Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 7:40 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Decker DeGraaf
WASHWashington Huskies @ USC TrojansSat 7:30 PM
DeGraaf on the fieldreceptions per game 2.91
Anytime TD
15 games loggedline0.5
touches
USC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.10.10.0
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.212 games (2025) · 1 totalseason 0.1no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.35 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-103/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-67/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs1.81.81.6
57th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.612 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.8no per-play form for this stat12th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.25 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-61/141 FBS defencesseason only108/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.82.83.4
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.112 games (2025) · 33 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat59th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.15 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-89/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER51/123 FBS defencesneutral
Decker DeGraaf Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.912.00
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2211 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.91 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+450Courtsideat 0.5
Receiving Yards
15 games loggedline18.5
receptions
USC · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed203.310.6236.2
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.112 games (2025) · 2440 totalvs per reception · 14th pct · 121 of 141season 203.3 (29th)12 games64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.55 games (2026) · 1181 totalsupports UNDER101/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER45/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed19.219.218.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 230 totalseason 19.2no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.25 games (2026) · 90 totalneutralT-66/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-73/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Decker DeGraaf Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.912.00
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2211 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.91 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
18.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 18.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 18.5
19.5line
OVER-110bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+195bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+350bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+600bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+875bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 79.5
Receptions
15 games loggedline2.5
receiving yards
USC · what this defence allows
completions allowed19.265.0%18.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 230 totalvs per attempt · 71st pct · 42 of 141season 19.2 (53rd)12 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.25 games (2026) · 90 totalneutralT-66/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-73/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Decker DeGraaf Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.912.00
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2211 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.91 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
2.5line
OVER+110bet365at 2.5
UNDER-140bet365at 2.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing