Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Bo Melton
GBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Melton on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.00red zone targets per game 0.00receptions per game 0.50
Anytime TD
23 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.80.80.7
34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.91.91.7
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.72.71.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Melton Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.000.00
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 0.368 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 0.00 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.000.00
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 0.638 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 0.00 (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.500.40
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.898 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.50 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1300Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
23 games loggedline0.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.117.6%1.7
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 35 totalvs per completion · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 2.1 (63rd)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.76.0%1.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 12 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 0.7 (39th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.54.0%0.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.5 (89th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs47.84.145.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 813 totalvs per reception · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 47.8 (68th)17 games60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 137 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.48.0188.7
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 totalvs per target · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 257.4 (74th)17 games10th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 566 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Melton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.40
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.898 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.50 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch31.0021.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 12.903 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 31.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target15.7712.67
SZN92nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.206 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 15.77 (92nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.250.20
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 0.538 games (2025)vs last 5 · 16th pctseason 0.25 (21st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-105bet365at 0.5
UNDER-125bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+475bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
23 games loggedline0.5
receptions
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs147.612.6119.0
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2509 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 147.6 (65th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 357 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencesneutral26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs11.761.6%9.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 199 totalvs per target · 44th pct · T-18 of 32season 11.7 (66th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 28 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed254.811.4220.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 254.8 (84th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 660 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs47.84.145.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 813 totalvs per reception · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 47.8 (68th)17 games60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 137 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Melton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.40
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.898 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.50 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.621.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.688 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share6.5%6.0%
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason 6.5% (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share19.1%24.0%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 19.1% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-115bet365at 0.5
UNDER-115bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+600bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+800bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 49.5
Receptions
23 games loggedline0.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.761.6%9.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 199 totalvs per target · 44th pct · T-18 of 32season 11.7 (66th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 28 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs19.019.014.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 323 totalseason 19.0no per-play form for this stat5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 44 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed22.322.321.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 totalseason 22.3no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Melton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.40
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.898 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.50 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.621.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.688 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share6.5%6.0%
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason 6.5% (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share19.1%24.0%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 19.1% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-110bet365at 0.5
UNDER-120bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+475bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 2.5
Rush + Rec Yards
23 games loggedline0.5
touches
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs147.612.6119.0
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2509 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 147.6 (65th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 357 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencesneutral26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs1.86.01.3
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 30 totalvs per carry · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 1.8 (23rd)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed254.811.4220.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 254.8 (84th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 660 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs47.84.145.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 813 totalvs per reception · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 47.8 (68th)17 games60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 137 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Melton Breakdown · his own data
touches per game1.120.40
no comparison available8 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.125 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game1.621.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.688 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share19.1%24.0%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 19.1% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-115bet365at 0.5
UNDER-115bet365at 0.5
49.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing