STEEZANOMICS.

Ethan Ervin

FAU · NCAAFRBFAU @ UNTThu 7:30 PM
FacingNorth Texas Mean Greendefence222.1 rushing yards allowed (2026) · ranks 6 of 141 NCAAF defences

Prices last pulled 12:06 PM ET

Anytime TD

11 games logged

Ethan Ervin Anytime TD · 11 games logged

2 of 10 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 10 · to score −105 bet365 · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O -105 (bet365) · no under

10/18@ USF10/25@ NAVY11/8vs TLSA9/5@ FLA9/12vs NAVY9/19vs FIU9/26@ ULM10/3vs TXSO10/17@ ARMY10/24vs RICE

latest0 Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · vs RICE

TD

2 of 10 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 10

touchesno range set10.6 avg over the 10 charted
by window, any range:last 512.2last 1010.6202613.420253.5all9.8

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Ethan Ervin Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.2510.8012.43
SZN
6th percentile for mostleague avg 7.934 games (2025)prior season, not the current role84th percentileleague avg 6.245 games (last 5)2026 season 12.4389th percentile for mostleague avg 6.247 games (2026)supports OVER78/701 RBssupports OVER
receptions per game1.251.401.00
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 1.094 games (2025)prior season, not the current role82nd percentileleague avg 0.725 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0070th percentile for mostleague avg 0.727 games (2026)supports OVER184/701 RBssupports OVER
UNT · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.21.01.2
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.712 games (2025) · 2 total46th percentileleague avg 1.15 games (last 5)2026 season 1.258th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.16 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-135/141 FBS defencesneutralT-56/138 FBS defencesneutral
carries faced44.544.642.2
SZN
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.012 games (2025) · 534 total96th percentileleague avg 35.75 games (last 5)2026 season 42.294th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.76 games (2026) · 253 totalsupports OVER1/141 FBS defencessupports OVER9/138 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.23.84.3
SZN
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.112 games (2025) · 38 total74th percentileleague avg 3.15 games (last 5)2026 season 4.388th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.16 games (2026) · 26 totalneutralT-68/141 FBS defencessupports OVER18/138 FBS defencessupports OVER

Rushing Yards

11 games logged

Ethan Ervin Rushing Yards · 11 games logged

4 of 10 (40%) cleared 36.5 over his last 10 · over −114 FanDuel · under −114 FanDuel · prices from

line36.5
36.5
5
12
4
50
67
36
139
23
46
7

quoted at 36.5: O -114 (FanDuel) · U -114 (FanDuel)

10/18@ USF10/25@ NAVY11/8vs TLSA9/5@ FLA9/12vs NAVY9/19vs FIU9/26@ ULM10/3vs TXSO10/17@ ARMY10/24vs RICE

latest7 Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · vs RICE

36.5

4 of 10 (40%) cleared 36.5 over his last 10

carriesno range set9.4 avg over the 10 charted
by window, any range:last 510.8last 109.4202612.420252.3all8.7

Rushing Yards: Breakdowns

Ethan Ervin Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.2510.8012.43
SZN
6th percentile for mostleague avg 7.934 games (2025)prior season, not the current role84th percentileleague avg 6.245 games (last 5)2026 season 12.4389th percentile for mostleague avg 6.247 games (2026)supports OVER78/701 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry3.084.184.00
SZN
8th percentile for mostleague avg 4.794 games (2025)prior season, not the current role40th percentileleague avg 4.855 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0035th percentile for mostleague avg 4.857 games (2026)supports UNDER456/697 RBssupports UNDER
UNT · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed222.1199.0188.2
SZN
96th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.512 games (2025) · 2665 total86th percentileleague avg 152.55 games (last 5)2026 season 188.281st percentile for most allowedleague avg 152.56 games (2026) · 1129 totalsupports OVER6/141 FBS defencessupports OVER27/138 FBS defencessupports OVER

Receiving Yards

11 games logged

Ethan Ervin Receiving Yards · 11 games logged

5 of 10 (50%) cleared 2.5 over his last 10 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from

line2.5
2.5
2
21
0
0
0
16
7
0
10
10

quoted at 2.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)

10/18@ USF10/25@ NAVY11/8vs TLSA9/5@ FLA9/12vs NAVY9/19vs FIU9/26@ ULM10/3vs TXSO10/17@ ARMY10/24vs RICE

latest10 Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · vs RICE

2.5

5 of 10 (50%) cleared 2.5 over his last 10

receptionsno range set1.2 avg over the 10 charted
by window, any range:last 51.4last 101.220261.020251.3all1.1

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Ethan Ervin Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.251.401.00
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 1.094 games (2025)prior season, not the current role82nd percentileleague avg 0.725 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0070th percentile for mostleague avg 0.727 games (2026)supports OVER184/701 RBssupports OVER
targets per game0.000.000.00
SZN
50th percentile for mostleague avg 0.007 games (2026)50th percentileleague avg 0.005 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0050th percentile for mostleague avg 0.007 games (2026)supports FLAT1/701 RBsneutral1/701 RBsneutral
UNT · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed169.4208.6212.3
SZN
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.112 games (2025) · 2033 total35th percentileleague avg 222.65 games (last 5)2026 season 212.339th percentile for most allowedleague avg 222.66 games (2026) · 1274 totalsupports UNDER134/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER84/138 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed15.616.616.0
SZN
7th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 187 total25th percentileleague avg 18.95 games (last 5)2026 season 16.013th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.96 games (2026) · 96 totalsupports UNDER131/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-119/138 FBS defencessupports UNDER

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Ethan Ervin, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 2 of 10 (20%) · last 20 2 of 11 (18%)
Yes −105
show
Receiving Yards2.5
last 10 5 of 10 (50%) · last 20 5 of 11 (45%)
O −115 · U −115
show
O 36.5 −114 FanDuel · U 36.5 −114 FanDuelprices from