | .467 | 11.7% | 47.2% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+228NoVigfair +220 · +2.4% vs fair
30% boost+296+23.7% vs market · +42.8% vs season50% boost+342+37.9% vs market · +59.2% vs season
UNDER-260theScore Betfair -227 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-200+4.1% vs market · -4% vs season50% boost-173+9.4% vs market · +0.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1800Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3300BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4290no market fair50% boost+4950no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin8.1%7.1%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs LHB · 30th pctseason 8.1% (50th)thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 12 | 6 | .214 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 50 | 22 | .282 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 13 | .255 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 15 | .281 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career5 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.530.55
72nd percentileleague avg 0.46136 gamesvs LHP · 77th pctseason 0.53 (72nd)33 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.336—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.4%3.7%
24th percentileleague avg 8.7%576 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason 6.4% (24th)162 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 18 | 0.55 | .307 | 36% (12/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 54 | 0.52 | .289 | 46% (47/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 35 | 0.52 | .302 | 46% (31/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 37 | 0.54 | .285 | 41% (28/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 72 | 0.53 | .293 | 43% (59/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | — | 111 | .264 | 28.8% | 40.5% | 91.0 |
| vs RHP | 414 | — | 283 | .255 | 26.5% | 38.9% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 280 | 12.5% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 296 | 12.5% | 199 | .252 | 26.6% | 41.2% | 90.8 |
| season | 576 | — | 394 | — | 27.2% | 39.3% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+164ProphetXfair +172 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+213+15.3% vs market · +35.9% vs season50% boost+246+27.3% vs market · +50.1% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -176 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-154+5.3% vs market · -6.6% vs season50% boost-133+11.7% vs market · -0.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.262.265
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason .262 (2nd)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthin30.9%32.2%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs LHB · 12th pctseason 30.9% (8th)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthin1.7%3.4%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 59 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed19.7%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat347 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMax Fried: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 2 | 2.4% | .182 |
| vs RHB | 263 | 8 | 3.0% | .292 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 7 | 3.5% | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 3 | 2.1% | .290 |
| season | 347 | 10 | 2.9% | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career0 doubles in 5 AB (.600), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.8%4.9%
38th percentileleague avg 4.1%578 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 3.8% (38th)162 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG.472.417
91st percentileleague avg .386576 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .472 (91st)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.212.153
88th percentileleague avg .146576 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason .212 (88th)155 at-batssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%27.1%28.8%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%578 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%39.3%40.5%
84th percentileleague avg 35.3%578 PAvs LHP · 89th pctseason 39.3% (84th)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 4 | 2.9% | .447 | 12% (4/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 18 | 4.1% | .409 | 17% (17/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 13 | 4.6% | .414 | 19% (13/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 9 | 3.0% | .422 | 12% (8/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 22 | 3.8% | .418 | 15% (21/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 4.9% | 111 | .417 | 28.8% | 40.5% |
| vs RHP | 414 | 3.4% | 283 | .488 | 26.5% | 38.9% |
| at home ● | 280 | 4.6% | 195 | .459 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| on the road | 296 | 3.0% | 199 | .475 | 26.6% | 41.2% |
| season | 576 | 3.8% | 394 | .467 | 27.2% | 39.3% |
0.5line
OVER+450theScore Betfair +440 · +1.8% vs fair
30% boost+585+26.7% vs market · +5.8% vs season50% boost+675+43.4% vs market · +19.7% vs season
UNDER-600DraftKingsfair -465 · -4% vs fair
30% boost-462+0.1% vs market · +2.9% vs season50% boost-400+2.9% vs market · +5.7% vs season
Singles
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)78 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thin23.9%22.6%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason 23.9% (61st)thin sample: 84 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%24.6%21.9%
49th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%347 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 24.6% (49th)151 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmMax Fried: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 10 | 11.9% |
| vs RHB | 263 | 38 | 14.4% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 28 | 13.9% |
| at home | 146 | 20 | 13.7% |
| season | 347 | 48 | 13.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career2 singles in 5 AB (.600), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%82.0%84.8%
32nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%576 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 82.0% (32nd)230 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.5%
62nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%576 PAvs LHP · 58th pctseason 27.1% (62nd)343 swingssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%27.1%28.8%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%578 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)111 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 132 | 27 | .280 | 58% (19/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 399 | 54 | .228 | 39% (40/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 256 | 39 | .246 | 46% (31/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 275 | 42 | .236 | 41% (28/69) |
| season | 136 | 531 | 81 | .241 | 43% (59/136) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 162 | 19.8% | 111 | .264 | 28.8% | 40.5% |
| vs RHP | 414 | 11.8% | 283 | .255 | 26.5% | 38.9% |
| at home ● | 280 | 13.9% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| on the road | 296 | 14.2% | 199 | .252 | 26.6% | 41.2% |
| season | 576 | 14.6% | 394 | — | 27.2% | 39.3% |
0.5line
OVER+105ProphetXfair +109 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+136+13% vs market · +2.6% vs season50% boost+157+23.1% vs market · +11.7% vs season
UNDER-125BetMGMfair -113 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+104+8.1% vs market · +15.5% vs season50% boost+120+16.6% vs market · +24.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thin8.1%7.1%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs LHB · 30th pctseason 8.1% (50th)thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%55.6%54.8%
5th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%347 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 55.6% (5th)84 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/9thin2.82.3
league avg 3.4-0.6 vs league16 startsvs LHBseason 2.8thin sample: 84 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 84 | 6 | 7.1% |
| vs RHB | 263 | 22 | 8.4% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 13 | 6.5% |
| at home | 146 | 15 | 10.3% |
| season | 347 | 28 | 8.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Max Fried, career0 walks in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.800 |
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
BB%6.4%3.7%
24th percentileleague avg 8.7%576 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason 6.4% (24th)162 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate37.6%35.5%
86th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%576 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 37.6% (86th)318 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%77.8%73.5%
league avg 66.8%+11.0% vs league576 PAvs LHPseason 77.8%313 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 5 | 3.6% | .307 | 15% (5/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 32 | 7.3% | .289 | 27% (28/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 21 | 7.5% | .302 | 25% (17/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 16 | 5.4% | .285 | 23% (16/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 37 | 6.4% | .293 | 24% (33/136) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+350bet365fair +346 · +0.9% vs fair
30% boost+455+24.3% vs market · +34.7% vs season50% boost+525+40% vs market · +51.7% vs season
UNDER-463DraftKingsfair -350 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost-356-0.4% vs market · -3% vs season50% boost-309+3% vs market · +0.3% vs season
Stolen Bases
136 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.2%—
no split for this stat12th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%1 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.2%—
no split for this stat9th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%1 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4576 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.180.21
92nd percentileleague avg 0.07136 gamesvs LHP · 94th pctseason 0.18 (92nd)33 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.260.264
78th percentileleague avg .240576 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .260 (78th)155 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.4%3.7%
24th percentileleague avg 8.7%576 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason 6.4% (24th)162 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 33 | 138 | 7 | 0.21 | 18% (6/33) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 17 | 0.17 | 17% (17/103) |
| at home ● | 67 | 280 | 12 | 0.18 | 18% (12/67) |
| on the road | 69 | 296 | 12 | 0.17 | 16% (11/69) |
| season | 136 | 576 | 24 | 0.18 | 17% (23/136) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1100ProphetXfair +926 · +17% vs fair
30% boost+1430+48.4% vs market · +158.8% vs season50% boost+1650+69.7% vs market · +196% vs season
UNDER-1540DraftKingsfair -1114 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost-1185-0.5% vs market · -9.9% vs season50% boost-1027+0.7% vs market · -8.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+809NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1052no market fair50% boost+1214no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padressorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing