Ranger Suarez
BOSBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles7:06 PMOriole Park at Camden Yards
Strikeouts
24 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 144 | 25.7% | 6.9% | 10.19 | 3.70 | .277 |
| vs RHB | 372 | 22% | 7.8% | 8.14 | 2.83 | .232 |
| home | 226 | 23% | 7.5% | 8.61 | 3.06 | .235 |
| away ● | 290 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 8.70 | 3.05 | .252 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 '25 | 6.1 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | under |
| Jun 14 '24 | 6.2 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jul 26 '23 | 6.0 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | over |
| Sep 20 '21 | 6.0 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | under |
4 career games against them · they have hit .290/.324/.420 off him · 105 plate appearances · 2 of 4 went over 5.5
| G | IP | K | K/G | H | over 5.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 13 | 69.1 | 67 | 5.15 | 66 | 38% (5/13) |
| at home | 11 | 54.1 | 52 | 4.73 | 48 | 36% (4/11) |
| season | 24 | 123.2 | 119 | 4.96 | 114 | 38% (9/24) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-3846no market fair50% boost-3333no market fair
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
30% boost-375pooled fair50% boost-325pooled fair
30% boost+424pooled fair50% boost+489pooled fair
30% boost-149pooled fair50% boost-129pooled fair
30% boost+214pooled fair50% boost+247pooled fair
30% boost+133+12.6% vs market · -12.8% vs season50% boost+153+22.5% vs market · -5.1% vs season
30% boost+120+13.9% vs market · +37.7% vs season50% boost+139+23.5% vs market · +49.3% vs season
30% boost+266pooled fair50% boost+307pooled fair
30% boost-153+20.2% vs market · +24% vs season50% boost-133+27.5% vs market · +31.5% vs season
30% boost+593no market fair50% boost+684no market fair
30% boost-3769no market fair50% boost-3267no market fair
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
30% boost+2314no market fair50% boost+2670no market fair
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
Outs
24 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 144 | 25.7% | 6.9% | 10.19 | 3.70 | .277 |
| vs RHB | 372 | 22% | 7.8% | 8.14 | 2.83 | .232 |
| home | 226 | 23% | 7.5% | 8.61 | 3.06 | .235 |
| away ● | 290 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 8.70 | 3.05 | .252 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 '25 | 6.1 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | over |
| Jun 14 '24 | 6.2 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jul 26 '23 | 6.0 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | over |
| Sep 20 '21 | 6.0 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | over |
4 career games against them · they have hit .290/.324/.420 off him · 105 plate appearances · 4 of 4 went over 15.5
| G | outs | IP | outs/G | ER | over 15.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 13 | 208 | 69.1 | 16.00 | 25 | 46% (6/13) |
| at home | 11 | 163 | 54.1 | 14.82 | 25 | 36% (4/11) |
| season | 24 | 371 | 123.2 | 15.46 | 50 | 42% (10/24) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+111pooled fair50% boost+128pooled fair
30% boost+156+12.1% vs market · +49.3% vs season50% boost+180+22.6% vs market · +63.3% vs season
30% boost-231no market fair50% boost-200no market fair
- the under has hit 76% blended (L10 80%, season 71%) against a 54% priced probability
- recent form and season agree (80% vs 71%) - the read does not depend on a streak
basis: 24 starts this season
30% boost+152+15% vs market · -26.5% vs season50% boost+176+25.6% vs market · -19.6% vs season
30% boost+107+12.4% vs market · +46.3% vs season50% boost+123+21.3% vs market · +57.9% vs season
30% boost+130no market fair50% boost+150no market fair
Hits Allowed
24 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 144 | 25.7% | 6.9% | 10.19 | 3.70 | .277 |
| vs RHB | 372 | 22% | 7.8% | 8.14 | 2.83 | .232 |
| home | 226 | 23% | 7.5% | 8.61 | 3.06 | .235 |
| away ● | 290 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 8.70 | 3.05 | .252 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 '25 | 6.1 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | over |
| Jun 14 '24 | 6.2 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jul 26 '23 | 6.0 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | over |
| Sep 20 '21 | 6.0 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | over |
4 career games against them · they have hit .290/.324/.420 off him · 105 plate appearances · 4 of 4 went over 5.5
| G | IP | H | H/G | K | over 5.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 13 | 69.1 | 66 | 5.08 | 67 | 54% (7/13) |
| at home | 11 | 54.1 | 48 | 4.36 | 52 | 27% (3/11) |
| season | 24 | 123.2 | 114 | 4.75 | 119 | 42% (10/24) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-115+9.6% vs market · -6.7% vs season50% boost-100+17.4% vs market · 0% vs season
30% boost+159+15.3% vs market · +29.3% vs season50% boost+183+26.2% vs market · +41.5% vs season
30% boost+159+7.8% vs market · +7.7% vs season50% boost+183+18% vs market · +17.9% vs season
30% boost-115+9.6% vs market · +8.9% vs season50% boost-100+17.4% vs market · +16.7% vs season
Earned Runs
24 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 144 | 25.7% | 6.9% | 10.19 | 3.70 | .277 |
| vs RHB | 372 | 22% | 7.8% | 8.14 | 2.83 | .232 |
| home | 226 | 23% | 7.5% | 8.61 | 3.06 | .235 |
| away ● | 290 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 8.70 | 3.05 | .252 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 '25 | 6.1 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | over |
| Jun 14 '24 | 6.2 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Jul 26 '23 | 6.0 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | over |
| Sep 20 '21 | 6.0 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | under |
4 career games against them · they have hit .290/.324/.420 off him · 105 plate appearances · 2 of 4 went over 2.5
| G | IP | ER | ERA | H | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 13 | 69.1 | 25 | 3.25 | 66 | 38% (5/13) |
| at home | 11 | 54.1 | 25 | 4.14 | 48 | 55% (6/11) |
| season | 24 | 123.2 | 50 | 3.64 | 114 | 46% (11/24) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-135pooled fair50% boost-117pooled fair
30% boost+169pooled fair50% boost+195pooled fair
30% boost-231no market fair50% boost-200no market fair
30% boost+176+18.7% vs market · +26.3% vs season50% boost+203+30.4% vs market · +38.6% vs season
30% boost-113+7.2% vs market · +2.1% vs season50% boost+102+15% vs market · +9.4% vs season
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing