Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Drew Sample
CINJacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsSun 1:00 PM
Sample on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.09red zone targets per game 0.09receptions per game 1.36
Anytime TD
24 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
JAX · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.50.50.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.20.3
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.22.21.0
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 38 totalseason 2.2no per-play form for this stat2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadDrew Sample vs JAX0/1 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Drew Sample Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.090.20
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4011 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 0.09 (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.090.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 0.09 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.362.00
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER+900Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
24 games loggedline6.5
targets
JAX · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.710.6%0.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 11 totalvs per completion · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 0.7 (68th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencesneutralT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.22.9%0.0
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 56th pct · T-13 of 32season 0.2 (66th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencesneutralT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.5%0.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 0.3 (35th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs22.73.711.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 22.7 (35th)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 35 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced285.28.0281.7
90th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4848 totalvs per target · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 285.2 (90th)17 games74th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 845 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencesneutral9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDrew Sample vs JAX1/1 over 6.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
Drew Sample Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.362.00
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
yards per catch6.327.10
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1110 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason 6.32 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target-0.59-0.80
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 5.8711 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason -0.59 (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.090.20
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3111 games (2025)vs last 5 · 46th pctseason 0.09 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-115bet365at 6.5
19.5line
OVER+650bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
24 games loggedline6.5
receptions
JAX · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs59.19.729.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 1004 totalvs per reception · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 59.1 (71st)17 games15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs6.169.8%2.7
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 104 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 6.1 (84th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed231.39.9246.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 231.3 (58th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 738 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs22.73.711.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 22.7 (35th)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 35 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadDrew Sample vs JAX1/1 over 6.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4.7% |
Drew Sample Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.362.00
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
targets per game1.822.20
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.5111 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 1.82 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.3%6.3%
SZN11th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%11 games (2025)vs last 5 · 22nd pctseason 5.3% (11th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share56.7%64.0%
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%11 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 56.7% (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
6.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 6.5
UNDER-106betPARXat 6.5
7.5line
OVER-115bet365at 7.5
UNDER-115bet365at 7.5
19.5line
OVER+300bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+650bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receptions
24 games loggedline1.5
targets
JAX · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs6.169.8%2.7
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 104 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 6.1 (84th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs8.88.83.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 149 totalseason 8.8no per-play form for this stat0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed23.323.318.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 396 totalseason 23.3no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadDrew Sample vs JAX0/1 over 1.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4.7% |
Drew Sample Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.362.00
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
targets per game1.822.20
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.5111 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 1.82 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.3%6.3%
SZN11th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%11 games (2025)vs last 5 · 22nd pctseason 5.3% (11th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share56.7%64.0%
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%11 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 56.7% (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-350bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+145bet365at 1.5
UNDER-154DraftKingsat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+450bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+900bet365at 3.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing