Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:51 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Garrett Wilson
NYJNew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM
Wilson on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.29red zone targets per game 0.71receptions per game 5.14
Anytime TD
27 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CHI · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.21.20.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.52.52.0
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.82.82.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Garrett Wilson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.290.20
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 0.367 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.29 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.710.40
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 0.637 games (2025)vs last 5 · 30th pctseason 0.71 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
receptions per game5.144.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.897 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.14 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+165Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
27 games loggedline24.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.724.6%1.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per completion · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 2.7 (97th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.412.3%1.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 23 totalvs per completion · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 1.4 (97th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.43.7%0.3
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 0.4 (74th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced243.38.2219.0
61st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4136 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 243.3 (61st)17 games39th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Garrett Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.144.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.897 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.14 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.7210.29
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 12.906 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 10.72 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target9.7410.51
SZN31st percentile for mostleague avg 11.207 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 9.74 (31st)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.570.80
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 0.537 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.57 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-275bet365at 19.5
23.5line
OVER-124DraftKingsat 23.5
UNDER-104DraftKingsat 23.5
24.5line
OVER-115bet365at 24.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 24.5
29.5line
OVER+130bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+250bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+550bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
27 games loggedline75.5
receptions
CHI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs157.414.3138.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2676 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 157.4 (81st)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 415 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs11.063.8%9.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 29 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed239.211.5219.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4067 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 239.2 (68th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Garrett Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.144.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.897 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.14 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game8.437.60
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.687 games (2025)vs last 5 · 89th pctseason 8.43 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share35.0%32.3%
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 35.0% (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.0%76.0%
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 87.0% (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-700bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-400bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER-230bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER-140bet365at 69.5
73.5line
OVER-115bet365at 73.5
UNDER-115bet365at 73.5
75.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 75.5
UNDER-110Fanaticsat 75.5
76.5line
OVER-115BetMGMat 76.5
UNDER-115BetMGMat 76.5
79.5line
OVER+100bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+145bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+200bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+275bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+400bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+550bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+700bet365at 139.5
149.5line
OVER+850bet365at 149.5
Receptions
27 games loggedline6.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.063.8%9.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 29 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs17.217.216.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 293 totalseason 17.2no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 49 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.920.916.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 355 totalseason 20.9no per-play form for this stat0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 50 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason only32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Garrett Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.144.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.897 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 5.14 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game8.437.60
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.687 games (2025)vs last 5 · 89th pctseason 8.43 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share35.0%32.3%
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 35.0% (99th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.0%76.0%
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 87.0% (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-5000bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-1401bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-500bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER-230bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+100theScore Betat 6.5
UNDER-117DraftKingsat 6.5
7.5line
OVER+160bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+275bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+500bet365at 9.5
Rush + Rec Yards
27 games loggedline73.5
touches
CHI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs157.414.3138.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2676 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 157.4 (81st)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 415 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.75.40.0
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 114 totalvs per carry · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 6.7 (82nd)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencesneutralT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed239.211.5219.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4067 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 239.2 (68th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Garrett Wilson Breakdown · his own data
touches per game5.144.80
no comparison available7 games (2025)vs last 5season 5.145 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game8.437.60
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.687 games (2025)vs last 5 · 89th pctseason 8.43 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.0%76.0%
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 87.0% (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
49.5line
OVER-350bet365at 49.5
73.5line
OVER-115bet365at 73.5
UNDER-115bet365at 73.5
74.5line
OVER-115bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+210bet365at 99.5
124.5line
OVER+475bet365at 124.5
149.5line
OVER+850bet365at 149.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing