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Miguel Vargas
CHWbats R3rd in the order · projectedMinnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox7:41 PMRate Field
facingZebby Matthews4.58 ERA · 7.47 K/9 · 1.26 WHIP · 112.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.1% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 10.7% (league avg 7.4%)
Vargas at the plateHR/PA 4.8%barrel rate 13.7%hard-hit% 45.6%
Home Runs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.1%4.4%
83rd percentileleague avg 2.9%468 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason 4.1% (83rd)203 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%9.2%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%468 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 10.7% (92nd)152 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed41.8%38.8%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%468 batters facedvs RHB · 56th pctseason 41.8% (74th)152 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball% allowed25.1%22.4%
39th percentileleague avg 26.7%468 batters facedvs RHB · 20th pctseason 25.1% (39th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.430.409
77th percentileleague avg .386467 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason .430 (77th)190 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmZebby Matthews: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 9 | 4.5% |
| vs LHB | 265 | 10 | 3.8% |
| on the road ● | 243 | 13 | 5.3% |
| at home | 224 | 6 | 2.7% |
| season | 467 | 19 | 4.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 home runs in 5 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.8%4.0%
87th percentileleague avg 3.0%609 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 4.8% (87th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.7%12.8%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.8%609 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 13.7% (92nd)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.6%41.3%
81st percentileleague avg 39.0%609 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 45.6% (81st)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.0%35.1%
93rd percentileleague avg 26.7%609 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 35.0% (93rd)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.514.470
98th percentileleague avg .386609 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .514 (98th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.244.217
97th percentileleague avg .146609 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .244 (97th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo90.6 mph89.6 mph
83rd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph609 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 90.6 mph (83rd)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 21 | 5.0% | .514 | 19% (18/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 8 | 4.2% | .418 | 19% (8/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 15 | 5.1% | .518 | 21% (14/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 14 | 4.5% | .452 | 17% (12/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 29 | 4.8% | .484 | 19% (26/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 4.0% | 288 | 12.8% | .470 | .217 | 89.6 |
| vs LHP | 181 | 6.6% | 120 | 15.8% | .605 | .304 | 93.1 |
| at home ● | 297 | 5.1% | 203 | 14.3% | .547 | .263 | 90.9 |
| on the road | 312 | 4.5% | 205 | 13.2% | .474 | .222 | 90.3 |
| season | 609 | 4.8% | 408 | 13.7% | .509 | .242 | 90.6 |
0.5line
OVER+376Polymarketpooled fair +365
30% boost+489pooled fair50% boost+564pooled fair
UNDER-440ProphetXfair -357 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-338+1.2% vs market · +5.1% vs season50% boost-293+4.7% vs market · +8.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
Total Bases
138 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.430.409
77th percentileleague avg .386467 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason .430 (77th)190 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.258.248
73rd percentileleague avg .239467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason .258 (73rd)190 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.255.237
league avg .244+.011 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason .255202 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%38.8%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%468 batters facedvs RHB · 56th pctseason 41.8% (74th)152 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed10.7%9.2%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%468 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 10.7% (92nd)152 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmZebby Matthews: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 81 | 0.40 | .426 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 107 | 0.40 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 114 | 0.47 | .518 |
| at home | 224 | 74 | 0.33 | .357 |
| season | 467 | 188 | 0.40 | .440 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 total bases in 5 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.514.470
98th percentileleague avg .386609 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .514 (98th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.484.445
89th percentileleague avg .400609 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason .484 (89th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.251.240
55th percentileleague avg .244609 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .251 (55th)428 PAneutralsupports UNDER
xISO.244.217
97th percentileleague avg .146609 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .244 (97th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.6%41.3%
81st percentileleague avg 39.0%609 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 45.6% (81st)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.7%12.8%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.8%609 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 13.7% (92nd)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.9%24.0%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%609 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 24.9% (66th)288 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 181 | 1.89 | .514 | 42% (40/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 66 | 1.57 | .418 | 36% (15/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 128 | 1.91 | .518 | 42% (28/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 119 | 1.68 | .452 | 38% (27/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 247 | 1.79 | .484 | 40% (55/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 37.6% | 288 | .470 | .217 | 12.8% | 89.6 |
| vs LHP | 181 | 47.5% | 120 | .605 | .304 | 15.8% | 93.1 |
| at home ● | 297 | 43.1% | 203 | .547 | .263 | 14.3% | 90.9 |
| on the road | 312 | 38.1% | 205 | .474 | .222 | 13.2% | 90.3 |
| season | 609 | 40.6% | 408 | .509 | .242 | 13.7% | 90.6 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 80%L20 85%SZN 67%over rate
OVER-200BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-154no market fair50% boost-133no market fair
UNDER+180theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
1.5line
OVER+128ProphetXfair +125 · +1.3% vs fair
30% boost+166+18.3% vs market · +6.2% vs season50% boost+192+29.6% vs market · +16.4% vs season
UNDER-115Bovadafair -126 · +4.4% vs fair
30% boost+113+18.9% vs market · +28.1% vs season50% boost+130+28.6% vs market · +38.6% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 20%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+230BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+299no market fair50% boost+345no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+310BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+625BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+812no market fair50% boost+938no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1020DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1326no market fair50% boost+1530no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.258.248
73rd percentileleague avg .239467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason .258 (73rd)190 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.255.237
league avg .244+.011 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason .255202 batters facedneutralneutral
K%19.9%18.7%
32nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%467 batters facedvs RHB · 26th pctseason 19.9% (32nd)203 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.2%25.9%
29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason 22.2% (29th)370 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmZebby Matthews: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 45 | 22.3% | .237 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 64 | 24.2% | .270 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 61 | 25.1% | .277 |
| at home | 224 | 48 | 21.4% | .232 |
| season | 467 | 109 | 23.3% | .255 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 hits in 5 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.251.240
55th percentileleague avg .244609 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .251 (55th)428 PAneutralsupports UNDER
zone contact%82.2%81.8%
35th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%609 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 82.2% (35th)555 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%20.7%21.9%
24th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%609 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 20.7% (24th)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%17.4%18.0%
22nd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%609 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 17.4% (22nd)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.9%24.0%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%609 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 24.9% (66th)288 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 352 | 96 | .273 | 71% (68/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 158 | 32 | .203 | 57% (24/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 247 | 65 | .263 | 70% (47/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 263 | 63 | .240 | 63% (45/71) |
| season | 138 | 510 | 128 | .251 | 67% (92/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 20.3% | 288 | .253 | 24.0% | 41.3% |
| vs LHP | 181 | 22.7% | 120 | .301 | 27.5% | 43.3% |
| at home ● | 297 | 21.9% | 203 | .284 | 28.6% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 312 | 20.2% | 205 | .252 | 21.5% | 38.0% |
| season | 609 | 21.0% | 408 | — | 25.0% | 41.9% |
0.5line
OVER-199NoVigfair -187 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost-153+7.6% vs market · +10.2% vs season50% boost-133+14.2% vs market · +16.9% vs season
UNDER+180theScore Betfair +186 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+234+16.9% vs market · +11.3% vs season50% boost+270+29.5% vs market · +23.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 35%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+280ProphetXpooled fair +248
30% boost+364pooled fair50% boost+420pooled fair
UNDER-294BetOnlinepooled fair -248
30% boost-226pooled fair50% boost-196pooled fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5100DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6630no market fair50% boost+7650no market fair
H+R+RBI
138 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.258.248
73rd percentileleague avg .239467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason .258 (73rd)190 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xERA4.51—
no split for this stat67th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16467 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.430.409
77th percentileleague avg .386467 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason .430 (77th)190 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.9%4.9%
26th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%467 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.9% (26th)203 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%19.9%18.7%
32nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%467 batters facedvs RHB · 26th pctseason 19.9% (32nd)203 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmZebby Matthews: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 45 | 81 | .277 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 64 | 107 | .336 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 61 | 114 | .337 |
| at home | 224 | 48 | 74 | .281 |
| season | 467 | 109 | 188 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.152.24
87th percentileleague avg 1.75138 gamesvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 2.15 (87th)96 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.387—
no split for this stat98th percentileleague avg .310609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.484.445
89th percentileleague avg .400609 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason .484 (89th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 96 | 62 | 57 | 2.24 | 51% (49/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 1.95 | 52% (22/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 65 | 49 | 39 | 2.28 | 58% (39/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 63 | 44 | 37 | 2.03 | 45% (32/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 128 | 93 | 76 | 2.15 | 51% (71/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 20.3% | 288 | .253 | .470 | 12.8% | 89.6 |
| vs LHP | 181 | 22.7% | 120 | .301 | .605 | 15.8% | 93.1 |
| at home ● | 297 | 21.9% | 203 | .284 | .547 | 14.3% | 90.9 |
| on the road | 312 | 20.2% | 205 | .252 | .474 | 13.2% | 90.3 |
| season | 609 | 21.0% | 408 | — | .509 | 13.7% | 90.6 |
1.5line
OVER-115NoVigfair -112 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+113+12.5% vs market · +9.6% vs season50% boost+130+21.7% vs market · +18.6% vs season
UNDER+120Bovadafair +110 · +4.7% vs fair
30% boost+156+21.9% vs market · +24.3% vs season50% boost+180+33.3% vs market · +35.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 35%SZN 33%over rate
OVER+156ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+203no market fair50% boost+234no market fair
UNDER-280ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-215no market fair50% boost-187no market fair
RBIs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.51—
no split for this stat67th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16467 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.430.409
77th percentileleague avg .386467 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason .430 (77th)190 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%9.2%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%468 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 10.7% (92nd)152 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.9%4.9%
26th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%467 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.9% (26th)203 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmZebby Matthews: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 45 | 9 | .426 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 64 | 10 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 61 | 13 | .518 |
| at home | 224 | 48 | 6 | .357 |
| season | 467 | 109 | 19 | .440 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 RBI in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.550.59
77th percentileleague avg 0.45138 gamesvs RHP · 87th pctseason 0.55 (77th)96 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.514.470
98th percentileleague avg .386609 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .514 (98th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.6%41.3%
81st percentileleague avg 39.0%609 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 45.6% (81st)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.7%12.8%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.8%609 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 13.7% (92nd)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 57 | 0.59 | .514 | 29% (28/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 19 | 0.45 | .418 | 33% (14/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 39 | 0.58 | .518 | 33% (22/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 37 | 0.52 | .452 | 28% (20/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 76 | 0.55 | .484 | 30% (42/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 12.6% | 288 | .470 | 12.8% | 41.3% | 89.6 |
| vs LHP | 181 | 12.2% | 120 | .605 | 15.8% | 55.8% | 93.1 |
| at home ● | 297 | 13.1% | 203 | .547 | 14.3% | 45.8% | 90.9 |
| on the road | 312 | 11.9% | 205 | .474 | 13.2% | 45.4% | 90.3 |
| season | 609 | — | 408 | .509 | 13.7% | 45.6% | 90.6 |
0.5line
OVER+155BetMGMfair +162 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+201+14.9% vs market · -8.2% vs season50% boost+232+26.7% vs market · +1.2% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -162 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-138+6.6% vs market · +19.8% vs season50% boost-120+13.5% vs market · +27.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1150BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1495no market fair50% boost+1725no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.51—
no split for this stat67th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16467 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.258.248
73rd percentileleague avg .239467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason .258 (73rd)190 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%6.9%4.9%
26th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%467 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.9% (26th)203 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmZebby Matthews: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 45 | 10 | .277 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 64 | 22 | .336 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 61 | 17 | .337 |
| at home | 224 | 48 | 15 | .281 |
| season | 467 | 109 | 32 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career6 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.670.65
95th percentileleague avg 0.46138 gamesvs RHP · 94th pctseason 0.67 (95th)96 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.387—
no split for this stat98th percentileleague avg .310609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed28.4—
no split for this stat78th percentileleague avg 27.4609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%14.1%12.9%
95th percentileleague avg 8.7%609 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 14.1% (95th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 62 | 0.65 | .381 | 48% (46/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 31 | 0.74 | .325 | 52% (22/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 49 | 0.73 | .380 | 58% (39/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 44 | 0.62 | .347 | 41% (29/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 93 | 0.67 | .363 | 49% (68/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | — | 288 | .253 | 24.0% | 41.3% | 89.6 |
| vs LHP | 181 | — | 120 | .301 | 27.5% | 43.3% | 93.1 |
| at home ● | 297 | 16.5% | 203 | .284 | 28.6% | 45.8% | 90.9 |
| on the road | 312 | 14.1% | 205 | .252 | 21.5% | 38.0% | 90.3 |
| season | 609 | — | 408 | — | 25.0% | 41.9% | 90.6 |
0.5line
OVER+110BetMGMfair +115 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+143+13% vs market · +19.7% vs season50% boost+165+23.2% vs market · +30.6% vs season
UNDER-130theScore Betfair -117 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost+100+8% vs market · +1.4% vs season50% boost+115+16.3% vs market · +9.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Doubles
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.430.409
77th percentileleague avg .386467 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason .430 (77th)190 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed41.8%38.8%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%468 batters facedvs RHB · 56th pctseason 41.8% (74th)152 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed10.7%9.2%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%468 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 10.7% (92nd)152 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.9%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat467 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmZebby Matthews: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 7 | 3.5% | .426 |
| vs LHB | 265 | 13 | 4.9% | .451 |
| on the road ● | 243 | 12 | 4.9% | .518 |
| at home | 224 | 8 | 3.6% | .357 |
| season | 467 | 20 | 4.3% | .440 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 doubles in 5 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.9%5.4%
77th percentileleague avg 4.1%609 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason 4.9% (77th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.514.470
98th percentileleague avg .386609 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .514 (98th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.244.217
97th percentileleague avg .146609 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .244 (97th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.9%24.0%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%609 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 24.9% (66th)288 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
sweet-spot%41.9%41.3%
94th percentileleague avg 35.3%609 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 41.9% (94th)288 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.4—
no split for this stat78th percentileleague avg 27.4609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 22 | 5.3% | .514 | 22% (21/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 8 | 4.2% | .418 | 14% (6/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 16 | 5.4% | .518 | 21% (14/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 14 | 4.5% | .452 | 18% (13/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 30 | 4.9% | .484 | 20% (27/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 5.4% | 288 | .470 | 24.0% | 41.3% |
| vs LHP | 181 | 3.9% | 120 | .605 | 27.5% | 43.3% |
| at home ● | 297 | 5.4% | 203 | .547 | 28.6% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 312 | 4.5% | 205 | .474 | 21.5% | 38.0% |
| season | 609 | 4.9% | 408 | .509 | 25.0% | 41.9% |
0.5line
OVER+400theScore Betfair +404 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+520+22.8% vs market · +21.3% vs season50% boost+600+38.6% vs market · +37% vs season
UNDER-550Flifffair -414 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost-423-0.3% vs market · -0.6% vs season50% boost-367+2.6% vs market · +2.4% vs season
Singles
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.258.248
73rd percentileleague avg .239467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason .258 (73rd)190 at-batssupports OVERneutral
K%19.9%18.7%
32nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%467 batters facedvs RHB · 26th pctseason 19.9% (32nd)203 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.2%25.9%
29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%467 batters facedvs RHB · 58th pctseason 22.2% (29th)370 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmZebby Matthews: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 28 | 13.9% |
| vs LHB | 265 | 41 | 15.5% |
| on the road ● | 243 | 35 | 14.4% |
| at home | 224 | 34 | 15.2% |
| season | 467 | 69 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career0 singles in 5 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%82.2%81.8%
35th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%609 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 82.2% (35th)555 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%20.7%21.9%
24th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%609 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 20.7% (24th)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.9%24.0%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%609 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 24.9% (66th)288 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
sprint speed28.4—
no split for this stat78th percentileleague avg 27.4609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 352 | 53 | .273 | 47% (45/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 158 | 15 | .203 | 31% (13/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 247 | 33 | .263 | 40% (27/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 263 | 35 | .240 | 44% (31/71) |
| season | 138 | 510 | 68 | .251 | 42% (58/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatMiguel Vargas: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 428 | 11.0% | 288 | .253 | 24.0% | 41.3% |
| vs LHP | 181 | 11.6% | 120 | .301 | 27.5% | 43.3% |
| at home ● | 297 | 11.1% | 203 | .284 | 28.6% | 45.8% |
| on the road | 312 | 11.2% | 205 | .252 | 21.5% | 38.0% |
| season | 609 | 11.3% | 408 | — | 25.0% | 41.9% |
0.5line
C★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 65% blended (L10 80%, season 42%) against a 45% priced probability
- faces Zebby Matthews (RHP): xBA against .258 - 73rd percentile for xBA against
- his xBA of .270 - 86th percentile for xBA
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 80% vs 42% season
basis: 138 games this season
OVER+110BetMGMfair +121 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost+143+10.1% vs market · +2.1% vs season50% boost+165+20% vs market · +11.4% vs season
UNDER-135Hard Rockfair -122 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-104+7.8% vs market · +13.8% vs season50% boost+111+15.9% vs market · +22.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.9%4.9%
26th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%467 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.9% (26th)203 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%66.2%70.4%
87th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%467 batters facedvs RHB · 99th pctseason 66.2% (87th)203 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.61.7
league avg 3.4-0.9 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason 2.6202 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmZebby Matthews: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 202 | 10 | 5.0% |
| vs LHB | 265 | 22 | 8.3% |
| on the road ● | 243 | 17 | 7.0% |
| at home | 224 | 15 | 6.7% |
| season | 467 | 32 | 6.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMiguel Vargas vs Zebby Matthews, career1 walks in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .333 |
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .167 |
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
BB%14.1%12.9%
95th percentileleague avg 8.7%609 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 14.1% (95th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate21.1%21.2%
5th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%609 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 21.1% (5th)891 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%68.6%69.2%
league avg 66.8%+1.8% vs league609 PAvs RHPseason 68.6%802 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 57 | 13.7% | .381 | 47% (45/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 29 | 15.1% | .325 | 50% (21/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 45 | 15.2% | .380 | 51% (34/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 41 | 13.1% | .347 | 45% (32/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 86 | 14.1% | .363 | 48% (66/138) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 61% blended (L10 70%, season 48%) against a 40% priced probability
- his BB% of 14.1% - 95th percentile for BB%
- his chase rate of 21.1% - 5th percentile for chasing out of the zone
- counterpoint - faces Zebby Matthews (RHP): BB% 6.9% - 26th percentile for walks allowed
basis: 138 games this season
OVER+144DraftKingsfair +152 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+187+13.7% vs market · +37.4% vs season50% boost+216+25.1% vs market · +51.1% vs season
UNDER-185Fanaticsfair -157 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-142+3.9% vs market · -11.2% vs season50% boost-123+10.5% vs market · -5.5% vs season
Stolen Bases
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Zebby Matthews Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.7%—
no split for this stat44th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%4 of 538 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat32nd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%4 of 538 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Miguel Vargas Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.4—
no split for this stat78th percentileleague avg 27.4609 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.110.10
77th percentileleague avg 0.07138 gamesvs RHP · 75th pctseason 0.11 (77th)96 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.270.253
86th percentileleague avg .240609 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .270 (86th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%14.1%12.9%
95th percentileleague avg 8.7%609 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 14.1% (95th)428 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMiguel Vargas: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 96 | 417 | 10 | 0.10 | 9% (9/96) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 192 | 5 | 0.12 | 12% (5/42) |
| at home ● | 67 | 297 | 5 | 0.07 | 7% (5/67) |
| on the road | 71 | 312 | 10 | 0.14 | 13% (9/71) |
| season | 138 | 609 | 15 | 0.11 | 10% (14/138) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1250ProphetXfair +908 · +33.9% vs fair
30% boost+1625+70.8% vs market · +75% vs season50% boost+1875+95.5% vs market · +100.4% vs season
UNDER-1799bet365fair -1068 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-1384-2% vs market · -3.7% vs season50% boost-1199-1% vs market · -2.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardMinnesota Twins @ Chicago White Soxsorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing