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Zach Neto
LAAbats R1st in the order · projectedLos Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates6:46 PMPNC Park
facingJared Jones4.83 ERA · 10.28 K/9 · 1.28 WHIP · 72.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.8% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.0% (league avg 7.4%)
Neto at the plateHR/PA 3.8%barrel rate 11.6%hard-hit% 41.1%
Home Runs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed3.8%4.1%
79th percentileleague avg 2.9%313 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 3.8% (79th)123 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.0%8.1%
61st percentileleague avg 7.4%313 batters facedvs RHB · 62nd pctseason 8.0% (61st)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.0%35.6%
64th percentileleague avg 38.2%313 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 40.0% (64th)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed27.5%28.7%
58th percentileleague avg 26.7%313 batters facedvs RHB · 68th pctseason 27.5% (58th)87 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.392.390
55th percentileleague avg .386312 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason .392 (55th)115 at-batsneutralneutral
The ArmJared Jones: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 5 | 4.1% |
| vs LHB | 189 | 7 | 3.7% |
| at home ● | 160 | 7 | 4.4% |
| on the road | 152 | 5 | 3.3% |
| season | 312 | 12 | 3.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.8%3.9%
73rd percentileleague avg 3.0%603 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 3.8% (73rd)435 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.6%11.7%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%603 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 11.6% (81st)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%41.1%40.5%
58th percentileleague avg 39.0%603 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 41.1% (58th)247 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%35.9%36.0%
96th percentileleague avg 26.7%603 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 35.9% (96th)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.404.390
65th percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason .404 (65th)388 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xISO.194.187
83rd percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .194 (83rd)388 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo89.2 mph89.1 mph
61st percentileleague avg 88.0 mph603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 89.2 mph (61st)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupZach Neto: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 17 | 4.1% | .436 | 17% (16/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 6 | 3.3% | .420 | 15% (6/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 14 | 4.6% | .504 | 21% (14/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 9 | 3.0% | .357 | 12% (8/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 23 | 3.8% | .431 | 16% (22/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 3.9% | 247 | 11.7% | .390 | .187 | 89.1 |
| vs LHP | 168 | 3.6% | 106 | 11.3% | .437 | .210 | 89.6 |
| on the road ● | 304 | 4.6% | 183 | 11.5% | .415 | .194 | 88.3 |
| at home | 299 | 3.0% | 170 | 11.8% | .390 | .194 | 90.2 |
| season | 603 | 3.8% | 353 | 11.6% | .403 | .194 | 89.2 |
0.5line
OVER+506NoVigfair +488 · +3.1% vs fair
30% boost+658+28.8% vs market · +23.5% vs season50% boost+759+46% vs market · +40% vs season
UNDER-567NoVigfair -486 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost-436+1.9% vs market · +2.9% vs season50% boost-378+4.8% vs market · +5.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+7000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9100no market fair50% boost+10500no market fair
Total Bases
135 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.392.390
55th percentileleague avg .386312 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason .392 (55th)115 at-batsneutralneutral
xBA against.225.222
30th percentileleague avg .239312 batters facedvs RHB · 27th pctseason .225 (30th)115 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.236.246
league avg .244-0.008 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason .236123 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed40.0%35.6%
64th percentileleague avg 38.2%313 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 40.0% (64th)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.0%8.1%
61st percentileleague avg 7.4%313 batters facedvs RHB · 62nd pctseason 8.0% (61st)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJared Jones: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 47 | 0.38 | .412 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 75 | 0.40 | .452 |
| at home ● | 160 | 61 | 0.38 | .424 |
| on the road | 152 | 61 | 0.40 | .449 |
| season | 312 | 122 | 0.39 | .436 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.404.390
65th percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason .404 (65th)388 at-batssupports OVERneutral
SLG.431.418
68th percentileleague avg .400603 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .431 (68th)435 PAsupports OVERneutral
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.236.224
33rd percentileleague avg .244603 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason .236 (33rd)435 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.194.187
83rd percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .194 (83rd)388 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%41.1%40.5%
58th percentileleague avg 39.0%603 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 41.1% (58th)247 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate11.6%11.7%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%603 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 11.6% (81st)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%22.3%21.1%
36th percentileleague avg 23.6%603 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 22.3% (36th)247 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupZach Neto: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 161 | 1.71 | .436 | 37% (35/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 71 | 1.73 | .420 | 39% (16/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 137 | 2.08 | .504 | 44% (29/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 95 | 1.38 | .357 | 32% (22/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 232 | 1.72 | .431 | 38% (51/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 37.2% | 247 | .390 | .187 | 11.7% | 89.1 |
| vs LHP | 168 | 41.7% | 106 | .437 | .210 | 11.3% | 89.6 |
| on the road ● | 304 | 45.1% | 183 | .415 | .194 | 11.5% | 88.3 |
| at home | 299 | 31.8% | 170 | .390 | .194 | 11.8% | 90.2 |
| season | 603 | 38.5% | 353 | .403 | .194 | 11.6% | 89.2 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 80%L20 70%SZN 65%over rate
OVER-180Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-138no market fair50% boost-120no market fair
UNDER+150theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+195no market fair50% boost+225no market fair
1.5line
OVER+150BetRiverspooled fair +151
30% boost+195pooled fair50% boost+225pooled fair
UNDER-160ProphetXfair -149 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-123+8.6% vs market · +12.8% vs season50% boost-107+16.1% vs market · +20.6% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 35%SZN 27%over rate
OVER+310BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+375Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+488no market fair50% boost+562no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+750FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+975no market fair50% boost+1125no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1300Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.225.222
30th percentileleague avg .239312 batters facedvs RHB · 27th pctseason .225 (30th)115 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.236.246
league avg .244-0.008 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason .236123 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.6%22.8%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%312 batters facedvs RHB · 53rd pctseason 26.6% (81st)123 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%30.9%28.3%
88th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%312 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason 30.9% (88th)226 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJared Jones: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 28 | 22.8% | .246 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 38 | 20.1% | .229 |
| at home ● | 160 | 30 | 18.8% | .208 |
| on the road | 152 | 36 | 23.7% | .265 |
| season | 312 | 66 | 21.2% | .236 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.236.224
33rd percentileleague avg .244603 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason .236 (33rd)435 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.9%81.7%
31st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%603 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 81.9% (31st)535 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%33.3%33.6%
89th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%603 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 33.3% (89th)919 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.7%32.4%
89th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%603 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 30.7% (89th)435 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%22.3%21.1%
36th percentileleague avg 23.6%603 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 22.3% (36th)247 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupZach Neto: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 369 | 87 | .236 | 65% (61/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 169 | 40 | .237 | 66% (27/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 272 | 71 | .261 | 68% (45/66) |
| at home | 69 | 266 | 56 | .211 | 62% (43/69) |
| season | 135 | 538 | 127 | .236 | 65% (88/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 20.0% | 247 | .202 | 21.1% | 37.6% |
| vs LHP | 168 | 23.8% | 106 | .227 | 25.5% | 39.6% |
| on the road ● | 304 | 23.4% | 183 | .222 | 24.0% | 39.9% |
| at home | 299 | 18.7% | 170 | .197 | 20.6% | 36.5% |
| season | 603 | 21.1% | 353 | — | 22.4% | 38.2% |
0.5line
OVER-180ProphetXfair -162 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-138+6.4% vs market · +12.3% vs season50% boost-120+13.3% vs market · +19.5% vs season
UNDER+155bet365fair +162 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+201+14.9% vs market · +5% vs season50% boost+232+26.7% vs market · +15.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 30%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+290Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1320DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1716no market fair50% boost+1980no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
135 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.225.222
30th percentileleague avg .239312 batters facedvs RHB · 27th pctseason .225 (30th)115 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.84—
no split for this stat39th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16312 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.392.390
55th percentileleague avg .386312 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason .392 (55th)115 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%8.7%5.7%
58th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%312 batters facedvs RHB · 9th pctseason 8.7% (58th)123 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
K%26.6%22.8%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%312 batters facedvs RHB · 53rd pctseason 26.6% (81st)123 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
The ArmJared Jones: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 28 | 47 | .293 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 38 | 75 | .314 |
| at home ● | 160 | 30 | 61 | .277 |
| on the road | 152 | 36 | 61 | .336 |
| season | 312 | 66 | 122 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.082.14
81st percentileleague avg 1.75135 gamesvs RHP · 87th pctseason 2.08 (81st)94 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.306—
no split for this stat46th percentileleague avg .310603 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.431.418
68th percentileleague avg .400603 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .431 (68th)435 PAsupports OVERneutral
The MatchupZach Neto: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 87 | 63 | 51 | 2.14 | 51% (48/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 1.95 | 54% (22/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 71 | 49 | 42 | 2.45 | 56% (37/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 56 | 39 | 24 | 1.72 | 48% (33/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 127 | 88 | 66 | 2.08 | 52% (70/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 20.0% | 247 | .202 | .390 | 11.7% | 89.1 |
| vs LHP | 168 | 23.8% | 106 | .227 | .437 | 11.3% | 89.6 |
| on the road ● | 304 | 23.4% | 183 | .222 | .415 | 11.5% | 88.3 |
| at home | 299 | 18.7% | 170 | .197 | .390 | 11.8% | 90.2 |
| season | 603 | 21.1% | 353 | — | .403 | 11.6% | 89.2 |
1.5line
C+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 69% blended (L10 80%, season 52%) against a 48% priced probability
- his H+R+RBI per game of 2.08 - 81st percentile for H+R+RBI per game
- counterpoint - his xBA of .210 - 14th percentile for xBA
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 80% vs 52% season
basis: 135 games this season
OVER+106NoVigfair +110 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost+138+13.4% vs market · +23.3% vs season50% boost+159+23.5% vs market · +34.3% vs season
UNDER-119ProphetXfair -110 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+109+9.6% vs market · +0.7% vs season50% boost+126+18.5% vs market · +8.8% vs season
RBIs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.84—
no split for this stat39th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16312 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.392.390
55th percentileleague avg .386312 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason .392 (55th)115 at-batsneutralneutral
barrel% allowed8.0%8.1%
61st percentileleague avg 7.4%313 batters facedvs RHB · 62nd pctseason 8.0% (61st)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.7%5.7%
58th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%312 batters facedvs RHB · 9th pctseason 8.7% (58th)123 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmJared Jones: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 28 | 5 | .412 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 38 | 7 | .452 |
| at home ● | 160 | 30 | 7 | .424 |
| on the road | 152 | 36 | 5 | .449 |
| season | 312 | 66 | 12 | .436 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.490.54
65th percentileleague avg 0.45135 gamesvs RHP · 75th pctseason 0.49 (65th)94 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.404.390
65th percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason .404 (65th)388 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%41.1%40.5%
58th percentileleague avg 39.0%603 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 41.1% (58th)247 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate11.6%11.7%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%603 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 11.6% (81st)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupZach Neto: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 51 | 0.54 | .436 | 35% (33/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 15 | 0.37 | .420 | 29% (12/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 42 | 0.64 | .504 | 38% (25/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 24 | 0.35 | .357 | 29% (20/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 66 | 0.49 | .431 | 33% (45/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 11.3% | 247 | .390 | 11.7% | 40.5% | 89.1 |
| vs LHP | 168 | 10.1% | 106 | .437 | 11.3% | 42.4% | 89.6 |
| on the road ● | 304 | 13.8% | 183 | .415 | 11.5% | 39.9% | 88.3 |
| at home | 299 | 8.0% | 170 | .390 | 11.8% | 42.4% | 90.2 |
| season | 603 | — | 353 | .403 | 11.6% | 41.1% | 89.2 |
0.5line
OVER+260ProphetXfair +240 · +5.8% vs fair
30% boost+338+28.8% vs market · +46% vs season50% boost+390+44.1% vs market · +63.3% vs season
UNDER-290ProphetXfair -240 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-223+2.2% vs market · -3.4% vs season50% boost-193+7.1% vs market · +1.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+800Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.84—
no split for this stat39th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16312 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.225.222
30th percentileleague avg .239312 batters facedvs RHB · 27th pctseason .225 (30th)115 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.7%5.7%
58th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%312 batters facedvs RHB · 9th pctseason 8.7% (58th)123 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmJared Jones: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 28 | 7 | .293 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 38 | 20 | .314 |
| at home ● | 160 | 30 | 12 | .277 |
| on the road | 152 | 36 | 15 | .336 |
| season | 312 | 66 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.650.67
94th percentileleague avg 0.46135 gamesvs RHP · 95th pctseason 0.65 (94th)94 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.306—
no split for this stat46th percentileleague avg .310603 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%9.1%8.7%
55th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.1% (55th)435 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupZach Neto: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 63 | 0.67 | .327 | 50% (47/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 25 | 0.61 | .293 | 46% (19/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 49 | 0.74 | .339 | 52% (34/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 39 | 0.57 | .294 | 46% (32/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 88 | 0.65 | .317 | 49% (66/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | — | 247 | .202 | 21.1% | 37.6% | 89.1 |
| vs LHP | 168 | — | 106 | .227 | 25.5% | 39.6% | 89.6 |
| on the road ● | 304 | 16.1% | 183 | .222 | 24.0% | 39.9% | 88.3 |
| at home | 299 | 13.0% | 170 | .197 | 20.6% | 36.5% | 90.2 |
| season | 603 | — | 353 | — | 22.4% | 38.2% | 89.2 |
0.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 68% blended (L10 80%, season 49%) against a 44% priced probability
- his runs per game of 0.65 - 94th percentile for runs per game
- counterpoint - his xBA of .210 - 14th percentile for xBA
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 80% vs 49% season
basis: 135 games this season
OVER+126ProphetXfair +129 · -1.4% vs fair
30% boost+164+15% vs market · +29% vs season50% boost+189+26% vs market · +41.3% vs season
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -135 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost-108+10.9% vs market · -1.4% vs season50% boost+107+19.1% vs market · +5.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 16%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Doubles
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.392.390
55th percentileleague avg .386312 batters facedvs RHB · 54th pctseason .392 (55th)115 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed40.0%35.6%
64th percentileleague avg 38.2%313 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 40.0% (64th)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.0%8.1%
61st percentileleague avg 7.4%313 batters facedvs RHB · 62nd pctseason 8.0% (61st)87 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.5%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat312 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmJared Jones: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 4 | 3.3% | .412 |
| vs LHB | 189 | 12 | 6.3% | .452 |
| at home ● | 160 | 8 | 5.0% | .424 |
| on the road | 152 | 8 | 5.3% | .449 |
| season | 312 | 16 | 5.1% | .436 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.6%4.6%
69th percentileleague avg 4.1%603 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 4.6% (69th)435 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.404.390
65th percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason .404 (65th)388 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xISO.194.187
83rd percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .194 (83rd)388 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%22.3%21.1%
36th percentileleague avg 23.6%603 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 22.3% (36th)247 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%38.2%37.6%
76th percentileleague avg 35.3%603 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason 38.2% (76th)247 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupZach Neto: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 19 | 4.5% | .436 | 19% (18/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 9 | 4.9% | .420 | 17% (7/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 18 | 5.9% | .504 | 23% (15/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 10 | 3.3% | .357 | 14% (10/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 28 | 4.6% | .431 | 19% (25/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 4.6% | 247 | .390 | 21.1% | 37.6% |
| vs LHP | 168 | 4.8% | 106 | .437 | 25.5% | 39.6% |
| on the road ● | 304 | 5.9% | 183 | .415 | 24.0% | 39.9% |
| at home | 299 | 3.3% | 170 | .390 | 20.6% | 36.5% |
| season | 603 | 4.6% | 353 | .403 | 22.4% | 38.2% |
0.5line
OVER+375theScore Betfair +380 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+488+22.8% vs market · +8.8% vs season50% boost+562+38.5% vs market · +22.7% vs season
UNDER-500bet365fair -384 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost-385-0.1% vs market · +2.7% vs season50% boost-333+3.1% vs market · +5.9% vs season
Singles
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.225.222
30th percentileleague avg .239312 batters facedvs RHB · 27th pctseason .225 (30th)115 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%26.6%22.8%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%312 batters facedvs RHB · 53rd pctseason 26.6% (81st)123 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%30.9%28.3%
88th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%312 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason 30.9% (88th)226 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJared Jones: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 19 | 15.4% |
| vs LHB | 189 | 17 | 9.0% |
| at home ● | 160 | 14 | 8.8% |
| on the road | 152 | 22 | 14.5% |
| season | 312 | 36 | 11.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.9%81.7%
31st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%603 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 81.9% (31st)535 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%33.3%33.6%
89th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%603 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 33.3% (89th)919 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%22.3%21.1%
36th percentileleague avg 23.6%603 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 22.3% (36th)247 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupZach Neto: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 369 | 49 | .236 | 46% (43/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 169 | 23 | .237 | 49% (20/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 272 | 36 | .261 | 47% (31/66) |
| at home | 69 | 266 | 36 | .211 | 46% (32/69) |
| season | 135 | 538 | 72 | .236 | 47% (63/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatZach Neto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 435 | 11.0% | 247 | .202 | 21.1% | 37.6% |
| vs LHP | 168 | 14.3% | 106 | .227 | 25.5% | 39.6% |
| on the road ● | 304 | 11.8% | 183 | .222 | 24.0% | 39.9% |
| at home | 299 | 12.0% | 170 | .197 | 20.6% | 36.5% |
| season | 603 | 12.6% | 353 | — | 22.4% | 38.2% |
0.5line
OVER+121ProphetXfair +128 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+157+13% vs market · +20.1% vs season50% boost+182+23.6% vs market · +31.4% vs season
UNDER-140bet365fair -131 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-108+9.2% vs market · +2.9% vs season50% boost+107+17.2% vs market · +10.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.7%5.7%
58th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%312 batters facedvs RHB · 9th pctseason 8.7% (58th)123 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%57.1%58.5%
11th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%312 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 57.1% (11th)123 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/93.32.2
league avg 3.4-0.1 vs league16 startsvs RHBseason 3.3123 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmJared Jones: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 123 | 7 | 5.7% |
| vs LHB | 189 | 20 | 10.6% |
| at home ● | 160 | 12 | 7.5% |
| on the road | 152 | 15 | 9.9% |
| season | 312 | 27 | 8.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadZach Neto vs Jared Jonesfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
BB%9.1%8.7%
55th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.1% (55th)435 PAneutralneutral
chase rate37.7%38.6%
87th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%603 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 37.7% (87th)987 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%70.1%70.2%
league avg 66.8%+3.3% vs league603 PAvs RHPseason 70.1%762 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupZach Neto: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 43 | 10.3% | .327 | 38% (36/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 12 | 6.5% | .293 | 22% (9/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 29 | 9.5% | .339 | 36% (24/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 26 | 8.7% | .294 | 30% (21/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 55 | 9.1% | .317 | 33% (45/135) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+230Fanaticsfair +245 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+299+15.7% vs market · +33% vs season50% boost+345+29% vs market · +48.3% vs season
UNDER-314DraftKingsfair -249 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-242+0.8% vs market · -5.7% vs season50% boost-209+5.4% vs market · -1.5% vs season
Stolen Bases
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jared Jones Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.3%—
no split for this stat14th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%1 of 358 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.6%—
no split for this stat22nd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%2 of 358 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Zach Neto Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.140.18
85th percentileleague avg 0.07135 gamesvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 0.14 (85th)94 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.210.202
14th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason .210 (14th)388 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%9.1%8.7%
55th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.1% (55th)435 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupZach Neto: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 419 | 17 | 0.18 | 15% (14/94) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 184 | 2 | 0.05 | 5% (2/41) |
| on the road ● | 66 | 304 | 8 | 0.12 | 11% (7/66) |
| at home | 69 | 299 | 11 | 0.16 | 13% (9/69) |
| season | 135 | 603 | 19 | 0.14 | 12% (16/135) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+810ProphetXfair +702 · +13.5% vs fair
30% boost+1053+44.1% vs market · +36.7% vs season50% boost+1215+64.4% vs market · +55.9% vs season
UNDER-1060DraftKingsfair -836 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost-815+0.3% vs market · -1% vs season50% boost-707+1.9% vs market · +0.6% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardLos Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Piratessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing