These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Christian Abney
ILLPurdue Boilermakers @ Illinois Fighting IlliniSat 4:15 PM
Abney on the fieldreceptions per game 1.00
Anytime TD
4 games loggedline0.5
touches
PUR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.3
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.211 games (2025) · 3 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-29/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-28/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs2.12.12.3
80th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.611 games (2025) · 23 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.23 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-27/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-84/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.83.85.7
78th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 3.8no per-play form for this stat97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.13 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-31/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-4/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Christian Abney Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+450bet365at 0.5
Receiving Yards
4 games loggedline3.5
receptions
PUR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed245.314.8256.0
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2698 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 141season 245.3 (74th)11 games75th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.53 games (2026) · 768 totalsupports OVER37/141 FBS defencessupports OVER32/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.616.617.0
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 182 totalseason 16.6no per-play form for this stat28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 51 totalsupports UNDERT-116/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-88/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Christian Abney Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
3.5line
OVER-115bet365at 3.5
UNDER-115bet365at 3.5
19.5line
OVER+475bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+900bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1500bet365at 39.5
Receptions
4 games loggedline0.5
receiving yards
PUR · what this defence allows
completions allowed16.665.5%17.0
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 182 totalvs per attempt · 79th pct · 31 of 141season 16.6 (18th)11 games28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 51 totalsupports UNDERT-116/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-88/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Christian Abney Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-140bet365at 0.5
UNDER+110bet365at 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing