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Brady House
WSHbats R5th in the order · projectedWashington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers10:11 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
facingBlake Snell2.42 ERA · 12.46 K/9 · 1.08 WHIP · 26.0 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 0.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 1.7% (league avg 7.4%)
House at the plateHR/PA 3.4%barrel rate 10.8%hard-hit% 48.4%
Home Runs
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthinthin0.0%0.0%
0th percentileleague avg 2.9%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 0.0% (0th)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin1.7%2.3%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin10.0%9.3%
0th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 10.0% (0th)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowedthinthin21.7%25.6%
17th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason 21.7% (17th)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
xSLG againstthinthin.204.197
0th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason .204 (0th)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 0 | 0.0% |
| vs LHB | 35 | 0 | 0.0% |
| at home ● | 64 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road | 45 | 0 | 0.0% |
| season | 109 | 0 | 0.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.4%4.6%
65th percentileleague avg 3.0%292 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason 3.4% (65th)87 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin10.8%14.0%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 10.8% (76th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin48.4%49.1%
89th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 48.4% (89th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%thin27.8%31.6%
57th percentileleague avg 26.7%292 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason 27.8% (57th)thin sample: 57 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.446.571
83rd percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .446 (83rd)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.185.238
77th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 96th pctseason .185 (77th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velothin90.1 mph89.7 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph292 PAvs LHP · 71st pctseason 90.1 mph (76th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBrady House: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 4 | 4.2% | .416 | 18% (4/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 6 | 3.1% | .400 | 11% (6/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 6 | 4.0% | .358 | 16% (6/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 4 | 2.8% | .457 | 11% (4/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 10 | 3.4% | .405 | 13% (10/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 4.6% | 57 | 14.0% | .571 | .238 | 89.7 |
| vs RHP | 205 | 2.9% | 129 | 9.3% | .386 | .160 | 90.3 |
| on the road ● | 151 | 4.0% | 89 | 11.2% | .382 | .167 | 88.6 |
| at home | 141 | 2.8% | 97 | 10.3% | .503 | .200 | 91.5 |
| season | 292 | 3.4% | 186 | 10.8% | .441 | .183 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+750bet365fair +667 · +10.8% vs fair
30% boost+975+39.8% vs market · +43.3% vs season50% boost+1125+59.2% vs market · +63.3% vs season
UNDER-910betPARXfair -663 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-700-0.7% vs market · -1% vs season50% boost-607+1.2% vs market · +1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+10000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.204.197
0th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason .204 (0th)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA againstthinthin.166.155
1st percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason .166 (1st)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.170.149
league avg .244-0.074 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .170thin sample: 74 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthinthin10.0%9.3%
0th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 10.0% (0th)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin1.7%2.3%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 12 | 0.16 | .179 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 7 | 0.20 | .259 |
| at home ● | 64 | 12 | 0.19 | .214 |
| on the road | 45 | 7 | 0.16 | .184 |
| season | 109 | 19 | 0.17 | .202 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.446.571
83rd percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .446 (83rd)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.405.570
50th percentileleague avg .400292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .405 (50th)87 PAneutralsupports OVER
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.242.342
44th percentileleague avg .244292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .242 (44th)87 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISO.185.238
77th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 96th pctseason .185 (77th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin48.4%49.1%
89th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 48.4% (89th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin10.8%14.0%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 10.8% (76th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin21.9%36.8%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 21.9% (31st)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupBrady House: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 37 | 1.68 | .416 | 73% (16/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 70 | 1.32 | .400 | 60% (32/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 49 | 1.29 | .358 | 55% (21/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 58 | 1.57 | .457 | 73% (27/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 107 | 1.43 | .405 | 64% (48/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 51.7% | 57 | .571 | .238 | 14.0% | 89.7 |
| vs RHP | 205 | 30.2% | 129 | .386 | .160 | 9.3% | 90.3 |
| on the road ● | 151 | 32.5% | 89 | .382 | .167 | 11.2% | 88.6 |
| at home | 141 | 41.1% | 97 | .503 | .200 | 10.3% | 91.5 |
| season | 292 | 36.6% | 186 | .441 | .183 | 10.8% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER-108ProphetXfair -102 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+120+11.3% vs market · +41% vs season50% boost+139+20.6% vs market · +52.9% vs season
UNDER+100theScore Betfair +100 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+130+15% vs market · -17.2% vs season50% boost+150+25% vs market · -10% vs season
1.5lineL5 80%L10 60%L20 45%SZN 33%over rate
OVER+230BetMGMpooled fair +226
30% boost+299pooled fair50% boost+345pooled fair
UNDER-260theScore Betfair -234 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-200+5.1% vs market · 0% vs season50% boost-173+10.5% vs market · +5.1% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+450BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+575BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+748no market fair50% boost+862no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1220DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1586no market fair50% boost+1830no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.166.155
1st percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason .166 (1st)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.170.149
league avg .244-0.074 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .170thin sample: 74 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thinthin33.0%33.8%
97th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 33.0% (97th)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin37.1%37.5%
98th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 99th pctseason 37.1% (98th)152 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 10 | 13.5% | .149 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | .222 |
| at home ● | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | .196 |
| on the road | 45 | 5 | 11.1% | .132 |
| season | 109 | 16 | 14.7% | .170 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.242.342
44th percentileleague avg .244292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .242 (44th)87 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%77.2%70.4%
11th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 77.2% (11th)115 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%37.1%
83rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%292 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 31.2% (83rd)175 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%27.4%25.3%
78th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%292 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 27.4% (78th)87 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin21.9%36.8%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 21.9% (31st)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupBrady House: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 89 | 22 | .247 | 73% (16/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 175 | 42 | .240 | 60% (32/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 137 | 27 | .197 | 55% (21/38) |
| at home | 37 | 127 | 37 | .291 | 73% (27/37) |
| season | 75 | 264 | 64 | .242 | 64% (48/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 31.0% | 57 | .333 | 36.8% | 49.1% |
| vs RHP | 205 | 18.0% | 129 | .227 | 15.5% | 24.8% |
| on the road ● | 151 | 17.9% | 89 | .215 | 16.9% | 28.1% |
| at home | 141 | 26.2% | 97 | .303 | 26.8% | 36.1% |
| season | 292 | 21.9% | 186 | — | 22.0% | 32.3% |
0.5line
OVER-116ProphetXfair -108 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+112+10.3% vs market · +35.7% vs season50% boost+129+19.2% vs market · +46.8% vs season
UNDER+110betPARXfair +108 · +1% vs fair
30% boost+143+16.9% vs market · -12.5% vs season50% boost+165+27.5% vs market · -4.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+504DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+655no market fair50% boost+756no market fair
UNDER-700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-538no market fair50% boost-467no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2500DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
H+R+RBI
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.166.155
1st percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason .166 (1st)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERAthin2.10—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 109 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.204.197
0th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason .204 (0th)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin11.0%6.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 25th pctseason 11.0% (83rd)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin33.0%33.8%
97th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 33.0% (97th)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 10 | 12 | .216 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 6 | 7 | .382 |
| at home ● | 64 | 11 | 12 | .281 |
| on the road | 45 | 5 | 7 | .250 |
| season | 109 | 16 | 19 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.872.09
59th percentileleague avg 1.7575 gamesvs LHP · 82nd pctseason 1.87 (59th)22 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.405.570
50th percentileleague avg .400292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .405 (50th)87 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupBrady House: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 2.09 | 73% (16/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 42 | 23 | 29 | 1.77 | 70% (37/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 27 | 15 | 19 | 1.61 | 61% (23/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 37 | 20 | 22 | 2.14 | 81% (30/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 64 | 35 | 41 | 1.87 | 71% (53/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 31.0% | 57 | .333 | .571 | 14.0% | 89.7 |
| vs RHP | 205 | 18.0% | 129 | .227 | .386 | 9.3% | 90.3 |
| on the road ● | 151 | 17.9% | 89 | .215 | .382 | 11.2% | 88.6 |
| at home | 141 | 26.2% | 97 | .303 | .503 | 10.3% | 91.5 |
| season | 292 | 21.9% | 186 | — | .441 | 10.8% | 90.1 |
0.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 76% blended (L10 80%, season 71%) against a 57% priced probability
- his xBA of .261 - 79th percentile for xBA
- his xwOBA of .334 - 77th percentile for xwOBA
- counterpoint - faces Blake Snell (LHP): xBA against .166 - 1st percentile for xBA against
basis: 75 games this season
OVER-150BetMGMfair -133 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-115+6.4% vs market · +31.9% vs season50% boost-100+14% vs market · +41.3% vs season
UNDER+130theScore Betfair +133 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost+169+15.7% vs market · -21.1% vs season50% boost+195+26.8% vs market · -13.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 80%L10 50%L20 45%SZN 43%over rate
OVER+125NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+162no market fair50% boost+188no market fair
RBIs
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin2.10—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 109 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.204.197
0th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason .204 (0th)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin1.7%2.3%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin11.0%6.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 25th pctseason 11.0% (83rd)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 10 | 0 | .179 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 6 | 0 | .259 |
| at home ● | 64 | 11 | 0 | .214 |
| on the road | 45 | 5 | 0 | .184 |
| season | 109 | 16 | 0 | .202 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.550.55
77th percentileleague avg 0.4575 gamesvs LHP · 77th pctseason 0.55 (77th)22 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.446.571
83rd percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .446 (83rd)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin48.4%49.1%
89th percentileleague avg 39.0%292 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 48.4% (89th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin10.8%14.0%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%292 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 10.8% (76th)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupBrady House: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 12 | 0.55 | .416 | 23% (5/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 29 | 0.55 | .400 | 34% (18/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 19 | 0.50 | .358 | 29% (11/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 22 | 0.59 | .457 | 32% (12/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 41 | 0.55 | .405 | 31% (23/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 16.1% | 57 | .571 | 14.0% | 49.1% | 89.7 |
| vs RHP | 205 | 13.2% | 129 | .386 | 9.3% | 48.1% | 90.3 |
| on the road ● | 151 | 12.6% | 89 | .382 | 11.2% | 44.9% | 88.6 |
| at home | 141 | 15.6% | 97 | .503 | 10.3% | 51.5% | 91.5 |
| season | 292 | — | 186 | .441 | 10.8% | 48.4% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+285NoVigfair +291 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+370+20.4% vs market · +44.3% vs season50% boost+428+35% vs market · +61.8% vs season
UNDER-345betPARXfair -297 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-265+3% vs market · -4.5% vs season50% boost-230+7.3% vs market · -0.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+875BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1138no market fair50% boost+1312no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
2.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+2250Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2925no market fair50% boost+3375no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin2.10—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 109 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA againstthinthin.166.155
1st percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason .166 (1st)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin11.0%6.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 25th pctseason 11.0% (83rd)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 10 | 5 | .216 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 6 | 7 | .382 |
| at home ● | 64 | 11 | 6 | .281 |
| on the road | 45 | 5 | 6 | .250 |
| season | 109 | 16 | 12 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.470.55
55th percentileleague avg 0.4675 gamesvs LHP · 77th pctseason 0.47 (55th)22 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.5%9.2%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 7.5% (36th)87 PAsupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupBrady House: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 12 | 0.55 | .302 | 41% (9/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 23 | 0.43 | .306 | 34% (18/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 15 | 0.39 | .272 | 32% (12/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 20 | 0.54 | .340 | 41% (15/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 35 | 0.47 | .305 | 36% (27/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | — | 57 | .333 | 36.8% | 49.1% | 89.7 |
| vs RHP | 205 | — | 129 | .227 | 15.5% | 24.8% | 90.3 |
| on the road ● | 151 | 9.9% | 89 | .215 | 16.9% | 28.1% | 88.6 |
| at home | 141 | 14.2% | 97 | .303 | 26.8% | 36.1% | 91.5 |
| season | 292 | — | 186 | — | 22.0% | 32.3% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+200BetMGMfair +209 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+260+16.3% vs market · +29.6% vs season50% boost+300+29.2% vs market · +44% vs season
UNDER-250theScore Betfair -212 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-192+3.2% vs market · -2.7% vs season50% boost-167+8.6% vs market · +2.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
UNDER-5000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3846no market fair50% boost-3333no market fair
Doubles
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.204.197
0th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason .204 (0th)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin10.0%9.3%
0th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 10.0% (0th)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowedthinthin1.7%2.3%
1st percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 2nd pctseason 1.7% (1st)thin sample: 43 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowedthin18.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this statthin sample: 109 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBlake Snell: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 2 | 2.7% | .179 |
| vs LHB | 35 | 1 | 2.9% | .259 |
| at home ● | 64 | 1 | 1.6% | .214 |
| on the road | 45 | 2 | 4.4% | .184 |
| season | 109 | 3 | 2.8% | .202 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.5%6.9%
61st percentileleague avg 4.1%292 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 4.5% (61st)87 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.446.571
83rd percentileleague avg .386292 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .446 (83rd)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.185.238
77th percentileleague avg .146292 PAvs LHP · 96th pctseason .185 (77th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin21.9%36.8%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 21.9% (31st)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%thin32.3%49.1%
23rd percentileleague avg 35.3%292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 32.3% (23rd)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupBrady House: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 3 | 3.1% | .416 | 9% (2/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 10 | 5.1% | .400 | 17% (9/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 4 | 2.6% | .358 | 11% (4/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 9 | 6.4% | .457 | 19% (7/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 13 | 4.5% | .405 | 15% (11/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 6.9% | 57 | .571 | 36.8% | 49.1% |
| vs RHP | 205 | 3.4% | 129 | .386 | 15.5% | 24.8% |
| on the road ● | 151 | 2.6% | 89 | .382 | 16.9% | 28.1% |
| at home | 141 | 6.4% | 97 | .503 | 26.8% | 36.1% |
| season | 292 | 4.5% | 186 | .441 | 22.0% | 32.3% |
0.5line
OVER+600BetMGMfair +585 · +2.2% vs fair
30% boost+780+28.5% vs market · +29.1% vs season50% boost+900+46% vs market · +46.7% vs season
UNDER-900Hard Rockfair -602 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-692-1.8% vs market · -2.3% vs season50% boost-600+0.1% vs market · -0.4% vs season
Singles
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.166.155
1st percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason .166 (1st)thin sample: 68 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin33.0%33.8%
97th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 33.0% (97th)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin37.1%37.5%
98th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 99th pctseason 37.1% (98th)152 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBlake Snell: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 8 | 10.8% |
| vs LHB | 35 | 5 | 14.3% |
| at home ● | 64 | 10 | 15.6% |
| on the road | 45 | 3 | 6.7% |
| season | 109 | 13 | 11.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%77.2%70.4%
11th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%292 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 77.2% (11th)115 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%37.1%
83rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%292 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 31.2% (83rd)175 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin21.9%36.8%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason 21.9% (31st)thin sample: 57 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupBrady House: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 89 | 15 | .247 | 55% (12/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 175 | 26 | .240 | 40% (21/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 137 | 17 | .197 | 37% (14/38) |
| at home | 37 | 127 | 24 | .291 | 51% (19/37) |
| season | 75 | 264 | 41 | .242 | 44% (33/75) |
● tonight's split
The BatBrady House: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 87 | 19.5% | 57 | .333 | 36.8% | 49.1% |
| vs RHP | 205 | 11.7% | 129 | .227 | 15.5% | 24.8% |
| on the road ● | 151 | 11.3% | 89 | .215 | 16.9% | 28.1% |
| at home | 141 | 17.0% | 97 | .303 | 26.8% | 36.1% |
| season | 292 | 14.0% | 186 | — | 22.0% | 32.3% |
0.5line
OVER+163DraftKingsfair +163 · 0% vs fair
30% boost+212+18.5% vs market · +37.2% vs season50% boost+244+30.9% vs market · +51.6% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -169 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost-138+8.2% vs market · -3.6% vs season50% boost-120+15.1% vs market · +2.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Blake Snell Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thinthin11.0%6.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 25th pctseason 11.0% (83rd)thin sample: 74 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%thinthin74.3%75.7%
100th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%thin sample: 109 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 74.3% (100th)thin sample: 74 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/9thin4.22.4
league avg 3.4+0.7 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason 4.2thin sample: 74 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBlake Snell: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 74 | 5 | 6.8% |
| vs LHB | 35 | 7 | 20.0% |
| at home ● | 64 | 6 | 9.4% |
| on the road | 45 | 6 | 13.3% |
| season | 109 | 12 | 11.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadBrady House vs Blake Snellfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
BB%7.5%9.2%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 7.5% (36th)87 PAsupports UNDERneutral
chase rate33.6%32.6%
70th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%292 PAvs LHP · 65th pctseason 33.6% (70th)184 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%thin71.7%77.2%
league avg 66.8%+4.9% vs league292 PAvs LHPseason 71.7%thin sample: 149 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupBrady House: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 7 | 7.3% | .302 | 27% (6/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 15 | 7.7% | .306 | 25% (13/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 11 | 7.3% | .272 | 24% (9/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 11 | 7.8% | .340 | 27% (10/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 22 | 7.5% | .305 | 25% (19/75) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+205bet365fair +216 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost+266+15.8% vs market · -7.2% vs season50% boost+307+28.8% vs market · +3.2% vs season
UNDER-272DraftKingsfair -217 · -6.4% vs fair
30% boost-209+1.2% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost-181+6.3% vs market · +15.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
75 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
the arm: what drives stolen bases
No market-specific profile for Blake Snell in today's data. Nothing generic is shown in its place.
vs RHB only: .149 avg · K% 33.8 · BB% 6.8 (74 BF)
Brady House Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.0—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg 27.4292 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.030.05
42nd percentileleague avg 0.0775 gamesvs LHP · 51st pctseason 0.03 (42nd)22 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.261.333
79th percentileleague avg .240292 PAvs LHP · 100th pctseason .261 (79th)79 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.5%9.2%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%292 PAvs LHP · 56th pctseason 7.5% (36th)87 PAsupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupBrady House: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 22 | 96 | 1 | 0.05 | 5% (1/22) |
| vs RHP | 53 | 196 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/53) |
| on the road ● | 38 | 151 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/38) |
| at home | 37 | 141 | 2 | 0.05 | 5% (2/37) |
| season | 75 | 292 | 2 | 0.03 | 3% (2/75) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1150ProphetXfair +758 · +45.6% vs fair
30% boost+1495+85% vs market · -57.5% vs season50% boost+1725+111.7% vs market · -51.3% vs season
UNDER-980DraftKingsfair -1100 · +1% vs fair
30% boost-754+3.9% vs market · +10.2% vs season50% boost-653+5.7% vs market · +12.2% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardWashington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgerssorted by the focused market, not batting order
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