Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsSun 1:00 PM
Jr. on the fieldred zone touches per game 2.75red zone targets per game 0.08carries per game 9.33
Anytime TD
21 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CIN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.21.20.3
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 20 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs4.74.72.7
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 80 totalseason 4.7no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.03.01.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game2.753.20
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 2.75 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.080.00
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3612 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.08 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game9.3310.20
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 9.33 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
receptions per game0.250.40
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 2.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.25 (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+300Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Rush
21 games loggedline9.5
carries
CIN · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.812.1%1.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 47 totalvs per carry · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 2.8 (82nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.04.4%0.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 17 totalvs per carry · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 1.0 (100th)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs5.25.24.5
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 5.2 (97th)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line2.711.8%4.0
3rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.7 (3rd)17 games61st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Breakdown · his own data
carries per game9.3310.20
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 9.33 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
yards per carry4.163.78
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 25th pctseason 4.16 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game1.080.60
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 1.1312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 22nd pctseason 1.08 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share33.7%35.4%
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 33.7% (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
8.5line
OVER-115bet365at 8.5
UNDER-115bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+120bet365at 9.5
UNDER-128DraftKingsat 9.5
19.5line
OVER+600bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 29.5
Rushing Attempts
21 games loggedline5.5
snap share
CIN · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs22.981.4%15.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 390 totalvs share of carries · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 22.9 (71st)17 games2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 46 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutralT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced25.041.1%16.7
66th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 425 totalvs per play · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 25.0 (66th)17 games3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 50 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs119.55.268.3
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 2031 totalvs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 119.5 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 205 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Breakdown · his own data
snap share33.7%35.4%
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 33.7% (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
rushing yards per game41.6740.20
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 41.67 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.163.78
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 25th pctseason 4.16 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-165bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+120bet365at 5.5
UNDER-150bet365at 5.5
9.5line
OVER+900bet365at 9.5
Rushing Yards
21 games loggedline20.5
carries
CIN · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs119.55.268.3
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 2031 totalvs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 119.5 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 205 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs22.981.4%15.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 390 totalvs share of carries · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 22.9 (71st)17 games2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 46 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutralT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced25.041.1%16.7
66th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 425 totalvs per play · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 25.0 (66th)17 games3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 50 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line2.711.8%4.0
3rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.7 (3rd)17 games61st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Breakdown · his own data
carries per game9.3310.20
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 9.33 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
yards per carry4.163.78
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 25th pctseason 4.16 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
18.5line
OVER-115bet365at 18.5
UNDER-115bet365at 18.5
20.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 20.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 20.5
29.5line
OVER+225bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+475bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 59.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing