These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 1:00 PM EDT on Fri, Sep 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Josh Naylor
SEAbats L5th in the order · projectedAthletics @ Seattle Mariners10:11 PMT-Mobile Park
facingKade Morris9.82 ERA · 6.14 K/9 · 2.11 WHIP · 14.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 5.3% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.3% (league avg 7.4%) · only 1 starts, thin sample
Naylor at the plateHR/PA 1.8%barrel rate 4.5%hard-hit% 35.8%
Home Runs
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthinthin5.3%7.7%
95th percentileleague avg 2.9%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 5.3% (95th)thin sample: 39 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.3%9.4%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 5.3% (19th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin43.9%50.0%
86th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 43.9% (86th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowedthinthin21.1%31.3%
15th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 81st pctseason 21.1% (15th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG againstthinthin.359.450
30th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason .359 (30th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 3 | 7.7% |
| vs RHB | 36 | 1 | 2.8% |
| on the road ● | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| at home | 53 | 1 | 1.9% |
| season | 75 | 4 | 5.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA1.8%1.8%
22nd percentileleague avg 3.0%564 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 1.8% (22nd)383 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.5%4.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 7.8%564 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 4.5% (23rd)302 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%35.8%39.1%
31st percentileleague avg 39.0%564 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 35.8% (31st)302 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
fly-ball%21.3%21.9%
17th percentileleague avg 26.7%564 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason 21.3% (17th)302 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.383.392
51st percentileleague avg .386562 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason .383 (51st)346 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.114.120
30th percentileleague avg .146562 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .114 (30th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo86.9 mph88.3 mph
32nd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph564 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 86.9 mph (32nd)302 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 10 | 2.5% | .393 | 9% (8/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 0 | 0.0% | .279 | 0% (0/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 5 | 1.9% | .346 | 5% (3/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 5 | 1.7% | .373 | 7% (5/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 10 | 1.8% | .361 | 6% (8/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 1.8% | 302 | 4.3% | .392 | .120 | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 1.7% | 139 | 5.0% | .359 | .102 | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 263 | 1.9% | 204 | 3.9% | .370 | .117 | 86.4 |
| on the road | 299 | 1.7% | 237 | 5.1% | .391 | .111 | 87.4 |
| season | 562 | 1.8% | 441 | 4.5% | .381 | .114 | 86.9 |
0.5line
OVER+900bet365fair +848 · +5.5% vs fair
30% boost+1170+33.4% vs market · -22.4% vs season50% boost+1350+52.2% vs market · -11.5% vs season
UNDER-1600bet365fair -846 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-1231-3.3% vs market · +1.5% vs season50% boost-1067-2.2% vs market · +2.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+12500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+16250no market fair50% boost+18750no market fair
Total Bases
131 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.359.450
30th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason .359 (30th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xBA againstthinthin.263.302
79th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .263 (79th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.385.455
league avg .244+.141 vs league1 startsvs LHBseason .385thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthinthin43.9%50.0%
86th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 43.9% (86th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.3%9.4%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 5.3% (19th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 26 | 0.67 | .788 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 14 | 0.39 | .438 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 19 | 0.86 | 1.056 |
| at home | 53 | 21 | 0.40 | .447 |
| season | 75 | 40 | 0.53 | .615 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.383.392
51st percentileleague avg .386562 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason .383 (51st)346 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.361.350
22nd percentileleague avg .400562 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason .361 (22nd)382 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.265.254
70th percentileleague avg .244562 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .265 (70th)382 PAsupports OVERneutral
xISO.114.120
30th percentileleague avg .146562 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .114 (30th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%35.8%39.1%
31st percentileleague avg 39.0%564 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 35.8% (31st)302 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate4.5%4.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 7.8%564 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 4.5% (23rd)302 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.8%24.2%
51st percentileleague avg 23.6%564 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 23.8% (51st)302 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 144 | 1.55 | .393 | 38% (35/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 41 | 1.08 | .279 | 32% (12/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 82 | 1.30 | .346 | 29% (18/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 103 | 1.51 | .373 | 43% (29/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 185 | 1.41 | .361 | 36% (47/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 31.7% | 302 | .392 | .120 | 4.3% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 35.6% | 139 | .359 | .102 | 5.0% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 263 | 31.2% | 204 | .370 | .117 | 3.9% | 86.4 |
| on the road | 299 | 34.4% | 237 | .391 | .111 | 5.1% | 87.4 |
| season | 562 | 32.9% | 441 | .381 | .114 | 4.5% | 86.9 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 60%L20 70%SZN 68%over rate
OVER-220theScore Betpooled fair -118
30% boost-169pooled fair50% boost-147pooled fair
UNDER+170theScore Betpooled fair +118
30% boost+221pooled fair50% boost+255pooled fair
1.5line
OVER+170bet365fair +164 · +2.4% vs fair
30% boost+221+21.7% vs market · +15.2% vs season50% boost+255+34.5% vs market · +27.4% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -163 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-138+6.6% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost-120+13.5% vs market · +17.6% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+360FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+468no market fair50% boost+540no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1400FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.263.302
79th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .263 (79th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.385.455
league avg .244+.141 vs league1 startsvs LHBseason .385thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thinthin13.3%5.1%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 13.3% (1st)thin sample: 39 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin19.9%18.9%
11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 19.9% (11th)thin sample: 74 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | .455 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | .313 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | .500 |
| at home | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | .340 |
| season | 75 | 25 | 33.3% | .385 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.265.254
70th percentileleague avg .244562 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .265 (70th)382 PAsupports OVERneutral
zone contact%89.8%91.0%
87th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%562 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 89.8% (87th)400 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%17.8%15.7%
13th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%562 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 17.8% (13th)668 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%13.0%11.5%
6th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%562 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 13.0% (6th)383 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.8%24.2%
51st percentileleague avg 23.6%564 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 23.8% (51st)302 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 366 | 99 | .270 | 67% (62/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 147 | 37 | .252 | 71% (27/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 237 | 60 | .253 | 60% (38/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 276 | 76 | .275 | 75% (51/68) |
| season | 131 | 513 | 136 | .265 | 68% (89/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 23.0% | 302 | .272 | 24.2% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 26.7% | 139 | .257 | 23.0% | 35.3% |
| at home ● | 263 | 22.8% | 204 | .253 | 24.0% | 33.3% |
| on the road | 299 | 25.4% | 237 | .280 | 23.6% | 35.9% |
| season | 562 | 24.2% | 441 | — | 23.8% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER-198ProphetXfair -183 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-152+7% vs market · +12.5% vs season50% boost-132+13.5% vs market · +19.4% vs season
UNDER+172DraftKingsfair +181 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+224+15.2% vs market · +3.7% vs season50% boost+258+27.4% vs market · +14.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 35%SZN 29%over rate
OVER+290FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
UNDER-375theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-288no market fair50% boost-250no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1500BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
131 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.263.302
79th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .263 (79th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERAthin4.54—
no split for this stat68th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 75 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.359.450
30th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason .359 (30th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin8.0%10.3%
47th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 77th pctseason 8.0% (47th)thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
K%thinthin13.3%5.1%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 13.3% (1st)thin sample: 39 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 15 | 26 | .513 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 10 | 14 | .361 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 9 | 19 | .545 |
| at home | 53 | 16 | 21 | .396 |
| season | 75 | 25 | 40 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.791.92
51st percentileleague avg 1.75131 gamesvs RHP · 66th pctseason 1.79 (51st)93 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.312—
no split for this stat54th percentileleague avg .310562 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.361.350
22nd percentileleague avg .400562 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason .361 (22nd)382 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJosh Naylor: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 99 | 41 | 39 | 1.92 | 48% (45/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 37 | 10 | 9 | 1.47 | 42% (16/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 60 | 21 | 21 | 1.62 | 43% (27/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 76 | 30 | 27 | 1.96 | 50% (34/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 136 | 51 | 48 | 1.79 | 47% (61/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 23.0% | 302 | .272 | .392 | 4.3% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 26.7% | 139 | .257 | .359 | 5.0% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 263 | 22.8% | 204 | .253 | .370 | 3.9% | 86.4 |
| on the road | 299 | 25.4% | 237 | .280 | .391 | 5.1% | 87.4 |
| season | 562 | 24.2% | 441 | — | .381 | 4.5% | 86.9 |
1.5line
OVER-101ProphetXfair +104 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+129+12.1% vs market · +6.5% vs season50% boost+149+21.8% vs market · +15.7% vs season
UNDER-115Bovadafair -105 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost+113+9.1% vs market · +13.8% vs season50% boost+130+18% vs market · +23.1% vs season
RBIs
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin4.54—
no split for this stat68th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 75 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.359.450
30th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason .359 (30th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.3%9.4%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 5.3% (19th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin8.0%10.3%
47th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 77th pctseason 8.0% (47th)thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 15 | 3 | .788 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 10 | 1 | .438 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1.056 |
| at home | 53 | 16 | 1 | .447 |
| season | 75 | 25 | 4 | .615 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.370.42
26th percentileleague avg 0.45131 gamesvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 0.37 (26th)93 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xSLG.383.392
51st percentileleague avg .386562 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason .383 (51st)346 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%35.8%39.1%
31st percentileleague avg 39.0%564 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 35.8% (31st)302 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate4.5%4.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 7.8%564 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 4.5% (23rd)302 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJosh Naylor: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 39 | 0.42 | .393 | 26% (24/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 9 | 0.24 | .279 | 21% (8/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 21 | 0.33 | .346 | 24% (15/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 27 | 0.40 | .373 | 25% (17/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 48 | 0.37 | .361 | 24% (32/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 8.9% | 302 | .392 | 4.3% | 39.1% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 7.8% | 139 | .359 | 5.0% | 28.8% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 263 | 8.0% | 204 | .370 | 3.9% | 33.8% | 86.4 |
| on the road | 299 | 9.0% | 237 | .391 | 5.1% | 37.5% | 87.4 |
| season | 562 | — | 441 | .381 | 4.5% | 35.8% | 86.9 |
0.5line
OVER+205ProphetXfair +200 · +1.8% vs fair
30% boost+266+22.4% vs market · -10.5% vs season50% boost+307+36.1% vs market · -0.5% vs season
UNDER-225BetMGMfair -212 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost-173+7.3% vs market · +19.2% vs season50% boost-150+13.3% vs market · +26% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+650FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1800BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+5000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Runs
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin4.54—
no split for this stat68th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 75 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA againstthinthin.263.302
79th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .263 (79th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin8.0%10.3%
47th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 77th pctseason 8.0% (47th)thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 15 | 4 | .513 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 10 | 2 | .361 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 9 | 3 | .545 |
| at home | 53 | 16 | 3 | .396 |
| season | 75 | 25 | 6 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.390.44
28th percentileleague avg 0.46131 gamesvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 0.39 (28th)93 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xwOBA.312—
no split for this stat54th percentileleague avg .310562 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed24.3—
no split for this stat1st percentileleague avg 27.4562 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.3%8.4%
33rd percentileleague avg 8.7%562 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 7.3% (33rd)383 PAsupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 41 | 0.44 | .328 | 31% (29/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 10 | 0.26 | .315 | 26% (10/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 21 | 0.33 | .321 | 25% (16/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 30 | 0.44 | .328 | 34% (23/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 51 | 0.39 | .324 | 30% (39/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | — | 302 | .272 | 24.2% | 34.4% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 180 | — | 139 | .257 | 23.0% | 35.3% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 263 | 8.0% | 204 | .253 | 24.0% | 33.3% | 86.4 |
| on the road | 299 | 10.0% | 237 | .280 | 23.6% | 35.9% | 87.4 |
| season | 562 | — | 441 | — | 23.8% | 34.7% | 86.9 |
0.5line
OVER+160bet365fair +153 · +2.6% vs fair
30% boost+208+21.7% vs market · -8.3% vs season50% boost+240+34.3% vs market · +1.2% vs season
UNDER-165theScore Betfair -155 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost-127+8.5% vs market · +25.6% vs season50% boost-110+15.9% vs market · +34.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.359.450
30th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason .359 (30th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin43.9%50.0%
86th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 43.9% (86th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.3%9.4%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 5.3% (19th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowedthin21.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this statthin sample: 75 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmKade Morris: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 0 | 0.0% | .788 |
| vs RHB | 36 | 1 | 2.8% | .438 |
| on the road ● | 22 | 1 | 4.5% | 1.056 |
| at home | 53 | 0 | 0.0% | .447 |
| season | 75 | 1 | 1.3% | .615 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.4%3.1%
27th percentileleague avg 4.1%564 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 3.4% (27th)383 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.383.392
51st percentileleague avg .386562 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason .383 (51st)346 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.114.120
30th percentileleague avg .146562 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .114 (30th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.8%24.2%
51st percentileleague avg 23.6%564 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 23.8% (51st)302 batted ballsneutralneutral
sweet-spot%34.7%34.4%
42nd percentileleague avg 35.3%564 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 34.7% (42nd)302 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed24.3—
no split for this stat1st percentileleague avg 27.4562 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 15 | 3.8% | .393 | 15% (14/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 4 | 2.5% | .279 | 11% (4/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 7 | 2.7% | .346 | 10% (6/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 12 | 4.0% | .373 | 18% (12/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 19 | 3.4% | .361 | 14% (18/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 3.1% | 302 | .392 | 24.2% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 3.9% | 139 | .359 | 23.0% | 35.3% |
| at home ● | 263 | 2.7% | 204 | .370 | 24.0% | 33.3% |
| on the road | 299 | 4.0% | 237 | .391 | 23.6% | 35.9% |
| season | 562 | 3.4% | 441 | .381 | 23.8% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER+450bet365fair +450 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+585+24.7% vs market · -5.9% vs season50% boost+675+41% vs market · +6.5% vs season
UNDER-630DraftKingsfair -459 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-485-1% vs market · +4.1% vs season50% boost-420+1.6% vs market · +6.8% vs season
Singles
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.263.302
79th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .263 (79th)thin sample: 34 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thinthin13.3%5.1%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 13.3% (1st)thin sample: 39 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin19.9%18.9%
11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 19.9% (11th)thin sample: 74 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmKade Morris: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 11 | 28.2% |
| vs RHB | 36 | 8 | 22.2% |
| on the road ● | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| at home | 53 | 14 | 26.4% |
| season | 75 | 19 | 25.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%89.8%91.0%
87th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%562 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 89.8% (87th)400 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%17.8%15.7%
13th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%562 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 17.8% (13th)668 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.8%24.2%
51st percentileleague avg 23.6%564 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 23.8% (51st)302 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed24.3—
no split for this stat1st percentileleague avg 27.4562 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 366 | 74 | .270 | 58% (54/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 147 | 33 | .252 | 63% (24/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 237 | 48 | .253 | 54% (34/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 276 | 59 | .275 | 65% (44/68) |
| season | 131 | 513 | 107 | .265 | 60% (78/131) |
● tonight's split
The BatJosh Naylor: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 382 | 18.1% | 302 | .272 | 24.2% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 21.1% | 139 | .257 | 23.0% | 35.3% |
| at home ● | 263 | 18.3% | 204 | .253 | 24.0% | 33.3% |
| on the road | 299 | 19.7% | 237 | .280 | 23.6% | 35.9% |
| season | 562 | 19.0% | 441 | — | 23.8% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER-114ProphetXfair -111 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+114+12.8% vs market · +27.4% vs season50% boost+132+22% vs market · +37.9% vs season
UNDER+100BetMGMfair +106 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+130+11.5% vs market · -6.9% vs season50% boost+150+21.2% vs market · +1.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
Walks
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Kade Morris Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thinthin8.0%10.3%
47th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 77th pctseason 8.0% (47th)thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%thinthin53.3%41.0%
1st percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%thin sample: 75 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 53.3% (1st)thin sample: 39 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/9thin3.75.4
league avg 3.4+0.3 vs league1 startsvs LHBseason 3.7thin sample: 39 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmKade Morris: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 39 | 4 | 10.3% |
| vs RHB | 36 | 2 | 5.6% |
| on the road ● | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| at home | 53 | 3 | 5.7% |
| season | 75 | 6 | 8.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJosh Naylor vs Kade Morrisfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
BB%7.3%8.4%
33rd percentileleague avg 8.7%562 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 7.3% (33rd)383 PAsupports UNDERneutral
chase rate37.7%38.8%
87th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%562 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 37.7% (87th)691 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%69.3%73.3%
league avg 66.8%+2.5% vs league562 PAvs RHPseason 69.3%546 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 29 | 7.2% | .328 | 29% (27/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 12 | 7.4% | .315 | 29% (11/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 22 | 8.4% | .321 | 32% (20/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 19 | 6.4% | .328 | 26% (18/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 41 | 7.3% | .324 | 29% (38/131) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+250Fanaticsfair +234 · +4.7% vs fair
30% boost+325+27.1% vs market · +23.3% vs season50% boost+375+42% vs market · +37.8% vs season
UNDER-295Caesarsfair -243 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-227+2.1% vs market · +2.3% vs season50% boost-197+7% vs market · +7.1% vs season
Stolen Bases
131 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
the arm: what drives stolen bases
No market-specific profile for Kade Morris in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.
vs LHB only: .455 avg · K% 5.1 · BB% 10.3 (39 BF)
Josh Naylor Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed24.3—
no split for this stat1st percentileleague avg 27.4562 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.200.19
93rd percentileleague avg 0.07131 gamesvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 0.20 (93rd)93 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.268.272
85th percentileleague avg .240562 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (85th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.3%8.4%
33rd percentileleague avg 8.7%562 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 7.3% (33rd)383 PAsupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupJosh Naylor: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 400 | 18 | 0.19 | 18% (17/93) |
| vs LHP | 38 | 162 | 8 | 0.21 | 16% (6/38) |
| at home ● | 63 | 263 | 14 | 0.22 | 19% (12/63) |
| on the road | 68 | 299 | 12 | 0.18 | 16% (11/68) |
| season | 131 | 562 | 26 | 0.20 | 18% (23/131) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+850ProphetXfair +766 · +9.7% vs fair
30% boost+1105+38.6% vs market · +111.6% vs season50% boost+1275+58.1% vs market · +141.4% vs season
UNDER-1401bet365fair -832 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-1078-2.4% vs market · -9.9% vs season50% boost-934-1.1% vs market · -8.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardAthletics @ Seattle Marinerssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing