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Luis Lara
MILbats L6th in the order · projectedMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds6:11 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingRhett Lowder5.14 ERA · 7.07 K/9 · 1.46 WHIP · 112.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Lara at the plateHR/PA 0.7%barrel rate 4.8%hard-hit% 43.8%
Home Runs
42 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed3.2%3.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 2.9%499 batters facedvs LHB · 81st pctseason 3.2% (62nd)307 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.4%12.0%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs LHB · 97th pctseason 9.4% (80th)209 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.8%40.7%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%499 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason 38.8% (55th)209 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed28.4%36.8%
66th percentileleague avg 26.7%499 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 28.4% (66th)209 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.458.493
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason .458 (89th)266 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 307 | 12 | 3.9% |
| vs RHB | 192 | 4 | 2.1% |
| at home ● | 227 | 8 | 3.5% |
| on the road | 272 | 8 | 2.9% |
| season | 499 | 16 | 3.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs Rhett Lowderfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA0.7%0.9%
4th percentileleague avg 3.0%152 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason 0.7% (4th)107 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.8%7.1%
24th percentileleague avg 7.8%152 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 4.8% (24th)70 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%43.8%44.3%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%152 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 43.8% (74th)70 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%15.2%18.6%
1st percentileleague avg 26.7%152 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 15.2% (1st)70 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.366.385
38th percentileleague avg .386151 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .366 (38th)94 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xISO.090.107
14th percentileleague avg .146151 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason .090 (14th)94 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo89.4 mph88.6 mph
66th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph152 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 89.4 mph (66th)70 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupLuis Lara: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 30 | 105 | 1 | 1.0% | .413 | 3% (1/30) |
| vs LHP | 12 | 46 | 0 | 0.0% | .310 | 0% (0/12) |
| on the road ● | 22 | 83 | 0 | 0.0% | .319 | 0% (0/22) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 1 | 1.5% | .452 | 5% (1/20) |
| season | 42 | 151 | 1 | 0.7% | .381 | 2% (1/42) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 0.9% | 70 | 7.1% | .385 | .107 | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 45 | 0.0% | 35 | 0.0% | .315 | .047 | 91.0 |
| on the road ● | 83 | 0.0% | 56 | 5.4% | .347 | .086 | 88.8 |
| at home | 68 | 1.5% | 49 | 4.1% | .382 | .092 | 90.1 |
| season | 151 | 0.7% | 105 | 4.8% | .363 | .089 | 89.4 |
0.5line
OVER+600Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1430betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1100no market fair50% boost-953no market fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+10000Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
42 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.458.493
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason .458 (89th)266 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.267.263
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason .267 (82nd)266 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.268.257
league avg .244+.024 vs league21 startsvs LHBseason .268307 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.8%40.7%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%499 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason 38.8% (55th)209 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.4%12.0%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs LHB · 97th pctseason 9.4% (80th)209 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 307 | 122 | 0.40 | .455 |
| vs RHB | 192 | 74 | 0.39 | .411 |
| at home ● | 227 | 81 | 0.36 | .391 |
| on the road | 272 | 115 | 0.42 | .477 |
| season | 499 | 196 | 0.39 | .438 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs Rhett Lowderfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.366.385
38th percentileleague avg .386151 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .366 (38th)94 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
SLG.381.387
31st percentileleague avg .400151 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .381 (31st)106 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.277.278
92nd percentileleague avg .240151 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason .277 (92nd)94 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.276.280
83rd percentileleague avg .244151 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .276 (83rd)106 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.090.107
14th percentileleague avg .146151 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason .090 (14th)94 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%43.8%44.3%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%152 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 43.8% (74th)70 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate4.8%7.1%
24th percentileleague avg 7.8%152 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 4.8% (24th)70 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%34.3%40.0%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%152 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 34.3% (100th)70 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 30 | 105 | 38 | 1.27 | .413 | 37% (11/30) |
| vs LHP | 12 | 46 | 13 | 1.08 | .310 | 25% (3/12) |
| on the road ● | 22 | 83 | 23 | 1.05 | .319 | 27% (6/22) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 28 | 1.40 | .452 | 40% (8/20) |
| season | 42 | 151 | 51 | 1.21 | .381 | 33% (14/42) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 34.0% | 70 | .385 | .107 | 7.1% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 45 | 33.3% | 35 | .315 | .047 | 0.0% | 91.0 |
| on the road ● | 83 | 27.7% | 56 | .347 | .086 | 5.4% | 88.8 |
| at home | 68 | 41.2% | 49 | .382 | .092 | 4.1% | 90.1 |
| season | 151 | 33.8% | 105 | .363 | .089 | 4.8% | 89.4 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 90%L20 80%SZN 67%over rate
OVER-286Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-220no market fair50% boost-191no market fair
1.5line
OVER+120Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+156no market fair50% boost+180no market fair
UNDER-175betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-135no market fair50% boost-117no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+280Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+364no market fair50% boost+420no market fair
Hits
42 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.267.263
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason .267 (82nd)266 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.268.257
league avg .244+.024 vs league21 startsvs LHBseason .268307 batters facedneutralneutral
K%17.6%18.6%
16th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%499 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason 17.6% (16th)307 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%18.9%19.7%
7th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%499 batters facedvs LHB · 10th pctseason 18.9% (7th)519 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 307 | 69 | 22.5% | .257 |
| vs RHB | 192 | 51 | 26.6% | .283 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 21.6% | .237 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 26.1% | .295 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 24.0% | .268 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs Rhett Lowderfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
xBA.277.278
92nd percentileleague avg .240151 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason .277 (92nd)94 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.276.280
83rd percentileleague avg .244151 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .276 (83rd)106 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%87.0%84.1%
70th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%151 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 87.0% (70th)126 in-zone swingssupports OVERneutral
whiff%17.7%20.7%
13th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%151 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 17.7% (13th)184 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%19.9%22.4%
35th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%151 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 19.9% (35th)107 PAsupports OVERneutral
line-drive%34.3%40.0%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%152 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 34.3% (100th)70 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 30 | 92 | 26 | .283 | 67% (20/30) |
| vs LHP | 12 | 42 | 11 | .262 | 67% (8/12) |
| on the road ● | 22 | 72 | 17 | .236 | 73% (16/22) |
| at home | 20 | 62 | 20 | .323 | 60% (12/20) |
| season | 42 | 134 | 37 | .276 | 67% (28/42) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 24.5% | 70 | .278 | 40.0% | 48.6% |
| vs LHP | 45 | 24.4% | 35 | .268 | 22.9% | 31.4% |
| on the road ● | 83 | 20.5% | 56 | .261 | 37.5% | 44.6% |
| at home | 68 | 29.4% | 49 | .290 | 30.6% | 40.8% |
| season | 151 | 24.5% | 105 | — | 34.3% | 42.9% |
0.5line
OVER-286Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-220no market fair50% boost-191no market fair
UNDER+195betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+254no market fair50% boost+292no market fair
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+180Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+650Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
RBIs
42 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.12—
no split for this stat83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.458.493
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs LHB · 96th pctseason .458 (89th)266 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.4%12.0%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs LHB · 97th pctseason 9.4% (80th)209 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.6%11.4%
57th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%499 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 8.6% (57th)307 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 307 | 69 | 12 | .455 |
| vs RHB | 192 | 51 | 4 | .411 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 8 | .391 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 8 | .477 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 16 | .438 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs Rhett Lowderfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.480.53
62nd percentileleague avg 0.4542 gamesvs RHP · 75th pctseason 0.48 (62nd)30 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.366.385
38th percentileleague avg .386151 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .366 (38th)94 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%43.8%44.3%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%152 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 43.8% (74th)70 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate4.8%7.1%
24th percentileleague avg 7.8%152 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 4.8% (24th)70 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupLuis Lara: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 30 | 105 | 16 | 0.53 | .413 | 23% (7/30) |
| vs LHP | 12 | 46 | 4 | 0.33 | .310 | 25% (3/12) |
| on the road ● | 22 | 83 | 7 | 0.32 | .319 | 18% (4/22) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 13 | 0.65 | .452 | 30% (6/20) |
| season | 42 | 151 | 20 | 0.48 | .381 | 24% (10/42) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 16.0% | 70 | .385 | 7.1% | 44.3% | 88.6 |
| vs LHP | 45 | 6.7% | 35 | .315 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 91.0 |
| on the road ● | 83 | 8.4% | 56 | .347 | 5.4% | 44.6% | 88.8 |
| at home | 68 | 19.1% | 49 | .382 | 4.1% | 42.9% | 90.1 |
| season | 151 | — | 105 | .363 | 4.8% | 43.8% | 89.4 |
0.5line
OVER+138Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+179no market fair50% boost+207no market fair
UNDER-195betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-150no market fair50% boost-130no market fair
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+420Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+546no market fair50% boost+630no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing