Heriberto Hernandez
MIAbats R1st in the order · projectedChicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins7:10 PMloanDepot park
Home Runs
109 games logged| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 22 | 5.0% |
| vs LHB | 172 | 11 | 6.4% |
| on the road ● | 233 | 13 | 5.6% |
| at home | 383 | 20 | 5.2% |
| season | 616 | 33 | 5.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 9 | 5.8% | .466 | 19% (7/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 14 | 5.5% | .476 | 19% (14/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 11 | 5.9% | .488 | 22% (11/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 12 | 5.4% | .459 | 17% (10/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 23 | 5.6% | .472 | 19% (21/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 7.0% | 94 | 16.0% | .570 | .283 | 92.1 |
| vs RHP | 265 | 4.9% | 159 | 12.6% | .439 | .214 | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 186 | 5.9% | 122 | 13.1% | .499 | .242 | 91.2 |
| on the road | 222 | 5.4% | 131 | 14.5% | .471 | .234 | 91.4 |
| season | 408 | 5.6% | 253 | 13.8% | .484 | .238 | 91.3 |
30% boost+540+29.2% vs market · +23.2% vs season50% boost+622+45.9% vs market · +39.2% vs season
30% boost-375+2.5% vs market · +2.2% vs season50% boost-325+5.8% vs market · +5.5% vs season
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Total Bases
109 games logged| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 183 | 0.41 | .440 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 74 | 0.43 | .471 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 97 | 0.42 | .451 |
| at home | 383 | 160 | 0.42 | .447 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .449 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 61 | 1.69 | .466 | 42% (15/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 110 | 1.51 | .476 | 38% (28/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 81 | 1.59 | .488 | 43% (22/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 90 | 1.55 | .459 | 36% (21/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 171 | 1.57 | .472 | 39% (43/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 48.3% | 94 | .570 | .283 | 16.0% | 92.1 |
| vs RHP | 265 | 38.5% | 159 | .439 | .214 | 12.6% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 186 | 43.5% | 122 | .499 | .242 | 13.1% | 91.2 |
| on the road | 222 | 40.5% | 131 | .471 | .234 | 14.5% | 91.4 |
| season | 408 | 41.9% | 253 | .484 | .238 | 13.8% | 91.3 |
30% boost-146no market fair50% boost-127no market fair
30% boost+208no market fair50% boost+240no market fair
- the over has hit 58% blended (L10 70%, season 39%) against a 40% priced probability
- his SLG of .472 - 86th percentile for SLG
- his xSLG of .486 - 94th percentile for xSLG
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 70% vs 39% season
basis: 109 games this season
30% boost+185+15% vs market · +12.3% vs season50% boost+213+26.5% vs market · +23.5% vs season
30% boost-123+7.7% vs market · +9.7% vs season50% boost-107+15.1% vs market · +17.3% vs season
30% boost+319no market fair50% boost+368no market fair
30% boost+417no market fair50% boost+481no market fair
30% boost+923no market fair50% boost+1065no market fair
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
109 games logged| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 102 | 23.0% | .245 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 35 | 20.3% | .223 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 50 | 21.5% | .233 |
| at home | 383 | 87 | 22.7% | .243 |
| season | 616 | 137 | 22.2% | .239 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 131 | 25 | .191 | 53% (19/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 231 | 59 | .255 | 60% (44/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 166 | 40 | .241 | 61% (31/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 196 | 44 | .224 | 55% (32/58) |
| season | 109 | 362 | 84 | .232 | 58% (63/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 21.7% | 94 | .287 | 22.3% | 39.4% |
| vs RHP | 265 | 20.0% | 159 | .225 | 19.5% | 32.1% |
| at home ● | 186 | 21.5% | 122 | .257 | 20.5% | 32.8% |
| on the road | 222 | 19.8% | 131 | .238 | 20.6% | 36.6% |
| season | 408 | 20.6% | 253 | — | 20.6% | 34.8% |
30% boost-135+8% vs market · +0.5% vs season50% boost-117+15% vs market · +7.1% vs season
30% boost+208+17% vs market · +30% vs season50% boost+240+29.2% vs market · +43.5% vs season
30% boost+376no market fair50% boost+434no market fair
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
109 games logged| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 102 | 183 | .291 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 35 | 74 | .287 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 50 | 97 | .288 |
| at home | 383 | 87 | 160 | .291 |
| season | 616 | 137 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 25 | 17 | 19 | 1.69 | 47% (17/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 59 | 26 | 42 | 1.74 | 44% (32/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 40 | 21 | 30 | 1.78 | 47% (24/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 44 | 22 | 31 | 1.67 | 43% (25/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 84 | 43 | 61 | 1.72 | 45% (49/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 21.7% | 94 | .287 | .570 | 16.0% | 92.1 |
| vs RHP | 265 | 20.0% | 159 | .225 | .439 | 12.6% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 186 | 21.5% | 122 | .257 | .499 | 13.1% | 91.2 |
| on the road | 222 | 19.8% | 131 | .238 | .471 | 14.5% | 91.4 |
| season | 408 | 20.6% | 253 | — | .484 | 13.8% | 91.3 |
30% boost+125+12.9% vs market · +1.1% vs season50% boost+144+22.6% vs market · +9.8% vs season
30% boost+127+15.1% vs market · +25.2% vs season50% boost+147+25% vs market · +36% vs season
RBIs
109 games logged| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 102 | 22 | .440 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 35 | 11 | .471 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 50 | 13 | .451 |
| at home | 383 | 87 | 20 | .447 |
| season | 616 | 137 | 33 | .449 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 19 | 0.53 | .466 | 36% (13/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 42 | 0.58 | .476 | 37% (27/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 30 | 0.59 | .488 | 39% (20/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 31 | 0.53 | .459 | 34% (20/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 61 | 0.56 | .472 | 37% (40/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 18.2% | 94 | .570 | 16.0% | 43.6% | 92.1 |
| vs RHP | 265 | 13.2% | 159 | .439 | 12.6% | 49.7% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 186 | 16.1% | 122 | .499 | 13.1% | 47.5% | 91.2 |
| on the road | 222 | 14.0% | 131 | .471 | 14.5% | 47.3% | 91.4 |
| season | 408 | — | 253 | .484 | 13.8% | 47.4% | 91.3 |
- the over has hit 51% blended (L10 60%, season 37%) against a 32% priced probability
- his RBI per game of 0.56 - 80th percentile for RBI per game
- his xSLG of .486 - 94th percentile for xSLG
- counterpoint - faces Shota Imanaga (LHP): BB% 5.7% - 9th percentile for walks allowed
basis: 109 games this season
30% boost+281+21.1% vs market · +39.7% vs season50% boost+324+34.8% vs market · +55.6% vs season
30% boost-192+4.9% vs market · -3.8% vs season50% boost-167+10.4% vs market · +1.3% vs season
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
109 games logged| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 102 | 23 | .291 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 35 | 12 | .287 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 50 | 13 | .288 |
| at home | 383 | 87 | 22 | .291 |
| season | 616 | 137 | 35 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 17 | 0.47 | .305 | 39% (14/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 26 | 0.36 | .323 | 30% (22/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 21 | 0.41 | .317 | 33% (17/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 22 | 0.38 | .315 | 33% (19/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 43 | 0.39 | .316 | 33% (36/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | — | 94 | .287 | 22.3% | 39.4% | 92.1 |
| vs RHP | 265 | — | 159 | .225 | 19.5% | 32.1% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 186 | 11.3% | 122 | .257 | 20.5% | 32.8% | 91.2 |
| on the road | 222 | 9.9% | 131 | .238 | 20.6% | 36.6% | 91.4 |
| season | 408 | — | 253 | — | 20.6% | 34.8% | 91.3 |
30% boost+150+10% vs market · -17.6% vs season50% boost+172+20.2% vs market · -10% vs season
30% boost-104+9.9% vs market · +31.5% vs season50% boost+111+18.2% vs market · +41.4% vs season
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Doubles
109 games logged| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 13 | 2.9% | .440 |
| vs LHB | 172 | 6 | 3.5% | .471 |
| on the road ● | 233 | 8 | 3.4% | .451 |
| at home | 383 | 11 | 2.9% | .447 |
| season | 616 | 19 | 3.1% | .449 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 7 | 4.5% | .466 | 17% (6/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 9 | 3.5% | .476 | 12% (9/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 8 | 4.3% | .488 | 16% (8/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 8 | 3.6% | .459 | 12% (7/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 16 | 3.9% | .472 | 14% (15/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 4.2% | 94 | .570 | 22.3% | 39.4% |
| vs RHP | 265 | 3.8% | 159 | .439 | 19.5% | 32.1% |
| at home ● | 186 | 4.3% | 122 | .499 | 20.5% | 32.8% |
| on the road | 222 | 3.6% | 131 | .471 | 20.6% | 36.6% |
| season | 408 | 3.9% | 253 | .484 | 20.6% | 34.8% |
30% boost+585+28.8% vs market · -5.7% vs season50% boost+675+45.7% vs market · +6.7% vs season
30% boost-448+0.8% vs market · +5.5% vs season50% boost-388+3.6% vs market · +8.5% vs season
Singles
109 games logged| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 66 | 14.9% |
| vs LHB | 172 | 18 | 10.5% |
| on the road ● | 233 | 29 | 12.4% |
| at home | 383 | 55 | 14.4% |
| season | 616 | 84 | 13.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 131 | 8 | .191 | 17% (6/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 231 | 36 | .255 | 40% (29/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 166 | 21 | .241 | 31% (16/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 196 | 23 | .224 | 33% (19/58) |
| season | 109 | 362 | 44 | .232 | 32% (35/109) |
● tonight's split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 143 | 9.8% | 94 | .287 | 22.3% | 39.4% |
| vs RHP | 265 | 11.3% | 159 | .225 | 19.5% | 32.1% |
| at home ● | 186 | 11.3% | 122 | .257 | 20.5% | 32.8% |
| on the road | 222 | 10.4% | 131 | .238 | 20.6% | 36.6% |
| season | 408 | 11.0% | 253 | — | 20.6% | 34.8% |
30% boost+172+14.3% vs market · -12.8% vs season50% boost+198+25.5% vs market · -4.3% vs season
30% boost-115+9.6% vs market · +26.7% vs season50% boost-100+17.4% vs market · +35.8% vs season
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
109 games logged| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 444 | 23 | 5.2% |
| vs LHB | 172 | 12 | 7.0% |
| on the road ● | 233 | 13 | 5.6% |
| at home | 383 | 22 | 5.7% |
| season | 616 | 35 | 5.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 20 | 13.0% | .305 | 47% (17/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 22 | 8.7% | .323 | 27% (20/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 18 | 9.7% | .317 | 31% (16/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 24 | 10.8% | .315 | 36% (21/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 42 | 10.3% | .316 | 34% (37/109) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+255+21.7% vs market · +20.4% vs season50% boost+294+35.1% vs market · +33.7% vs season
30% boost-169+5.8% vs market · +5.1% vs season50% boost-147+11.8% vs market · +11.1% vs season
Stolen Bases
109 games logged| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 36 | 154 | 4 | 0.11 | 11% (4/36) |
| vs RHP | 73 | 254 | 6 | 0.08 | 8% (6/73) |
| at home ● | 51 | 186 | 3 | 0.06 | 6% (3/51) |
| on the road | 58 | 222 | 7 | 0.12 | 12% (7/58) |
| season | 109 | 408 | 10 | 0.09 | 9% (10/109) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing