Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Bo Nix
DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM
Nix on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.00carries per game 4.88
Anytime TD
39 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.10.10.3
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalseason 0.1no per-play form for this stat69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to QBs0.60.61.0
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.002.20
SZN73rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 1.00 (73rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
carries per game4.885.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 4.88 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+370Fanaticsat 0.5
Completions
39 games loggedline21.5
pass attempts
SF · what this defence allows
completions allowed23.468.2%23.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalvs per attempt · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 23.4 (97th)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
dropbacks faced37.262.1%36.7
68th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 633 totalvs per play · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 37.2 (68th)17 games56th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 110 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback3.2%3.2%5.5%
0th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 3.2% (0th)17 games32nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game36.0030.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 36.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game231.24185.60
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 231.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-275bet365at 19.5
21.5line
OVER+102betPARXat 21.5
UNDER-101DraftKingsat 21.5
22.5line
OVER-105bet365at 22.5
UNDER-125bet365at 22.5
24.5line
OVER+165bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER+700bet365at 29.5
Interceptions
39 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
SF · what this defence allows
interceptions forced0.31.0%0.3
6th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 0.3 (6th)17 games24th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
completions allowed23.468.2%23.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalvs per attempt · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 23.4 (97th)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
passing yards allowed241.87.0215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per attempt · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game36.0030.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 36.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.8219.20
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 22.82 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER-150betPARXat 0.5
UNDER+122bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+320bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+900bet365at 2.5
Longest Completion
39 games loggedline34.5
pass attempts
SF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.611.3%1.3
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 45 totalvs per completion · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 2.6 (37th)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed1.35.5%0.7
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 22 totalvs per completion · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 1.3 (82nd)17 games27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.31.3%0.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed108.64.6105.3
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1846 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 108.6 (58th)17 games63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 316 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced255.97.7250.0
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4351 totalvs per target · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 255.9 (71st)17 games48th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 750 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game36.0030.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 36.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.8219.20
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 22.82 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-210bet365at 29.5
34.5line
OVER-115bet365at 34.5
UNDER-115bet365at 34.5
39.5line
OVER+140bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+320bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+650bet365at 59.5
Longest Rush
39 games loggedline9.5
carries
SF · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.27.7%0.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 0.2 (0th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.62.4%0.0
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 0.6 (52nd)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutralT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to QBs4.54.52.4
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 4.5 (6th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs stuffed at the line4.117.9%5.0
34th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 69 totalvs per carry · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 4.1 (34th)17 games73rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.885.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 4.88 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.542.88
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 4.54 (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.760.60
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 0.76 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
snap share99.7%100.0%
SZN100th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 99.7% (100th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-108DraftKingsat 9.5
UNDER-110Fliffat 9.5
10.5line
OVER-115bet365at 10.5
UNDER-115bet365at 10.5
19.5line
OVER+400bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 39.5
Passing Attempts
39 games loggedline34.5
completions
SF · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced34.434.434.3
77th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 584 totalseason 34.4no per-play form for this stat73rd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 103 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
pass rate faced62.1%62.1%57.3%
74th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 62.1%no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate over expected faced-0.7%-0.7%-10.4%
65th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season -0.7%no per-play form for this stat3rd percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
plays faced59.959.964.0
35th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 1019 totalseason 59.9no per-play form for this stat81st percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 192 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback3.2%3.2%5.5%
0th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 3.2%no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
completions per game22.8219.20
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 22.82 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
passing yards per game231.24185.60
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 231.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-2500bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER-1200bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER-350bet365at 29.5
34.5line
OVER-115bet365at 34.5
UNDER-106DraftKingsat 34.5
39.5line
OVER+250bet365at 39.5
44.5line
OVER+650bet365at 44.5
49.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 49.5
Passing Touchdowns
39 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
SF · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.75.0%1.0
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 29 totalvs per attempt · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 1.7 (66th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencesneutralT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone trips allowed3.153.8%3.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 52 totalvs TD rate · 35th pct · 21 of 32season 3.1 (48th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
passing yards allowed241.87.0215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per attempt · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game36.0030.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 36.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.8219.20
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 22.82 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER-500bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+116Bally Betat 1.5
UNDER-141BetOnline.agat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+450bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 3.5
Passing Yards
39 games loggedline221.5
completions
SF · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed241.87.0215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per attempt · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced37.262.1%36.7
68th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 633 totalvs per play · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 37.2 (68th)17 games56th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 110 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback3.2%3.2%5.5%
0th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 3.2% (0th)17 games32nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game36.0030.80
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 36.00 (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.8219.20
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 22.82 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
149.5line
OVER-900bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-450bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-240bet365at 199.5
221.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 221.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 221.5
223.5line
OVER-115Bally Betat 223.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 223.5
224.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 224.5
UNDER-112DraftKingsat 224.5
227.5line
OVER-115bet365at 227.5
UNDER-115bet365at 227.5
249.5line
OVER+145bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+250bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+475bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+750bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 349.5
Rushing Attempts
39 games loggedline4.5
snap share
SF · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs3.714.9%3.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 63 totalvs share of carries · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 3.7 (29th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencesneutralT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced22.737.9%27.3
26th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per play · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.7 (26th)17 games81st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to QBs13.23.66.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 224 totalvs per carry · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 13.2 (10th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
snap share99.7%100.0%
SZN100th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 99.7% (100th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game20.9421.20
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 16.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 20.94 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.542.88
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 4.54 (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-109betPARXat 4.5
UNDER-105DraftKingsat 4.5
9.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 9.5
Rushing Yards
39 games loggedline17.5
carries
SF · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs13.23.66.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 224 totalvs per carry · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 13.2 (10th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to QBs3.714.9%3.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 63 totalvs share of carries · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 3.7 (29th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencesneutralT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced22.737.9%27.3
26th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per play · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.7 (26th)17 games81st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line4.117.9%5.0
34th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 69 totalvs per carry · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 4.1 (34th)17 games73rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Bo Nix Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.885.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 4.88 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.542.88
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 4.54 (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
17.5line
OVER-114DraftKingsat 17.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 17.5
19.5line
OVER+100theScore Betat 19.5
UNDER-115bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+180bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+350bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+600bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+850bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 69.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing