Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Brock Purdy
SFDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM
Purdy on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.78carries per game 3.67
Anytime TD
29 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
DEN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.20.20.3
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to QBs0.90.92.0
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 16 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed1.71.72.3
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 totalseason 1.7no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.780.60
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.729 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 0.78 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
carries per game3.673.60
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 3.67 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+370Bally Betat 0.5
Completions
29 games loggedline20.5
pass attempts
DEN · what this defence allows
completions allowed20.257.8%20.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 343 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 20.2 (39th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
dropbacks faced40.965.9%40.7
94th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per play · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 40.9 (94th)17 games84th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 122 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback9.8%9.8%6.6%
100th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 9.8% (100th)17 games58th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game31.5628.60
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 28.289 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 31.56 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
passing yards per game240.78243.80
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 198.109 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 240.78 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-150bet365at 19.5
20.5line
OVER+100bet365at 20.5
UNDER-117DraftKingsat 20.5
24.5line
OVER+350bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 29.5
Interceptions
29 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
DEN · what this defence allows
interceptions forced0.61.7%1.3
39th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per attempt · 29th pct · T-22 of 32season 0.6 (39th)17 games94th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed20.257.8%20.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 343 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 20.2 (39th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
passing yards allowed212.16.1254.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3606 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 212.1 (32nd)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 763 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game31.5628.60
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 28.289 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 31.56 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.8920.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 18.169 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 21.89 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-105bet365at 0.5
UNDER+100betPARXat 0.5
1.5line
OVER+450bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 2.5
Longest Completion
29 games loggedline36.5
pass attempts
DEN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.411.7%3.7
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 40 totalvs per completion · 18th pct · T-26 of 32season 2.4 (13th)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed0.84.1%1.3
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 14 totalvs per completion · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 0.8 (24th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.62.9%1.0
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 0.6 (89th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed91.54.5117.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1555 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 91.5 (13th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 352 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced286.68.8308.3
94th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4873 totalvs per target · 95th pct · T-2 of 32season 286.6 (94th)17 games87th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 925 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game31.5628.60
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 28.289 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 31.56 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.8920.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 18.169 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 21.89 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-260bet365at 29.5
35.5line
OVER-115bet365at 35.5
UNDER-115bet365at 35.5
36.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 36.5
UNDER-120Hard Rock Betat 36.5
39.5line
OVER+125bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+300bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+600bet365at 59.5
Longest Rush
29 games loggedline9.5
carries
DEN · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.513.2%0.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per carry · 11th pct · T-28 of 32season 0.5 (27th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.31.5%1.0
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per carry · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 0.3 (11th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to QBs4.64.65.8
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 4.6 (13th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs stuffed at the line4.420.8%3.3
60th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 4.4 (60th)17 games24th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
carries per game3.673.60
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 3.67 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry3.849.59
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 4.279 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 3.84 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
10+ yard runs per game0.561.40
SZN55th percentile for mostleague avg 0.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 0.56 (55th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
snap share97.8%97.0%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 97.8% (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 9.5
UNDER-114DraftKingsat 9.5
10.5line
OVER-115bet365at 10.5
UNDER-115bet365at 10.5
19.5line
OVER+400bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 39.5
Passing Attempts
29 games loggedline31.5
completions
DEN · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced34.934.937.0
84th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 593 totalseason 34.9no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 111 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
pass rate faced65.9%65.9%61.3%
97th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 65.9%no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
pass rate over expected faced0.5%0.5%0.5%
84th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season 0.5%no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
plays faced62.162.166.3
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 1055 totalseason 62.1no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 199 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback9.8%9.8%6.6%
100th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 9.8%no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
completions per game21.8920.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 18.169 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 21.89 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game240.78243.80
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 198.109 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 240.78 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER-500bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER-140bet365at 29.5
30.5line
OVER-110bet365at 30.5
UNDER-110Fliffat 30.5
31.5line
OVER+100theScore Betat 31.5
UNDER-110betPARXat 31.5
34.5line
OVER+225bet365at 34.5
39.5line
OVER+600bet365at 39.5
44.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 44.5
Passing Touchdowns
29 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
DEN · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.13.0%1.3
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 18 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 1.1 (11th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone trips allowed2.842.6%3.7
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 47 totalvs TD rate · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.8 (15th)17 games63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
passing yards allowed212.16.1254.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3606 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 212.1 (32nd)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 763 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game31.5628.60
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 28.289 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 31.56 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.8920.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 18.169 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 21.89 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-800bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-108Bally Betat 1.5
UNDER-105bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+300bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+850bet365at 3.5
Passing Yards
29 games loggedline231.5
completions
DEN · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed212.16.1254.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3606 totalvs per attempt · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 212.1 (32nd)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 763 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
dropbacks faced40.965.9%40.7
94th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per play · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 40.9 (94th)17 games84th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 122 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback9.8%9.8%6.6%
100th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 9.8% (100th)17 games58th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game31.5628.60
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 28.289 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 31.56 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.8920.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 18.169 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 21.89 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
149.5line
OVER-1000bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-600bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-280bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER-150bet365at 224.5
229.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 229.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 229.5
231.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 231.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 231.5
233.5line
OVER-113Bally Betat 233.5
UNDER-115betPARXat 233.5
234.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 234.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 234.5
249.5line
OVER+120bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+210bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+400bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+600bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+900bet365at 349.5
Rushing Attempts
29 games loggedline3.5
snap share
DEN · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs4.217.7%3.7
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 71 totalvs share of carries · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.2 (47th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 11 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced21.234.1%25.7
10th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 360 totalvs per play · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 21.2 (10th)17 games69th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to QBs18.34.414.0
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 311 totalvs per carry · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 18.3 (52nd)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 42 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
snap share97.8%97.0%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 97.8% (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game16.3328.40
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 16.199 games (2025)vs last 5 · 83rd pctseason 16.33 (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
yards per carry3.849.59
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 4.279 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 3.84 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
3.5line
OVER-140Hard Rock Betat 3.5
UNDER+135theScore Betat 3.5
4.5line
OVER+130bet365at 4.5
UNDER-141betPARXat 4.5
Rushing Yards
29 games loggedline16.5
carries
DEN · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs18.34.414.0
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 311 totalvs per carry · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 18.3 (52nd)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 42 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
carries allowed to QBs4.217.7%3.7
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 71 totalvs share of carries · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.2 (47th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 11 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced21.234.1%25.7
10th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 360 totalvs per play · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 21.2 (10th)17 games69th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line4.420.8%3.3
60th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 4.4 (60th)17 games24th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Purdy Breakdown · his own data
carries per game3.673.60
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 3.67 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry3.849.59
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 4.279 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 3.84 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
16.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 16.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 16.5
17.5line
OVER-107DraftKingsat 17.5
UNDER-114betPARXat 17.5
19.5line
OVER-105bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+210bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+650bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+900bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 69.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing