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Juan Soto
NYMbats L2nd in the order · projectedSan Francisco Giants @ New York Mets7:11 PMCiti Field
facingMatt Wilkinson4.63 ERA · 4.63 K/9 · 1.11 WHIP · 11.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.1% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.1% (league avg 7.4%) · only 3 starts, thin sample
Soto at the plateHR/PA 6.1%barrel rate 14.7%hard-hit% 49.4%
Home Runs
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthinthin2.1%0.0%
29th percentileleague avg 2.9%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 2.1% (29th)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%0.0%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%28.6%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowedthinthin30.8%28.6%
79th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason 30.8% (79th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG againstthinthin.426.195
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| vs RHB | 38 | 1 | 2.6% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 1 | 4.0% |
| at home | 22 | 0 | 0.0% |
| season | 47 | 1 | 2.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA6.1%3.2%
98th percentileleague avg 3.0%377 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 6.1% (98th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.7%8.8%
95th percentileleague avg 7.8%377 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 14.7% (95th)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.4%44.0%
92nd percentileleague avg 39.0%377 PAvs LHP · 74th pctseason 49.4% (92nd)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.3%35.2%
94th percentileleague avg 26.7%377 PAvs LHP · 94th pctseason 35.3% (94th)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.593.452
99th percentileleague avg .386377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .593 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.296.185
99th percentileleague avg .146377 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason .296 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo92.2 mph89.8 mph
94th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph377 PAvs LHP · 73rd pctseason 92.2 mph (94th)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 4 | 4.0% | .523 | 16% (4/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 19 | 6.9% | .549 | 27% (17/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 12 | 6.8% | .629 | 29% (12/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 11 | 5.5% | .467 | 19% (9/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 23 | 6.1% | .542 | 24% (21/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 3.2% | 91 | 8.8% | .452 | .185 | 89.8 |
| vs RHP | 253 | 7.5% | 168 | 17.9% | .664 | .354 | 93.5 |
| at home ● | 177 | 6.8% | 124 | 19.4% | .704 | .368 | 92.6 |
| on the road | 200 | 5.5% | 135 | 10.4% | .491 | .231 | 91.8 |
| season | 377 | 6.1% | 259 | 14.7% | .589 | .294 | 92.2 |
0.5line
OVER+360ProphetXfair +354 · +1.4% vs fair
30% boost+468+25% vs market · +34% vs season50% boost+540+40.8% vs market · +51% vs season
UNDER-376NoVigfair -365 · -0.6% vs fair
30% boost-289+5.6% vs market · +2.8% vs season50% boost-251+9.8% vs market · +6.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Total Bases
89 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.426.195
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xBA againstthinthin.251.160
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.244.000
league avg .244+.000 vs league3 startsvs LHBseason .244thin sample: 9 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%28.6%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%0.0%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 18 | 0.47 | .500 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 15 | 0.60 | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 0.14 | .150 |
| season | 47 | 18 | 0.38 | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.593.452
99th percentileleague avg .386377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .593 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.542.431
99th percentileleague avg .400377 PAvs LHP · 68th pctseason .542 (99th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.281.266
89th percentileleague avg .244377 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .281 (89th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.296.185
99th percentileleague avg .146377 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason .296 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.4%44.0%
92nd percentileleague avg 39.0%377 PAvs LHP · 74th pctseason 49.4% (92nd)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.7%8.8%
95th percentileleague avg 7.8%377 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 14.7% (95th)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.3%18.7%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%377 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 20.3% (14th)91 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 45 | 1.80 | .523 | 40% (10/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 123 | 1.92 | .549 | 41% (26/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 90 | 2.14 | .629 | 48% (20/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 78 | 1.66 | .467 | 34% (16/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 168 | 1.89 | .542 | 40% (36/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 37.9% | 91 | .452 | .185 | 8.8% | 89.8 |
| vs RHP | 253 | 47.8% | 168 | .664 | .354 | 17.9% | 93.5 |
| at home ● | 177 | 50.8% | 124 | .704 | .368 | 19.4% | 92.6 |
| on the road | 200 | 39.0% | 135 | .491 | .231 | 10.4% | 91.8 |
| season | 377 | 44.6% | 259 | .589 | .294 | 14.7% | 92.2 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 40%L20 55%SZN 67%over rate
OVER-200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-154no market fair50% boost-133no market fair
UNDER+160theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+208no market fair50% boost+240no market fair
1.5line
OVER+129ProphetXfair +132 · -1.4% vs fair
30% boost+168+15.4% vs market · +8.3% vs season50% boost+194+26.5% vs market · +18.7% vs season
UNDER-142ProphetXfair -131 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-109+8.4% vs market · +14.1% vs season50% boost+106+16.4% vs market · +22.5% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 31%over rate
OVER+240BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+312no market fair50% boost+360no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 26%over rate
OVER+330betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+429no market fair50% boost+495no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+575Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+748no market fair50% boost+862no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1100Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1430no market fair50% boost+1650no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.160
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.244.000
league avg .244+.000 vs league3 startsvs LHBseason .244thin sample: 9 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thinthin12.7%22.2%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%thinthin14.7%16.7%
1st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 14.7% (1st)thin sample: 18 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 11 | 28.9% | .306 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | .150 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | .244 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.281.266
89th percentileleague avg .244377 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason .281 (89th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%85.3%80.1%
57th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%377 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason 85.3% (57th)156 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%21.4%25.1%
28th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%377 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 21.4% (28th)211 swingssupports OVERneutral
K%13.5%14.5%
7th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%377 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason 13.5% (7th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.3%18.7%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%377 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 20.3% (14th)91 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 86 | 27 | .314 | 72% (18/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 224 | 60 | .268 | 66% (42/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 143 | 47 | .329 | 76% (32/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 167 | 40 | .240 | 60% (28/47) |
| season | 89 | 310 | 87 | .281 | 67% (60/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 23.4% | 91 | .267 | 18.7% | 33.0% |
| vs RHP | 253 | 22.9% | 168 | .310 | 20.8% | 35.7% |
| at home ● | 177 | 26.6% | 124 | .336 | 22.6% | 43.5% |
| on the road | 200 | 20.0% | 135 | .260 | 17.8% | 26.7% |
| season | 377 | 23.1% | 259 | — | 20.1% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER-190NoVigfair -175 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-146+7.3% vs market · +13.5% vs season50% boost-127+14% vs market · +20.6% vs season
UNDER+175betPARXfair +174 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost+228+19.5% vs market · +6.7% vs season50% boost+262+32.3% vs market · +18.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 28%over rate
OVER+292NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+380no market fair50% boost+438no market fair
UNDER-375theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-288no market fair50% boost-250no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1340DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1742no market fair50% boost+2010no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
89 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.160
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.426.195
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin4.3%0.0%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin12.7%22.2%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 11 | 18 | .342 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 15 | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 3 | .227 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 18 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.152.12
87th percentileleague avg 1.7589 gamesvs LHP · 85th pctseason 2.15 (87th)25 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.422—
no split for this stat100th percentileleague avg .310377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.542.431
99th percentileleague avg .400377 PAvs LHP · 68th pctseason .542 (99th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 2.12 | 44% (11/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 60 | 36 | 42 | 2.16 | 50% (32/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 47 | 27 | 30 | 2.48 | 60% (25/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 40 | 22 | 25 | 1.85 | 38% (18/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 87 | 49 | 55 | 2.15 | 48% (43/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 23.4% | 91 | .267 | .452 | 8.8% | 89.8 |
| vs RHP | 253 | 22.9% | 168 | .310 | .664 | 17.9% | 93.5 |
| at home ● | 177 | 26.6% | 124 | .336 | .704 | 19.4% | 92.6 |
| on the road | 200 | 20.0% | 135 | .260 | .491 | 10.4% | 91.8 |
| season | 377 | 23.1% | 259 | — | .589 | 14.7% | 92.2 |
1.5line
OVER-120Bovadafair -112 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+108+9.8% vs market · +0.7% vs season50% boost+125+18.6% vs market · +8.7% vs season
UNDER+106NoVigfair +110 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+138+13% vs market · +22.9% vs season50% boost+159+23% vs market · +33.9% vs season
RBIs
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.426.195
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%0.0%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin4.3%0.0%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 11 | 1 | .500 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 1 | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 0 | .150 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 1 | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.620.52
93rd percentileleague avg 0.4589 gamesvs LHP · 74th pctseason 0.62 (93rd)25 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.593.452
99th percentileleague avg .386377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .593 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.4%44.0%
92nd percentileleague avg 39.0%377 PAvs LHP · 74th pctseason 49.4% (92nd)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.7%8.8%
95th percentileleague avg 7.8%377 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 14.7% (95th)91 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 13 | 0.52 | .523 | 32% (8/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 42 | 0.66 | .549 | 42% (27/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 30 | 0.71 | .629 | 48% (20/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 25 | 0.53 | .467 | 32% (15/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 55 | 0.62 | .542 | 39% (35/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 11.3% | 91 | .452 | 8.8% | 44.0% | 89.8 |
| vs RHP | 253 | 16.2% | 168 | .664 | 17.9% | 52.4% | 93.5 |
| at home ● | 177 | 16.9% | 124 | .704 | 19.4% | 53.2% | 92.6 |
| on the road | 200 | 12.5% | 135 | .491 | 10.4% | 45.9% | 91.8 |
| season | 377 | — | 259 | .589 | 14.7% | 49.4% | 92.2 |
0.5line
OVER+170ProphetXfair +172 · -0.6% vs fair
30% boost+221+18.1% vs market · +26.2% vs season50% boost+255+30.6% vs market · +39.6% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -176 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-146+7.3% vs market · +2.2% vs season50% boost-127+14% vs market · +8.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA againstthinthin.251.160
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin4.3%0.0%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 11 | 2 | .342 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 0 | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 2 | .227 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 2 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.550.52
77th percentileleague avg 0.4689 gamesvs LHP · 69th pctseason 0.55 (77th)25 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.422—
no split for this stat100th percentileleague avg .310377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.8—
no split for this stat13th percentileleague avg 27.4377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%17.0%11.3%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%377 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 17.0% (99th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 13 | 0.52 | .410 | 40% (10/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 36 | 0.56 | .399 | 47% (30/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 27 | 0.64 | .449 | 52% (22/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 22 | 0.47 | .360 | 38% (18/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 49 | 0.55 | .402 | 45% (40/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | — | 91 | .267 | 18.7% | 33.0% | 89.8 |
| vs RHP | 253 | — | 168 | .310 | 20.8% | 35.7% | 93.5 |
| at home ● | 177 | 15.3% | 124 | .336 | 22.6% | 43.5% | 92.6 |
| on the road | 200 | 11.0% | 135 | .260 | 17.8% | 26.7% | 91.8 |
| season | 377 | — | 259 | — | 20.1% | 34.8% | 92.2 |
0.5line
OVER-110ProphetXfair -102 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+118+10.2% vs market · -1.9% vs season50% boost+136+19.4% vs market · +6.2% vs season
UNDER+100bet365fair +100 · -0.2% vs fair
30% boost+130+14.8% vs market · +26.6% vs season50% boost+150+24.8% vs market · +37.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
Doubles
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.426.195
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%28.6%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 3rd pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%0.0%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 7 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowedthin25.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this statthin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | .000 |
| vs RHB | 38 | 2 | 5.3% | .500 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 0 | 0.0% | .150 |
| season | 47 | 2 | 4.3% | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.1%1.6%
5th percentileleague avg 4.1%377 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason 2.1% (5th)124 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.593.452
99th percentileleague avg .386377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .593 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.296.185
99th percentileleague avg .146377 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason .296 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.3%18.7%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%377 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 20.3% (14th)91 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%34.8%33.0%
43rd percentileleague avg 35.3%377 PAvs LHP · 28th pctseason 34.8% (43rd)91 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.8—
no split for this stat13th percentileleague avg 27.4377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Soto: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 2 | 2.0% | .523 | 8% (2/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 6 | 2.2% | .549 | 9% (6/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 5 | 2.8% | .629 | 12% (5/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 3 | 1.5% | .467 | 6% (3/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 8 | 2.1% | .542 | 9% (8/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 1.6% | 91 | .452 | 18.7% | 33.0% |
| vs RHP | 253 | 2.4% | 168 | .664 | 20.8% | 35.7% |
| at home ● | 177 | 2.8% | 124 | .704 | 22.6% | 43.5% |
| on the road | 200 | 1.5% | 135 | .491 | 17.8% | 26.7% |
| season | 377 | 2.1% | 259 | .589 | 20.1% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER+450theScore Betfair +411 · +7.7% vs fair
30% boost+585+34.3% vs market · -38.4% vs season50% boost+675+51.9% vs market · -30.3% vs season
UNDER-550BetMGMfair -437 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-423+0.6% vs market · +12.5% vs season50% boost-367+3.6% vs market · +15.8% vs season
Singles
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.160
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 9 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin12.7%22.2%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%thinthin14.7%16.7%
1st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 14.7% (1st)thin sample: 18 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| vs RHB | 38 | 7 | 18.4% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| season | 47 | 7 | 14.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%85.3%80.1%
57th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%377 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason 85.3% (57th)156 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%21.4%25.1%
28th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%377 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 21.4% (28th)211 swingssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%20.3%18.7%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%377 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 20.3% (14th)91 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.8—
no split for this stat13th percentileleague avg 27.4377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Soto: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 86 | 19 | .314 | 64% (16/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 224 | 35 | .268 | 47% (30/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 143 | 29 | .329 | 60% (25/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 167 | 25 | .240 | 45% (21/47) |
| season | 89 | 310 | 54 | .281 | 52% (46/89) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 124 | 16.9% | 91 | .267 | 18.7% | 33.0% |
| vs RHP | 253 | 13.0% | 168 | .310 | 20.8% | 35.7% |
| at home ● | 177 | 16.4% | 124 | .336 | 22.6% | 43.5% |
| on the road | 200 | 12.5% | 135 | .260 | 17.8% | 26.7% |
| season | 377 | 14.9% | 259 | — | 20.1% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER+128ProphetXfair +135 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+166+13.2% vs market · +37.7% vs season50% boost+192+24.1% vs market · +50.9% vs season
UNDER-150BetMGMfair -140 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost-115+9% vs market · -9.8% vs season50% boost-100+16.8% vs market · -3.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thinthin4.3%0.0%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 9 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%thinthin63.8%55.6%
69th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 63.8% (69th)thin sample: 9 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/9thin1.50.0
league avg 3.4-1.9 vs league3 startsvs LHBseason 1.5thin sample: 9 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| vs RHB | 38 | 2 | 5.3% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 0 | 0.0% |
| at home | 22 | 2 | 9.1% |
| season | 47 | 2 | 4.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
BB%17.0%11.3%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%377 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 17.0% (99th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate20.2%22.8%
3rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%377 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason 20.2% (3rd)241 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%62.0%67.5%
league avg 66.8%-4.8% vs league377 PAvs LHPseason 62.0%231 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJuan Soto: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 14 | 13.9% | .410 | 40% (10/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 50 | 18.1% | .399 | 55% (35/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 32 | 18.1% | .449 | 52% (22/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 32 | 16.0% | .360 | 49% (23/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 64 | 17.0% | .402 | 51% (45/89) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER-104DraftKingsfair -102 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost+125+13.4% vs market · +13.8% vs season50% boost+144+23.1% vs market · +23.5% vs season
UNDER+100bet365fair -102 · +1% vs fair
30% boost+130+16.1% vs market · +13.7% vs season50% boost+150+26.2% vs market · +23.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
89 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
the arm: what drives stolen bases
No market-specific profile for Matt Wilkinson in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.
vs LHB only: .000 avg · K% 22.2 · BB% 0 (9 BF)
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed25.8—
no split for this stat13th percentileleague avg 27.4377 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.080.12
65th percentileleague avg 0.0789 gamesvs LHP · 80th pctseason 0.08 (65th)25 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.297.267
99th percentileleague avg .240377 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason .297 (99th)109 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%17.0%11.3%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%377 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 17.0% (99th)124 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 25 | 101 | 3 | 0.12 | 8% (2/25) |
| vs RHP | 64 | 276 | 4 | 0.06 | 6% (4/64) |
| at home ● | 42 | 177 | 3 | 0.07 | 5% (2/42) |
| on the road | 47 | 200 | 4 | 0.09 | 9% (4/47) |
| season | 89 | 377 | 7 | 0.08 | 7% (6/89) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+700ProphetXfair +586 · +16.6% vs fair
30% boost+910+47.5% vs market · -31.9% vs season50% boost+1050+67.9% vs market · -22.5% vs season
UNDER-920DraftKingsfair -684 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-708-0.5% vs market · +6.4% vs season50% boost-613+1.4% vs market · +8.5% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Francisco Giants @ New York Metssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing