Janson Junk

MIAChicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins7:10 PMloanDepot park

Runs

The MatchupJanson Junk: Runs by split

	G	PA	R	R/G	OBP	over 1.5
at home ●	12	—	—	—	—	0% (0/12)
on the road	9	—	—	—	—	0% (0/9)
season	21	—	—	—	—	0% (0/21)

● tonight's split

The BatJanson Junk: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split

	PA	R/PA	BBE	xBA	LD%	SS%	EV
vs RHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs LHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
at home ●	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
on the road	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
season	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

1.5line

OVER-158Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost-122no market fair50% boost-105no market fair

UNDER+119Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost+155no market fair50% boost+178no market fair

Strikeouts

21 games logged

line3.5

The Opposing LineupChicago Cubs vs Janson Junka strikeout line is a bet on the lineup as much as the arm · season to date

strikeout rate21.5%21.5%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5567 PAvs RHP · 41st pct · 18 of 30season 21.5% (38th)4054 PAsupports UNDERneutral

walk rate10.6%10.7%

97th percentile for walks drawn (2 of 30)league avg 8.9%5567 PAvs RHP · 100th pct · 1 of 30season 10.6% (97th)4054 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team AVG.251.245

83rd percentile for batting average (6 of 30)league avg .2445567 PAvs RHP · 59th pct · 13 of 30season .251 (83rd)4054 PAsupports UNDERneutral

Chicago Cubs slash.251 / .339 / .431.770 OPS · 5567 PA

Junk's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	274	17.5%	7.3%	7.20	2.40	.300
vs RHB	161	13.7%	5%	4.64	2.75	.208
home ●	245	17.6%	4.9%	6.49	3.58	.241
away	190	14.2%	8.4%	5.61	1.69	.298

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.

Against This ClubJanson Junk vs Chicago Cubs2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 3.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 3.5
May 5 '24rel	2.0	6	2	3	1	1	0	under
Oct 1 '23rel	2.2	8	3	1	0	0	0	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .222/.263/.222 off him · 19 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 3.5

Janson Junk Breakdown · his own data

K%16.1%—

no split for this stat

8th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%435 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

whiff%15.3%—

no split for this stat

2nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%435 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

K/96.1—

no split for this stat

league avg 8.5-2.4 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

first-pitch strike%62.1%—

no split for this stat

53rd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupJanson Junk: Strikeouts by split

	G	IP	K	K/G	H	over 3.5
at home ●	12	59.2	43	3.58	55	42% (5/12)
on the road	9	43.1	27	3.00	51	44% (4/9)
season	21	103.0	70	3.33	106	43% (9/21)

● tonight's split

3.5line

OVER+123DraftKingsfair +129 · -2.6% vs fair

30% boost+160+13.6% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+184+24.3% vs market · +21.9% vs season

UNDER-125NoVigfair -130 · +1.6% vs fair

30% boost+104+15.3% vs market · +16.6% vs season50% boost+120+24.3% vs market · +25.7% vs season

Outs

21 games logged

line14.5

The Opposing LineupChicago Cubs vs Janson Junkan outs line is a bet on how long this lineup lets him work · season to date

team OBP.339.334

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195567 PAvs RHP · 90th pct · 4 of 30season .339 (100th)4054 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

strikeout rate21.5%21.5%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5567 PAvs RHP · 41st pct · 18 of 30season 21.5% (38th)4054 PAsupports UNDERneutral

runs per game5.34—

no split for this stat

97th percentile for runs scored (2 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports UNDERseason only

Chicago Cubs slash.251 / .339 / .431.770 OPS · 5567 PA

Junk's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	274	17.5%	7.3%	7.20	2.40	.300
vs RHB	161	13.7%	5%	4.64	2.75	.208
home ●	245	17.6%	4.9%	6.49	3.58	.241
away	190	14.2%	8.4%	5.61	1.69	.298

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.

Against This ClubJanson Junk vs Chicago Cubs2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 14.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 14.5
May 5 '24rel	2.0	6	2	3	1	1	0	under
Oct 1 '23rel	2.2	8	3	1	0	0	0	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .222/.263/.222 off him · 19 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 14.5

Janson Junk Breakdown · his own data

IP per start5.2—

no comparison availableno split for this stat

20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.30—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30-0.01 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

xERA4.27—

no split for this stat

59th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupJanson Junk: Outs by split

	G	outs	IP	outs/G	ER	over 14.5
at home ●	12	179	59.2	14.92	24	67% (8/12)
on the road	9	130	43.1	14.44	23	67% (6/9)
season	21	309	103.0	14.71	47	67% (14/21)

● tonight's split

14.5line

OVER+144NoVigfair +142 · +0.7% vs fair

30% boost+187+18.6% vs market · +91.5% vs season50% boost+216+30.5% vs market · +110.7% vs season

UNDER-105bet365fair -135 · +12.1% vs fair

30% boost+124+28.5% vs market · -25.4% vs season50% boost+143+39.4% vs market · -19% vs season

Hits Allowed

21 games logged

line4.5

The Opposing LineupChicago Cubs vs Janson Junka hits-allowed line is a bet on how much contact this lineup makes · season to date

team AVG.251.245

83rd percentile for batting average (6 of 30)league avg .2445567 PAvs RHP · 59th pct · 13 of 30season .251 (83rd)4054 PAsupports OVERneutral

team OBP.339.334

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195567 PAvs RHP · 90th pct · 4 of 30season .339 (100th)4054 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

strikeout rate21.5%21.5%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5567 PAvs RHP · 41st pct · 18 of 30season 21.5% (38th)4054 PAsupports OVERneutral

team SLG.431.421

100th percentile for slugging (1 of 30)league avg .4005567 PAvs RHP · 86th pct · 5 of 30season .431 (100th)4054 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

Chicago Cubs slash.251 / .339 / .431.770 OPS · 5567 PA

Junk's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	274	17.5%	7.3%	7.20	2.40	.300
vs RHB	161	13.7%	5%	4.64	2.75	.208
home ●	245	17.6%	4.9%	6.49	3.58	.241
away	190	14.2%	8.4%	5.61	1.69	.298

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.

Against This ClubJanson Junk vs Chicago Cubs2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 4.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 4.5
May 5 '24rel	2.0	6	2	3	1	1	0	under
Oct 1 '23rel	2.2	8	3	1	0	0	0	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .222/.263/.222 off him · 19 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 4.5

Janson Junk Breakdown · his own data

xBA against.259—

no split for this stat

74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

AVG against.266—

no split for this stat

league avg .244+.022 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.30—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30-0.01 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

whiff%15.3%—

no split for this stat

2nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%435 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupJanson Junk: Hits Allowed by split

	G	IP	H	H/G	K	over 4.5
at home ●	12	59.2	55	4.58	43	58% (7/12)
on the road	9	43.1	51	5.67	27	67% (6/9)
season	21	103.0	106	5.05	70	62% (13/21)

● tonight's split

4.5line

OVER+115Bovadafair +118 · -1.6% vs fair

30% boost+150+14.3% vs market · +54.5% vs season50% boost+172+24.8% vs market · +68.7% vs season

UNDER-122NoVigfair -117 · -2% vs fair

30% boost+107+11.3% vs market · -21.3% vs season50% boost+123+20.2% vs market · -15.1% vs season

Earned Runs

21 games logged

line1.5

The Opposing LineupChicago Cubs vs Janson Junkan ER line is a bet on the damage this lineup does · season to date

runs per game5.34—

no split for this stat

97th percentile for runs scored (2 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports OVERseason only

team OBP.339.334

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195567 PAvs RHP · 90th pct · 4 of 30season .339 (100th)4054 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

HR rate3.6%3.4%

97th percentile for home runs (2 of 30)league avg 3.0%5567 PAvs RHP · 79th pct · 7 of 30season 3.6% (97th)4054 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team SLG.431.421

100th percentile for slugging (1 of 30)league avg .4005567 PAvs RHP · 86th pct · 5 of 30season .431 (100th)4054 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

Chicago Cubs slash.251 / .339 / .431.770 OPS · 5567 PA

Junk's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	274	17.5%	7.3%	7.20	2.40	.300
vs RHB	161	13.7%	5%	4.64	2.75	.208
home ●	245	17.6%	4.9%	6.49	3.58	.241
away	190	14.2%	8.4%	5.61	1.69	.298

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.

Against This ClubJanson Junk vs Chicago Cubs2 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 1.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 1.5
May 5 '24rel	2.0	6	2	3	1	1	0	under
Oct 1 '23rel	2.2	8	3	1	0	0	0	under

2 career games against them · they have hit .222/.263/.222 off him · 19 plate appearances · 0 of 2 went over 1.5

Janson Junk Breakdown · his own data

xERA4.27—

no split for this stat

59th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

ERA4.11—

no split for this stat

53rd percentileleague avg 4.1720 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

HR/91.05—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.16-0.11 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.30—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30-0.01 vs league20 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupJanson Junk: Earned Runs by split

	G	IP	ER	ERA	H	over 1.5
at home ●	12	59.2	24	3.62	55	42% (5/12)
on the road	9	43.1	23	4.78	51	56% (5/9)
season	21	103.0	47	4.11	106	48% (10/21)

● tonight's split

1.5line

C+★ FORMleans under

the under has hit 63% blended (L10 70%, season 52%) against a 43% priced probability

basis: 21 starts this season

OVER-153NoVigfair -136 · -4.7% vs fair

30% boost-118+6.5% vs market · -11.9% vs season50% boost-102+14.1% vs market · -5.7% vs season

UNDER+125BetMGMfair +134 · -3.7% vs fair

30% boost+162+12.3% vs market · +37.5% vs season50% boost+188+23% vs market · +50.6% vs season

Opposing hitters on the prop boardChicago Cubs @ Miami Marlinssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing