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William Contreras
MILbats R3rd in the order · projectedMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds6:11 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingRhett Lowder5.14 ERA · 7.07 K/9 · 1.46 WHIP · 112.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Contreras at the plateHR/PA 2.3%barrel rate 7.9%hard-hit% 43.5%
Home Runs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed3.2%2.1%
62nd percentileleague avg 2.9%499 batters facedvs RHB · 28th pctseason 3.2% (62nd)192 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed9.4%6.3%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 9.4% (80th)144 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed38.8%36.1%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%499 batters facedvs RHB · 35th pctseason 38.8% (55th)144 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed28.4%18.1%
66th percentileleague avg 26.7%499 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 28.4% (66th)144 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.458.399
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason .458 (89th)175 at-batssupports OVERneutral
The ArmRhett Lowder: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 4 | 2.1% |
| vs LHB | 307 | 12 | 3.9% |
| at home ● | 227 | 8 | 3.5% |
| on the road | 272 | 8 | 2.9% |
| season | 499 | 16 | 3.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career1 home runs in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.3%2.5%
36th percentileleague avg 3.0%563 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 2.3% (36th)403 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate7.9%9.0%
57th percentileleague avg 7.8%563 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 7.9% (57th)311 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.5%43.7%
72nd percentileleague avg 39.0%563 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 43.5% (72nd)311 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%25.0%24.8%
38th percentileleague avg 26.7%563 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason 25.0% (38th)311 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.438.444
80th percentileleague avg .386563 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason .438 (80th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.177.182
72nd percentileleague avg .146563 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .177 (72nd)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo90.1 mph90.3 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph563 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 90.1 mph (76th)311 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 9 | 2.4% | .375 | 10% (9/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 4 | 2.2% | .460 | 10% (4/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 5 | 1.8% | .383 | 8% (5/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 8 | 2.8% | .421 | 12% (8/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 13 | 2.3% | .402 | 10% (13/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 2.5% | 311 | 9.0% | .444 | .182 | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 1.9% | 117 | 5.1% | .402 | .155 | 89.8 |
| on the road ● | 275 | 1.8% | 209 | 7.7% | .435 | .168 | 90.7 |
| at home | 288 | 2.8% | 219 | 8.2% | .429 | .180 | 89.6 |
| season | 563 | 2.3% | 428 | 7.9% | .432 | .174 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+500ProphetXfair +465 · +6.1% vs fair
30% boost+650+32.7% vs market · -25% vs season50% boost+750+50.4% vs market · -15% vs season
UNDER-525NoVigfair -484 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost-404+3.4% vs market · +12.3% vs season50% boost-350+6.6% vs market · +15.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+7000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9100no market fair50% boost+10500no market fair
Total Bases
130 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.458.399
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason .458 (89th)175 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xBA against.267.270
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .267 (82nd)175 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.268.283
league avg .244+.024 vs league21 startsvs RHBseason .268192 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.8%36.1%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%499 batters facedvs RHB · 35th pctseason 38.8% (55th)144 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed9.4%6.3%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 9.4% (80th)144 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmRhett Lowder: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 74 | 0.39 | .411 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 122 | 0.40 | .455 |
| at home ● | 227 | 81 | 0.36 | .391 |
| on the road | 272 | 115 | 0.42 | .477 |
| season | 499 | 196 | 0.39 | .438 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career7 total bases in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.438.444
80th percentileleague avg .386563 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason .438 (80th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.402.400
47th percentileleague avg .400563 PAvs RHP · 46th pctseason .402 (47th)403 PAneutralneutral
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.272.267
78th percentileleague avg .244563 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .272 (78th)403 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.177.182
72nd percentileleague avg .146563 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .177 (72nd)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.5%43.7%
72nd percentileleague avg 39.0%563 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 43.5% (72nd)311 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate7.9%9.0%
57th percentileleague avg 7.8%563 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 7.9% (57th)311 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
line-drive%24.1%23.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 24.1% (56th)311 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 127 | 1.44 | .375 | 41% (36/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 74 | 1.76 | .460 | 50% (21/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 95 | 1.53 | .383 | 44% (27/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 106 | 1.56 | .421 | 44% (30/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 201 | 1.55 | .402 | 44% (57/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 35.7% | 311 | .444 | .182 | 9.0% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 35.6% | 117 | .402 | .155 | 5.1% | 89.8 |
| on the road ● | 275 | 34.5% | 209 | .435 | .168 | 7.7% | 90.7 |
| at home | 288 | 36.8% | 219 | .429 | .180 | 8.2% | 89.6 |
| season | 563 | 35.7% | 428 | .432 | .174 | 7.9% | 90.1 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 70%L20 60%SZN 62%over rate
OVER-323BetOnlinemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-248no market fair50% boost-215no market fair
1.5line
OVER+103ProphetXfair +107 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+134+13% vs market · +2.6% vs season50% boost+155+22.9% vs market · +11.6% vs season
UNDER-111NoVigfair -107 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost+117+12% vs market · +21.9% vs season50% boost+135+21.3% vs market · +32% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 35%SZN 20%over rate
OVER+200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+260no market fair50% boost+300no market fair
UNDER-260theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-200no market fair50% boost-173no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+325BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+423no market fair50% boost+488no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1120DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1456no market fair50% boost+1680no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
130 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.267.270
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .267 (82nd)175 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.268.283
league avg .244+.024 vs league21 startsvs RHBseason .268192 batters facedneutralneutral
K%17.6%16.1%
16th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%499 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 17.6% (16th)192 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%18.9%17.7%
7th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%499 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 18.9% (7th)328 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 51 | 26.6% | .283 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 69 | 22.5% | .257 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 21.6% | .237 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 26.1% | .295 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 24.0% | .268 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career4 hits in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.272.267
78th percentileleague avg .244563 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .272 (78th)403 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%87.4%87.9%
74th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%563 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 87.4% (74th)462 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%20.2%19.5%
22nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%563 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 20.2% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%14.0%13.4%
9th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%563 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 14.0% (9th)403 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.1%23.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 24.1% (56th)311 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 339 | 86 | .254 | 30% (26/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 161 | 50 | .311 | 36% (15/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 248 | 65 | .262 | 32% (20/62) |
| at home | 68 | 252 | 71 | .282 | 31% (21/68) |
| season | 130 | 500 | 136 | .272 | 32% (41/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 23.8% | 311 | .262 | 23.8% | 32.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 25.0% | 117 | .247 | 24.8% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 275 | 23.6% | 209 | .267 | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| at home | 288 | 24.7% | 219 | .249 | 21.5% | 29.2% |
| season | 563 | 24.2% | 428 | — | 24.1% | 32.5% |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 70%L20 60%SZN 62%over rate
OVER-305Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-235no market fair50% boost-203no market fair
UNDER+240theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+312no market fair50% boost+360no market fair
1.5line
OVER+182bet365fair +189 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+237+16.5% vs market · +6.2% vs season50% boost+273+29.1% vs market · +17.6% vs season
UNDER-180betPARXfair -181 · +0.2% vs fair
30% boost-138+10.9% vs market · +17.9% vs season50% boost-120+18.1% vs market · +25.5% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+710DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+923no market fair50% boost+1065no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+3200DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4160no market fair50% boost+4800no market fair
H+R+RBI
130 games loggedline2.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.267.270
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .267 (82nd)175 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA5.12—
no split for this stat83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.458.399
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason .458 (89th)175 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%8.6%4.2%
57th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%499 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 8.6% (57th)192 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
K%17.6%16.1%
16th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%499 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 17.6% (16th)192 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 51 | 74 | .321 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 69 | 122 | .346 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 81 | .296 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 115 | .370 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 196 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career6 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.142.05
87th percentileleague avg 1.75130 gamesvs RHP · 78th pctseason 2.14 (87th)88 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.402.400
47th percentileleague avg .400563 PAvs RHP · 46th pctseason .402 (47th)403 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 86 | 46 | 48 | 2.05 | 31% (27/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 50 | 24 | 24 | 2.33 | 36% (15/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 65 | 33 | 28 | 2.03 | 27% (17/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 71 | 37 | 44 | 2.24 | 37% (25/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 136 | 70 | 72 | 2.14 | 32% (42/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 23.8% | 311 | .262 | .444 | 9.0% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 25.0% | 117 | .247 | .402 | 5.1% | 89.8 |
| on the road ● | 275 | 23.6% | 209 | .267 | .435 | 7.7% | 90.7 |
| at home | 288 | 24.7% | 219 | .249 | .429 | 8.2% | 89.6 |
| season | 563 | 24.2% | 428 | — | .432 | 7.9% | 90.1 |
1.5lineL5 60%L10 60%L20 50%SZN 53%over rate
OVER-186NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-143no market fair50% boost-124no market fair
UNDER+138NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+179no market fair50% boost+207no market fair
2.5line
OVER+127NoVigfair +132 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+165+14.5% vs market · -14.4% vs season50% boost+191+25.5% vs market · -6.1% vs season
UNDER-144NoVigfair -132 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-111+8.1% vs market · +28.8% vs season50% boost+104+16% vs market · +38.2% vs season
RBIs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.12—
no split for this stat83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.458.399
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason .458 (89th)175 at-batssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed9.4%6.3%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 9.4% (80th)144 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%8.6%4.2%
57th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%499 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 8.6% (57th)192 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmRhett Lowder: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 51 | 4 | .411 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 69 | 12 | .455 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 8 | .391 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 8 | .477 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 16 | .438 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career2 RBI in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.550.55
77th percentileleague avg 0.45130 gamesvs RHP · 77th pctseason 0.55 (77th)88 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.438.444
80th percentileleague avg .386563 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason .438 (80th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.5%43.7%
72nd percentileleague avg 39.0%563 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 43.5% (72nd)311 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate7.9%9.0%
57th percentileleague avg 7.8%563 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 7.9% (57th)311 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 48 | 0.55 | .375 | 32% (28/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 24 | 0.57 | .460 | 38% (16/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 28 | 0.45 | .383 | 29% (18/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 44 | 0.65 | .421 | 38% (26/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 72 | 0.55 | .402 | 34% (44/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 13.2% | 311 | .444 | 9.0% | 43.7% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 11.9% | 117 | .402 | 5.1% | 42.7% | 89.8 |
| on the road ● | 275 | 10.2% | 209 | .435 | 7.7% | 42.6% | 90.7 |
| at home | 288 | 15.3% | 219 | .429 | 8.2% | 44.3% | 89.6 |
| season | 563 | — | 428 | .432 | 7.9% | 43.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+144NoVigfair +147 · -1.2% vs fair
30% boost+187+16.3% vs market · -2.8% vs season50% boost+216+28% vs market · +7% vs season
UNDER-143betPARXfair -151 · +2.3% vs fair
30% boost-110+14.9% vs market · +26.3% vs season50% boost+105+23.3% vs market · +35.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+410Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+533no market fair50% boost+615no market fair
UNDER-700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-538no market fair50% boost-467no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1100Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1430no market fair50% boost+1650no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
Runs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.12—
no split for this stat83rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16499 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.267.270
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .267 (82nd)175 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.6%4.2%
57th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%499 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 8.6% (57th)192 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmRhett Lowder: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 51 | 8 | .321 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 69 | 35 | .346 |
| at home ● | 227 | 49 | 16 | .296 |
| on the road | 272 | 71 | 27 | .370 |
| season | 499 | 120 | 43 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career8 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.540.52
74th percentileleague avg 0.46130 gamesvs RHP · 69th pctseason 0.54 (74th)88 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.0—
no split for this stat16th percentileleague avg 27.4563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.2%8.7%
56th percentileleague avg 8.7%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.2% (56th)403 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 46 | 0.52 | .322 | 42% (37/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 24 | 0.57 | .381 | 40% (17/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 33 | 0.53 | .331 | 40% (25/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 37 | 0.54 | .351 | 43% (29/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 70 | 0.54 | .341 | 42% (54/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | — | 311 | .262 | 23.8% | 32.1% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | — | 117 | .247 | 24.8% | 33.3% | 89.8 |
| on the road ● | 275 | 12.0% | 209 | .267 | 26.8% | 35.9% | 90.7 |
| at home | 288 | 12.8% | 219 | .249 | 21.5% | 29.2% | 89.6 |
| season | 563 | — | 428 | — | 24.1% | 32.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER-110bet365fair -103 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+118+10.4% vs market · -9.4% vs season50% boost+136+19.6% vs market · -1.8% vs season
UNDER-109DraftKingsfair +101 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost+119+9% vs market · +28.2% vs season50% boost+138+18.1% vs market · +38.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
Doubles
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.458.399
89th percentileleague avg .386499 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason .458 (89th)175 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.8%36.1%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%499 batters facedvs RHB · 35th pctseason 38.8% (55th)144 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed9.4%6.3%
80th percentileleague avg 7.4%499 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 9.4% (80th)144 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.4%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat499 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmRhett Lowder: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 11 | 5.7% | .411 |
| vs LHB | 307 | 13 | 4.2% | .455 |
| at home ● | 227 | 8 | 3.5% | .391 |
| on the road | 272 | 16 | 5.9% | .477 |
| season | 499 | 24 | 4.8% | .438 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career0 doubles in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.3%4.0%
56th percentileleague avg 4.1%563 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 4.3% (56th)403 PAneutralneutral
xSLG.438.444
80th percentileleague avg .386563 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason .438 (80th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.177.182
72nd percentileleague avg .146563 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .177 (72nd)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.1%23.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 24.1% (56th)311 batted ballsneutralneutral
sweet-spot%32.5%32.1%
24th percentileleague avg 35.3%563 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 32.5% (24th)311 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.0—
no split for this stat16th percentileleague avg 27.4563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 12 | 3.1% | .375 | 14% (12/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 12 | 6.6% | .460 | 24% (10/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 13 | 4.7% | .383 | 18% (11/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 11 | 3.8% | .421 | 16% (11/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 24 | 4.3% | .402 | 17% (22/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 4.0% | 311 | .444 | 23.8% | 32.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 5.0% | 117 | .402 | 24.8% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 275 | 4.7% | 209 | .435 | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| at home | 288 | 3.8% | 219 | .429 | 21.5% | 29.2% |
| season | 563 | 4.3% | 428 | .432 | 24.1% | 32.5% |
0.5line
OVER+333BetMGMfair +344 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+433+19.9% vs market · -9.8% vs season50% boost+500+34.9% vs market · +1.5% vs season
UNDER-466DraftKingsfair -353 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost-358-0.4% vs market · +6.3% vs season50% boost-311+3% vs market · +9.8% vs season
Singles
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.267.270
82nd percentileleague avg .239499 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .267 (82nd)175 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%17.6%16.1%
16th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%499 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 17.6% (16th)192 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%18.9%17.7%
7th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%499 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 18.9% (7th)328 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRhett Lowder: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 36 | 18.8% |
| vs LHB | 307 | 42 | 13.7% |
| at home ● | 227 | 33 | 14.5% |
| on the road | 272 | 45 | 16.5% |
| season | 499 | 78 | 15.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career3 singles in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%87.4%87.9%
74th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%563 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 87.4% (74th)462 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%20.2%19.5%
22nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%563 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 20.2% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.1%23.8%
56th percentileleague avg 23.6%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 24.1% (56th)311 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed26.0—
no split for this stat16th percentileleague avg 27.4563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 339 | 64 | .254 | 47% (41/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 161 | 34 | .311 | 55% (23/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 248 | 46 | .262 | 47% (29/62) |
| at home | 68 | 252 | 52 | .282 | 51% (35/68) |
| season | 130 | 500 | 98 | .272 | 49% (64/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatWilliam Contreras: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 403 | 17.1% | 311 | .262 | 23.8% | 32.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 18.1% | 117 | .247 | 24.8% | 33.3% |
| on the road ● | 275 | 16.7% | 209 | .267 | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| at home | 288 | 18.1% | 219 | .249 | 21.5% | 29.2% |
| season | 563 | 17.6% | 428 | — | 24.1% | 32.5% |
0.5line
OVER-150theScore Betfair -130 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-115+5.5% vs market · -8.1% vs season50% boost-100+13% vs market · -1.5% vs season
UNDER+120theScore Betfair +130 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost+156+11.4% vs market · +30% vs season50% boost+180+21.8% vs market · +42.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+340theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+442no market fair50% boost+510no market fair
UNDER-550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-423no market fair50% boost-367no market fair
Walks
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.6%4.2%
57th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%499 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 8.6% (57th)192 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%58.9%70.3%
22nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%499 batters facedvs RHB · 99th pctseason 58.9% (22nd)192 first pitchessupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB/93.51.6
league avg 3.4+0.0 vs league21 startsvs RHBseason 3.5192 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmRhett Lowder: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 192 | 8 | 4.2% |
| vs LHB | 307 | 35 | 11.4% |
| at home ● | 227 | 16 | 7.0% |
| on the road | 272 | 27 | 9.9% |
| season | 499 | 43 | 8.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadWilliam Contreras vs Rhett Lowder, career0 walks in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.834 |
| career | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.375 |
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
BB%9.2%8.7%
56th percentileleague avg 8.7%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.2% (56th)403 PAneutralneutral
chase rate28.1%28.1%
34th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%563 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 28.1% (34th)730 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%68.3%68.3%
league avg 66.8%+1.5% vs league563 PAvs RHPseason 68.3%676 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 35 | 9.2% | .322 | 33% (29/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 17 | 9.4% | .381 | 33% (14/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 25 | 9.1% | .331 | 34% (21/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 27 | 9.4% | .351 | 32% (22/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 52 | 9.2% | .341 | 33% (43/130) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+190bet365fair +178 · +4.3% vs fair
30% boost+247+24.9% vs market · +14.8% vs season50% boost+285+38.6% vs market · +27.3% vs season
UNDER-214DraftKingsfair -181 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost-165+3.7% vs market · +7.6% vs season50% boost-143+9.7% vs market · +13.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Rhett Lowder Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.9%—
no split for this stat49th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%6 of 667 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.9%—
no split for this stat38th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 667 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
William Contreras Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.0—
no split for this stat16th percentileleague avg 27.4563 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.010.01
18th percentileleague avg 0.07130 gamesvs RHP · 18th pctseason 0.01 (18th)88 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.261.262
79th percentileleague avg .240563 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .261 (79th)365 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.2%8.7%
56th percentileleague avg 8.7%563 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 9.2% (56th)403 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupWilliam Contreras: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 88 | 382 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/88) |
| vs LHP | 42 | 181 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/42) |
| on the road ● | 62 | 275 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/62) |
| at home | 68 | 288 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/68) |
| season | 130 | 563 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/130) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1600bet365market fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing