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Samad Taylor
SDbats R2nd in the order · projectedNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padres9:41 PMPetco Park
facingMax Fried2.80 ERA · 8.30 K/9 · 1.00 WHIP · 90.0 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 0.9% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 1.7% (league avg 7.4%)
Taylor at the plateHR/PA 0.9%barrel rate 3.0%hard-hit% 23.9%
Home Runs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed0.9%1.1%
4th percentileleague avg 2.9%347 batters facedvs RHB · 7th pctseason 0.9% (4th)263 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed1.7%1.1%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 1.7% (1st)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed30.9%30.5%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs RHB · 7th pctseason 30.9% (8th)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed23.5%23.6%
25th percentileleague avg 26.7%347 batters facedvs RHB · 26th pctseason 23.5% (25th)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.262.258
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason .262 (2nd)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 3 | 1.1% |
| vs LHB | 84 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 0 | 0.0% |
| at home | 146 | 3 | 2.1% |
| season | 347 | 3 | 0.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin0.9%0.0%
4th percentileleague avg 3.0%113 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 0.9% (4th)thin sample: 32 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin3.0%4.8%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%113 PAvs LHP · 24th pctseason 3.0% (11th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin23.9%19.1%
3rd percentileleague avg 39.0%113 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 23.9% (3rd)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%thin11.9%19.1%
0th percentileleague avg 26.7%113 PAvs LHP · 7th pctseason 11.9% (0th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.343.333
27th percentileleague avg .386113 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .343 (27th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.068.068
3rd percentileleague avg .146113 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .068 (3rd)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velothin75.4 mph67.6 mph
0th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph113 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 75.4 mph (0th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 0 | 0.0% | .387 | 0% (0/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 1 | 1.3% | .431 | 5% (1/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 0 | 0.0% | .325 | 0% (0/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 1 | 1.6% | .482 | 6% (1/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 1 | 0.9% | .417 | 3% (1/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 0.0% | 21 | 4.8% | .333 | .068 | 67.6 |
| vs RHP | 81 | 1.2% | 46 | 2.2% | .332 | .065 | 78.9 |
| at home ● | 49 | 0.0% | 24 | 0.0% | .310 | .057 | 76.0 |
| on the road | 64 | 1.6% | 43 | 4.7% | .348 | .072 | 75.0 |
| season | 113 | 0.9% | 67 | 3.0% | .332 | .066 | 75.4 |
0.5line
OVER+1800Fanaticspooled fair +1271
30% boost+2340pooled fair50% boost+2700pooled fair
UNDER-2198bet365fair -1324 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-1691-1.5% vs market · +2.3% vs season50% boost-1465-0.7% vs market · +3.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+18000BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+23400no market fair50% boost+27000no market fair
Total Bases
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.262.258
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason .262 (2nd)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.198.212
league avg .244-0.046 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason .198263 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed30.9%30.5%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs RHB · 7th pctseason 30.9% (8th)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed1.7%1.1%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 1.7% (1st)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 69 | 0.26 | .292 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 14 | 0.17 | .182 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 45 | 0.22 | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 38 | 0.26 | .290 |
| season | 347 | 83 | 0.24 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.343.333
27th percentileleague avg .386113 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .343 (27th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.417.552
57th percentileleague avg .400113 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .417 (57th)thin sample: 32 PAneutralsupports OVER
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthin.333.414
100th percentileleague avg .244113 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .333 (100th)thin sample: 32 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthin.068.068
3rd percentileleague avg .146113 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .068 (3rd)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin23.9%19.1%
3rd percentileleague avg 39.0%113 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 23.9% (3rd)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin3.0%4.8%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%113 PAvs LHP · 24th pctseason 3.0% (11th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin31.3%23.8%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%113 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 31.3% (99th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 12 | 1.33 | .387 | 78% (7/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 28 | 1.40 | .431 | 75% (15/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 13 | 1.08 | .325 | 67% (8/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 27 | 1.59 | .482 | 82% (14/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 40 | 1.38 | .417 | 76% (22/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 50.0% | 21 | .333 | .068 | 4.8% | 67.6 |
| vs RHP | 81 | 29.6% | 46 | .332 | .065 | 2.2% | 78.9 |
| at home ● | 49 | 26.5% | 24 | .310 | .057 | 0.0% | 76.0 |
| on the road | 64 | 42.2% | 43 | .348 | .072 | 4.7% | 75.0 |
| season | 113 | 35.4% | 67 | .332 | .066 | 3.0% | 75.4 |
0.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 78% blended (L10 80%, season 76%) against a 58% priced probability
- his AVG of .333 - 100th percentile for AVG
- his xBA of .275 - 90th percentile for xBA
- counterpoint - faces Max Fried (LHP): xSLG against .262 - 2nd percentile for xSLG against
thin sample: 29 games this season
basis: 29 games this season
OVER-148ProphetXfair -137 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost-114+8.6% vs market · +42.5% vs season50% boost+101+16.4% vs market · +52.7% vs season
UNDER+130theScore Betfair +135 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+169+14.3% vs market · -35.1% vs season50% boost+195+25.4% vs market · -28.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 30%SZN 28%over rate
OVER+220theScore Betfair +232 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+286+16.2% vs market · +6.5% vs season50% boost+330+29.4% vs market · +18.6% vs season
UNDER-290bet365fair -235 · -5.6% vs fair
30% boost-223+1.7% vs market · +4.9% vs season50% boost-193+6.5% vs market · +9.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+550FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1200FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3510no market fair50% boost+4050no market fair
Hits
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.198.212
league avg .244-0.046 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason .198263 batters facedneutralneutral
K%23.9%24.3%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 23.9% (61st)263 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.6%25.4%
49th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 24.6% (49th)468 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 50 | 19.0% | .212 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 12 | 14.3% | .156 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 17.9% | .198 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 17.8% | .198 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 17.9% | .198 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthin.333.414
100th percentileleague avg .244113 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .333 (100th)thin sample: 32 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thin89.3%100.0%
85th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%113 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 89.3% (85th)thin sample: 32 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin23.0%15.5%
39th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%113 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 23.0% (39th)thin sample: 58 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin28.3%25.0%
82nd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%113 PAvs LHP · 67th pctseason 28.3% (82nd)thin sample: 32 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin31.3%23.8%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%113 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 31.3% (99th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 31 | 10 | .323 | 78% (7/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 65 | 22 | .338 | 75% (15/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 40 | 12 | .300 | 67% (8/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 56 | 20 | .357 | 82% (14/17) |
| season | 29 | 96 | 32 | .333 | 76% (22/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 37.5% | 21 | .265 | 23.8% | 38.1% |
| vs RHP | 81 | 24.7% | 46 | .267 | 34.8% | 39.1% |
| at home ● | 49 | 24.5% | 24 | .253 | 41.7% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 64 | 31.3% | 43 | .276 | 25.6% | 34.9% |
| season | 113 | 28.3% | 67 | — | 31.3% | 38.8% |
0.5line
OVER-156ProphetXfair -139 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost-120+6.7% vs market · +39.1% vs season50% boost-104+14.2% vs market · +48.8% vs season
UNDER+134ProphetXfair +139 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+174+14.6% vs market · -33.8% vs season50% boost+201+25.8% vs market · -27.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+375BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+488no market fair50% boost+562no market fair
UNDER-550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-423no market fair50% boost-367no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
29 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.262.258
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason .262 (2nd)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.1%8.4%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 8.1% (50th)263 batters facedneutralneutral
K%23.9%24.3%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 23.9% (61st)263 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMax Fried: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 50 | 69 | .282 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 12 | 14 | .214 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 45 | .255 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 38 | .281 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 83 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per gamethin2.032.22
77th percentileleague avg 1.7529 gamesvs LHP · 91st pctseason 2.03 (77th)thin sample: 9 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.324—
no split for this stat68th percentileleague avg .310113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLGthin.417.552
57th percentileleague avg .400113 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .417 (57th)thin sample: 32 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupSamad Taylor: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2.22 | 67% (6/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 1.95 | 55% (11/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 2.00 | 50% (6/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 2.06 | 65% (11/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 2.03 | 59% (17/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 37.5% | 21 | .265 | .333 | 4.8% | 67.6 |
| vs RHP | 81 | 24.7% | 46 | .267 | .332 | 2.2% | 78.9 |
| at home ● | 49 | 24.5% | 24 | .253 | .310 | 0.0% | 76.0 |
| on the road | 64 | 31.3% | 43 | .276 | .348 | 4.7% | 75.0 |
| season | 113 | 28.3% | 67 | — | .332 | 3.0% | 75.4 |
1.5line
OVER+134ProphetXfair +142 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+174+13.2% vs market · +60.7% vs season50% boost+201+24.3% vs market · +76.4% vs season
UNDER-160theScore Betfair -143 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.6% vs market · -25% vs season50% boost-107+13.9% vs market · -19.8% vs season
RBIs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.262.258
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason .262 (2nd)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed1.7%1.1%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 1.7% (1st)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.1%8.4%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 8.1% (50th)263 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 50 | 3 | .292 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 12 | 0 | .182 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 0 | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 3 | .290 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 3 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
RBI per gamethin0.380.56
26th percentileleague avg 0.4529 gamesvs LHP · 80th pctseason 0.38 (26th)thin sample: 9 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.343.333
27th percentileleague avg .386113 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .343 (27th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin23.9%19.1%
3rd percentileleague avg 39.0%113 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 23.9% (3rd)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin3.0%4.8%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%113 PAvs LHP · 24th pctseason 3.0% (11th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupSamad Taylor: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 5 | 0.56 | .387 | 22% (2/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 6 | 0.30 | .431 | 20% (4/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 8 | 0.67 | .325 | 42% (5/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 3 | 0.18 | .482 | 6% (1/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 11 | 0.38 | .417 | 21% (6/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 3.1% | 21 | .333 | 4.8% | 19.1% | 67.6 |
| vs RHP | 81 | 12.3% | 46 | .332 | 2.2% | 26.1% | 78.9 |
| at home ● | 49 | 16.3% | 24 | .310 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 76.0 |
| on the road | 64 | 4.7% | 43 | .348 | 4.7% | 18.6% | 75.0 |
| season | 113 | — | 67 | .332 | 3.0% | 23.9% | 75.4 |
0.5line
OVER+339DraftKingsfair +364 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost+441+16.8% vs market · +11.9% vs season50% boost+509+31.4% vs market · +25.9% vs season
UNDER-450bet365fair -351 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-346+0.3% vs market · +2.2% vs season50% boost-300+3.7% vs market · +5.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+1300FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.50—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16347 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.1%8.4%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 8.1% (50th)263 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 50 | 22 | .282 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 12 | 6 | .214 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 36 | 13 | .255 |
| at home | 146 | 26 | 15 | .281 |
| season | 347 | 62 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
runs per gamethin0.550.56
77th percentileleague avg 0.4629 gamesvs LHP · 78th pctseason 0.55 (77th)thin sample: 9 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.324—
no split for this stat68th percentileleague avg .310113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed29.3—
no split for this stat93rd percentileleague avg 27.4113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin11.5%6.2%
82nd percentileleague avg 8.7%113 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason 11.5% (82nd)thin sample: 32 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 5 | 0.56 | .400 | 44% (4/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 11 | 0.55 | .427 | 45% (9/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 4 | 0.33 | .417 | 25% (3/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 12 | 0.71 | .419 | 59% (10/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 16 | 0.55 | .418 | 45% (13/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | — | 21 | .265 | 23.8% | 38.1% | 67.6 |
| vs RHP | 81 | — | 46 | .267 | 34.8% | 39.1% | 78.9 |
| at home ● | 49 | 8.2% | 24 | .253 | 41.7% | 45.8% | 76.0 |
| on the road | 64 | 18.8% | 43 | .276 | 25.6% | 34.9% | 75.0 |
| season | 113 | — | 67 | — | 31.3% | 38.8% | 75.4 |
0.5line
OVER+178ProphetXfair +184 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+231+16.7% vs market · +48.6% vs season50% boost+267+29.2% vs market · +64.5% vs season
UNDER-220BetMGMfair -190 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-169+4.2% vs market · -12.2% vs season50% boost-147+10.2% vs market · -7.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.262.258
2nd percentileleague avg .386347 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason .262 (2nd)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed30.9%30.5%
8th percentileleague avg 38.2%347 batters facedvs RHB · 7th pctseason 30.9% (8th)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed1.7%1.1%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%347 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 1.7% (1st)174 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed19.7%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat347 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMax Fried: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 8 | 3.0% | .292 |
| vs LHB | 84 | 2 | 2.4% | .182 |
| on the road ● | 201 | 7 | 3.5% | .247 |
| at home | 146 | 3 | 2.1% | .290 |
| season | 347 | 10 | 2.9% | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin0.9%0.0%
0th percentileleague avg 4.1%113 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 0.9% (0th)thin sample: 32 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.343.333
27th percentileleague avg .386113 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .343 (27th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.068.068
3rd percentileleague avg .146113 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason .068 (3rd)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin31.3%23.8%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%113 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 31.3% (99th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
sweet-spot%thin38.8%38.1%
81st percentileleague avg 35.3%113 PAvs LHP · 75th pctseason 38.8% (81st)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.3—
no split for this stat93rd percentileleague avg 27.4113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 0 | 0.0% | .387 | 0% (0/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 1 | 1.3% | .431 | 5% (1/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 1 | 2.0% | .325 | 8% (1/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 0 | 0.0% | .482 | 0% (0/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 1 | 0.9% | .417 | 3% (1/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 0.0% | 21 | .333 | 23.8% | 38.1% |
| vs RHP | 81 | 1.2% | 46 | .332 | 34.8% | 39.1% |
| at home ● | 49 | 2.0% | 24 | .310 | 41.7% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 64 | 0.0% | 43 | .348 | 25.6% | 34.9% |
| season | 113 | 0.9% | 67 | .332 | 31.3% | 38.8% |
0.5line
OVER+575bet365fair +541 · +5.3% vs fair
30% boost+748+32.2% vs market · -70.8% vs season50% boost+862+50.2% vs market · -66.8% vs season
UNDER-750BetMGMfair -565 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-577-0.3% vs market · +13.3% vs season50% boost-500+2% vs market · +15.9% vs season
Singles
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.198.196
9th percentileleague avg .239347 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .198 (9th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%23.9%24.3%
61st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%347 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 23.9% (61st)263 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.6%25.4%
49th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 24.6% (49th)468 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 38 | 14.4% |
| vs LHB | 84 | 10 | 11.9% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 28 | 13.9% |
| at home | 146 | 20 | 13.7% |
| season | 347 | 48 | 13.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thin89.3%100.0%
85th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%113 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 89.3% (85th)thin sample: 32 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin23.0%15.5%
39th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%113 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 23.0% (39th)thin sample: 58 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin31.3%23.8%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%113 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 31.3% (99th)thin sample: 21 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
sprint speed29.3—
no split for this stat93rd percentileleague avg 27.4113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 31 | 9 | .323 | 78% (7/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 65 | 19 | .338 | 70% (14/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 40 | 11 | .300 | 67% (8/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 56 | 17 | .357 | 76% (13/17) |
| season | 29 | 96 | 28 | .333 | 72% (21/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatSamad Taylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 31.3% | 21 | .265 | 23.8% | 38.1% |
| vs RHP | 81 | 22.2% | 46 | .267 | 34.8% | 39.1% |
| at home ● | 49 | 22.4% | 24 | .253 | 41.7% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 64 | 26.6% | 43 | .276 | 25.6% | 34.9% |
| season | 113 | 26.5% | 67 | — | 31.3% | 38.8% |
0.5line
B+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 71% blended (L10 70%, season 72%) against a 49% priced probability
- his sprint speed of 29.3 - 93rd percentile for sprint speed
- his xBA of .275 - 90th percentile for xBA
- counterpoint - faces Max Fried (LHP): xBA against .198 - 9th percentile for xBA against
thin sample: 29 games this season
basis: 29 games this season
OVER-102ProphetXfair +105 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+127+10.8% vs market · +64.7% vs season50% boost+147+20.3% vs market · +78.9% vs season
UNDER-120BetMGMfair -107 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost+108+7.7% vs market · -42.5% vs season50% boost+125+16.3% vs market · -37.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Walks
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.1%8.4%
50th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%347 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason 8.1% (50th)263 batters facedneutralneutral
first-pitch strike%55.6%55.9%
5th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%347 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 55.6% (5th)263 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/92.83.0
league avg 3.4-0.6 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason 2.8263 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMax Fried: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 263 | 22 | 8.4% |
| vs LHB | 84 | 6 | 7.1% |
| on the road ● | 201 | 13 | 6.5% |
| at home | 146 | 15 | 10.3% |
| season | 347 | 28 | 8.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadSamad Taylor vs Max Friedfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin11.5%6.2%
82nd percentileleague avg 8.7%113 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason 11.5% (82nd)thin sample: 32 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
chase ratethin30.0%33.8%
48th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%113 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason 30.0% (48th)thin sample: 77 pitches outside the zoneneutralsupports UNDER
zone swing%thin56.5%57.1%
league avg 66.8%-10.3% vs league113 PAvs LHPseason 56.5%thin sample: 56 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | .400 | 33% (3/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 10 | 13.2% | .427 | 35% (7/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | .417 | 42% (5/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 5 | 7.8% | .419 | 29% (5/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 13 | 11.5% | .418 | 34% (10/29) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+210bet365fair +225 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+273+14.9% vs market · +28.6% vs season50% boost+315+27.8% vs market · +43.1% vs season
UNDER-290theScore Betfair -227 · -6.7% vs fair
30% boost-223+0.5% vs market · -5.1% vs season50% boost-193+5.3% vs market · -0.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Max Fried Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.2%—
no split for this stat12th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%1 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.2%—
no split for this stat9th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%1 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Samad Taylor Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.3—
no split for this stat93rd percentileleague avg 27.4113 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per gamethin0.240.33
96th percentileleague avg 0.0729 gamesvs LHP · 98th pctseason 0.24 (96th)thin sample: 9 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBAthin.275.265
90th percentileleague avg .240113 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .275 (90th)thin sample: 29 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin11.5%6.2%
82nd percentileleague avg 8.7%113 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason 11.5% (82nd)thin sample: 32 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupSamad Taylor: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 9 | 37 | 3 | 0.33 | 33% (3/9) |
| vs RHP | 20 | 76 | 4 | 0.20 | 20% (4/20) |
| at home ● | 12 | 49 | 4 | 0.33 | 33% (4/12) |
| on the road | 17 | 64 | 3 | 0.18 | 18% (3/17) |
| season | 29 | 113 | 7 | 0.24 | 24% (7/29) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+575bet365fair +584 · -1.4% vs fair
30% boost+748+23.7% vs market · +104.6% vs season50% boost+862+40.5% vs market · +132.3% vs season
UNDER-860DraftKingsfair -594 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-662-1.5% vs market · -12.7% vs season50% boost-573+0.5% vs market · -10.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+1900NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padressorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing