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Victor Mesa Jr.
TBbats L6th in the order · projectedTampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers8:06 PMGlobe Life Field
facingTrevor Williams3.93 ERA · 11.29 K/9 · 1.42 WHIP · 18.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.2% (league avg 7.4%)
Jr. at the plateHR/PA 5.3%barrel rate 11.5%hard-hit% 38.9%
Home Runs
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin3.7%—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg 2.9%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.2%—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
hard-hit% allowedthin32.6%—
no split for this stat14th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
fly-ball% allowedthin24.5%—
no split for this stat34th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG againstthin.342—
no split for this stat23rd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA5.3%6.0%
94th percentileleague avg 3.0%188 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 5.3% (94th)151 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.5%13.7%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 11.5% (80th)102 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%38.9%44.1%
48th percentileleague avg 39.0%188 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 38.9% (48th)102 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball%32.1%34.3%
84th percentileleague avg 26.7%188 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 32.1% (84th)102 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.416.436
70th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason .416 (70th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.187.201
78th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .187 (78th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo86.4 mph88.8 mph
27th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph188 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 86.4 mph (27th)102 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 9 | 5.1% | .424 | 18% (9/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | .700 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 7 | 6.6% | .495 | 25% (7/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 3 | 3.7% | .373 | 12% (3/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 10 | 5.3% | .440 | 19% (10/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 6.0% | 102 | 13.7% | .436 | .201 | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 37 | 2.7% | 29 | 3.5% | .302 | .113 | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 106 | 6.6% | 75 | 16.0% | .493 | .246 | 86.9 |
| at home | 82 | 3.7% | 56 | 5.4% | .300 | .103 | 85.7 |
| season | 188 | 5.3% | 131 | 11.5% | .408 | .183 | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+500theScore Betfair +463 · +6.5% vs fair
30% boost+650+33.5% vs market · +41.5% vs season50% boost+750+51.3% vs market · +60.4% vs season
UNDER-600bet365fair -479 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-462+0.6% vs market · -1.3% vs season50% boost-400+3.4% vs market · +1.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+8000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthin.342—
no split for this stat23rd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA againstthin.232—
no split for this stat40th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
AVG against.271—
no split for this statleague avg .244+.027 vs league9 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
hard-hit% allowedthin32.6%—
no split for this stat14th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.2%—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.416.436
70th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason .416 (70th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.440.448
72nd percentileleague avg .400188 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason .440 (72nd)151 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.220.201
16th percentileleague avg .244188 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .220 (16th)151 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.187.201
78th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .187 (78th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%38.9%44.1%
48th percentileleague avg 39.0%188 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 38.9% (48th)102 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate11.5%13.7%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 11.5% (80th)102 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.4%24.5%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 21.4% (26th)102 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 67 | 1.37 | .424 | 49% (24/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 7 | 1.75 | .700 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 46 | 1.64 | .495 | 54% (15/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 28 | 1.12 | .373 | 44% (11/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 74 | 1.40 | .440 | 49% (26/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 39.7% | 102 | .436 | .201 | 13.7% | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 37 | 37.8% | 29 | .302 | .113 | 3.5% | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 106 | 43.4% | 75 | .493 | .246 | 16.0% | 86.9 |
| at home | 82 | 34.1% | 56 | .300 | .103 | 5.4% | 85.7 |
| season | 188 | 39.4% | 131 | .408 | .183 | 11.5% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER-165theScore Betfair -151 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-127+7.6% vs market · -12.3% vs season50% boost-110+14.9% vs market · -6.3% vs season
UNDER+141Pinnaclefair +148 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+183+14.5% vs market · +44.3% vs season50% boost+212+25.8% vs market · +58.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 30%SZN 30%over rate
OVER+158BetOnlinefair +168 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost+205+13.9% vs market · -7.8% vs season50% boost+237+25.7% vs market · +1.7% vs season
UNDER-190bet365fair -171 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-146+6.3% vs market · +17.6% vs season50% boost-127+12.9% vs market · +24.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 26%over rate
OVER+300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+400FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+520no market fair50% boost+600no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+950FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1235no market fair50% boost+1425no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hits
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.232—
no split for this stat40th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
AVG against.271—
no split for this statleague avg .244+.027 vs league9 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.220.201
16th percentileleague avg .244188 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .220 (16th)151 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.2%80.3%
27th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%188 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason 81.2% (27th)198 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.6%26.7%
54th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%188 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 25.6% (54th)303 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
K%21.3%22.5%
43rd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%188 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 21.3% (43rd)151 PAneutralneutral
line-drive%21.4%24.5%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 21.4% (26th)102 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 158 | 33 | .209 | 49% (24/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 10 | 4 | .400 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 93 | 20 | .215 | 54% (15/28) |
| at home | 25 | 75 | 17 | .227 | 44% (11/25) |
| season | 53 | 168 | 37 | .220 | 49% (26/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 17.9% | 102 | .235 | 24.5% | 34.3% |
| vs LHP | 37 | 27.0% | 29 | .189 | 10.3% | 24.1% |
| on the road ● | 106 | 18.9% | 75 | .247 | 20.0% | 36.0% |
| at home | 82 | 20.7% | 56 | .198 | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| season | 188 | 19.7% | 131 | — | 21.4% | 32.1% |
0.5line
OVER-160ProphetXfair -144 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.9% vs market · -11.1% vs season50% boost-107+14.3% vs market · -5% vs season
UNDER+135bet365fair +144 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+176+13% vs market · +40.3% vs season50% boost+203+24% vs market · +54.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+370BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+481no market fair50% boost+555no market fair
UNDER-500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-385no market fair50% boost-333no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
53 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.232—
no split for this stat40th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xERAthin4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthin.342—
no split for this stat23rd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.531.49
26th percentileleague avg 1.7553 gamesvs RHP · 22nd pctseason 1.53 (26th)49 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.312—
no split for this stat54th percentileleague avg .310188 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.440.448
72nd percentileleague avg .400188 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason .440 (72nd)151 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 33 | 19 | 21 | 1.49 | 43% (21/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2.00 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 1.71 | 50% (14/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1.32 | 36% (9/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 1.53 | 43% (23/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 17.9% | 102 | .235 | .436 | 13.7% | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 37 | 27.0% | 29 | .189 | .302 | 3.5% | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 106 | 18.9% | 75 | .247 | .493 | 16.0% | 86.9 |
| at home | 82 | 20.7% | 56 | .198 | .300 | 5.4% | 85.7 |
| season | 188 | 19.7% | 131 | — | .408 | 11.5% | 86.4 |
1.5line
OVER+106NoVigfair +117 · -5% vs fair
30% boost+138+9.6% vs market · +3.2% vs season50% boost+159+19.4% vs market · +12.4% vs season
UNDER-130bet365fair -118 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+100+8.2% vs market · +13.2% vs season50% boost+115+16.5% vs market · +21.9% vs season
RBIs
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthin.342—
no split for this stat23rd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.2%—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.420.43
42nd percentileleague avg 0.4553 gamesvs RHP · 45th pctseason 0.42 (42nd)49 gamesneutralneutral
xSLG.416.436
70th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason .416 (70th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%38.9%44.1%
48th percentileleague avg 39.0%188 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 38.9% (48th)102 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate11.5%13.7%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 11.5% (80th)102 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 21 | 0.43 | .424 | 31% (15/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0.25 | .700 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 14 | 0.50 | .495 | 36% (10/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 8 | 0.32 | .373 | 24% (6/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 22 | 0.42 | .440 | 30% (16/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 13.2% | 102 | .436 | 13.7% | 44.1% | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 37 | 5.4% | 29 | .302 | 3.5% | 20.7% | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 106 | 13.2% | 75 | .493 | 16.0% | 36.0% | 86.9 |
| at home | 82 | 9.8% | 56 | .300 | 5.4% | 42.9% | 85.7 |
| season | 188 | — | 131 | .408 | 11.5% | 38.9% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+190NoVigpooled fair +195
30% boost+247pooled fair50% boost+285pooled fair
UNDER-210bet365fair -195 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost-162+7% vs market · +13% vs season50% boost-140+13.3% vs market · +19.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+507DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+659no market fair50% boost+760no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1400Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA againstthin.232—
no split for this stat40th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.420.39
38th percentileleague avg 0.4653 gamesvs RHP · 28th pctseason 0.42 (38th)49 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.312—
no split for this stat54th percentileleague avg .310188 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.5%9.3%
49th percentileleague avg 8.7%188 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 8.5% (49th)151 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 19 | 0.39 | .276 | 37% (18/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0.75 | .455 | 50% (2/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 14 | 0.50 | .288 | 46% (13/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 8 | 0.32 | .284 | 28% (7/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 22 | 0.42 | .286 | 38% (20/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | — | 102 | .235 | 24.5% | 34.3% | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 37 | — | 29 | .189 | 10.3% | 24.1% | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 106 | 13.2% | 75 | .247 | 20.0% | 36.0% | 86.9 |
| at home | 82 | 9.8% | 56 | .198 | 23.2% | 26.8% | 85.7 |
| season | 188 | — | 131 | — | 21.4% | 32.1% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+146ProphetXfair +156 · -4% vs fair
30% boost+190+13% vs market · +9.4% vs season50% boost+219+24.4% vs market · +20.4% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -159 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-138+5.9% vs market · +7.2% vs season50% boost-120+12.8% vs market · +14.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthin.342—
no split for this stat23rd percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
hard-hit% allowedthin32.6%—
no split for this stat14th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
barrel% allowedthin8.2%—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA1.6%1.3%
1st percentileleague avg 4.1%188 PAvs RHP · 1st pctseason 1.6% (1st)151 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.416.436
70th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason .416 (70th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.187.201
78th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .187 (78th)136 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.4%24.5%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 21.4% (26th)102 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%32.1%34.3%
21st percentileleague avg 35.3%188 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 32.1% (21st)102 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 3 | 1.7% | .424 | 6% (3/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | .700 | 0% (0/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 1 | 0.9% | .495 | 4% (1/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 2 | 2.5% | .373 | 8% (2/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 3 | 1.6% | .440 | 6% (3/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 1.3% | 102 | .436 | 24.5% | 34.3% |
| vs LHP | 37 | 2.7% | 29 | .302 | 10.3% | 24.1% |
| on the road ● | 106 | 0.9% | 75 | .493 | 20.0% | 36.0% |
| at home | 82 | 2.4% | 56 | .300 | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| season | 188 | 1.6% | 131 | .408 | 21.4% | 32.1% |
0.5line
OVER+450theScore Betfair +454 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+585+24% vs market · -61.2% vs season50% boost+675+40.3% vs market · -56.1% vs season
UNDER-650BetMGMfair -470 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-500-1.1% vs market · +13.2% vs season50% boost-433+1.4% vs market · +16.1% vs season
Singles
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.232—
no split for this stat40th percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 81 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.2%80.3%
27th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%188 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason 81.2% (27th)198 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.6%26.7%
54th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%188 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 25.6% (54th)303 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.4%24.5%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 21.4% (26th)102 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 158 | 19 | .209 | 35% (17/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 10 | 3 | .400 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 93 | 10 | .215 | 32% (9/28) |
| at home | 25 | 75 | 12 | .227 | 36% (9/25) |
| season | 53 | 168 | 22 | .220 | 34% (18/53) |
● tonight's split
The BatVictor Mesa Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 151 | 9.3% | 102 | .235 | 24.5% | 34.3% |
| vs LHP | 37 | 21.6% | 29 | .189 | 10.3% | 24.1% |
| on the road ● | 106 | 9.4% | 75 | .247 | 20.0% | 36.0% |
| at home | 82 | 14.6% | 56 | .198 | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| season | 188 | 12.8% | 131 | — | 21.4% | 32.1% |
0.5line
OVER+130bet365fair +139 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+169+12.7% vs market · -8.6% vs season50% boost+195+23.6% vs market · +0.2% vs season
UNDER-150BetMGMfair -141 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost-115+9.4% vs market · +23.3% vs season50% boost-100+17.2% vs market · +32.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Trevor Williams Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB/93.4—
no split for this statleague avg 3.4+0.0 vs league9 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Head to HeadVictor Mesa Jr. vs Trevor Williamsfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
BB%8.5%9.3%
49th percentileleague avg 8.7%188 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 8.5% (49th)151 PAneutralneutral
chase rate34.6%34.4%
75th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%188 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason 34.6% (75th)305 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%76.1%76.4%
league avg 66.8%+9.3% vs league188 PAvs RHPseason 76.1%259 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 15 | 8.5% | .276 | 27% (13/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | .455 | 25% (1/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 10 | 9.4% | .288 | 32% (9/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 6 | 7.4% | .284 | 20% (5/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 16 | 8.6% | .286 | 26% (14/53) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+255Caesarsfair +267 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+331+17.4% vs market · +14% vs season50% boost+382+31.2% vs market · +27.5% vs season
UNDER-338DraftKingsfair -276 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost-260+1.6% vs market · +1.9% vs season50% boost-225+6% vs market · +6.2% vs season
Stolen Bases
53 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
the arm: what drives stolen bases
No market-specific profile for Trevor Williams in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.
Victor Mesa Jr. Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.110.12
77th percentileleague avg 0.0753 gamesvs RHP · 80th pctseason 0.11 (77th)49 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.229.235
31st percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .229 (31st)136 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.5%9.3%
49th percentileleague avg 8.7%188 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 8.5% (49th)151 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupVictor Mesa Jr.: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 176 | 6 | 0.12 | 12% (6/49) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/4) |
| on the road ● | 28 | 106 | 4 | 0.14 | 14% (4/28) |
| at home | 25 | 81 | 2 | 0.08 | 8% (2/25) |
| season | 53 | 187 | 6 | 0.11 | 11% (6/53) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+880ProphetXfair +676 · +26.4% vs fair
30% boost+1144+60.5% vs market · +40.8% vs season50% boost+1320+83.2% vs market · +60.8% vs season
UNDER-1120DraftKingsfair -826 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-862-0.4% vs market · -1% vs season50% boost-747+1.1% vs market · +0.6% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardTampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangerssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing