Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:55 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Greg Dulcich
MIAMiami Dolphins @ Minnesota VikingsSun 4:05 PM
Dulcich on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.44red zone targets per game 0.78receptions per game 2.89
Anytime TD
15 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
MIN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs0.70.70.7
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.61.61.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 28 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Greg Dulcich Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.440.80
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.409 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 0.44 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.781.00
SZN77th percentile for mostleague avg 0.599 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 0.78 (77th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game2.893.40
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 2.89 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+650Courtsideat 0.5
Longest Reception
15 games loggedline13.5
targets
MIN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.38.0%1.3
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 0.3 (10th)17 games92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.24.0%1.0
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 0.2 (66th)17 games98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.8%1.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 39th pct · T-19 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs24.25.534.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 412 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 24.2 (45th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 103 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced168.96.8318.3
0th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 2872 totalvs per target · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 168.9 (0th)17 games90th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 955 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Greg Dulcich Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.893.40
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 2.89 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch14.0810.09
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 10.119 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 14.08 (94th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
air yards per target4.803.94
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 5.879 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 4.80 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.780.60
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 0.319 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 0.78 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
13.5line
OVER-115bet365at 13.5
UNDER-115bet365at 13.5
19.5line
OVER+210bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+600bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
15 games loggedline27.5
receptions
MIN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs42.39.661.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 719 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 42.3 (13th)17 games66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 183 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs4.468.2%3.3
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per target · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 4.4 (16th)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed177.710.8265.3
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3021 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 177.7 (3rd)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 796 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencesneutral7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs24.25.534.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 412 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 24.2 (45th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 103 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Greg Dulcich Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.893.40
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 2.89 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game3.674.40
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 3.519 games (2025)vs last 5 · 70th pctseason 3.67 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share15.4%16.9%
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 15.4% (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share43.8%59.2%
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 43.8% (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
19.5line
OVER-200bet365at 19.5
25.5line
OVER-115bet365at 25.5
UNDER-115bet365at 25.5
26.5line
OVER-117betPARXat 26.5
UNDER-112betPARXat 26.5
27.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 27.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 27.5
28.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsat 28.5
UNDER-114DraftKingsat 28.5
29.5line
OVER+105bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+190bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+320bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+500bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+750bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 89.5
Receptions
15 games loggedline2.5
targets
MIN · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs4.468.2%3.3
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per target · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 4.4 (16th)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs6.56.57.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 110 totalseason 6.5no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.416.419.3
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 279 totalseason 16.4no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 58 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Greg Dulcich Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.893.40
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.559 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 2.89 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game3.674.40
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 3.519 games (2025)vs last 5 · 70th pctseason 3.67 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share15.4%16.9%
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 15.4% (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share43.8%59.2%
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%9 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 43.8% (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-450bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-130bet365at 2.5
UNDER+124DraftKingsat 2.5
3.5line
OVER+160bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+350bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+700bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 6.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing