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Turner Hill
SFbats L5th in the order · projectedSan Francisco Giants @ New York Mets7:11 PMCiti Field
facingNolan McLean3.06 ERA · 9.94 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 155.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.3% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Hill at the plateHR/PA 0.0%barrel rate 5.0%hard-hit% 37.5%
Home Runs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.3%2.9%
34th percentileleague avg 2.9%645 batters facedvs LHB · 51st pctseason 2.3% (34th)386 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed24.0%27.7%
29th percentileleague avg 26.7%645 batters facedvs LHB · 60th pctseason 24.0% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 11 | 2.8% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 4 | 1.6% |
| at home ● | 338 | 10 | 3.0% |
| on the road | 306 | 5 | 1.6% |
| season | 644 | 15 | 2.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthinthin0.0%0.0%
0th percentileleague avg 3.0%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 0.0% (0th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin5.0%5.9%
26th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.0% (26th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thinthin37.5%38.2%
41st percentileleague avg 39.0%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 37.5% (41st)thin sample: 34 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%thinthin20.0%20.6%
10th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 20.0% (10th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthinthin.420.421
72nd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason .420 (72nd)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthinthin.133.134
44th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason .133 (44th)thin sample: 41 at-batsneutralneutral
avg exit velothinthin87.6 mph88.6 mph
42nd percentileleague avg 88.0 mphthin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 87.6 mph (42nd)thin sample: 34 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupTurner Hill: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 0 | 0.0% | .351 | 0% (0/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | .857 | 0% (0/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.0% | .579 | 0% (0/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0.0% | .320 | 0% (0/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 0 | 0.0% | .432 | 0% (0/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 0.0% | 34 | 5.9% | .421 | .134 | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 9 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.0% | .201 | .055 | 82.0 |
| on the road ● | 24 | 0.0% | 16 | 0.0% | .363 | .066 | 86.0 |
| at home | 32 | 0.0% | 24 | 8.3% | .415 | .168 | 88.7 |
| season | 56 | 0.0% | 40 | 5.0% | .393 | .125 | 87.6 |
0.5line
OVER+1500bet365fair +948 · +52.7% vs fair
30% boost+1950+94.8% vs market · -100% vs season50% boost+2250+123.2% vs market · -100% vs season
UNDER-3335betPARXpooled fair -947
30% boost-2565pooled fair50% boost-2223pooled fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
AVG against.203.230
league avg .244-0.041 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .203386 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 125 | 0.32 | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 57 | 0.22 | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 110 | 0.33 | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 72 | 0.24 | .266 |
| season | 644 | 182 | 0.28 | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthinthin.420.421
72nd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason .420 (72nd)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLGthinthin.432.410
69th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .432 (69th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERneutral
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthinthin.318.308
100th percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .318 (100th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthinthin.133.134
44th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason .133 (44th)thin sample: 41 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%thinthin37.5%38.2%
41st percentileleague avg 39.0%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 37.5% (41st)thin sample: 34 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel ratethinthin5.0%5.9%
26th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.0% (26th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thinthin30.0%29.4%
97th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 30.0% (97th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTurner Hill: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 13 | 1.08 | .351 | 58% (7/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 6 | 1.50 | .857 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 11 | 1.38 | .579 | 63% (5/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 8 | 1.00 | .320 | 50% (4/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 19 | 1.19 | .432 | 56% (9/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 34.0% | 34 | .421 | .134 | 5.9% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 9 | 33.3% | 6 | .201 | .055 | 0.0% | 82.0 |
| on the road ● | 24 | 45.8% | 16 | .363 | .066 | 0.0% | 86.0 |
| at home | 32 | 25.0% | 24 | .415 | .168 | 8.3% | 88.7 |
| season | 56 | 33.9% | 40 | .393 | .125 | 5.0% | 87.6 |
0.5line
OVER-146ProphetXfair -136 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-112+9.1% vs market · +6.3% vs season50% boost+103+17% vs market · +14% vs season
UNDER+135betPARXfair +134 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost+176+17.6% vs market · +20.5% vs season50% boost+203+29.2% vs market · +32.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%SZN 38%over rate
OVER+215bet365market fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+280no market fair50% boost+322no market fair
UNDER-300Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-231no market fair50% boost-200no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+475BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 20%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+800FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+1900FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
AVG against.203.230
league avg .244-0.041 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .203386 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.8%
47th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%644 batters facedvs LHB · 49th pctseason 24.4% (47th)665 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 19.9% | .230 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 14.3% | .164 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 19.5% | .228 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 15.7% | .177 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 17.7% | .203 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthinthin.318.308
100th percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .318 (100th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thinthin94.7%94.0%
99th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 94.7% (99th)thin sample: 50 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin11.8%13.4%
1st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 11.8% (1st)thin sample: 67 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thinthin12.5%14.9%
4th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason 12.5% (4th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thinthin30.0%29.4%
97th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 30.0% (97th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTurner Hill: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 37 | 10 | .270 | 58% (7/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 7 | 4 | .571 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 19 | 8 | .421 | 63% (5/8) |
| at home | 8 | 25 | 6 | .240 | 50% (4/8) |
| season | 16 | 44 | 14 | .318 | 56% (9/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 25.5% | 34 | .286 | 29.4% | 35.3% |
| vs LHP | 9 | 22.2% | 6 | .146 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 24 | 33.3% | 16 | .297 | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| at home | 32 | 18.8% | 24 | .247 | 20.8% | 29.2% |
| season | 56 | 25.0% | 40 | — | 30.0% | 35.0% |
0.5line
OVER-146ProphetXfair -136 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-112+9.1% vs market · +6.3% vs season50% boost+103+17% vs market · +14% vs season
UNDER+138betPARXfair +136 · +1% vs fair
30% boost+179+18.7% vs market · +22.2% vs season50% boost+207+30.5% vs market · +34.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+367DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+477no market fair50% boost+550no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
H+R+RBI
16 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmNolan McLean: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 125 | .322 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 57 | .258 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 110 | .327 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 72 | .262 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 182 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xwOBAthin.365—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLGthinthin.432.410
69th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .432 (69th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERneutral
The MatchupTurner Hill: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 2.00 | 50% (6/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2.13 | 38% (3/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1.88 | 63% (5/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 2.00 | 50% (8/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 25.5% | 34 | .286 | .421 | 5.9% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 9 | 22.2% | 6 | .146 | .201 | 0.0% | 82.0 |
| on the road ● | 24 | 33.3% | 16 | .297 | .363 | 0.0% | 86.0 |
| at home | 32 | 18.8% | 24 | .247 | .415 | 8.3% | 88.7 |
| season | 56 | 25.0% | 40 | — | .393 | 5.0% | 87.6 |
1.5line
OVER+136ProphetXfair +146 · -4% vs fair
30% boost+177+12.7% vs market · +38.4% vs season50% boost+204+23.7% vs market · +52% vs season
UNDER-158ProphetXfair -146 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-122+8.1% vs market · -8.9% vs season50% boost-105+15.6% vs market · -2.5% vs season
RBIs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmNolan McLean: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 11 | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 4 | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 10 | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 5 | .266 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 15 | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthinthin.420.421
72nd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason .420 (72nd)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thinthin37.5%38.2%
41st percentileleague avg 39.0%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 37.5% (41st)thin sample: 34 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel ratethinthin5.0%5.9%
26th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.0% (26th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTurner Hill: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 9 | 0.75 | .351 | 58% (7/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0.50 | .857 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 5 | 0.63 | .579 | 38% (3/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 6 | 0.75 | .320 | 63% (5/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 11 | 0.69 | .432 | 50% (8/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 17.0% | 34 | .421 | 5.9% | 38.2% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 9 | 33.3% | 6 | .201 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 82.0 |
| on the road ● | 24 | 20.8% | 16 | .363 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 86.0 |
| at home | 32 | 18.8% | 24 | .415 | 8.3% | 37.5% | 88.7 |
| season | 56 | — | 40 | .393 | 5.0% | 37.5% | 87.6 |
0.5line
A★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 56% blended (L10 60%, season 50%) against a 26% priced probability
- his xSLG of .420 - 72nd percentile for xSLG
- recent form and season agree (60% vs 50%) - the read does not depend on a streak
- counterpoint - faces Nolan McLean (RHP): xERA 3.58 - 29th percentile for expected ERA
no L20 window - the sample is too short to show one; thin sample: 16 games this season
basis: 16 games this season
OVER+290bet365fair +284 · +1.5% vs fair
30% boost+377+24% vs market · +138.5% vs season50% boost+435+39.1% vs market · +167.5% vs season
UNDER-286betPARXfair -281 · -0.5% vs fair
30% boost-220+7.2% vs market · -27.3% vs season50% boost-191+12.4% vs market · -23.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+1000Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmNolan McLean: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 38 | .322 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 23 | .258 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 35 | .327 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 26 | .262 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 61 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xwOBAthin.365—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speedthin28.2—
no split for this stat72nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin12.5%10.6%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 12.5% (89th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTurner Hill: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 5 | 0.42 | .356 | 33% (4/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0.50 | .636 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 4 | 0.50 | .500 | 38% (3/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 3 | 0.38 | .344 | 38% (3/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 7 | 0.44 | .411 | 38% (6/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | — | 34 | .286 | 29.4% | 35.3% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 9 | — | 6 | .146 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 82.0 |
| on the road ● | 24 | 16.7% | 16 | .297 | 43.8% | 43.8% | 86.0 |
| at home | 32 | 9.4% | 24 | .247 | 20.8% | 29.2% | 88.7 |
| season | 56 | — | 40 | — | 30.0% | 35.0% | 87.6 |
0.5line
OVER+205ProphetXfair +205 · 0% vs fair
30% boost+266+20.2% vs market · +37.4% vs season50% boost+307+33.7% vs market · +52.8% vs season
UNDER-250BetMGMfair -215 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-192+3.8% vs market · -5% vs season50% boost-167+9.3% vs market · 0% vs season
Doubles
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive% allowed23.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat644 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmNolan McLean: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 15 | 3.9% | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 8 | 3.1% | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 14 | 4.1% | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 9 | 2.9% | .266 |
| season | 644 | 23 | 3.6% | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthinthin8.9%8.5%
100th percentileleague avg 4.1%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 8.9% (100th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthinthin.420.421
72nd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason .420 (72nd)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthinthin.133.134
44th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason .133 (44th)thin sample: 41 at-batsneutralneutral
line-drive%thinthin30.0%29.4%
97th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 30.0% (97th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%thinthin35.0%35.3%
46th percentileleague avg 35.3%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 35.0% (46th)thin sample: 34 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speedthin28.2—
no split for this stat72nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupTurner Hill: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 3 | 6.7% | .351 | 25% (3/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | .857 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | .579 | 38% (3/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | .320 | 25% (2/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 5 | 8.9% | .432 | 31% (5/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 8.5% | 34 | .421 | 29.4% | 35.3% |
| vs LHP | 9 | 11.1% | 6 | .201 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 24 | 12.5% | 16 | .363 | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| at home | 32 | 6.3% | 24 | .415 | 20.8% | 29.2% |
| season | 56 | 8.9% | 40 | .393 | 30.0% | 35.0% |
0.5line
OVER+575bet365fair +473 · +17.7% vs fair
30% boost+748+47.5% vs market · +164.8% vs season50% boost+862+67.5% vs market · +200.8% vs season
UNDER-650Hard Rockfair -479 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost-500-0.8% vs market · -17.5% vs season50% boost-433+1.8% vs market · -15.4% vs season
Singles
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.8%
47th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%644 batters facedvs LHB · 49th pctseason 24.4% (47th)665 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 51 | 13.2% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 25 | 9.7% |
| at home ● | 338 | 42 | 12.4% |
| on the road | 306 | 34 | 11.1% |
| season | 644 | 76 | 11.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thinthin94.7%94.0%
99th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 94.7% (99th)thin sample: 50 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin11.8%13.4%
1st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 11.8% (1st)thin sample: 67 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thinthin30.0%29.4%
97th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 30.0% (97th)thin sample: 34 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speedthin28.2—
no split for this stat72nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupTurner Hill: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 37 | 7 | .270 | 33% (4/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 7 | 2 | .571 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 19 | 5 | .421 | 25% (2/8) |
| at home | 8 | 25 | 4 | .240 | 38% (3/8) |
| season | 16 | 44 | 9 | .318 | 31% (5/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatTurner Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 47 | 17.0% | 34 | .286 | 29.4% | 35.3% |
| vs LHP | 9 | 11.1% | 6 | .146 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 24 | 20.8% | 16 | .297 | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| at home | 32 | 12.5% | 24 | .247 | 20.8% | 29.2% |
| season | 56 | 16.1% | 40 | — | 30.0% | 35.0% |
0.5line
OVER+107DraftKingsfair +119 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost+139+9.3% vs market · -25.3% vs season50% boost+161+19% vs market · -18.6% vs season
UNDER-120bet365fair -120 · 0% vs fair
30% boost+108+13.5% vs market · +43.2% vs season50% boost+125+22.6% vs market · +54.7% vs season
Walks
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%59.6%60.5%
26th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%644 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 59.6% (26th)387 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/93.53.8
league avg 3.4+0.1 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason 3.5386 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 38 | 9.8% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 23 | 8.9% |
| at home ● | 338 | 35 | 10.4% |
| on the road | 306 | 26 | 8.5% |
| season | 644 | 61 | 9.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTurner Hill vs Nolan McLeanfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
BB%thinthin12.5%10.6%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 12.5% (89th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase ratethinthin18.8%21.0%
1st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason 18.8% (1st)thin sample: 81 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%thinthin54.3%54.9%
league avg 66.8%-12.5% vs leaguethin sample: 56 PAvs RHPseason 54.3%thin sample: 91 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupTurner Hill: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 4 | 8.9% | .356 | 33% (4/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | .636 | 75% (3/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | .500 | 25% (2/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | .344 | 63% (5/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | .411 | 44% (7/16) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+205bet365fair +222 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost+266+14% vs market · +60.3% vs season50% boost+307+26.7% vs market · +78.3% vs season
UNDER-280Fanaticsfair -223 · -6.3% vs fair
30% boost-215+1.2% vs market · -17.6% vs season50% boost-187+6.1% vs market · -13.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.6%—
no split for this stat39th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%5 of 777 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.8%—
no split for this stat33rd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 777 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed5—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs3—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Turner Hill Breakdown · batter data
sprint speedthin28.2—
no split for this stat72nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 56 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthinthin.287.286
96th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .287 (96th)thin sample: 41 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin12.5%10.6%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%thin sample: 56 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 12.5% (89th)thin sample: 47 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTurner Hill: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 12 | 45 | 1 | 0.08 | 8% (1/12) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/4) |
| on the road ● | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/8) |
| at home | 8 | 32 | 1 | 0.13 | 13% (1/8) |
| season | 16 | 56 | 1 | 0.06 | 6% (1/16) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1200bet365market fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
UNDER-1150NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-885no market fair50% boost-767no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Francisco Giants @ New York Metssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing