STEEZANOMICS.
← New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:51 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Colston Loveland

CHINew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM

Loveland on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.69red zone targets per game 0.94receptions per game 3.62

Anytime TD

21 games logged
line0.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.60.60.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.31.30.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 22 totalseason 1.3no per-play form for this stat21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.33.32.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 56 totalseason 3.3no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Colston Loveland Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.691.00
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.4016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 0.69 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.941.40
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 0.94 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game3.624.20
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 3.62 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+290BetMGMat 0.5

Longest Reception

21 games logged
line15.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.59.9%0.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 0.5 (39th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.1%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · T-23 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.8%0.3
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 39th pct · T-19 of 32season 0.3 (35th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.15.820.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 529 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 31.1 (77th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced216.17.5189.7
19th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3673 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 216.1 (19th)17 games16th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Colston Loveland Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.20
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 3.62 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch12.629.10
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1115 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 12.62 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
air yards per target9.667.57
SZN
95th percentile for mostleague avg 5.8716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 9.66 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.620.60
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 0.62 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
15.5line
OVER-115bet365at 15.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 15.5

Receiving Yards

21 games logged
line33.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs53.710.036.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 913 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 53.7 (52nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 109 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.374.0%4.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 91 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.3 (52nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed226.411.5184.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3849 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 226.4 (48th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 554 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.15.820.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 529 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 31.1 (77th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Colston Loveland Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.20
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 3.62 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.126.40
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 5.12 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share16.5%19.7%
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 16.5% (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share64.5%85.0%
SZN
70th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 64.5% (70th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
33.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsat 33.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 33.5

Receptions

21 games logged
line3.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.374.0%4.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 91 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.3 (52nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.27.25.3
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 123 totalseason 7.2no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 16 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed19.819.820.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Colston Loveland Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.20
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 3.62 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.126.40
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 5.12 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share16.5%19.7%
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 16.5% (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share64.5%85.0%
SZN
70th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 64.5% (70th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
3.5line
OVER+115bet365at 3.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 3.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing