Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Courtland Sutton
DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM
Sutton on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.41red zone targets per game 1.18receptions per game 4.35
Anytime TD
39 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.90.90.7
40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.71.72.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 totalseason 1.7no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Courtland Sutton Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.410.40
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 0.41 (60th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.181.60
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 98th pctseason 1.18 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.352.60
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 49th pctseason 4.35 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+240Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
39 games loggedline17.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.016.7%1.3
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 34 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 2.0 (56th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.97.8%0.7
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 16 totalvs per completion · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 0.9 (73rd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.22.0%0.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-23 of 32season 0.2 (26th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced255.97.7250.0
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4351 totalvs per target · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 255.9 (71st)17 games48th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 750 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Courtland Sutton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.352.60
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 49th pctseason 4.35 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
yards per catch13.748.83
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 12.9017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason 13.74 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
air yards per target11.828.56
SZN54th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 23rd pctseason 11.82 (54th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game1.000.40
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 1.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
17.5line
OVER-115bet365at 17.5
UNDER-108DraftKingsat 17.5
19.5line
OVER+115bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+320bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+650bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
39 games loggedline38.5
receptions
SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs149.112.4132.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 149.1 (68th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 398 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs12.066.9%10.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 204 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 12.0 (74th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Courtland Sutton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.352.60
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 49th pctseason 4.35 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game7.295.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 7.29 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share20.9%17.8%
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 20.9% (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share85.3%79.2%
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 85.3% (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-550bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-240bet365at 29.5
38.5line
OVER-113betPARXat 38.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 38.5
40.5line
OVER-115bet365at 40.5
UNDER-115bet365at 40.5
49.5line
OVER+140bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+210bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+320bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+500bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+700bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+850bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 109.5
Receptions
39 games loggedline3.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.066.9%10.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 204 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 12.0 (74th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to WRs17.917.917.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 305 totalseason 17.9no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 53 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed23.423.423.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalseason 23.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Courtland Sutton Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.352.60
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 49th pctseason 4.35 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game7.295.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 7.29 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share20.9%17.8%
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 20.9% (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share85.3%79.2%
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 85.3% (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-5000bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-800bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-240bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+118betPARXat 3.5
UNDER-140bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+225bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+450bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+800bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 7.5
Rush + Rec Yards
39 games loggedline40.5
touches
SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs149.112.4132.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 149.1 (68th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 398 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs1.53.61.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 25 totalvs per carry · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 1.5 (19th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Courtland Sutton Breakdown · his own data
touches per game4.352.60
no comparison available17 games (2025)vs last 5season 4.355 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game7.295.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 7.29 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share85.3%79.2%
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 85.3% (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
40.5line
OVER-115bet365at 40.5
UNDER-115bet365at 40.5
49.5line
OVER+140bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+400bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+850bet365at 99.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing