Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 10:27 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Derrick Henry
BALTennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensSun 1:00 PM
Henry on the fieldred zone touches per game 3.82red zone targets per game 0.12carries per game 18.06
Anytime TD
39 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TEN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.21.20.7
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 20 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.73.75.0
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 63 totalseason 3.7no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 15 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason only10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.03.01.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game3.826.60
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 3.82 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.120.00
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.12 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game18.0624.40
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 18.06 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game0.881.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.88 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-200Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
39 games loggedline6.5
targets
TEN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.38.8%0.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.3 (71st)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.25.3%0.3
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 0.2 (85th)17 games92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.5%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 76th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs29.88.916.0
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 506 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 29.8 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 48 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced230.78.0192.7
45th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3922 totalvs per target · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 230.7 (45th)17 games21st percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 578 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.881.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.88 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch11.4515.47
SZN97th percentile for mostleague avg 7.5910 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 11.45 (97th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target0.51-3.57
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg -0.1313 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.51 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.060.20
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.06 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 6.5
19.5line
OVER+750bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 29.5
Longest Rush
39 games loggedline18.5
carries
TEN · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.19.7%2.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 35 totalvs per carry · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 2.1 (35th)17 games44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencesneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.31.4%0.0
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per carry · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.34.33.8
60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 60th pct · T-13 of 32season 4.3 (60th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line4.220.0%4.3
84th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 72 totalvs per carry · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 4.2 (84th)17 games71st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
carries per game18.0624.40
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 18.06 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry5.215.19
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.21 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
10+ yard runs per game2.122.60
SZN97th percentile for mostleague avg 1.1317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 2.12 (97th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share54.5%61.6%
SZN61st percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 54.5% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-2500bet365at 9.5
18.5line
OVER-108DraftKingsat 18.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 18.5
19.5line
OVER-110bet365at 19.5
UNDER-120bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+275bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+550bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
39 games loggedline7.5
receptions
TEN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs27.18.125.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 460 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 27.1 (26th)17 games27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to RBs3.477.0%3.3
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 57 totalvs per target · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 3.4 (8th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed248.311.9199.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4221 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 248.3 (81st)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 597 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs29.88.916.0
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 506 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 29.8 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 48 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.881.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.88 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.241.20
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.24 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.8%5.1%
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 4.8% (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share54.5%61.6%
SZN61st percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 54.5% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
7.5line
OVER-106betPARXat 7.5
UNDER-107DraftKingsat 7.5
19.5line
OVER+320bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+700bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 39.5
Receptions
39 games loggedline1.5
targets
TEN · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs3.477.0%3.3
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 57 totalvs per target · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 3.4 (8th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to RBs4.34.34.3
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 74 totalseason 4.3no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.820.819.7
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 354 totalseason 20.8no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.881.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.88 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.241.20
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.24 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.8%5.1%
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 4.8% (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share54.5%61.6%
SZN61st percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 54.5% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-450bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+115bet365at 1.5
UNDER-145bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+350bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+800bet365at 3.5
Rush + Rec Yards
39 games loggedline106.5
touches
TEN · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs91.34.3107.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1553 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 91.3 (39th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 323 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed to RBs27.18.125.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 460 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 27.1 (26th)17 games27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed114.64.3126.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1948 totalvs per carry · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 114.6 (45th)17 games74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 379 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs29.88.916.0
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 506 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 29.8 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 48 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
touches per game18.9425.40
no comparison available17 games (2025)vs last 5season 18.945 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game18.0624.40
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 18.06 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game1.241.20
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.24 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share54.5%61.6%
SZN61st percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 54.5% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
49.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER-550bet365at 74.5
106.5line
OVER-112Bally Betat 106.5
UNDER-105theScore Betat 106.5
107.5line
OVER-115bet365at 107.5
UNDER-115bet365at 107.5
108.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 108.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 108.5
109.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 109.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 109.5
111.5line
OVER-112Courtsideat 111.5
UNDER-114Courtsideat 111.5
124.5line
OVER+155bet365at 124.5
Rushing Attempts
39 games loggedline19.5
snap share
TEN · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs21.279.5%28.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 360 totalvs share of carries · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 21.2 (44th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 86 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced23.239.7%31.7
32nd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 394 totalvs per play · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 23.2 (32nd)17 games100th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 95 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to RBs91.34.3107.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1553 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 91.3 (39th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 323 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
snap share54.5%61.6%
SZN61st percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 54.5% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game93.82128.60
SZN97th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 93.82 (97th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry5.215.19
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.21 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
14.5line
OVER-1401bet365at 14.5
19.5line
OVER-119DraftKingsat 19.5
UNDER-105betPARXat 19.5
20.5line
OVER-120bet365at 20.5
UNDER-110bet365at 20.5
24.5line
OVER+300bet365at 24.5
Rushing Yards
39 games loggedline96.5
carries
TEN · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs91.34.3107.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1553 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 91.3 (39th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 323 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to RBs21.279.5%28.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 360 totalvs share of carries · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 21.2 (44th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 86 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced23.239.7%31.7
32nd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 394 totalvs per play · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 23.2 (32nd)17 games100th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 95 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line4.220.0%4.3
84th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 72 totalvs per carry · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 4.2 (84th)17 games71st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Derrick Henry Breakdown · his own data
carries per game18.0624.40
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 18.06 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry5.215.19
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.21 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
39.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER-700bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER-400bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER-240bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER-150bet365at 89.5
95.5line
OVER-115bet365at 95.5
UNDER-105theScore Betat 95.5
96.5line
OVER-113betPARXat 96.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 96.5
97.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 97.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 97.5
99.5line
OVER+100bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+145bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+210bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+300bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+400bet365at 139.5
149.5line
OVER+550bet365at 149.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing