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Carter Jensen
KCbats L1st in the order · projectedToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals8:10 PMKauffman Stadium
facingJameson Taillon5.68 ERA · 8.04 K/9 · 1.37 WHIP · 84.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 7.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 14.6% (league avg 7.4%)
Jensen at the plateHR/PA 4.2%barrel rate 11.4%hard-hit% 45.3%
Home Runs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed7.2%7.4%
100th percentileleague avg 2.9%363 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 7.2% (100th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed14.6%15.5%
99th percentileleague avg 7.4%363 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 14.6% (99th)129 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.7%36.4%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%363 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 38.7% (55th)129 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed38.3%42.6%
97th percentileleague avg 26.7%363 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 38.3% (97th)129 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.525.564
98th percentileleague avg .386362 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .525 (98th)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJameson Taillon: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 14 | 7.4% |
| vs RHB | 174 | 12 | 6.9% |
| on the road ● | 177 | 16 | 9.0% |
| at home | 185 | 10 | 5.4% |
| season | 362 | 26 | 7.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.2%5.1%
79th percentileleague avg 3.0%526 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 4.2% (79th)376 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.4%12.4%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%526 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 11.4% (80th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.3%46.0%
79th percentileleague avg 39.0%526 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 45.3% (79th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%37.5%41.6%
97th percentileleague avg 26.7%526 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 37.5% (97th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.392.401
58th percentileleague avg .386525 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason .392 (58th)330 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xISO.182.195
75th percentileleague avg .146525 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo91.4 mph91.7 mph
89th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph526 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 91.4 mph (89th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 21 | 5.1% | .493 | 20% (20/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 1 | 0.9% | .265 | 3% (1/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 11 | 4.5% | .507 | 16% (10/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 11 | 3.9% | .384 | 16% (11/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 22 | 4.2% | .442 | 16% (21/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 5.1% | 226 | 12.4% | .401 | .195 | 91.7 |
| vs LHP | 150 | 2.0% | 90 | 8.9% | .353 | .141 | 90.8 |
| at home ● | 245 | 4.5% | 159 | 13.2% | .443 | .212 | 90.6 |
| on the road | 280 | 3.9% | 157 | 9.6% | .336 | .150 | 92.3 |
| season | 525 | 4.2% | 316 | 11.4% | .387 | .179 | 91.4 |
0.5line
OVER+420Bovadapooled fair +416
30% boost+546pooled fair50% boost+630pooled fair
UNDER-426NoVigfair -426 · 0% vs fair
30% boost-328+5.7% vs market · +9.4% vs season50% boost-284+9.5% vs market · +13.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+6000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Total Bases
130 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.525.564
98th percentileleague avg .386362 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .525 (98th)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.257.275
71st percentileleague avg .239362 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason .257 (71st)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.253.250
league avg .244+.009 vs league17 startsvs LHBseason .253188 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.7%36.4%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%363 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 38.7% (55th)129 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed14.6%15.5%
99th percentileleague avg 7.4%363 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 14.6% (99th)129 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJameson Taillon: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 90 | 0.48 | .549 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 82 | 0.47 | .500 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 99 | 0.56 | .607 |
| at home | 185 | 73 | 0.39 | .442 |
| season | 362 | 172 | 0.48 | .524 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.392.401
58th percentileleague avg .386525 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason .392 (58th)330 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
SLG.442.474
74th percentileleague avg .400525 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .442 (74th)375 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.228
27th percentileleague avg .244525 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason .231 (27th)375 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.182.195
75th percentileleague avg .146525 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.3%46.0%
79th percentileleague avg 39.0%526 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 45.3% (79th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.4%12.4%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%526 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 11.4% (80th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.9%17.3%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%526 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 19.9% (12th)226 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 176 | 1.80 | .493 | 44% (43/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 27 | 0.84 | .265 | 19% (6/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 110 | 1.77 | .507 | 44% (27/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 93 | 1.37 | .384 | 32% (22/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 203 | 1.56 | .442 | 38% (49/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 41.1% | 226 | .401 | .195 | 12.4% | 91.7 |
| vs LHP | 150 | 32.7% | 90 | .353 | .141 | 8.9% | 90.8 |
| at home ● | 245 | 44.9% | 159 | .443 | .212 | 13.2% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 280 | 33.2% | 157 | .336 | .150 | 9.6% | 92.3 |
| season | 525 | 38.7% | 316 | .387 | .179 | 11.4% | 91.4 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 80%L20 65%SZN 59%over rate
OVER-220Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-169no market fair50% boost-147no market fair
UNDER+170theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+221no market fair50% boost+255no market fair
1.5line
OVER+125NoVigfair +130 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+162+14.2% vs market · -1.1% vs season50% boost+188+25.1% vs market · +8.4% vs season
UNDER-140BetMGMfair -129 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-108+8.6% vs market · +20.2% vs season50% boost+107+16.6% vs market · +29.1% vs season
2.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 30%SZN 25%over rate
OVER+230theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+299no market fair50% boost+345no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+310Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
4.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+650Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
5.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1160DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1508no market fair50% boost+1740no market fair
6.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.257.275
71st percentileleague avg .239362 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason .257 (71st)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.253.250
league avg .244+.009 vs league17 startsvs LHBseason .253188 batters facedneutralneutral
K%20.7%18.5%
37th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%362 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 20.7% (37th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%26.8%25.5%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%362 batters facedvs LHB · 54th pctseason 26.8% (65th)330 swingssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmJameson Taillon: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 41 | 21.8% | .250 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 42 | 24.1% | .256 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 43 | 24.3% | .264 |
| at home | 185 | 40 | 21.6% | .242 |
| season | 362 | 83 | 22.9% | .253 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.228
27th percentileleague avg .244525 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason .231 (27th)375 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.3%81.9%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%525 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 81.3% (28th)503 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.3%28.6%
75th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%525 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason 29.3% (75th)723 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%28.2%27.7%
82nd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%525 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 28.2% (82nd)376 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%19.9%17.3%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%526 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 19.9% (12th)226 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 357 | 87 | .244 | 65% (64/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 102 | 19 | .186 | 41% (13/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 217 | 56 | .258 | 65% (40/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 242 | 50 | .207 | 54% (37/68) |
| season | 130 | 459 | 106 | .231 | 59% (77/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 19.7% | 226 | .205 | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| vs LHP | 150 | 21.3% | 90 | .212 | 26.7% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 245 | 22.9% | 159 | .231 | 21.4% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 280 | 17.9% | 157 | .186 | 18.5% | 31.9% |
| season | 525 | 20.2% | 316 | — | 19.9% | 33.9% |
0.5line
OVER-196ProphetXfair -182 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost-151+7.4% vs market · -1.5% vs season50% boost-131+14% vs market · +4.6% vs season
UNDER+180betPARXfair +181 · -0.5% vs fair
30% boost+234+18.6% vs market · +36.2% vs season50% boost+270+31.3% vs market · +50.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 60%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+300NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
UNDER-350theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-269no market fair50% boost-233no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
130 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.257.275
71st percentileleague avg .239362 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason .257 (71st)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA5.76—
no split for this stat94th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16362 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.525.564
98th percentileleague avg .386362 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .525 (98th)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.8%12.7%
60th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%362 batters facedvs LHB · 94th pctseason 8.8% (60th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%20.7%18.5%
37th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%362 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 20.7% (37th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJameson Taillon: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 41 | 90 | .346 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 42 | 82 | .299 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 43 | 99 | .322 |
| at home | 185 | 40 | 73 | .324 |
| season | 362 | 83 | 172 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.842.07
57th percentileleague avg 1.75130 gamesvs RHP · 80th pctseason 1.84 (57th)98 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.304—
no split for this stat42nd percentileleague avg .310525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.442.474
74th percentileleague avg .400525 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .442 (74th)375 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 87 | 57 | 59 | 2.07 | 53% (52/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 1.13 | 31% (10/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 56 | 39 | 32 | 2.05 | 50% (31/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 50 | 27 | 35 | 1.65 | 46% (31/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 106 | 66 | 67 | 1.84 | 48% (62/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 19.7% | 226 | .205 | .401 | 12.4% | 91.7 |
| vs LHP | 150 | 21.3% | 90 | .212 | .353 | 8.9% | 90.8 |
| at home ● | 245 | 22.9% | 159 | .231 | .443 | 13.2% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 280 | 17.9% | 157 | .186 | .336 | 9.6% | 92.3 |
| season | 525 | 20.2% | 316 | — | .387 | 11.4% | 91.4 |
1.5line
OVER-129ProphetXfair -122 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+101+10.4% vs market · -4.2% vs season50% boost+116+19% vs market · +3.1% vs season
UNDER+125NoVigfair +120 · +2.4% vs fair
30% boost+162+19.4% vs market · +37.3% vs season50% boost+188+30.8% vs market · +50.4% vs season
2.5lineL5 60%L10 60%L20 35%SZN 32%over rate
OVER+156ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+203no market fair50% boost+234no market fair
UNDER-280ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-215no market fair50% boost-187no market fair
RBIs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.76—
no split for this stat94th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16362 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.525.564
98th percentileleague avg .386362 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .525 (98th)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed14.6%15.5%
99th percentileleague avg 7.4%363 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 14.6% (99th)129 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.8%12.7%
60th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%362 batters facedvs LHB · 94th pctseason 8.8% (60th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJameson Taillon: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 41 | 14 | .549 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 42 | 12 | .500 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 43 | 16 | .607 |
| at home | 185 | 40 | 10 | .442 |
| season | 362 | 83 | 26 | .524 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.520.60
74th percentileleague avg 0.45130 gamesvs RHP · 89th pctseason 0.52 (74th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.392.401
58th percentileleague avg .386525 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason .392 (58th)330 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit%45.3%46.0%
79th percentileleague avg 39.0%526 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 45.3% (79th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.4%12.4%
80th percentileleague avg 7.8%526 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 11.4% (80th)226 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 59 | 0.60 | .493 | 41% (40/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 8 | 0.25 | .265 | 22% (7/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 32 | 0.52 | .507 | 34% (21/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 35 | 0.51 | .384 | 38% (26/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 67 | 0.52 | .442 | 36% (47/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 13.1% | 226 | .401 | 12.4% | 46.0% | 91.7 |
| vs LHP | 150 | 12.0% | 90 | .353 | 8.9% | 43.3% | 90.8 |
| at home ● | 245 | 13.1% | 159 | .443 | 13.2% | 43.4% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 280 | 12.5% | 157 | .336 | 9.6% | 47.1% | 92.3 |
| season | 525 | — | 316 | .387 | 11.4% | 45.3% | 91.4 |
0.5line
OVER+182NoVigfair +183 · -0.4% vs fair
30% boost+237+18.8% vs market · +21.7% vs season50% boost+273+31.7% vs market · +34.9% vs season
UNDER-200BetMGMfair -189 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost-154+7.9% vs market · +5.3% vs season50% boost-133+14.5% vs market · +11.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+550DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.76—
no split for this stat94th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16362 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.257.275
71st percentileleague avg .239362 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason .257 (71st)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.8%12.7%
60th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%362 batters facedvs LHB · 94th pctseason 8.8% (60th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJameson Taillon: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 41 | 24 | .346 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 42 | 8 | .299 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 43 | 13 | .322 |
| at home | 185 | 40 | 19 | .324 |
| season | 362 | 83 | 32 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.510.58
66th percentileleague avg 0.46130 gamesvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 0.51 (66th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.304—
no split for this stat42nd percentileleague avg .310525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed27.8—
no split for this stat59th percentileleague avg 27.4525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%11.0%11.7%
77th percentileleague avg 8.7%525 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 11.0% (77th)376 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 57 | 0.58 | .329 | 46% (45/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 9 | 0.28 | .270 | 25% (8/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 39 | 0.63 | .335 | 48% (30/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 27 | 0.40 | .300 | 34% (23/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 66 | 0.51 | .316 | 41% (53/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | — | 226 | .205 | 17.3% | 33.6% | 91.7 |
| vs LHP | 150 | — | 90 | .212 | 26.7% | 34.4% | 90.8 |
| at home ● | 245 | 15.9% | 159 | .231 | 21.4% | 35.9% | 90.6 |
| on the road | 280 | 9.6% | 157 | .186 | 18.5% | 31.9% | 92.3 |
| season | 525 | — | 316 | — | 19.9% | 33.9% | 91.4 |
0.5line
OVER-119ProphetXfair -113 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+109+10.9% vs market · -14.7% vs season50% boost+126+19.8% vs market · -7.8% vs season
UNDER+100BetMGMfair +109 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+130+10.2% vs market · +36.2% vs season50% boost+150+19.8% vs market · +48.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
Doubles
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.525.564
98th percentileleague avg .386362 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .525 (98th)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.7%36.4%
55th percentileleague avg 38.2%363 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 38.7% (55th)129 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed14.6%15.5%
99th percentileleague avg 7.4%363 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 14.6% (99th)129 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed20.2%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat362 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmJameson Taillon: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 7 | 3.7% | .549 |
| vs RHB | 174 | 4 | 2.3% | .500 |
| on the road ● | 177 | 8 | 4.5% | .607 |
| at home | 185 | 3 | 1.6% | .442 |
| season | 362 | 11 | 3.0% | .524 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.1%5.1%
81st percentileleague avg 4.1%526 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 5.1% (81st)376 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.392.401
58th percentileleague avg .386525 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason .392 (58th)330 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xISO.182.195
75th percentileleague avg .146525 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.9%17.3%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%526 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 19.9% (12th)226 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%33.9%33.6%
35th percentileleague avg 35.3%526 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 33.9% (35th)226 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.8—
no split for this stat59th percentileleague avg 27.4525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 22 | 5.4% | .493 | 20% (20/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 5 | 4.3% | .265 | 13% (4/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 19 | 7.8% | .507 | 26% (16/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 8 | 2.9% | .384 | 12% (8/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 27 | 5.1% | .442 | 18% (24/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 5.1% | 226 | .401 | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| vs LHP | 150 | 5.3% | 90 | .353 | 26.7% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 245 | 7.8% | 159 | .443 | 21.4% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 280 | 2.9% | 157 | .336 | 18.5% | 31.9% |
| season | 525 | 5.1% | 316 | .387 | 19.9% | 33.9% |
0.5line
OVER+325theScore Betfair +342 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost+423+18.1% vs market · -3.5% vs season50% boost+488+32.8% vs market · +8.5% vs season
UNDER-450bet365fair -344 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost-346-0.1% vs market · +5.1% vs season50% boost-300+3.3% vs market · +8.7% vs season
Singles
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.257.275
71st percentileleague avg .239362 batters facedvs LHB · 90th pctseason .257 (71st)164 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%20.7%18.5%
37th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%362 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 20.7% (37th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%26.8%25.5%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%362 batters facedvs LHB · 54th pctseason 26.8% (65th)330 swingssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmJameson Taillon: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 20 | 10.6% |
| vs RHB | 174 | 26 | 14.9% |
| on the road ● | 177 | 19 | 10.7% |
| at home | 185 | 27 | 14.6% |
| season | 362 | 46 | 12.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.3%81.9%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%525 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 81.3% (28th)503 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.3%28.6%
75th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%525 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason 29.3% (75th)723 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%19.9%17.3%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%526 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 19.9% (12th)226 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.8—
no split for this stat59th percentileleague avg 27.4525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 357 | 42 | .244 | 38% (37/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 102 | 13 | .186 | 34% (11/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 217 | 25 | .258 | 37% (23/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 242 | 30 | .207 | 37% (25/68) |
| season | 130 | 459 | 55 | .231 | 37% (48/130) |
● tonight's split
The BatCarter Jensen: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 375 | 9.1% | 226 | .205 | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| vs LHP | 150 | 14.0% | 90 | .212 | 26.7% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 245 | 10.2% | 159 | .231 | 21.4% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 280 | 10.7% | 157 | .186 | 18.5% | 31.9% |
| season | 525 | 10.9% | 316 | — | 19.9% | 33.9% |
0.5line
OVER+130bet365fair +134 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost+169+15.1% vs market · -0.7% vs season50% boost+195+26.3% vs market · +8.9% vs season
UNDER-150BetMGMfair -135 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-115+7.3% vs market · +17.7% vs season50% boost-100+15% vs market · +26.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.8%12.7%
60th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%362 batters facedvs LHB · 94th pctseason 8.8% (60th)189 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%56.1%50.3%
6th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%362 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 56.1% (6th)189 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/93.45.2
league avg 3.40.0 vs league17 startsvs LHBseason 3.4188 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmJameson Taillon: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 188 | 24 | 12.8% |
| vs RHB | 174 | 8 | 4.6% |
| on the road ● | 177 | 13 | 7.3% |
| at home | 185 | 19 | 10.3% |
| season | 362 | 32 | 8.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCarter Jensen vs Jameson Taillonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
BB%11.0%11.7%
77th percentileleague avg 8.7%525 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 11.0% (77th)376 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate24.0%25.6%
14th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%525 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 24.0% (14th)859 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%67.0%68.7%
league avg 66.8%+0.2% vs league525 PAvs RHPseason 67.0%732 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 46 | 11.2% | .329 | 40% (39/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 12 | 10.4% | .270 | 31% (10/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 25 | 10.2% | .335 | 35% (22/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 33 | 11.8% | .300 | 40% (27/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 58 | 11.0% | .316 | 38% (49/130) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+105Hard Rockfair +117 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost+136+9% vs market · -10.9% vs season50% boost+157+18.7% vs market · -2.9% vs season
UNDER-135bet365fair -117 · -6.2% vs fair
30% boost-104+5.8% vs market · +22.3% vs season50% boost+111+13.8% vs market · +31.5% vs season
Stolen Bases
130 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jameson Taillon Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.8%—
no split for this stat84th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%8 of 442 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him2.3%—
no split for this stat85th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%10 of 442 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed8—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Carter Jensen Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.8—
no split for this stat59th percentileleague avg 27.4525 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
SB per game0.020.02
30th percentileleague avg 0.07130 gamesvs RHP · 30th pctseason 0.02 (30th)98 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.210.205
14th percentileleague avg .240525 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .210 (14th)330 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%11.0%11.7%
77th percentileleague avg 8.7%525 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 11.0% (77th)376 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCarter Jensen: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 410 | 2 | 0.02 | 2% (2/98) |
| vs LHP | 32 | 115 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/32) |
| at home ● | 62 | 245 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/62) |
| on the road | 68 | 280 | 2 | 0.03 | 3% (2/68) |
| season | 130 | 525 | 2 | 0.02 | 2% (2/130) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1750Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2275no market fair50% boost+2625no market fair
UNDER-8000bet365market fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-6154no market fair50% boost-5333no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royalssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing