Base market snapshot from 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:52 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Daniel Hill
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsSat 12:00 PM
Hill on the fieldcarries per game 6.36receptions per game 1.91
Anytime TD
15 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSST · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.01.00.8
80th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 11 totalseason 1.0no per-play form for this stat36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-25/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-78/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced39.239.232.0
78th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 431 totalseason 39.2no per-play form for this stat27th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVERT-32/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-88/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.53.51.8
62nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 38 totalseason 3.5no per-play form for this stat17th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-53/141 FBS defencessupports OVER102/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Daniel Hill Breakdown · his own data
carries per game6.3611.00
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 7.9311 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 6.36 (42nd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
receptions per game1.911.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 1.91 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 0.5
Receiving Yards
15 games loggedline5.5
receptions
MSST · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed227.612.2249.0
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2503 totalvs per reception · 69th pct · 45 of 141season 227.6 (56th)11 games70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.54 games (2026) · 996 totalneutral63/141 FBS defencessupports OVER38/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed18.718.723.8
41st percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 206 totalseason 18.7no per-play form for this stat86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 95 totalneutralT-83/141 FBS defencesseason only18/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Daniel Hill Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.911.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 1.91 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
5.5line
OVER-120bet365at 5.5
UNDER-110bet365at 5.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+725bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 39.5
Receptions
15 games loggedline1.5
receiving yards
MSST · what this defence allows
completions allowed18.760.4%23.8
41st percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 206 totalvs per attempt · 32nd pct · T-94 of 141season 18.7 (41st)11 games86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 95 totalneutralT-83/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER18/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Daniel Hill Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.911.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 1.91 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER+180bet365at 1.5
UNDER-235bet365at 1.5
Rushing Yards
15 games loggedline40.5
carries
MSST · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed200.85.1105.8
88th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 2209 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 19 of 141season 200.8 (88th)11 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.04 games (2026) · 423 totalsupports OVER18/141 FBS defencessupports OVER97/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Daniel Hill Breakdown · his own data
carries per game6.3611.00
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 7.9311 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 6.36 (42nd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
yards per carry3.964.60
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 4.8011 games (2025)vs last 5 · 49th pctseason 3.96 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
19.5line
OVER-700bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-275bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-140bet365at 39.5
40.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 40.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 40.5
41.5line
OVER-115theScore Betat 41.5
UNDER-115theScore Betat 41.5
43.5line
OVER-115bet365at 43.5
UNDER-115bet365at 43.5
49.5line
OVER+120bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+190bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+290bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+425bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+625bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+850bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1050bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 129.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing