Shane Baz

BALBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles7:06 PMOriole Park at Camden Yards

Baz on the moundK% 20.8%whiff% 22.6%K/9 8.0

Strikeouts

27 games logged

line4.5

The Opposing LineupBoston Red Sox vs Shane Baza strikeout line is a bet on the lineup as much as the arm · season to date

strikeout rate21.2%21.3%

21st percentile for strikeouts (24 of 30)league avg 22.1%5351 PAvs RHP · 34th pct · 20 of 30season 21.2% (21st)3979 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

walk rate8.4%8.2%

21st percentile for walks drawn (24 of 30)league avg 8.9%5351 PAvs RHP · 17th pct · 25 of 30season 8.4% (21st)3979 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team AVG.250.247

79th percentile for batting average (7 of 30)league avg .2445351 PAvs RHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .250 (79th)3979 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

Boston Red Sox slash.250 / .323 / .408.731 OPS · 5351 PA

Baz's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	393	22.1%	9.4%	8.80	2.35	.281
vs RHB	276	18.8%	6.5%	6.88	2.89	.239
home ●	311	21.2%	8%	8.14	2.64	.279
away	358	20.4%	8.4%	7.82	2.43	.249

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.

Against This ClubShane Baz vs Boston Red Sox7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 4.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 4.5
Jul 20 '26	6.0	18	6	6	1	0	0	over
Jun 2 '26	7.0	21	6	4	2	2	0	over
Jul 12 '25	6.1	19	3	5	1	2	0	under
Jun 9 '25	5.1	16	5	3	3	3	0	over
Apr 14 '25	6.0	18	11	2	1	0	1	over
Sep 28 '24	6.0	18	7	3	2	1	1	over
Sep 17 '24	7.0	21	6	2	2	1	1	over

7 career games against them · they have hit .169/.232/.291 off him · 164 plate appearances · 6 of 7 went over 4.5

Shane Baz Breakdown · his own data

K%20.8%—

no split for this stat

38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

whiff%22.6%—

no split for this stat

33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

K/98.0—

no split for this stat

league avg 8.5-0.5 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

first-pitch strike%61.3%—

no split for this stat

48th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupShane Baz: Strikeouts by split

	G	IP	K	K/G	H	over 4.5
at home ●	13	73.0	66	5.08	79	46% (6/13)
on the road	14	84.0	73	5.21	78	57% (8/14)
season	27	157.0	139	5.15	157	52% (14/27)

● tonight's split

4.5line

OVER-130BetOnlinefair -134 · +1.3% vs fair

30% boost+100+14.6% vs market · +3.7% vs season50% boost+115+23.4% vs market · +11.7% vs season

UNDER+138NoVigfair +132 · +2.4% vs fair

30% boost+179+20.1% vs market · +34.5% vs season50% boost+207+32% vs market · +47.8% vs season

Outs

27 games logged

line16.5

The Opposing LineupBoston Red Sox vs Shane Bazan outs line is a bet on how long this lineup lets him work · season to date

team OBP.323.319

76th percentile for on-base (8 of 30)league avg .3195351 PAvs RHP · 72nd pct · 9 of 30season .323 (76th)3979 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

strikeout rate21.2%21.3%

21st percentile for strikeouts (24 of 30)league avg 22.1%5351 PAvs RHP · 34th pct · 20 of 30season 21.2% (21st)3979 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

runs per game4.49—

no split for this stat

55th percentile for runs scored (14 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorneutralseason only

Boston Red Sox slash.250 / .323 / .408.731 OPS · 5351 PA

Baz's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	393	22.1%	9.4%	8.80	2.35	.281
vs RHB	276	18.8%	6.5%	6.88	2.89	.239
home ●	311	21.2%	8%	8.14	2.64	.279
away	358	20.4%	8.4%	7.82	2.43	.249

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.

Against This ClubShane Baz vs Boston Red Sox7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 16.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 16.5
Jul 20 '26	6.0	18	6	6	1	0	0	over
Jun 2 '26	7.0	21	6	4	2	2	0	over
Jul 12 '25	6.1	19	3	5	1	2	0	over
Jun 9 '25	5.1	16	5	3	3	3	0	under
Apr 14 '25	6.0	18	11	2	1	0	1	over
Sep 28 '24	6.0	18	7	3	2	1	1	over
Sep 17 '24	7.0	21	6	2	2	1	1	over

7 career games against them · they have hit .169/.232/.291 off him · 164 plate appearances · 6 of 7 went over 16.5

Shane Baz Breakdown · his own data

IP per start5.8—

no comparison availableno split for this stat

27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.35—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.04 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

xERA4.04—

no split for this stat

48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupShane Baz: Outs by split

	G	outs	IP	outs/G	ER	over 16.5
at home ●	13	219	73.0	16.85	31	54% (7/13)
on the road	14	252	84.0	18.00	39	86% (12/14)
season	27	471	157.0	17.44	70	70% (19/27)

● tonight's split

16.5line

OVER-122NoVigfair -115 · -2.8% vs fair

30% boost+107+10.3% vs market · +45.4% vs season50% boost+123+19.1% vs market · +56.9% vs season

UNDER+115NoVigfair +117 · -0.9% vs fair

30% boost+150+15% vs market · -26.1% vs season50% boost+172+25.6% vs market · -19.3% vs season

Hits Allowed

27 games logged

line5.5

The Opposing LineupBoston Red Sox vs Shane Baza hits-allowed line is a bet on how much contact this lineup makes · season to date

team AVG.250.247

79th percentile for batting average (7 of 30)league avg .2445351 PAvs RHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .250 (79th)3979 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team OBP.323.319

76th percentile for on-base (8 of 30)league avg .3195351 PAvs RHP · 72nd pct · 9 of 30season .323 (76th)3979 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

strikeout rate21.2%21.3%

21st percentile for strikeouts (24 of 30)league avg 22.1%5351 PAvs RHP · 34th pct · 20 of 30season 21.2% (21st)3979 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team SLG.408.399

76th percentile for slugging (8 of 30)league avg .4005351 PAvs RHP · 41st pct · 18 of 30season .408 (76th)3979 PAsupports OVERneutral

Boston Red Sox slash.250 / .323 / .408.731 OPS · 5351 PA

Baz's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	393	22.1%	9.4%	8.80	2.35	.281
vs RHB	276	18.8%	6.5%	6.88	2.89	.239
home ●	311	21.2%	8%	8.14	2.64	.279
away	358	20.4%	8.4%	7.82	2.43	.249

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.

Against This ClubShane Baz vs Boston Red Sox7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 5.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 5.5
Jul 20 '26	6.0	18	6	6	1	0	0	over
Jun 2 '26	7.0	21	6	4	2	2	0	under
Jul 12 '25	6.1	19	3	5	1	2	0	under
Jun 9 '25	5.1	16	5	3	3	3	0	under
Apr 14 '25	6.0	18	11	2	1	0	1	under
Sep 28 '24	6.0	18	7	3	2	1	1	under
Sep 17 '24	7.0	21	6	2	2	1	1	under

7 career games against them · they have hit .169/.232/.291 off him · 164 plate appearances · 1 of 7 went over 5.5

Shane Baz Breakdown · his own data

xBA against.250—

no split for this stat

61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

AVG against.263—

no split for this stat

league avg .244+.019 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.35—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.04 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

whiff%22.6%—

no split for this stat

33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupShane Baz: Hits Allowed by split

	G	IP	H	H/G	K	over 5.5
at home ●	13	73.0	79	6.08	66	69% (9/13)
on the road	14	84.0	78	5.57	73	50% (7/14)
season	27	157.0	157	5.81	139	59% (16/27)

● tonight's split

5.5line

OVER+130bet365fair +142 · -5.1% vs fair

30% boost+169+11.1% vs market · +59.4% vs season50% boost+195+21.8% vs market · +74.8% vs season

UNDER-159DraftKingsfair -145 · -3.5% vs fair

30% boost-122+7.6% vs market · -25.9% vs season50% boost-106+15% vs market · -20.8% vs season

Earned Runs

27 games logged

line2.5

The Opposing LineupBoston Red Sox vs Shane Bazan ER line is a bet on the damage this lineup does · season to date

runs per game4.49—

no split for this stat

55th percentile for runs scored (14 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorneutralseason only

team OBP.323.319

76th percentile for on-base (8 of 30)league avg .3195351 PAvs RHP · 72nd pct · 9 of 30season .323 (76th)3979 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

HR rate2.7%2.7%

14th percentile for home runs (26 of 30)league avg 3.0%5351 PAvs RHP · 17th pct · 25 of 30season 2.7% (14th)3979 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team SLG.408.399

76th percentile for slugging (8 of 30)league avg .4005351 PAvs RHP · 41st pct · 18 of 30season .408 (76th)3979 PAsupports OVERneutral

Boston Red Sox slash.250 / .323 / .408.731 OPS · 5351 PA

Baz's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	393	22.1%	9.4%	8.80	2.35	.281
vs RHB	276	18.8%	6.5%	6.88	2.89	.239
home ●	311	21.2%	8%	8.14	2.64	.279
away	358	20.4%	8.4%	7.82	2.43	.249

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.

Against This ClubShane Baz vs Boston Red Sox7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 2.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 2.5
Jul 20 '26	6.0	18	6	6	1	0	0	under
Jun 2 '26	7.0	21	6	4	2	2	0	under
Jul 12 '25	6.1	19	3	5	1	2	0	under
Jun 9 '25	5.1	16	5	3	3	3	0	over
Apr 14 '25	6.0	18	11	2	1	0	1	under
Sep 28 '24	6.0	18	7	3	2	1	1	under
Sep 17 '24	7.0	21	6	2	2	1	1	under

7 career games against them · they have hit .169/.232/.291 off him · 164 plate appearances · 1 of 7 went over 2.5

Shane Baz Breakdown · his own data

xERA4.04—

no split for this stat

48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

ERA4.01—

no split for this stat

50th percentileleague avg 4.1727 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

HR/90.63—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.16-0.53 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.35—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.04 vs league27 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupShane Baz: Earned Runs by split

	G	IP	ER	ERA	H	over 2.5
at home ●	13	73.0	31	3.82	79	46% (6/13)
on the road	14	84.0	39	4.18	78	50% (7/14)
season	27	157.0	70	4.01	157	48% (13/27)

● tonight's split

2.5line

OVER+115BetMGMfair +115 · 0% vs fair

30% boost+150+16% vs market · +20.1% vs season50% boost+172+26.7% vs market · +31.2% vs season

UNDER-125DraftKingsfair -115 · -3.7% vs fair

30% boost+104+9.1% vs market · +5.8% vs season50% boost+120+17.7% vs market · +14.1% vs season

Opposing hitters on the prop boardBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Oriolessorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing