Walker Buehler

SDNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padres9:41 PMPetco Park

Runs

The MatchupWalker Buehler: Runs by split

	G	PA	R	R/G	OBP	over 2.5
at home ●	14	—	—	—	—	0% (0/14)
on the road	13	—	—	—	—	0% (0/13)
season	27	—	—	—	—	0% (0/27)

● tonight's split

The BatWalker Buehler: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split

	PA	R/PA	BBE	xBA	LD%	SS%	EV
vs RHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs LHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
at home ●	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
on the road	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
season	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2.5line

OVER+119Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost+155no market fair50% boost+178no market fair

UNDER-158Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost-122no market fair50% boost-105no market fair

Strikeouts

27 games logged

line4.5

The Opposing LineupNew York Yankees vs Walker Buehlera strikeout line is a bet on the lineup as much as the arm · season to date

strikeout rate24.7%24.7%

93rd percentile for strikeouts (3 of 30)league avg 22.1%5217 PAvs RHP · 93rd pct · 3 of 30season 24.7% (93rd)3434 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

walk rate9.6%10.1%

83rd percentile for walks drawn (6 of 30)league avg 8.9%5217 PAvs RHP · 86th pct · 5 of 30season 9.6% (83rd)3434 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team AVG.234.229

10th percentile for batting average (27 of 30)league avg .2445217 PAvs RHP · 3rd pct · 29 of 30season .234 (10th)3434 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

New York Yankees slash.234 / .311 / .409.720 OPS · 5217 PA

Buehler's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	311	20.3%	9.3%	8.18	2.17	.276
vs RHB	248	19.4%	8.1%	7.08	2.40	.232
home ●	286	17.5%	8.4%	6.49	2.08	.245
away	273	22.3%	9.2%	8.85	2.44	.268

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.

Against This ClubWalker Buehler vs New York Yankees2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 4.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 4.5
Aug 24 '25rel	2.1	7	2	2	2	1	1	under
Jun 6 '25	2.0	6	2	7	5	2	2	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .391/.481/.826 off him · 27 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 4.5

Walker Buehler Breakdown · his own data

K%19.9%—

no split for this stat

32nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%559 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

whiff%19.8%—

no split for this stat

11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%559 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

K/97.6—

no split for this stat

league avg 8.5-0.9 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

first-pitch strike%66.2%—

no split for this stat

87th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%559 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupWalker Buehler: Strikeouts by split

	G	IP	K	K/G	H	over 4.5
at home ●	14	69.1	50	3.57	63	21% (3/14)
on the road	13	62.0	61	4.69	66	54% (7/13)
season	27	131.1	111	4.11	129	37% (10/27)

● tonight's split

4.5line

B★ FORMleans under

the under has hit 73% blended (L10 80%, season 63%) against a 51% priced probability
his whiff% of 19.8% - 11th percentile for whiffs generated
counterpoint - his first-pitch strike% of 66.2% - 87th percentile for first-pitch strikes
the New York Yankees lineup strikes out in 24.7% of PA - 3rd most in the league

basis: 27 starts this season

OVER+104NoVigfair +108 · -1.7% vs fair

30% boost+135+13.4% vs market · -12.9% vs season50% boost+156+23.4% vs market · -5.2% vs season

UNDER-110BetMGMfair -105 · -2.4% vs fair

30% boost+118+11.5% vs market · +37.4% vs season50% boost+136+20.8% vs market · +48.8% vs season

Outs

27 games logged

line14.5

The Opposing LineupNew York Yankees vs Walker Buehleran outs line is a bet on how long this lineup lets him work · season to date

team OBP.311.310

21st percentile for on-base (24 of 30)league avg .3195217 PAvs RHP · 17th pct · 25 of 30season .311 (21st)3434 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

strikeout rate24.7%24.7%

93rd percentile for strikeouts (3 of 30)league avg 22.1%5217 PAvs RHP · 93rd pct · 3 of 30season 24.7% (93rd)3434 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

runs per game4.54—

no split for this stat

66th percentile for runs scored (11 of 30)league avg 4.48140 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports UNDERseason only

New York Yankees slash.234 / .311 / .409.720 OPS · 5217 PA

Buehler's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	311	20.3%	9.3%	8.18	2.17	.276
vs RHB	248	19.4%	8.1%	7.08	2.40	.232
home ●	286	17.5%	8.4%	6.49	2.08	.245
away	273	22.3%	9.2%	8.85	2.44	.268

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.

Against This ClubWalker Buehler vs New York Yankees2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 14.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 14.5
Aug 24 '25rel	2.1	7	2	2	2	1	1	under
Jun 6 '25	2.0	6	2	7	5	2	2	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .391/.481/.826 off him · 27 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 14.5

Walker Buehler Breakdown · his own data

IP per start4.9—

no comparison availableno split for this stat

27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.36—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.06 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

xERA4.12—

no split for this stat

53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16559 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupWalker Buehler: Outs by split

	G	outs	IP	outs/G	ER	over 14.5
at home ●	14	208	69.1	14.86	32	64% (9/14)
on the road	13	186	62.0	14.31	36	69% (9/13)
season	27	394	131.1	14.59	68	67% (18/27)

● tonight's split

14.5line

OVER-147NoVigfair -135 · -3.5% vs fair

30% boost-113+8.2% vs market · +25.6% vs season50% boost+102+16% vs market · +34.7% vs season

UNDER+138NoVigfair +136 · +1% vs fair

30% boost+179+18.7% vs market · -6.9% vs season50% boost+207+30.5% vs market · +2.3% vs season

Hits Allowed

27 games logged

line4.5

The Opposing LineupNew York Yankees vs Walker Buehlera hits-allowed line is a bet on how much contact this lineup makes · season to date

team AVG.234.229

10th percentile for batting average (27 of 30)league avg .2445217 PAvs RHP · 3rd pct · 29 of 30season .234 (10th)3434 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team OBP.311.310

21st percentile for on-base (24 of 30)league avg .3195217 PAvs RHP · 17th pct · 25 of 30season .311 (21st)3434 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

strikeout rate24.7%24.7%

93rd percentile for strikeouts (3 of 30)league avg 22.1%5217 PAvs RHP · 93rd pct · 3 of 30season 24.7% (93rd)3434 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team SLG.409.406

83rd percentile for slugging (6 of 30)league avg .4005217 PAvs RHP · 52nd pct · 15 of 30season .409 (83rd)3434 PAsupports OVERneutral

New York Yankees slash.234 / .311 / .409.720 OPS · 5217 PA

Buehler's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	311	20.3%	9.3%	8.18	2.17	.276
vs RHB	248	19.4%	8.1%	7.08	2.40	.232
home ●	286	17.5%	8.4%	6.49	2.08	.245
away	273	22.3%	9.2%	8.85	2.44	.268

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.

Against This ClubWalker Buehler vs New York Yankees2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 4.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 4.5
Aug 24 '25rel	2.1	7	2	2	2	1	1	under
Jun 6 '25	2.0	6	2	7	5	2	2	over

2 career games against them · they have hit .391/.481/.826 off him · 27 plate appearances · 1 of 2 went over 4.5

Walker Buehler Breakdown · his own data

xBA against.244—

no split for this stat

54th percentileleague avg .239559 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

AVG against.256—

no split for this stat

league avg .244+.012 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.36—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.06 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

whiff%19.8%—

no split for this stat

11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%559 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupWalker Buehler: Hits Allowed by split

	G	IP	H	H/G	K	over 4.5
at home ●	14	69.1	63	4.50	50	43% (6/14)
on the road	13	62.0	66	5.08	61	62% (8/13)
season	27	131.1	129	4.78	111	52% (14/27)

● tonight's split

4.5line

OVER+120NoVigfair +121 · -0.6% vs fair

30% boost+156+15.7% vs market · +32.7% vs season50% boost+180+26.6% vs market · +45.2% vs season

UNDER-120BetMGMfair -125 · +2% vs fair

30% boost+108+15.8% vs market · +0.3% vs season50% boost+125+25.1% vs market · +8.3% vs season

Earned Runs

27 games logged

line2.5

The Opposing LineupNew York Yankees vs Walker Buehleran ER line is a bet on the damage this lineup does · season to date

runs per game4.54—

no split for this stat

66th percentile for runs scored (11 of 30)league avg 4.48140 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports OVERseason only

team OBP.311.310

21st percentile for on-base (24 of 30)league avg .3195217 PAvs RHP · 17th pct · 25 of 30season .311 (21st)3434 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

HR rate3.7%3.9%

100th percentile for home runs (1 of 30)league avg 3.0%5217 PAvs RHP · 100th pct · 1 of 30season 3.7% (100th)3434 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team SLG.409.406

83rd percentile for slugging (6 of 30)league avg .4005217 PAvs RHP · 52nd pct · 15 of 30season .409 (83rd)3434 PAsupports OVERneutral

New York Yankees slash.234 / .311 / .409.720 OPS · 5217 PA

Buehler's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	311	20.3%	9.3%	8.18	2.17	.276
vs RHB	248	19.4%	8.1%	7.08	2.40	.232
home ●	286	17.5%	8.4%	6.49	2.08	.245
away	273	22.3%	9.2%	8.85	2.44	.268

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.

Against This ClubWalker Buehler vs New York Yankees2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 2.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 2.5
Aug 24 '25rel	2.1	7	2	2	2	1	1	under
Jun 6 '25	2.0	6	2	7	5	2	2	over

2 career games against them · they have hit .391/.481/.826 off him · 27 plate appearances · 1 of 2 went over 2.5

Walker Buehler Breakdown · his own data

xERA4.12—

no split for this stat

53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16559 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

ERA4.66—

no split for this stat

67th percentileleague avg 4.1727 startsno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

HR/91.16—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.160.00 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.36—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.06 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupWalker Buehler: Earned Runs by split

	G	IP	ER	ERA	H	over 2.5
at home ●	14	69.1	32	4.15	63	36% (5/14)
on the road	13	62.0	36	5.23	66	38% (5/13)
season	27	131.1	68	4.66	129	37% (10/27)

● tonight's split

2.5line

OVER+130NoVigfair +137 · -3.1% vs fair

30% boost+169+13.2% vs market · -0.4% vs season50% boost+195+24.2% vs market · +9.3% vs season

UNDER-153NoVigfair -137 · -4.3% vs fair

30% boost-118+7.1% vs market · +16.5% vs season50% boost-102+14.7% vs market · +24.7% vs season

Opposing hitters on the prop boardNew York Yankees @ San Diego Padressorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing