Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Brian Thomas Jr
JAXJacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsSun 1:00 PM
Jr on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.21red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 3.43
Anytime TD
35 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CIN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.70.71.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.81.81.3
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 30 totalseason 1.8no per-play form for this stat15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.03.01.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadBrian Thomas Jr vs CIN0/1 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 49 | 0 |
Brian Thomas Jr Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.210.00
SZN30th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 0.21 (30th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.500.00
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 0.6314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 0.50 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
receptions per game3.432.80
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 3.43 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+430Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
35 games loggedline17.5
targets
CIN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.719.5%1.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 29 totalvs per completion · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 1.7 (26th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.56.0%1.0
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 0.5 (19th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.10.7%0.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 0.1 (2nd)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs46.15.338.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 784 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 46.1 (58th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 114 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced223.97.5301.7
39th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3807 totalvs per target · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 223.9 (39th)17 games81st percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 905 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadBrian Thomas Jr vs CIN1/1 over 17.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 18 |
Brian Thomas Jr Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.432.80
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 3.43 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
yards per catch15.3612.15
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 15.36 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
air yards per target14.5312.15
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 14.53 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.790.40
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 0.79 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
17.5line
OVER-117DraftKingsat 17.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 17.5
18.5line
OVER-110bet365at 18.5
UNDER-120bet365at 18.5
19.5line
OVER+105bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+250bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+475bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+850bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
35 games loggedline28.5
receptions
CIN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.513.3140.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1980 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 116.5 (13th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 421 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to WRs8.861.6%10.3
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 149 totalvs per target · 44th pct · T-18 of 32season 8.8 (2nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 31 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencesneutralT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed245.612.0287.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4175 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 245.6 (77th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 861 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs46.15.338.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 784 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 46.1 (58th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 114 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadBrian Thomas Jr vs CIN1/1 over 28.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 29.3% |
Brian Thomas Jr Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.432.80
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 3.43 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game6.505.00
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 6.50 (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.3%17.0%
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 19.3% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%52.2%
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 77.6% (75th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-250bet365at 19.5
28.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 28.5
UNDER-115Fliffat 28.5
29.5line
OVER-112DraftKingsat 29.5
UNDER-112DraftKingsat 29.5
31.5line
OVER-115bet365at 31.5
UNDER-115bet365at 31.5
39.5line
OVER+130bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+200bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+300bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+475bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+600bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+800bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 109.5
Receptions
35 games loggedline2.5
targets
CIN · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs8.861.6%10.3
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 149 totalvs per target · 44th pct · T-18 of 32season 8.8 (2nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 31 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencesneutralT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs14.214.219.3
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 242 totalseason 14.2no per-play form for this stat74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 58 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.520.524.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 348 totalseason 20.5no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 72 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadBrian Thomas Jr vs CIN1/1 over 2.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 29.3% |
Brian Thomas Jr Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.432.80
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 3.43 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game6.505.00
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 6.50 (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.3%17.0%
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 19.3% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%52.2%
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 77.6% (75th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-1799bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-280bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+120bet365at 2.5
UNDER-132DraftKingsat 2.5
3.5line
OVER+275bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+600bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 5.5
Rush + Rec Yards
35 games loggedline31.5
touches
CIN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.513.3140.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1980 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 116.5 (13th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 421 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed to WRs8.19.14.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 137 totalvs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 8.1 (97th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed245.612.0287.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4175 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 245.6 (77th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 861 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs46.15.338.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 784 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 46.1 (58th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 114 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadBrian Thomas Jr vs CIN1/1 over 31.5
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | rush+rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 49 |
Brian Thomas Jr Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.642.80
no comparison available14 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.645 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game6.505.00
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 6.50 (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%52.2%
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 77.6% (75th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
31.5line
OVER-115bet365at 31.5
UNDER-115bet365at 31.5
49.5line
OVER+200bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+550bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 99.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing