Rhett Lowder

CINMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds6:11 PMGreat American Ball Park

Runs

The MatchupRhett Lowder: Runs by split

	G	PA	R	R/G	OBP	over 2.5
at home ●	11	—	—	—	—	0% (0/11)
on the road	13	—	—	—	—	0% (0/13)
season	24	—	—	—	—	0% (0/24)

● tonight's split

The BatRhett Lowder: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split

	PA	R/PA	BBE	xBA	LD%	SS%	EV
vs RHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs LHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
at home ●	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
on the road	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
season	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2.5line

OVER-168Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost-129no market fair50% boost-112no market fair

UNDER+126Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost+164no market fair50% boost+189no market fair

Strikeouts

24 games logged

line3.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs Rhett Lowdera strikeout line is a bet on the lineup as much as the arm · season to date

strikeout rate21.5%21.7%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5476 PAvs RHP · 48th pct · 16 of 30season 21.5% (38th)3810 PAsupports UNDERneutral

walk rate10.6%10.6%

97th percentile for walks drawn (2 of 30)league avg 8.9%5476 PAvs RHP · 97th pct · 2 of 30season 10.6% (97th)3810 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team AVG.256.262

93rd percentile for batting average (3 of 30)league avg .2445476 PAvs RHP · 97th pct · 2 of 30season .256 (93rd)3810 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5476 PA

Lowder's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	307	18.6%	11.4%	7.66	1.63	.257
vs RHB	192	16.1%	4.2%	6.20	3.88	.283
home ●	227	19.4%	7%	7.38	2.75	.237
away	272	16.2%	9.9%	6.79	1.63	.295

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.

Against This ClubRhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers3 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 3.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 3.5
Jun 30 '26	4.2	14	8	11	6	1	1	over
Jun 24 '26	5.2	17	6	8	3	1	2	over
Aug 30 '24	4.0	12	6	2	1	4	0	over

3 career games against them · they have hit .333/.400/.492 off him · 71 plate appearances · 3 of 3 went over 3.5

Rhett Lowder Breakdown · his own data

K%17.6%—

no split for this stat

16th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

whiff%18.9%—

no split for this stat

7th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

K/97.1—

no split for this stat

league avg 8.5-1.4 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

first-pitch strike%58.9%—

no split for this stat

22nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

The MatchupRhett Lowder: Strikeouts by split

	G	IP	K	K/G	H	over 3.5
at home ●	11	53.2	44	4.00	49	64% (7/11)
on the road	13	58.1	44	3.38	71	54% (7/13)
season	24	112.0	88	3.67	120	58% (14/24)

● tonight's split

3.5line

OVER-138NoVigfair -132 · -1.8% vs fair

30% boost-106+10.5% vs market · +13.3% vs season50% boost+109+18.7% vs market · +21.7% vs season

UNDER+133NoVigfair +133 · -0.2% vs fair

30% boost+173+16.8% vs market · +13.7% vs season50% boost+200+28.2% vs market · +24.8% vs season

Outs

24 games logged

line15.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs Rhett Lowderan outs line is a bet on how long this lineup lets him work · season to date

team OBP.339.344

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195476 PAvs RHP · 100th pct · 1 of 30season .339 (100th)3810 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

strikeout rate21.5%21.7%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5476 PAvs RHP · 48th pct · 16 of 30season 21.5% (38th)3810 PAsupports UNDERneutral

runs per game5.00—

no split for this stat

93rd percentile for runs scored (3 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports UNDERseason only

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5476 PA

Lowder's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	307	18.6%	11.4%	7.66	1.63	.257
vs RHB	192	16.1%	4.2%	6.20	3.88	.283
home ●	227	19.4%	7%	7.38	2.75	.237
away	272	16.2%	9.9%	6.79	1.63	.295

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.

Against This ClubRhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers3 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 15.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 15.5
Jun 30 '26	4.2	14	8	11	6	1	1	under
Jun 24 '26	5.2	17	6	8	3	1	2	over
Aug 30 '24	4.0	12	6	2	1	4	0	under

3 career games against them · they have hit .333/.400/.492 off him · 71 plate appearances · 1 of 3 went over 15.5

Rhett Lowder Breakdown · his own data

IP per start5.3—

no comparison availableno split for this stat

21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.46—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.15 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

xERA5.12—

no split for this stat

83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

The MatchupRhett Lowder: Outs by split

	G	outs	IP	outs/G	ER	over 15.5
at home ●	11	161	53.2	14.64	20	55% (6/11)
on the road	13	175	58.1	13.46	44	46% (6/13)
season	24	336	112.0	14.00	64	50% (12/24)

● tonight's split

15.5line

OVER+142ProphetXfair +128 · +6.2% vs fair

30% boost+185+24.9% vs market · +42.3% vs season50% boost+213+37.4% vs market · +56.5% vs season

UNDER-138NoVigfair -129 · -2.7% vs fair

30% boost-106+9.5% vs market · -2.9% vs season50% boost+109+17.7% vs market · +4.3% vs season

Hits Allowed

24 games logged

line5.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs Rhett Lowdera hits-allowed line is a bet on how much contact this lineup makes · season to date

team AVG.256.262

93rd percentile for batting average (3 of 30)league avg .2445476 PAvs RHP · 97th pct · 2 of 30season .256 (93rd)3810 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team OBP.339.344

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195476 PAvs RHP · 100th pct · 1 of 30season .339 (100th)3810 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

strikeout rate21.5%21.7%

38th percentile for strikeouts (19 of 30)league avg 22.1%5476 PAvs RHP · 48th pct · 16 of 30season 21.5% (38th)3810 PAsupports OVERneutral

team SLG.399.410

45th percentile for slugging (17 of 30)league avg .4005476 PAvs RHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .399 (45th)3810 PAneutralsupports OVER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5476 PA

Lowder's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	307	18.6%	11.4%	7.66	1.63	.257
vs RHB	192	16.1%	4.2%	6.20	3.88	.283
home ●	227	19.4%	7%	7.38	2.75	.237
away	272	16.2%	9.9%	6.79	1.63	.295

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.

Against This ClubRhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers3 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 5.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 5.5
Jun 30 '26	4.2	14	8	11	6	1	1	over
Jun 24 '26	5.2	17	6	8	3	1	2	over
Aug 30 '24	4.0	12	6	2	1	4	0	under

3 career games against them · they have hit .333/.400/.492 off him · 71 plate appearances · 2 of 3 went over 5.5

Rhett Lowder Breakdown · his own data

xBA against.267—

no split for this stat

82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

AVG against.268—

no split for this stat

league avg .244+.024 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.46—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.15 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

whiff%18.9%—

no split for this stat

7th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupRhett Lowder: Hits Allowed by split

	G	IP	H	H/G	K	over 5.5
at home ●	11	53.2	49	4.45	44	27% (3/11)
on the road	13	58.1	71	5.46	44	54% (7/13)
season	24	112.0	120	5.00	88	42% (10/24)

● tonight's split

5.5line

OVER-109DraftKingsfair -104 · -2.2% vs fair

30% boost+119+11.8% vs market · -8.6% vs season50% boost+138+21.2% vs market · -1% vs season

UNDER+100NoVigfair +106 · -2.8% vs fair

30% boost+130+11.8% vs market · +34.2% vs season50% boost+150+21.5% vs market · +45.8% vs season

Earned Runs

24 games logged

line3.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs Rhett Lowderan ER line is a bet on the damage this lineup does · season to date

runs per game5.00—

no split for this stat

93rd percentile for runs scored (3 of 30)league avg 4.48141 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports OVERseason only

team OBP.339.344

100th percentile for on-base (1 of 30)league avg .3195476 PAvs RHP · 100th pct · 1 of 30season .339 (100th)3810 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

HR rate2.4%2.6%

0th percentile for home runs (30 of 30)league avg 3.0%5476 PAvs RHP · 3rd pct · 29 of 30season 2.4% (0th)3810 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team SLG.399.410

45th percentile for slugging (17 of 30)league avg .4005476 PAvs RHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .399 (45th)3810 PAneutralsupports OVER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5476 PA

Lowder's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	307	18.6%	11.4%	7.66	1.63	.257
vs RHB	192	16.1%	4.2%	6.20	3.88	.283
home ●	227	19.4%	7%	7.38	2.75	.237
away	272	16.2%	9.9%	6.79	1.63	.295

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.

Against This ClubRhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers3 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 3.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 3.5
Jun 30 '26	4.2	14	8	11	6	1	1	over
Jun 24 '26	5.2	17	6	8	3	1	2	under
Aug 30 '24	4.0	12	6	2	1	4	0	under

3 career games against them · they have hit .333/.400/.492 off him · 71 plate appearances · 1 of 3 went over 3.5

Rhett Lowder Breakdown · his own data

xERA5.12—

no split for this stat

83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

ERA5.14—

no split for this stat

77th percentileleague avg 4.1721 startsno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

HR/91.29—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.16+0.13 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.46—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.30+0.15 vs league21 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupRhett Lowder: Earned Runs by split

	G	IP	ER	ERA	H	over 3.5
at home ●	11	53.2	20	3.35	49	9% (1/11)
on the road	13	58.1	44	6.79	71	38% (5/13)
season	24	112.0	64	5.14	120	25% (6/24)

● tonight's split

3.5line

B★ FORMleans under

the under has hit 78% blended (L10 80%, season 75%) against a 60% priced probability
recent form and season agree (80% vs 75%) - the read does not depend on a streak
counterpoint - his xERA of 5.12 - 83rd percentile for expected ERA

basis: 24 starts this season

OVER+133NoVigfair +145 · -5% vs fair

30% boost+173+11.3% vs market · -31.8% vs season50% boost+200+22.2% vs market · -25.1% vs season

UNDER-160Hard Rockfair -147 · -3.3% vs fair

30% boost-123+7.8% vs market · +35.9% vs season50% boost-107+15.3% vs market · +45.3% vs season

Opposing hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing