Erick Fedde
CWSMinnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox7:41 PMRate Field
Runs
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at home ● | 14 | — | — | — | — | 0% (0/14) |
| on the road | 15 | — | — | — | — | 0% (0/15) |
| season | 29 | — | — | — | — | 0% (0/29) |
● tonight's split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| vs LHP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| at home ● | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| on the road | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| season | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
30% boost+120no market fair50% boost+139no market fair
30% boost+107no market fair50% boost+123no market fair
Strikeouts
29 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 289 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.34 | 1.48 | .253 |
| vs RHB | 243 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 6.63 | 3.00 | .268 |
| home ● | 253 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.68 | 1.61 | .258 |
| away | 279 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 7.10 | 2.32 | .262 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jun 3 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | under |
| Mar 29 '25 | 6.0 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | under |
| Aug 25 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | over |
| Jul 10 '24 | 5.0 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Apr 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | over |
6 career games against them · they have hit .142/.203/.212 off him · 123 plate appearances · 4 of 6 went over 3.5
| G | IP | K | K/G | H | over 3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at home ● | 14 | 58.2 | 37 | 2.64 | 58 | 29% (4/14) |
| on the road | 15 | 64.2 | 51 | 3.40 | 66 | 53% (8/15) |
| season | 29 | 123.1 | 88 | 3.03 | 124 | 41% (12/29) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
30% boost-404pooled fair50% boost-350pooled fair
30% boost+435pooled fair50% boost+502pooled fair
30% boost-120+5.6% vs market · +7.5% vs season50% boost-104+13% vs market · +15% vs season
30% boost+195+26.8% vs market · +22.1% vs season50% boost+225+39.8% vs market · +34.5% vs season
30% boost+174no market fair50% boost+201no market fair
30% boost-114no market fair50% boost+101no market fair
30% boost+191+15.6% vs market · +20.5% vs season50% boost+220+27.2% vs market · +32.6% vs season
30% boost-118+10.1% vs market · +8.4% vs season50% boost-102+17.8% vs market · +16.1% vs season
30% boost+504pooled fair50% boost+582pooled fair
30% boost-362pooled fair50% boost-314pooled fair
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
30% boost+2184no market fair50% boost+2520no market fair
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
Outs
29 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 289 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.34 | 1.48 | .253 |
| vs RHB | 243 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 6.63 | 3.00 | .268 |
| home ● | 253 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.68 | 1.61 | .258 |
| away | 279 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 7.10 | 2.32 | .262 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jun 3 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | over |
| Mar 29 '25 | 6.0 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | over |
| Aug 25 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | over |
| Jul 10 '24 | 5.0 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Apr 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | over |
6 career games against them · they have hit .142/.203/.212 off him · 123 plate appearances · 6 of 6 went over 14.5
| G | outs | IP | outs/G | ER | over 14.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at home ● | 14 | 176 | 58.2 | 12.57 | 22 | 36% (5/14) |
| on the road | 15 | 194 | 64.2 | 12.93 | 35 | 47% (7/15) |
| season | 29 | 370 | 123.1 | 12.76 | 57 | 41% (12/29) |
● tonight's split
- the under has hit 72% blended (L10 80%, season 59%) against a 41% priced probability
- the Bovada price beats the devigged fair by 3.0%
basis: 29 starts this season
30% boost-118+7.5% vs market · -23.7% vs season50% boost-103+15.1% vs market · -18.3% vs season
30% boost+195+21.5% vs market · +72.9% vs season50% boost+225+33.9% vs market · +90.5% vs season
30% boost+226no market fair50% boost+261no market fair
30% boost-231no market fair50% boost-200no market fair
Hits Allowed
29 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 289 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.34 | 1.48 | .253 |
| vs RHB | 243 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 6.63 | 3.00 | .268 |
| home ● | 253 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.68 | 1.61 | .258 |
| away | 279 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 7.10 | 2.32 | .262 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Jun 3 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | under |
| Mar 29 '25 | 6.0 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | under |
| Aug 25 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | under |
| Jul 10 '24 | 5.0 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Apr 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | under |
6 career games against them · they have hit .142/.203/.212 off him · 123 plate appearances · 0 of 6 went over 4.5
| G | IP | H | H/G | K | over 4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at home ● | 14 | 58.2 | 58 | 4.14 | 37 | 57% (8/14) |
| on the road | 15 | 64.2 | 66 | 4.40 | 51 | 40% (6/15) |
| season | 29 | 123.1 | 124 | 4.28 | 88 | 48% (14/29) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-108+8.6% vs market · -7.2% vs season50% boost+106+16.6% vs market · -0.4% vs season
30% boost+169+17% vs market · +39.1% vs season50% boost+195+28.3% vs market · +52.6% vs season
- the under has hit 90% blended (L10 100%, season 76%) against a 61% priced probability
- counterpoint - his xBA against of .256 - 70th percentile for xBA against
basis: 29 starts this season
30% boost+195pooled fair50% boost+225pooled fair
30% boost-119+12.9% vs market · +39.5% vs season50% boost-103+20.8% vs market · +49.3% vs season
Earned Runs
29 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 289 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.34 | 1.48 | .253 |
| vs RHB | 243 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 6.63 | 3.00 | .268 |
| home ● | 253 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.68 | 1.61 | .258 |
| away | 279 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 7.10 | 2.32 | .262 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Jun 3 '26 | 5.0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | under |
| Mar 29 '25 | 6.0 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | under |
| Aug 25 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | under |
| Jul 10 '24 | 5.0 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Apr 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | under |
6 career games against them · they have hit .142/.203/.212 off him · 123 plate appearances · 0 of 6 went over 2.5
| G | IP | ER | ERA | H | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at home ● | 14 | 58.2 | 22 | 3.38 | 58 | 21% (3/14) |
| on the road | 15 | 64.2 | 35 | 4.87 | 66 | 40% (6/15) |
| season | 29 | 123.1 | 57 | 4.16 | 124 | 31% (9/29) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+133+13% vs market · -27.8% vs season50% boost+153+23% vs market · -21.5% vs season
30% boost+108+8.3% vs market · +43.7% vs season50% boost+125+17% vs market · +55.2% vs season
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