← Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
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Fluff Bothwell

MSSTAlabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsSat 12:00 PM

Bothwell on the fieldcarries per game 12.80receptions per game 1.30

Anytime TD

14 games logged
line0.5

ALA · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.60.60.5
41st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.713 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 2 totalneutral84/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-98/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced32.732.731.8
21st percentile for most facedleague avg 36.013 games (2025) · 425 totalseason 32.7no per-play form for this stat25th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 127 totalsupports UNDER112/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER92/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.12.12.3
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.113 games (2025) · 28 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDER126/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-86/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Fluff Bothwell Breakdown · his own data
carries per game12.8018.00
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 97th pctseason 12.80 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game1.302.20
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0910 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 1.30 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 0.5

Receiving Yards

14 games logged
line16.5

ALA · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed179.810.3221.5
9th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.113 games (2025) · 2337 totalvs per reception · 8th pct · T-129 of 141season 179.8 (9th)13 games44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.54 games (2026) · 886 totalsupports UNDER128/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-69/123 FBS defencesneutral
receptions allowed17.517.516.5
25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.013 games (2025) · 228 totalseason 17.5no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 66 totalsupports UNDER106/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-91/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Fluff Bothwell Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.302.20
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0910 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 1.30 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
16.5line
OVER-115bet365at 16.5
UNDER-115bet365at 16.5

Receptions

14 games logged
line2.5

ALA · what this defence allows
completions allowed17.561.5%16.5
25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.013 games (2025) · 228 totalvs per attempt · 41st pct · 83 of 141season 17.5 (25th)13 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 66 totalsupports UNDER106/141 FBS defencesneutralT-91/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Fluff Bothwell Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.302.20
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0910 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 1.30 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-115bet365at 2.5
UNDER-115bet365at 2.5

Rushing Yards

14 games logged
line73.5

ALA · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed129.03.9100.5
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.513 games (2025) · 1677 totalvs per carry · 32nd pct · 96 of 141season 129.0 (24th)13 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.04 games (2026) · 402 totalsupports UNDER108/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER104/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Fluff Bothwell Breakdown · his own data
carries per game12.8018.00
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 97th pctseason 12.80 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.825.43
SZN
55th percentile for mostleague avg 4.8010 games (2025)vs last 5 · 72nd pctseason 4.82 (55th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
73.5line
OVER-115bet365at 73.5
UNDER-115bet365at 73.5

odds snapshot · pulled 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing