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Wilyer Abreu
BOSbats L3rd in the order · projectedBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles7:06 PMOriole Park at Camden Yards
facingShane Baz4.01 ERA · 7.97 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 157.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 1.6% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Abreu at the plateHR/PA 3.8%barrel rate 12.4%hard-hit% 44.2%
Home Runs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed1.6%1.8%
17th percentileleague avg 2.9%671 batters facedvs LHB · 21st pctseason 1.6% (17th)394 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.3%29.7%
48th percentileleague avg 26.7%671 batters facedvs LHB · 75th pctseason 26.3% (48th)266 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
The ArmShane Baz: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 7 | 1.8% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 4 | 1.4% |
| at home ● | 311 | 4 | 1.3% |
| on the road | 358 | 7 | 2.0% |
| season | 669 | 11 | 1.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career0 home runs in 13 AB (.231), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.8%4.0%
72nd percentileleague avg 3.0%605 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 3.8% (72nd)424 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.4%13.3%
86th percentileleague avg 7.8%605 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 12.4% (86th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.2%47.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%605 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 44.2% (74th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.6%39.6%
95th percentileleague avg 26.7%605 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 35.6% (95th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.473.480
91st percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .473 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.219.232
91st percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .219 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo89.7 mph90.7 mph
71st percentileleague avg 88.0 mph605 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 89.7 mph (71st)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 18 | 3.9% | .466 | 15% (16/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 5 | 3.4% | .472 | 12% (4/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 13 | 4.2% | .480 | 19% (13/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 10 | 3.4% | .455 | 10% (7/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 23 | 3.8% | .468 | 14% (20/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 4.0% | 285 | 13.3% | .480 | .232 | 90.7 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 3.3% | 127 | 10.2% | .431 | .176 | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 307 | 4.2% | 209 | 15.3% | .492 | .232 | 89.3 |
| at home | 296 | 3.4% | 203 | 9.4% | .439 | .199 | 90.1 |
| season | 603 | 3.8% | 412 | 12.4% | .466 | .216 | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+413NoVigfair +418 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+537+22.9% vs market · -7.7% vs season50% boost+620+38.9% vs market · +4.3% vs season
UNDER-420ProphetXfair -413 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost-323+5.4% vs market · +12% vs season50% boost-280+9.3% vs market · +16% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4000DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
Total Bases
138 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.263.281
league avg .244+.019 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .263393 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmShane Baz: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 148 | 0.38 | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 87 | 0.32 | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 115 | 0.37 | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 120 | 0.34 | .383 |
| season | 669 | 235 | 0.35 | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career4 total bases in 13 AB (.231), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.473.480
91st percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .473 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.468.448
84th percentileleague avg .400603 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason .468 (84th)423 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.258.236
64th percentileleague avg .244603 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .258 (64th)423 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISO.219.232
91st percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .219 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.2%47.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%605 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 44.2% (74th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.4%13.3%
86th percentileleague avg 7.8%605 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 12.4% (86th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%22.5%22.5%
38th percentileleague avg 23.6%605 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 22.5% (38th)285 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 187 | 1.78 | .466 | 39% (41/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 60 | 1.82 | .472 | 48% (16/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 130 | 1.86 | .480 | 47% (33/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 117 | 1.72 | .455 | 35% (24/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 247 | 1.79 | .468 | 41% (57/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 39.5% | 285 | .480 | .232 | 13.3% | 90.7 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 44.4% | 127 | .431 | .176 | 10.2% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 307 | 42.3% | 209 | .492 | .232 | 15.3% | 89.3 |
| at home | 296 | 39.5% | 203 | .439 | .199 | 9.4% | 90.1 |
| season | 603 | 41.0% | 412 | .466 | .216 | 12.4% | 89.7 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 60%L20 60%SZN 64%over rate
OVER-220BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-169no market fair50% boost-147no market fair
UNDER+180theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
1.5line
OVER+125ProphetXfair +129 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost+162+14.7% vs market · +8.4% vs season50% boost+188+25.6% vs market · +18.8% vs season
UNDER-130Bovadafair -126 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+100+11.6% vs market · +17.4% vs season50% boost+115+20.2% vs market · +26.4% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 30%SZN 25%over rate
OVER+230BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+299no market fair50% boost+345no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+330BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+429no market fair50% boost+495no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+620DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+806no market fair50% boost+930no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+1200DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hits
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.263.281
league avg .244+.019 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .263393 batters facedneutralneutral
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%22.6%22.4%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 22.6% (33rd)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 24.7% | .281 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 21.7% | .239 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 25.4% | .279 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 21.8% | .249 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 23.5% | .263 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career3 hits in 13 AB (.231), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.258.236
64th percentileleague avg .244603 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .258 (64th)423 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
zone contact%82.3%82.2%
36th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%603 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason 82.3% (36th)540 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.7%25.0%
48th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%603 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 24.7% (48th)817 swingsneutralneutral
K%20.4%21.9%
39th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%603 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 20.4% (39th)424 PAsupports OVERneutral
line-drive%22.5%22.5%
38th percentileleague avg 23.6%605 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 22.5% (38th)285 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 401 | 99 | .247 | 59% (62/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 127 | 37 | .291 | 79% (26/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 271 | 69 | .255 | 64% (45/70) |
| at home | 68 | 257 | 67 | .261 | 63% (43/68) |
| season | 138 | 528 | 136 | .258 | 64% (88/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 20.8% | 285 | .248 | 22.5% | 39.3% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 26.7% | 127 | .255 | 22.8% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 307 | 22.5% | 209 | .260 | 23.4% | 39.2% |
| at home | 296 | 22.6% | 203 | .240 | 21.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 603 | 22.6% | 412 | — | 22.6% | 38.3% |
0.5line
OVER-213DraftKingsfair -192 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-164+6% vs market · +2.7% vs season50% boost-142+12.1% vs market · +8.7% vs season
UNDER+182BetOnlinefair +192 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+237+15.1% vs market · +22% vs season50% boost+273+27.6% vs market · +35.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 60%L10 40%L20 35%SZN 28%over rate
OVER+261DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+339no market fair50% boost+392no market fair
UNDER-350theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-269no market fair50% boost-233no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
138 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
The ArmShane Baz: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 148 | .348 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 87 | .290 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 115 | .341 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 120 | .309 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 235 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career5 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.061.99
79th percentileleague avg 1.75138 gamesvs RHP · 73rd pctseason 2.06 (79th)105 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.348—
no split for this stat87th percentileleague avg .310603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.468.448
84th percentileleague avg .400603 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason .468 (84th)423 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 99 | 56 | 54 | 1.99 | 50% (52/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 37 | 22 | 16 | 2.27 | 61% (20/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 69 | 39 | 28 | 1.94 | 54% (38/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 67 | 39 | 42 | 2.18 | 50% (34/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 136 | 78 | 70 | 2.06 | 52% (72/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 20.8% | 285 | .248 | .480 | 13.3% | 90.7 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 26.7% | 127 | .255 | .431 | 10.2% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 307 | 22.5% | 209 | .260 | .492 | 15.3% | 89.3 |
| at home | 296 | 22.6% | 203 | .240 | .439 | 9.4% | 90.1 |
| season | 603 | 22.6% | 412 | — | .466 | 12.4% | 89.7 |
1.5line
OVER-111NoVigfair -105 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+117+11.2% vs market · +13.3% vs season50% boost+135+20.4% vs market · +22.7% vs season
UNDER+105Bovadafair +103 · +0.8% vs fair
30% boost+136+16.4% vs market · +13.1% vs season50% boost+157+26.7% vs market · +23.2% vs season
RBIs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 7 | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 4 | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 4 | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 7 | .383 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 11 | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career2 RBI in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.510.51
71st percentileleague avg 0.45138 gamesvs RHP · 71st pctseason 0.51 (71st)105 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.473.480
91st percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .473 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.2%47.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%605 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 44.2% (74th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.4%13.3%
86th percentileleague avg 7.8%605 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 12.4% (86th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 54 | 0.51 | .466 | 36% (38/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 16 | 0.48 | .472 | 36% (12/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 28 | 0.40 | .480 | 31% (22/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 42 | 0.62 | .455 | 41% (28/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 70 | 0.51 | .468 | 36% (50/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 11.1% | 285 | .480 | 13.3% | 47.0% | 90.7 |
| vs LHP | 180 | 12.8% | 127 | .431 | 10.2% | 37.8% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 307 | 9.1% | 209 | .492 | 15.3% | 43.5% | 89.3 |
| at home | 296 | 14.2% | 203 | .439 | 9.4% | 44.8% | 90.1 |
| season | 603 | — | 412 | .466 | 12.4% | 44.2% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+174ProphetXfair +173 · +0.5% vs fair
30% boost+226+19.7% vs market · +18.2% vs season50% boost+261+32.5% vs market · +30.8% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -179 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost-138+10.4% vs market · +9.8% vs season50% boost-120+17.5% vs market · +16.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+455DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+592no market fair50% boost+682no market fair
UNDER-650theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-500no market fair50% boost-433no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1200DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
Runs
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 37 | .348 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 18 | .290 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 25 | .341 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 30 | .309 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 55 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career15 PA across 3 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.570.53
80th percentileleague avg 0.46138 gamesvs RHP · 72nd pctseason 0.57 (80th)105 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.348—
no split for this stat87th percentileleague avg .310603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.3%9.7%
70th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 10.3% (70th)424 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 56 | 0.53 | .321 | 41% (43/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 22 | 0.67 | .379 | 58% (19/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 39 | 0.56 | .337 | 46% (32/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 39 | 0.57 | .333 | 44% (30/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 78 | 0.57 | .335 | 45% (62/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | — | 285 | .248 | 22.5% | 39.3% | 90.7 |
| vs LHP | 180 | — | 127 | .255 | 22.8% | 36.2% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 307 | 12.7% | 209 | .260 | 23.4% | 39.2% | 89.3 |
| at home | 296 | 13.2% | 203 | .240 | 21.7% | 37.4% | 90.1 |
| season | 603 | — | 412 | — | 22.6% | 38.3% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+120ProphetXfair +127 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+156+12.6% vs market · +15% vs season50% boost+180+23.2% vs market · +25.8% vs season
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -131 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-108+9.5% vs market · +6.2% vs season50% boost+107+17.7% vs market · +14.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Doubles
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive% allowed28.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmShane Baz: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 26 | 6.6% | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 15 | 5.4% | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 22 | 7.1% | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 19 | 5.3% | .383 |
| season | 669 | 41 | 6.1% | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career1 doubles in 13 AB (.231), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.6%5.2%
91st percentileleague avg 4.1%605 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 5.6% (91st)424 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.473.480
91st percentileleague avg .386603 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .473 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.219.232
91st percentileleague avg .146603 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .219 (91st)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%22.5%22.5%
38th percentileleague avg 23.6%605 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 22.5% (38th)285 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%38.4%39.3%
77th percentileleague avg 35.3%605 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 38.4% (77th)285 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 28 | 6.1% | .466 | 22% (23/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 6 | 4.1% | .472 | 18% (6/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 20 | 6.5% | .480 | 26% (18/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 14 | 4.7% | .455 | 16% (11/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 34 | 5.6% | .468 | 21% (29/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 5.2% | 285 | .480 | 22.5% | 39.3% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 6.7% | 127 | .431 | 22.8% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 307 | 6.5% | 209 | .492 | 23.4% | 39.2% |
| at home | 296 | 4.7% | 203 | .439 | 21.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 603 | 5.6% | 412 | .466 | 22.6% | 38.3% |
0.5line
OVER+375theScore Betfair +378 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+488+22.8% vs market · +23.5% vs season50% boost+562+38.5% vs market · +39.2% vs season
UNDER-525BetMGMfair -388 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost-404-0.8% vs market · -1.5% vs season50% boost-350+2.2% vs market · +1.6% vs season
Singles
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%22.6%22.4%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 22.6% (33rd)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 62 | 15.8% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 41 | 14.9% |
| at home ● | 311 | 52 | 16.7% |
| on the road | 358 | 51 | 14.2% |
| season | 669 | 103 | 15.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career2 singles in 13 AB (.231), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%82.3%82.2%
36th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%603 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason 82.3% (36th)540 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.7%25.0%
48th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%603 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 24.7% (48th)817 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%22.5%22.5%
38th percentileleague avg 23.6%605 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 22.5% (38th)285 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 401 | 50 | .247 | 40% (42/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 127 | 25 | .291 | 55% (18/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 271 | 35 | .255 | 39% (27/70) |
| at home | 68 | 257 | 40 | .261 | 49% (33/68) |
| season | 138 | 528 | 75 | .258 | 43% (60/138) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilyer Abreu: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 423 | 10.9% | 285 | .248 | 22.5% | 39.3% |
| vs LHP | 180 | 16.1% | 127 | .255 | 22.8% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 307 | 11.4% | 209 | .260 | 23.4% | 39.2% |
| at home | 296 | 13.5% | 203 | .240 | 21.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 603 | 13.1% | 412 | — | 22.6% | 38.3% |
0.5line
OVER+115bet365fair +127 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost+150+10% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost+172+20.2% vs market · +18.5% vs season
UNDER-140BetMGMfair -128 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-108+8.2% vs market · +9% vs season50% boost+107+16.2% vs market · +17.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%61.3%60.4%
48th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%669 batters facedvs LHB · 35th pctseason 61.3% (48th)394 first pitchesneutralsupports OVER
BB/93.13.7
league avg 3.4-0.3 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason 3.1393 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmShane Baz: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 37 | 9.4% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 18 | 6.5% |
| at home ● | 311 | 25 | 8.0% |
| on the road | 358 | 30 | 8.4% |
| season | 669 | 55 | 8.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilyer Abreu vs Shane Baz, career1 walks in 15 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .567 |
| career | 15 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .231 | .575 |
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.3%9.7%
70th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 10.3% (70th)424 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate30.4%31.5%
51st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%603 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 30.4% (51st)879 pitches outside the zoneneutralneutral
zone swing%68.0%69.7%
league avg 66.8%+1.2% vs league603 PAvs RHPseason 68.0%775 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 47 | 10.3% | .321 | 39% (41/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 15 | 10.3% | .379 | 39% (13/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 32 | 10.4% | .337 | 41% (29/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 30 | 10.1% | .333 | 37% (25/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 62 | 10.3% | .335 | 39% (54/138) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+182bet365fair +197 · -5% vs fair
30% boost+237+13.4% vs market · +31.7% vs season50% boost+273+25.7% vs market · +46% vs season
UNDER-245bet365fair -197 · -6.6% vs fair
30% boost-188+1.5% vs market · -6.8% vs season50% boost-163+6.9% vs market · -1.9% vs season
Stolen Bases
138 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.5%—
no split for this stat25th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%4 of 857 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat29th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 857 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Wilyer Abreu Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4603 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.060.05
56th percentileleague avg 0.07138 gamesvs RHP · 51st pctseason 0.06 (56th)105 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.254.248
70th percentileleague avg .240603 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason .254 (70th)378 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.3%9.7%
70th percentileleague avg 8.7%603 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 10.3% (70th)424 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilyer Abreu: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 105 | 457 | 5 | 0.05 | 5% (5/105) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 3 | 0.09 | 9% (3/33) |
| on the road ● | 70 | 307 | 4 | 0.06 | 6% (4/70) |
| at home | 68 | 296 | 4 | 0.06 | 6% (4/68) |
| season | 138 | 603 | 8 | 0.06 | 6% (8/138) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1150ProphetXfair +1014 · +12.2% vs fair
30% boost+1495+43.5% vs market · -7.5% vs season50% boost+1725+64.2% vs market · +5.8% vs season
UNDER-1820DraftKingsfair -1163 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-1400-1.3% vs market · +0.9% vs season50% boost-1213-0.3% vs market · +2% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Oriolessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing