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Bryce Harper
PHIbats L3rd in the order · projectedAtlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies6:41 PMCitizens Bank Park
facingChris Sale2.06 ERA · 11.06 K/9 · 1.00 WHIP · 144.0 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 1.4% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Harper at the plateHR/PA 4.5%barrel rate 11.2%hard-hit% 44.5%
Home Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed1.4%0.7%
11th percentileleague avg 2.9%577 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 1.4% (11th)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%6.7%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 5.3% (19th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed34.0%25.8%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 34.0% (22nd)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed24.0%10.1%
29th percentileleague avg 26.7%577 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 24.0% (29th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.326.305
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .326 (16th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 1 | 0.7% |
| vs RHB | 432 | 7 | 1.6% |
| on the road ● | 280 | 4 | 1.4% |
| at home | 296 | 4 | 1.4% |
| season | 576 | 8 | 1.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career0 home runs in 15 AB (.133), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.5%1.8%
84th percentileleague avg 3.0%599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason 4.5% (84th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel rate11.2%7.5%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%599 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.2% (79th)134 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%44.5%37.3%
75th percentileleague avg 39.0%599 PAvs LHP · 40th pctseason 44.5% (75th)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%26.9%26.1%
50th percentileleague avg 26.7%599 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason 26.9% (50th)134 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.504.359
96th percentileleague avg .386599 PAvs LHP · 33rd pctseason .504 (96th)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISO.226.141
93rd percentileleague avg .146599 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason .226 (93rd)192 at-batssupports OVERneutral
avg exit velo90.1 mph87.7 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph599 PAvs LHP · 43rd pctseason 90.1 mph (76th)134 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupBryce Harper: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 5 | 2.5% | .324 | 10% (5/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 22 | 5.6% | .613 | 23% (21/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 14 | 4.9% | .525 | 19% (13/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 13 | 4.2% | .494 | 18% (13/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 27 | 4.5% | .509 | 19% (26/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 1.7% | 134 | 7.5% | .359 | .141 | 87.7 |
| vs RHP | 370 | 6.2% | 241 | 13.3% | .583 | .274 | 91.5 |
| at home ● | 288 | 4.9% | 182 | 11.5% | .500 | .231 | 90.6 |
| on the road | 311 | 4.2% | 193 | 10.9% | .493 | .216 | 89.6 |
| season | 599 | 4.5% | 375 | 11.2% | .496 | .223 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+669NoVigfair +645 · +3.3% vs fair
30% boost+870+29.9% vs market · +81.4% vs season50% boost+1004+47.9% vs market · +106.4% vs season
UNDER-800bet365fair -649 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost-615+0.7% vs market · -5.5% vs season50% boost-533+2.8% vs market · -3.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.326.305
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .326 (16th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.222.209
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason .222 (27th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.218.239
league avg .244-0.026 vs league24 startsvs LHBseason .218144 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed34.0%25.8%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 34.0% (22nd)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%6.7%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 5.3% (19th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 45 | 0.31 | .336 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 114 | 0.26 | .286 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 82 | 0.29 | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 77 | 0.26 | .281 |
| season | 576 | 159 | 0.28 | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career2 total bases in 15 AB (.133), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.504.359
96th percentileleague avg .386599 PAvs LHP · 33rd pctseason .504 (96th)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
SLG.509.337
95th percentileleague avg .400599 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason .509 (95th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG.275.225
81st percentileleague avg .244599 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason .275 (81st)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISO.226.141
93rd percentileleague avg .146599 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason .226 (93rd)192 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%44.5%37.3%
75th percentileleague avg 39.0%599 PAvs LHP · 40th pctseason 44.5% (75th)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel rate11.2%7.5%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%599 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.2% (79th)134 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%26.9%26.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 23.6%599 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 26.9% (82nd)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBryce Harper: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 57 | 1.19 | .324 | 46% (22/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 193 | 2.12 | .613 | 71% (65/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 124 | 1.85 | .525 | 61% (41/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 126 | 1.75 | .494 | 64% (46/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 250 | 1.80 | .509 | 63% (87/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 27.5% | 134 | .359 | .141 | 7.5% | 87.7 |
| vs RHP | 370 | 50.5% | 241 | .583 | .274 | 13.3% | 91.5 |
| at home ● | 288 | 43.1% | 182 | .500 | .231 | 11.5% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 311 | 40.5% | 193 | .493 | .216 | 10.9% | 89.6 |
| season | 599 | 41.7% | 375 | .496 | .223 | 11.2% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER-140theScore Betfair -133 · -2% vs fair
30% boost-108+10.3% vs market · +20.7% vs season50% boost+107+18.5% vs market · +29.7% vs season
UNDER+124BetOnlinefair +134 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost+161+11.5% vs market · -2.3% vs season50% boost+186+22.1% vs market · +7% vs season
1.5lineL5 60%L10 70%L20 55%SZN 44%over rate
B+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 60% blended (L10 70%, season 44%) against a 33% priced probability
- his SLG of .509 - 95th percentile for SLG
- his xSLG of .504 - 96th percentile for xSLG
- counterpoint - faces Chris Sale (LHP): xSLG against .326 - 16th percentile for xSLG against
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 70% vs 44% season
basis: 139 games this season
OVER+213NoVigfair +205 · +2.7% vs fair
30% boost+277+23.6% vs market · +65.4% vs season50% boost+320+37.6% vs market · +84.1% vs season
UNDER-239NoVigfair -205 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-184+3.8% vs market · -13.4% vs season50% boost-159+9.4% vs market · -8.7% vs season
2.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 35%SZN 32%over rate
OVER+420BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+546no market fair50% boost+630no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 22%over rate
OVER+550FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1200FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.209
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason .222 (27th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.218.239
league avg .244-0.026 vs league24 startsvs LHBseason .218144 batters facedneutralneutral
K%30.7%31.9%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason 30.7% (93rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%30.3%29.4%
85th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%576 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 30.3% (85th)265 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 32 | 22.2% | .239 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 84 | 19.4% | .211 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 21.1% | .228 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 19.3% | .208 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 20.1% | .218 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career2 hits in 15 AB (.133), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG.275.225
81st percentileleague avg .244599 PAvs LHP · 22nd pctseason .275 (81st)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
zone contact%82.6%77.1%
38th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%599 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason 82.6% (38th)293 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.6%32.8%
76th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%599 PAvs LHP · 88th pctseason 29.6% (76th)473 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%20.5%25.3%
40th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%599 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 20.5% (40th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive%26.9%26.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 23.6%599 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 26.9% (82nd)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBryce Harper: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 176 | 36 | .205 | 46% (22/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 315 | 99 | .314 | 71% (65/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 236 | 63 | .267 | 61% (41/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 255 | 72 | .282 | 64% (46/72) |
| season | 139 | 491 | 135 | .275 | 63% (87/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 18.3% | 134 | .218 | 26.1% | 37.3% |
| vs RHP | 370 | 25.1% | 241 | .309 | 27.4% | 40.7% |
| at home ● | 288 | 21.9% | 182 | .270 | 26.4% | 40.1% |
| on the road | 311 | 23.2% | 193 | .278 | 27.5% | 38.9% |
| season | 599 | 22.5% | 375 | — | 26.9% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER-124ProphetXfair -131 · +2.3% vs fair
30% boost+105+16.1% vs market · +28.2% vs season50% boost+121+25.3% vs market · +38.3% vs season
UNDER+125bet365fair +129 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost+162+14.7% vs market · -1.8% vs season50% boost+188+25.6% vs market · +7.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 60%L10 70%L20 45%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+2500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
H+R+RBI
139 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.209
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason .222 (27th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.326.305
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .326 (16th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%3.5%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.7%31.9%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason 30.7% (93rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 32 | 45 | .287 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 84 | 114 | .266 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 82 | .280 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 77 | .264 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 159 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career2 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.161.60
88th percentileleague avg 1.75139 gamesvs LHP · 33rd pctseason 2.16 (88th)48 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.394—
no split for this stat99th percentileleague avg .310599 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
SLG.509.337
95th percentileleague avg .400599 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason .509 (95th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupBryce Harper: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 36 | 19 | 22 | 1.60 | 42% (20/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 99 | 66 | 58 | 2.45 | 62% (56/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 63 | 43 | 40 | 2.18 | 55% (37/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 72 | 42 | 40 | 2.14 | 54% (39/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 135 | 85 | 80 | 2.16 | 55% (76/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 18.3% | 134 | .218 | .359 | 7.5% | 87.7 |
| vs RHP | 370 | 25.1% | 241 | .309 | .583 | 13.3% | 91.5 |
| at home ● | 288 | 21.9% | 182 | .270 | .500 | 11.5% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 311 | 23.2% | 193 | .278 | .493 | 10.9% | 89.6 |
| season | 599 | 22.5% | 375 | — | .496 | 11.2% | 90.1 |
1.5line
B+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 64% blended (L10 70%, season 55%) against a 41% priced probability
- his xBA of .278 - 92nd percentile for xBA
- his xwOBA of .394 - 99th percentile for xwOBA
- counterpoint - faces Chris Sale (LHP): xBA against .222 - 27th percentile for xBA against
basis: 139 games this season
OVER+144NoVigfair +145 · -0.5% vs fair
30% boost+187+17.2% vs market · +57% vs season50% boost+216+28.9% vs market · +72.8% vs season
UNDER-160BetMGMfair -148 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-123+8% vs market · -17.9% vs season50% boost-107+15.5% vs market · -12.2% vs season
RBIs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.326.305
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .326 (16th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%6.7%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 5.3% (19th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%3.5%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 32 | 1 | .336 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 84 | 7 | .286 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 4 | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 4 | .281 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 8 | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career0 RBI in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.580.46
84th percentileleague avg 0.45139 gamesvs LHP · 55th pctseason 0.58 (84th)48 gamessupports OVERneutral
xSLG.504.359
96th percentileleague avg .386599 PAvs LHP · 33rd pctseason .504 (96th)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%44.5%37.3%
75th percentileleague avg 39.0%599 PAvs LHP · 40th pctseason 44.5% (75th)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel rate11.2%7.5%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%599 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.2% (79th)134 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupBryce Harper: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 22 | 0.46 | .324 | 35% (17/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 58 | 0.64 | .613 | 41% (37/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 40 | 0.60 | .525 | 42% (28/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 40 | 0.56 | .494 | 36% (26/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 80 | 0.58 | .509 | 39% (54/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 9.6% | 134 | .359 | 7.5% | 37.3% | 87.7 |
| vs RHP | 370 | 15.7% | 241 | .583 | 13.3% | 48.5% | 91.5 |
| at home ● | 288 | 13.9% | 182 | .500 | 11.5% | 44.0% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 311 | 12.9% | 193 | .493 | 10.9% | 45.1% | 89.6 |
| season | 599 | — | 375 | .496 | 11.2% | 44.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+265ProphetXfair +271 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+344+20% vs market · +72.7% vs season50% boost+397+34.3% vs market · +93.3% vs season
UNDER-280ProphetXfair -271 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost-215+6.9% vs market · -10.5% vs season50% boost-187+12.1% vs market · -6.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+1000Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2500Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.222.209
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason .222 (27th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%3.5%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 32 | 5 | .287 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 84 | 23 | .266 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 14 | .280 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 14 | .264 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career15 PA across 3 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.610.40
89th percentileleague avg 0.46139 gamesvs LHP · 31st pctseason 0.61 (89th)48 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.394—
no split for this stat99th percentileleague avg .310599 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed27.2—
no split for this stat44th percentileleague avg 27.4599 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%16.7%15.7%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%599 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 16.7% (99th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBryce Harper: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 19 | 0.40 | .289 | 38% (18/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 66 | 0.73 | .448 | 55% (50/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 43 | 0.64 | .385 | 51% (34/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 42 | 0.58 | .402 | 47% (34/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 85 | 0.61 | .394 | 49% (68/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | — | 134 | .218 | 26.1% | 37.3% | 87.7 |
| vs RHP | 370 | — | 241 | .309 | 27.4% | 40.7% | 91.5 |
| at home ● | 288 | 14.9% | 182 | .270 | 26.4% | 40.1% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 311 | 13.5% | 193 | .278 | 27.5% | 38.9% | 89.6 |
| season | 599 | — | 375 | — | 26.9% | 39.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+180ProphetXfair +170 · +3.8% vs fair
30% boost+234+23.9% vs market · +63.4% vs season50% boost+270+37.3% vs market · +81% vs season
UNDER-200BetMGMfair -181 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-154+6.3% vs market · -15.7% vs season50% boost-133+12.7% vs market · -10.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.326.305
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .326 (16th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed34.0%25.8%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 34.0% (22nd)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%6.7%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 5.3% (19th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed25.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat576 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmChris Sale: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 8 | 5.6% | .336 |
| vs RHB | 432 | 9 | 2.1% | .286 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 9 | 3.2% | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 8 | 2.7% | .281 |
| season | 576 | 17 | 3.0% | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career0 doubles in 15 AB (.133), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.7%3.1%
70th percentileleague avg 4.1%599 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason 4.7% (70th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG.504.359
96th percentileleague avg .386599 PAvs LHP · 33rd pctseason .504 (96th)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISO.226.141
93rd percentileleague avg .146599 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason .226 (93rd)192 at-batssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%26.9%26.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 23.6%599 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 26.9% (82nd)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%39.5%37.3%
85th percentileleague avg 35.3%599 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 39.5% (85th)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.2—
no split for this stat44th percentileleague avg 27.4599 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupBryce Harper: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 4 | 2.0% | .324 | 8% (4/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 24 | 6.1% | .613 | 24% (22/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 15 | 5.2% | .525 | 21% (14/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 13 | 4.2% | .494 | 17% (12/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 28 | 4.7% | .509 | 19% (26/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 3.1% | 134 | .359 | 26.1% | 37.3% |
| vs RHP | 370 | 5.7% | 241 | .583 | 27.4% | 40.7% |
| at home ● | 288 | 5.2% | 182 | .500 | 26.4% | 40.1% |
| on the road | 311 | 4.2% | 193 | .493 | 27.5% | 38.9% |
| season | 599 | 4.7% | 375 | .496 | 26.9% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER+600Bovadapooled fair +542
30% boost+780pooled fair50% boost+900pooled fair
UNDER-650BetMGMfair -591 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost-500+2.6% vs market · -2.4% vs season50% boost-433+5.2% vs market · +0.1% vs season
Singles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.209
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason .222 (27th)135 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.7%31.9%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason 30.7% (93rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%30.3%29.4%
85th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%576 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 30.3% (85th)265 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 22 | 15.3% |
| vs RHB | 432 | 68 | 15.7% |
| on the road ● | 280 | 45 | 16.1% |
| at home | 296 | 45 | 15.2% |
| season | 576 | 90 | 15.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career2 singles in 15 AB (.133), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
zone contact%82.6%77.1%
38th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%599 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason 82.6% (38th)293 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.6%32.8%
76th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%599 PAvs LHP · 88th pctseason 29.6% (76th)473 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%26.9%26.1%
82nd percentileleague avg 23.6%599 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 26.9% (82nd)134 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.2—
no split for this stat44th percentileleague avg 27.4599 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupBryce Harper: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 176 | 26 | .205 | 35% (17/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 315 | 51 | .314 | 43% (39/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 236 | 32 | .267 | 36% (24/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 255 | 45 | .282 | 44% (32/72) |
| season | 139 | 491 | 77 | .275 | 40% (56/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatBryce Harper: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 229 | 13.1% | 134 | .218 | 26.1% | 37.3% |
| vs RHP | 370 | 12.7% | 241 | .309 | 27.4% | 40.7% |
| at home ● | 288 | 11.1% | 182 | .270 | 26.4% | 40.1% |
| on the road | 311 | 14.5% | 193 | .278 | 27.5% | 38.9% |
| season | 599 | 13.4% | 375 | — | 26.9% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER+128ProphetXfair +134 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+166+13.8% vs market · +7.3% vs season50% boost+192+24.7% vs market · +17.6% vs season
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -138 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-115+8.3% vs market · +11.5% vs season50% boost-100+16% vs market · +19.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%4.9%3.5%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)144 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.3%68.1%
81st percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%576 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.3% (81st)144 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/91.81.3
league avg 3.4-1.7 vs league24 startsvs LHBseason 1.8144 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmChris Sale: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 144 | 5 | 3.5% |
| vs RHB | 432 | 23 | 5.3% |
| on the road ● | 280 | 14 | 5.0% |
| at home | 296 | 14 | 4.7% |
| season | 576 | 28 | 4.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBryce Harper vs Chris Sale, career0 walks in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | .334 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .133 | .266 |
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
BB%16.7%15.7%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%599 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 16.7% (99th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate31.9%33.1%
60th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%599 PAvs LHP · 67th pctseason 31.9% (60th)543 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%72.4%73.1%
league avg 66.8%+5.6% vs league599 PAvs LHPseason 72.4%401 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupBryce Harper: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 22 | 10.8% | .289 | 33% (16/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 78 | 19.7% | .448 | 64% (58/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 47 | 16.3% | .385 | 55% (37/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 53 | 17.0% | .402 | 51% (37/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 100 | 16.7% | .394 | 53% (74/139) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+135bet365fair +146 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost+176+12.1% vs market · +46.7% vs season50% boost+203+23.1% vs market · +61% vs season
UNDER-175DraftKingsfair -147 · -6.5% vs fair
30% boost-135+3.7% vs market · -18.5% vs season50% boost-117+10.5% vs market · -13.2% vs season
Stolen Bases
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.8%—
no split for this stat47th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%6 of 737 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.9%—
no split for this stat40th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%7 of 737 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Bryce Harper Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.2—
no split for this stat44th percentileleague avg 27.4599 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
SB per game0.050.04
51st percentileleague avg 0.07139 gamesvs LHP · 47th pctseason 0.05 (51st)48 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.278.218
92nd percentileleague avg .240599 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .278 (92nd)192 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%16.7%15.7%
99th percentileleague avg 8.7%599 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 16.7% (99th)229 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBryce Harper: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 48 | 204 | 2 | 0.04 | 4% (2/48) |
| vs RHP | 91 | 395 | 5 | 0.05 | 5% (5/91) |
| at home ● | 67 | 288 | 6 | 0.09 | 9% (6/67) |
| on the road | 72 | 311 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/72) |
| season | 139 | 599 | 7 | 0.05 | 5% (7/139) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1200BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardAtlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Philliessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing