Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 7:40 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Chris Lawson
WASHWashington Huskies @ USC TrojansSat 7:30 PM
Lawson on the fieldreceptions per game 1.44
Anytime TD
13 games loggedline0.5
touches
USC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.70.71.4
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.712 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.15 games (2026) · 7 totalneutralT-65/141 FBS defencesseason only36/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs6.86.811.2
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.412 games (2025) · 82 totalseason 6.8no per-play form for this stat43rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 12.05 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDER92/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER70/123 FBS defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.82.83.4
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.112 games (2025) · 33 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat59th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.15 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-89/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER51/123 FBS defencesneutral
Chris Lawson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.442.80
SZN11th percentile for mostleague avg 2.869 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 1.44 (11th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER+245Bovadaat 0.5
Receiving Yards
13 games loggedline42.5
receptions
USC · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed203.310.6236.2
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.112 games (2025) · 2440 totalvs per reception · 14th pct · 121 of 141season 203.3 (29th)12 games64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.55 games (2026) · 1181 totalsupports UNDER101/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER45/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed19.219.218.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 230 totalseason 19.2no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.25 games (2026) · 90 totalneutralT-66/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-73/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Chris Lawson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.442.80
SZN11th percentile for mostleague avg 2.869 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 1.44 (11th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
19.5line
OVER-450bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-225bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-125bet365at 39.5
42.5line
OVER-115bet365at 42.5
UNDER-112BetOnline.agat 42.5
49.5line
OVER+125bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+195bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+290bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+425bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+600bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+800bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+1600bet365at 129.5
Receptions
13 games loggedline3.5
receiving yards
USC · what this defence allows
completions allowed19.265.0%18.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 230 totalvs per attempt · 71st pct · 42 of 141season 19.2 (53rd)12 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.25 games (2026) · 90 totalneutralT-66/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-73/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Chris Lawson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.442.80
SZN11th percentile for mostleague avg 2.869 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 1.44 (11th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
3.5line
OVER-118BetOnline.agat 3.5
UNDER-105bet365at 3.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing