Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 11:07 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Drew Ogletree
INDIndianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersSun 9:30 AM
Ogletree on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 1.00
Anytime TD
17 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
WSH · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.80.81.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.61.63.0
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 28 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.03.03.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Drew Ogletree Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.500.40
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.404 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.50 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
red zone targets per game0.500.40
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.594 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 0.50 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.000.80
SZN9th percentile for mostleague avg 2.554 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 1.00 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+2000Bally Betat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing