Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Chris Godwin
TBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Godwin on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.33red zone targets per game 0.89receptions per game 3.67
Anytime TD
19 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
GB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.11.11.0
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.32.32.7
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 39 totalseason 2.3no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.32.33.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 39 totalseason 2.3no per-play form for this stat92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Chris Godwin Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.330.20
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 0.369 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.33 (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.890.20
SZN77th percentile for mostleague avg 0.639 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.89 (77th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
receptions per game3.673.60
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.899 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 3.67 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+550FanDuelat 0.5
Longest Reception
19 games loggedline14.5
targets
GB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.917.1%1.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 32 totalvs per completion · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 1.9 (42nd)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.54.3%1.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.5 (10th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.32.7%0.7
40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 0.3 (40th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutralT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs37.93.475.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 644 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 37.9 (16th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 225 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced215.17.2196.3
16th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3656 totalvs per target · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 215.1 (16th)17 games26th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 589 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Chris Godwin Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.673.60
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.899 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 3.67 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.3611.42
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 12.909 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 10.36 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target6.435.03
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 11.209 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason 6.43 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.560.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 0.539 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 0.56 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
14.5line
OVER-115bet365at 14.5
UNDER-115bet365at 14.5
19.5line
OVER+200bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+550bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
19 games loggedline26.5
receptions
GB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs135.112.3155.7
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2296 totalvs per reception · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 135.1 (42nd)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 467 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to WRs11.065.6%12.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 38 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed206.89.8218.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3516 totalvs per reception · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 206.8 (29th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 654 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs37.93.475.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 644 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 37.9 (16th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 225 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Chris Godwin Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.673.60
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.899 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 3.67 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.674.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 4.689 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 5.67 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
target share17.8%11.6%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 38th pctseason 17.8% (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
snap share70.9%76.6%
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 70.9% (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-200bet365at 19.5
25.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 25.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 25.5
26.5line
OVER-112BetOnline.agat 26.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 26.5
27.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 27.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 27.5
29.5line
OVER+115bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+210bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+350bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+550bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+800bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 79.5
Receptions
19 games loggedline2.5
targets
GB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.065.6%12.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 38 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs16.816.818.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 285 totalseason 16.8no per-play form for this stat61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed21.221.220.0
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 360 totalseason 21.2no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Chris Godwin Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.673.60
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.899 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 3.67 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.674.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 4.689 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 5.67 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
target share17.8%11.6%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 38th pctseason 17.8% (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
snap share70.9%76.6%
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 70.9% (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-450bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-123BetOnline.agat 2.5
UNDER+110BetMGMat 2.5
3.5line
OVER+190bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+400bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+800bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 6.5
Rush + Rec Yards
19 games loggedline26.5
touches
GB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs135.112.3155.7
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2296 totalvs per reception · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 135.1 (42nd)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 467 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed to WRs2.84.34.7
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 47 totalvs per carry · 35th pct · 21 of 32season 2.8 (42nd)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 14 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed206.89.8218.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3516 totalvs per reception · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 206.8 (29th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 654 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs37.93.475.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 644 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 37.9 (16th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 225 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Chris Godwin Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.674.00
no comparison available9 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.675 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game5.674.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 4.689 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 5.67 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
snap share70.9%76.6%
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 70.9% (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
26.5line
OVER-115bet365at 26.5
UNDER-115bet365at 26.5
49.5line
OVER+300bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+850bet365at 74.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing